CLOSED 5/29/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog

The afternoon radar is sure lit up!  Looks like that line wants to bow....

I ended up with 1.5" in the bucket yesterday.

Good afternoon. Storms are moving from NW to SE near me. Nice cell to my NE at the moment but moving the wrong direction! Seabreeze is moving through now and more storms are firing to my NW. Those are my potential moneymaker.

Got a phone alert a few minutes ago the storm to my NE went Severe T-Storm Warned. Won't effect me but looks better in person than camera. Lot's of C2G strikes with it.

wow I have a storm line heading this way also.....................

stay safe AUG.................................Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
406 PM EDT WED JUN 14 2017

FLC109-142030-
/O.CON.KJAX.SV.W.0164.000000T0000Z-170614T2030Z/
St. Johns FL-
406 PM EDT WED JUN 14 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL ST. JOHNS COUNTY...

At 405 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near World Golf
Village, or 9 miles northwest of Saint Augustine, moving southeast at
20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Saint Augustine, World Golf Village, Saint Augustine Beach, South
Ponte Vedra, Saint Augustine Shores, Butler Beach, Vilano Beach,
Saint Augustine South, Crescent Beach and Anastasia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2971 8126 2995 8152 3005 8143 3008 8139
3006 8136 3003 8128 2981 8120
TIME...MOT...LOC 2005Z 307DEG 16KT 2999 8142

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

STRUBLE

I guess this..is whats heading towards me in awhile.......................National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
406 PM EDT WED JUN 14 2017

FLC057-081-142130-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FA.Y.0012.170614T2006Z-170614T2130Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Manatee FL-Hillsborough FL-
406 PM EDT WED JUN 14 2017

The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
Northeastern Manatee County in west central Florida...
Eastern Hillsborough County in west central Florida...

* Until 530 PM EDT

* At 404 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding in
the advisory area. Up to two inches of rain have already fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Plant City, Temple Terrace, Fish Hawk, Brandon, Hillsborough River
State Park, Greater Sun Center, Palm River-Clair Mel, East
Lake-Orient Park, Pebble Creek, Riverview, Ruskin, Parrish, Mango,
New Tampa, Tampa Executive Airport, Boyette, Lettuce Lake Park,
Wimauma and Orient Park.

Additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is expected over the area. This
additional rain will result in minor flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as
well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

&&

Checked the sky. Looks like it's going to blow up just to my south. I think it's game over here.

gee LOOk whats coming LOL......................................

San..your going to get a piece of this bad line of storms...........

LargoFL wrote:gee LOOk whats coming LOL......................................

Looking at real time radar seems the cells on the southern end are loosing a little umph while they beef up a bit in northern Hillsborough and Pasco. That pop up cell just east of you not associated with the line looks good though as they fire along the outflow.

San..you have your warning...im getting booms now............Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
431 PM EDT WED JUN 14 2017

FLZ149-151-249-142115-
Inland Pasco FL-Coastal Hillsborough FL-Coastal Pasco FL-
431 PM EDT WED JUN 14 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN PASCO COUNTY UNTIL 515 PM
EDT...

At 431 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Spring Hill to near Keystone. Movement was west
at 15 mph.

Dime size hail...frequent lightning...and wind gusts in excess of 40
mph are expected with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
New Port Richey, Hudson, Holiday, Lutz, Jasmine Estates, New Port
Richey East, Land O Lakes, Beacon Square, Keystone, East Lake,
Trinity, Elfers, Shady Hills, Moon Lake, Gowers Corner, Odessa, Jay B
Starkey Wilderness Park, Bayonet Point and Cheval.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

StAugustineFL wrote:

LargoFL wrote:gee LOOk whats coming LOL......................................

Looking at real time radar seems the cells on the southern end are loosing a little umph while they beef up a bit in northern Hillsborough and Pasco.  That pop up cell just east of you not associated with the line looks good though as they fire along the outflow.

I can sure use more rain here Aug..hope this holds together.

watch it miss me lol.............................................

ok got MY warning..winds really Blowing and thunder booming lol......................Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
439 PM EDT WED JUN 14 2017

FLZ050-142130-
Pinellas FL-
439 PM EDT WED JUN 14 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN PINELLAS COUNTY UNTIL
530 PM EDT...

At 438 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from East Lake to Pinellas
Park. Movement was slowly west at 10 mph.

Small hail...frequent lightning...and wind gusts in excess of 40 mph
are expected with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Clearwater, Largo, Pinellas Park, Seminole, St. Petersburg, Palm
Harbor, South Highpoint, East Lake, Harbor Bluffs, Feather Sound,
Ridgecrest, Gandy, Safety Harbor, Oldsmar, Belleair, Belleair Bluffs,
Belleair Beach, Belleair Shore, Walsingham Park and Highpoint.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

well i'd better shut this off...good night folks..stay safe out there..

Looks like a close call Largo.  JR seems in the midst of it.  San is looking in a good spot
.

Poofage!!

StAugustineFL wrote:Looks like a close call Largo.  JR seems in the midst of it.  San is looking in a good spot
.

Thanks Aug and San.  These are perfect.

First one.  My office is about a half inch NW of the T in Tampa.  I'm hosting software vendors this week (diff vendors each day -- whoo hoo!), and gave them a warning that we could expect some thunder.  15 minutes later, BOOM.  I thought one person was gonna have a heart attack.  That line just split apart and missed completely.  But at home you can see the storm I did get.  I see it blow up right over my house.  1.3", a few old limbs down, power hitch.

Then, of course, by the time I got home:

sangria wrote:Poofage!!

Sorry, San. That's just not nice!

NWS Miami......Thu Jun 15 2017

...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS...
...WATERSPOUTS POSSIBLE, MAINLY ATLANTIC WATERS...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Thunderstorms: scattered thunderstorms will continue to move across
the east coast metro areas today. Numerous thunderstorms will
develop this afternoon, mainly over interior and Gulf coast areas as
seabreezes push inland. The main threats with any storms will be
frequent lightning strikes, locally heavy rain, and gusty winds.

Wind: The strongest storms today will be capable of producing wind
gusts up to 50 mph, mainly over over the interior, west coast metro,
and adjacent Gulf waters this afternoon and evening.

Waterspouts: Waterspouts are possible over the Atlantic waters and
Biscayne Bay.

NWS Melbourne......Thu Jun 15 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
High moisture combined with modest daytime heating will lead to
scattered to numerous thunderstorms this afternoon. Sea breeze
boundaries will provide the initial focus for scattered storm
formation early in the afternoon, then boundary interactions will
increase the coverage and intensity of storms into early evening.
The main storm hazard will be frequent lightning strikes with
isolated strong storms.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
Motion of afternoon storms will be to the northeast at 10 mph or
less. This will allow a few stronger storms to produce quick 2 or
3 inch downpours, resulting in considerable water ponding on
roadways.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A small long period swell will keep a moderate rip current risk at
area beaches. The strongest seaward pull should be early this
morning and late this afternoon due to tidal effects. Only swim in
the ocean near a lifeguard.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
Scattered to numerous storms will occur over land this afternoon,
with some of the activity pushing northeast at 10 knots into the
nearshore Atlantic waters. In addition to hazardous lightning
strikes, there is a chance for wind gusts to around 35 knots.

NWS Jacksonville.............Thu Jun 15 2017

...Locally Heavy Rainfall from Slow Moving Thunderstorms...
...Moderate Risk of Rip Currents Today...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Florida,
Southeast Georgia and the Adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Slow moving thunderstorms will again cause locally heavy rainfall
this afternoon and early evening, with 2 to 4 inch accumulations
possible. A few storms may become strong as well with gusty winds
and frequent lightning.

There is a Moderate Risk of Rip Currents at area beaches today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Scattered to numerous afternoon and evening thunderstorms are
expected through the period. The main thunderstorm hazards
continue to be locally heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, and
gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

For additional information, visit the National Weather Service in
Jacksonville website on the internet at weather.gov/jax.

$$

NWS Tampa.......Thu Jun 15 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will begin early this
afternoon and continue into early evening with the greatest
coverage over inland locations late in the afternoon.
Thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing strong
gusty winds...locally heavy rains...and frequent deadly lightning
strikes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
For Friday and Saturday south and southwest flow will be in place
with isolated to scattered thunderstorms along the coast in the
mornings then shifting inland in the afternoons. For Sunday
through Wednesday southeasterly winds will prevail with isolated
to scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms...with the
greatest coverage along the coast. Thunderstorms will be capable
of producing strong gusty winds...locally heavy rains...and
frequent deadly lightning strikes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

RKR

Good Thursday Morning folks!!..well besides the booming last night..just enough rain here by me to wet the street..but..every lil drop counts huh...well Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here..enjoy...have a great day folks!

LargoFL wrote:Good Thursday Morning folks!!..well besides the booming last night..just enough rain here by me to wet the street..but..every lil drop counts huh...well Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here..enjoy...have a great day folks!

Morning All,
Largo sorry missed the coffee today. Was off to a very early start today.
Got .52 in the bucket last night. Nothing bad just a nice steady rain.
I see the storm poofed out on the way to the coast.
Have a great day and good luck getting some rain.
John Z-hills

severstorm wrote:

LargoFL wrote:Good Thursday Morning folks!!..well besides the booming last night..just enough rain here by me to wet the street..but..every lil drop counts huh...well Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here..enjoy...have a great day folks!

Morning All,
Largo sorry missed the coffee today. Was off to a very early start today.
Got .52 in the bucket last night. Nothing bad just a nice steady rain.
I see the storm poofed out on the way to the coast.
Have a great day and good luck getting some rain.
John Z-hills

good morning John,yes it poofed out on me but its ok, at least I got a few drops here..dont worry about the coffee..im on my second cup,thanks for leaving me some lol,have a great day ok.

San-Aug..time for a new blog huh,when you get the time ok..thanks

Important........the GFS has shifted eastward,close to Florida now,stay tuned...........

well by sunday they should have a better idea where this tropical something is going and..how strong it will be..best all of us around florida stay alert and see how this plays out..either way, could be a lot of rain coming.

here is the Nam model for sunday eveing..........BBL

I cannot see Florida in those graphics? Do I need to do something to it?

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:I cannot see Florida in those graphics? Do I need to do something to it?

hmm I see them fine Billsfan..perhaps you can reduce their size?..but if not..what they say is something will come up the gulf..possibly close to the gulf coast moving northward...too early yet to truly believe but its something surely to watch because a cold front is also coming and may..blow more rain over florida in the mix...but again..lets wait to see if by saturday/sunday these tracks change ok

guess I have to learn pic sizes and how to do that before posting huh

NHC.......2. A complex area of low pressure is expected to form over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea and the Yucatan peninsula this
weekend. Conditions appear to be favorable for gradual development
of this system while it moves slowly northwestward toward the
southern Gulf of Mexico by early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

so it was 40% early this morning,now its 50% so it looks like they..think it may well form this weekend or sooner huh

my local forecast is already at 60% rain chance mon-tues weds without this system coming up the gulf...so if it comes close enough and with the front winds probably blowing towards florida and the atlantic...lets see how this plays out thru the weekend.....50% chance the storm doesn't happen so far.

well just mowed the lawn, gutters clean...and tomorrow i'll be driving to Orlando airport to p/u my daughter flying in from California for 5 days so maybe i'll not be in so often but i'll try to keep up on any storm coming ok

LargoFL wrote:

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:I cannot see Florida in those graphics? Do I need to do something to it?

hmm I see them fine Billsfan..perhaps you can reduce their size?..but if not..what they say is something will come up the gulf..possibly close to the gulf coast moving northward...too early yet to truly believe but its something surely to watch because a cold front is also coming and may..blow more rain over florida in the mix...but again..lets wait to see if by saturday/sunday these tracks change ok

Thanks Largo... Not sure how to reduce the size?
Thanks for the info though.

Booming to my west now, storms beginning here.....................

Melbourne area getting some good storms on the east coast right now..

Aug..what is a good size for pics when I post them here? my memory stinks lol

from mikes weather page.........Latest GFS continues to not like our Gulf system organizing. Keeps it a sloppy mess pushing its moisture east into Florida early part of the week. Just one model. Next NHC update and EURO around 2pm.

and the 12Z CMC model run..................................................

well as of right now,i don't see any land falling tropical systems coming into central or southern florida,could be though..around panama city or panhandle..still way too early yet to know,gee tomorrow it could be texas again huh

Out west of me got 3-3.5 inches yesterday and I heard it is pouring again today.

south florida alert!!!!.............................................................SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Miami FL
1254 PM EDT THU JUN 15 2017

FLZ063-066-151745-
Hendry FL-Glades FL-
1254 PM EDT THU JUN 15 2017

...Significant Weather Advisory for 45 to 55 mph winds and the
development of funnel clouds for southeastern Glades County Until 145
PM EDT...

* At 1254 PM EDT...Local law enforcement reported a strong
thunderstorm producing a funnel cloud over Moore Haven, moving
northwest at 15 mph.

* In addition, gusty winds from 45 TO 55 mph are possible. These
winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
Moore Haven, Lakeport, Palmdale, Brighton Seminole Reservation and
Lake Hicpochee.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

&&

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:I cannot see Florida in those graphics? Do I need to do something to it?

Hey Billsfan. Same here on my laptop screen, but when I view on a larger monitor, it comes thru completely. If Largo can shrink the size (Aug should be able to help ), it would probably be the best solution (unless you feel like lugging around a monitor, too). If you're desperate, you can right click and save, then view as a separate picture.

LargoFL wrote:gee I made a big mistake..i deleted the link to this site from my desktop and now for some reason the blog wont let me make a link to this blog anymore...somethings changed here web wise.
ok I restored the link..but it goes to our old last blog and for some reason this blog wont let me put a link to This new blog lol...hmmm dunno whats changed here...BBL

I somehow lost the link in my favorites and JUST found this again today.

j3nnyb3an wrote:

LargoFL wrote:gee I made a big mistake..i deleted the link to this site from my desktop and now for some reason the blog wont let me make a link to this blog anymore...somethings changed here web wise.
ok I restored the link..but it goes to our old last blog and for some reason this blog wont let me put a link to This new blog lol...hmmm dunno whats changed here...BBL

I somehow lost the link in my favorites and JUST found this again today.

hiya Jenny glad you found us again,stay alert beginning of next week ok.