Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

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Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Wed Mar 29, 2017 3:49 pm

Yesterday was a sad day in the Weather chasing world...  Three chasers lost their lives while chasing a warned storm out in Lubbock, TX.

Kelley Williamson and Randy Yarnall were chasers that were seen on a national weather channel periodically.  Corbin Jaege also lost his life in the accident.

Three Storm Chasers Killed Near Lubbock Identified

FOX34 chief meteorologist Matt Ernst spoke to KRLD 1080 about how quickly word spread about the tragedy.



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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by gomexwx on Wed Mar 29, 2017 3:56 pm

Yes....was sad,could have been any of us..
Not like i haven't chased my share,some to post here...LOL

When I think of cutting my way to the Alabama,Mississippi coast with chainsaws for three days after Katrina,then seeing what I saw..

When I think of pulling pine trees out of my house the morning after the havoc of a major eye wall..and then wondering where to start...

we realize,these people did not die in vain,what they learn helps all...

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Wed Mar 29, 2017 3:59 pm

SPC Day 1 Outlook - Click image to go to site and read text




The current Day 2 Outlook brings the Moderate Risk back to the table - Click image to go to the site and read text

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Wed Mar 29, 2017 4:01 pm

Oh.... There should be no further ad popups for registered members Cool
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Wed Mar 29, 2017 4:11 pm

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by gomexwx on Wed Mar 29, 2017 4:12 pm

sangria wrote:Oh....  There should be no further ad popups for registered members Cool



Thats why the blog floor rattled,all the the peoples happy feet dancing!!! dm

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by gomexwx on Wed Mar 29, 2017 4:13 pm

unless your boat is under that squall line...LOL

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by StAugustineFL on Wed Mar 29, 2017 5:09 pm

Sad to hear of the storm chaser fatalities.  Avoidable but folks probably got caught up watching the sky versus the roads.

I was watching TWC last night and was extremely disappointed they only gave Kelly a 60 second goodbye on air at the very end of their WU show.  He had been giving regular live updates for several weeks but was tossed aside like road kill. No pun intended.

Beautiful pic of the 5 funnels.
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Wed Mar 29, 2017 5:20 pm

Agree Aug.... CNN had an article and TWC did not when I looked at both websites last night. I couldn't even find a mention on the TWC website.
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by gomexwx on Wed Mar 29, 2017 5:23 pm

Now if I was a drinking man....that would be a dairy cow cloud full of nipples....

these things also show up when a cane is near as "Feeder Bands"

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Wed Mar 29, 2017 5:24 pm

Watch this puppy just go #poof as it heads to the peninsula.....




And fiddle on the QPF......

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by StAugustineFL on Wed Mar 29, 2017 5:37 pm

double fiddle fiddle
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by gomexwx on Wed Mar 29, 2017 5:39 pm

StAugustineFL wrote:double fiddle  fiddle


Those I know are meant for San....
My thoughts on tomorrows fun..
1.83 inches of rain here
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by StAugustineFL on Wed Mar 29, 2017 5:45 pm

Just dodge any potential severe but best dynamics look north of you as the system scoots off to the NE. I know you know so I'm preaching to the choir. Or is it peaching to the choir? Smile
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by StAugustineFL on Wed Mar 29, 2017 5:48 pm

Static loop.

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by StAugustineFL on Wed Mar 29, 2017 8:08 pm

In random news from a few days ago.........  Fritz used to be a featured blogger.  It's clear how she feels about that place. Same applies to many (all of us I'm sure!)

https://twitter.com/angelafritz/status/844957025167720448
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by gomexwx on Wed Mar 29, 2017 8:26 pm

It was a great place until 2008 when politics and agenda's divided it...

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by JRnOldsmar on Wed Mar 29, 2017 8:31 pm

Beautiful thread folks.

Chasers  Sad
Pop-ups  Smile
Waterspouts  Cool
Dissipating models  Mad
Dairy cow nipples  Rolling Eyes
Rain for gomex  Very Happy

Thanks.

I lived 6 years in Lubbock.  Its where I caught the weather bug.  Some amazing !stuff! happens out there.
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by gomexwx on Wed Mar 29, 2017 9:50 pm

that makes two on here with Texas roots...San lived in Texas.


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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by JRnOldsmar on Thu Mar 30, 2017 6:25 am

gomexwx wrote:that makes two on here with Texas roots...San lived in Texas.


Cool. Both of my parents were born in W.TX and I lived in Lubbock for most of my 20s.
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by gomexwx on Thu Mar 30, 2017 9:24 am

Well the system is approaching...
I just had a pop up shower ahead of the front.
it deposited .25 of an inch of rain...
So the event has started..
up-date as it happens.

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by gomexwx on Thu Mar 30, 2017 1:42 pm

I am about to get hammered

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by gomexwx on Thu Mar 30, 2017 3:26 pm

1st line of thunderstorms has passed..
the line dumped .78 inches of rain.
expecting some more,not sure now if I will see what i predicted.

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by JRnOldsmar on Thu Mar 30, 2017 4:05 pm

gomexwx wrote:1st line of thunderstorms has passed..
the line dumped .78 inches of rain.
expecting some more,not sure now if I will see what i predicted.

Looks like you've gotten your share, Gomey. Could you please share a little tomorrow???
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Thu Mar 30, 2017 5:14 pm

e slap e slap e slap Gomey!
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by StAugustineFL on Thu Mar 30, 2017 5:25 pm

JRnOldsmar wrote:
gomexwx wrote:1st line of thunderstorms has passed..
the line dumped .78 inches of rain.
expecting some more,not sure now if I will see what i predicted.

Looks like you've gotten your share, Gomey.  Could you please share a little tomorrow???

Gomey is in the rain capitol of the US.  No true dry season in the Mobile area.  Check out the average monthly precip.  3.7" is the worst. I'm envious.  http://www.usclimatedata.com/climate/mobile/alabama/united-states/usal0899
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Thu Mar 30, 2017 6:05 pm

40% chance of watch being issued



Mesoscale Discussion 0382
  NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
  0433 PM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017

  Areas affected...Western/central FL Panhandle...Far southeast
  AL...Far southwest GA

  Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

  Valid 302133Z - 302300Z

  Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

  SUMMARY...Convective line approaching the region may pose a risk for
  damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two. Trends across the region
  will be monitored for possible watch issuance.

  DISCUSSION...Well-developed convective line extending from far
  southern AL into the northeast Gulf of Mexico is expected to
  continue eastward/northeastward over the next several hours. Current
  storm motion estimate for this line is northeastward (230-240
  degrees) at 40 kt, which brings it near VPS around 22Z and to ECP
  around 23Z. The airmass downstream of the line across the
  west/central FL Panhandle and southeast AL/southwest GA is
  characterized by temperatures in the mid 70s to low 80s, dewpoints
  in mid 50s to mid 60s, and modest instability. Mesoanalysis
  estimates the MLCAPE is currently around 500 J/kg. Low-level
  southeasterly flow ahead of the line will help advect better
  low-level moisture into the region, resulting in a modest increase
  in instability just ahead of the line. This southeasterly low-level
  flow will also contribute to better low-level shear, resulting in a
  non-zero tornado threat, particularly given the anticipated
  moistening of the airmass. Additionally, some forward propagation of
  the line may result, contributing to increased threat for damaging
  wind gusts. However, coverage of these severe events is currently
  expected to be isolated, owing primarily the limited extent of the
  better low-level moisture and the resulting less-favorable
  thermodynamics inland from the coastal areas. Even so, the
  well-developed nature of the approaching line bears watching and
  trends across the region will be monitored closely for potential
  watch issuance.

  ..Mosier/Edwards.. 03/30/2017


  ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

  LAT...LON   30248710 30768714 31198700 31288573 31078505 30708460
              29578491 30108591 30248710
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Thu Mar 30, 2017 7:25 pm

Not weather related, but this is big....   a section of I-85 in Atlanta has collapsed and a fire is ongoing.  Live Stream ....

REMOVED DUE TO AUTOPLAY IN LIVESTREAM


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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by StAugustineFL on Sat Apr 01, 2017 7:05 am

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Sat Apr 01, 2017 7:26 am

Click image to open animated loop in new tab...

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by StAugustineFL on Sat Apr 01, 2017 7:30 am

The loop reminds me of the old TV days when the signal would go out and there was "snow". I know it's just due to it still being dark there.
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Sat Apr 01, 2017 7:40 am

It does! What I thought was odd was that the FL loop had more of the white out than the SW loop
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by gomexwx on Sat Apr 01, 2017 7:58 am

I miss TV snow...
When digital TVs lose signal...it locks,sound and picture .You get nothing
Old analog signals you at least got sound and could keep up with the game or show you were watching.

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by StAugustineFL on Sat Apr 01, 2017 8:00 am

gomexwx wrote:I miss TV snow...
When digital TVs lose signal...it locks,sound and picture .You get nothing
Old analog signals you at least got sound and could keep up with the game or show you were watching.

Radio. lol
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by StAugustineFL on Sat Apr 01, 2017 8:10 am

Snipped from the SPC for tomorrow: Organized severe thunderstorm development is expected across parts of eastern Texas into western and central Louisiana Sunday through Sunday night. This includes a risk for tornadic supercells, a few of which could be strong, along with considerable potential for damaging wind gusts with an evolving squall line.
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Sat Apr 01, 2017 8:25 am

Dr. Forbes TORCON - this was posted yesterday, so it could change....

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by sangria on Sat Apr 01, 2017 8:26 am

NAM 6z Significant Tornado Parameter

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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

Post by StAugustineFL on Sat Apr 01, 2017 8:33 am

I wasn't expecting TOR CON values to be that high east of LA. Buckle up gomey!
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Re: Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Continues

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