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CLOSED 7-25 FLORIDA/ALABAMA Tropical season weather

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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 8:01 am

Hiya John good morning!!
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 8:01 am

well ive got some outside things to do..BBL
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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 8:02 am

severstorm wrote:Morning All,
 I will take the rain as I only have 4.66 in the bucket for the month. Should be around 8.50 inches or so.
Anyways have a great weekend to All!!!!
John Z-hills

Good luck John. Maybe come August 1st you can report your July totals doubled and you ended the month with over 9"!

July is the driest month of the wet season up here. Monthly average is 4.84" I believe. Then around 6.5" for August and 7.3" for September.
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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 8:03 am

If we all add up our yearly totals we may pass gomey.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 9:52 am

well some light scattered rains beginning, had a sprinkle of drops here earlier...................florida - CLOSED  7-25 FLORIDA/ALABAMA Tropical season weather - Page 3 1501336081
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 9:53 am

well gutters clean, things that could blow around taken in..ok I'm ready LOL
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 11:33 am

well still mostly sunny here be getting a good breeze here finally,still no rain here by me outside of that lil sprinkle much earlier this morning,tomorrow I guess the heavy rains begin.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 11:35 am

so a lot of mostly scattered showers all around the state right now,good luck to those who get rain..florida - CLOSED  7-25 FLORIDA/ALABAMA Tropical season weather - Page 3 Radar_flanim
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 11:39 am

Billsfan your area in this.............................NWS Miami...............1128 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

.NOW...
Scattered to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms will
continue to move northeast around 10 mph late this morning. Early
this afternoon, the activity will increase in coverage. Very heavy
downpours, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, and wind gusts to
35 mph can be expected.

$$
KONARIK
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 11:45 am

florida - CLOSED  7-25 FLORIDA/ALABAMA Tropical season weather - Page 3 WUNIDS_map?station=TLH&brand=wui&num=12&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=1&t=1316002963&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map
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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 12:15 pm

Few downpours around the area. I hope they poof as I have a couple of friends coming over shortly then we are heading to St Augustine to walk the historic district and partake in food with an adult beverage or two.
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Post by JRnOldsmar Sat Jul 29, 2017 12:45 pm

I don't think there's much of a better way to spend the day. You've got a great place there, Aug. Have fun.
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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 12:55 pm

Thanks JR.  Peeps get here at 1pm.  Looking at radar seems the main event is over here and should be clearing the coast shortly.  I need to check a sat.  Hope the clouds hold and keep the temps knocked back 10-15 degrees.

Edit. Looks like a pocket of full sun from say Gainesville to the west coast but clouds are quickly building in to the west of there. Should be nice.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 2:11 pm

Note..this from NWS Melbourne......................(clipped).....At least two people were struck by lightning on Friday and there was
one fatality near Satellite Beach. When skies darken to the west
and you hear thunder...it is time to go indoors!


&&
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 2:14 pm

florida - CLOSED  7-25 FLORIDA/ALABAMA Tropical season weather - Page 3 1501350841
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:22 pm

Aug several of these warnings up there..stay alert and safe ok..................Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
303 PM EDT SAT JUL 29 2017

FLZ023-025-031>033-037-125-291945-
Inland Duval FL-St. Johns FL-Baker FL-Putnam FL-Bradford FL-Clay FL-
Coastal Duval FL-
303 PM EDT SAT JUL 29 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BRADFORD...ST.
JOHNS...NORTH CENTRAL PUTNAM...SOUTHEASTERN BAKER...CLAY AND SOUTHERN
DUVAL COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 303 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Camp Blanding, or near Middleburg, moving east at 55 mph.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph can be expected along with possible minor
wind damage.

Locations impacted include...
Saint Augustine, Orange Park, Green Cove Springs, Keystone Heights,
Unf, Mandarin, Fruit Cove, Middleburg, Ponte Vedra Beach and Neptune
Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2979 8203 3016 8209 3036 8136 3024 8134
2984 8121
TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 258DEG 49KT 3001 8195

$$

STRUBLE
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:26 pm

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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:29 pm

ok so some of those storms up in northern florida already have 50-55 mph winds..so this is going to be a bit stronger than the last one that came thru here a week or so ago with all that heavy rain then huh..guess we need to be a lil more alert thru this one....stay safe folks when the front gets close to you
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:31 pm

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
300 PM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY...
...ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.NEAR TERM...
Tonight...Sfc features tonight will include the cold front over
southern Carolinas to central GA to south central MS. Ahead of the
front...deep layer moisture with PWATS in excess of 2 inches
combined with digging shortwave trough will lead to rounds of
showers and storms. Some of this activity will produce gusty winds
and potential local flooding issues as it progresses east to
southeast. 12 hr accumulations of NAM and GFS showing locations
receiving 1-2 inches...possibly a bit higher but where this falls is
still questionable. The focus of heavier precip will gradually shift
southward overnight...as the front slides southward into to near the
FL/GA state line by 12Z Sun. It`s possible the heavier shower
and storm activity will be south of the FL /GA state line after
about 4 AM.

Sunday...Frontal boundary looks to be near the FL /GA state line
around 12Z with moist plume along and ahead of the feature. Good
low level convergence and weak areas of low pressure along the
front will aid in elevated rain chances. Have mentioned
locally heavy rain the forecast along with gusty winds. Could see
localized amounts of 2-4 inches in a few places but still is under
flash flood guidance. Front and cool advection north of feature will
lead to lower high temps than prior days with highs in the mid/upper
80s...with even some lower 80s possible. Winds along the coast
mainly north of JAX may be breezy due pinched gradient.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:37 pm

Hmmmmmm.......this last week of July..............................................................................florida - CLOSED  7-25 FLORIDA/ALABAMA Tropical season weather - Page 3 DF68K1HUQAANshz
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:44 pm

well once the tail end LOW gets into the Gulf and with all the rain and storms moving across florida 2-3-4 days,..could be serious for flood prone area's..too soon to tell yet..it all depends on where..the actual front stalls out over...it could sit over one section of florida for a couple of days whew..stay tuned lol
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:48 pm

WD how is your area doing in these storms coming in from the gulf?
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:49 pm

Havent heard from Jenny up in Northern Florida lately, hope her area is ok too.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:50 pm

well so far all these rain storms are totally missing me here grrrr LOL...this one missed me too.............. Pinellas Severe Watches & Warnings
NOAA Weather Radio
Watches & Warnings
Special Statement
Issued: 3:38 PM EDT Jul. 29, 2017 – National Weather Service

... A strong thunderstorm will affect east central Pinellas and
central Hillsborough counties...

At 338 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Pinellas Park,
moving east at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Tampa, largo, Pinellas Park, Temple Terrace, Brandon, St. Petersburg,
south Highpoint, Palm River-Clair mel, Tampa International Airport,
macdill Air Force base, East Lake-Orient Park, Gandy, Riverview,
feather sound, west and east Lealman, greater sun center, Egypt
Lake-leto, Ruskin, Kenneth City and South Tampa.

Lat... Lon 2794 8275 2806 8232 2769 8228 2775 8255
      2778 8254 2776 8256 2779 8270
time... Mot... loc 1938z 261deg 19kt 2786 8265


Tbw
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:54 pm

storm went to my south..hey St Pete did you get some of this down there?....florida - CLOSED  7-25 FLORIDA/ALABAMA Tropical season weather - Page 3 1501357681
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Post by LargoFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 3:54 pm

well i'd better stop...post how Your area is doing folks ok
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Sat Jul 29, 2017 4:40 pm

Thanks Largo for the updates. We got one little shower, but it's been full sun most of afternoon. Hot And humid.

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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Jul 29, 2017 5:37 pm

Had fun in DT St Aug though time was cut a bit short as one of my friends wasn't feeling too well. Temps were nice. I am stuffed from the calamari, blackened chicken, and some of the shrimp scampi my friend insisted I help her eat. No food for me until lunch tomorrow. Oh, and two Yuengling pints.

Radar app had a tornado warned cell around 4pm but it passed north. I did see a 2nd batch of rain moved through the homestead. Gauge is showing .39. I am pleased as chances were only 20-30% today. Here's to hoping we can all get 3-5" over the next few days with no flood concerns. My area soaks up the water like a sponge so no concerns here.

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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 5:33 am

NWS Tampa..........Sun Jul 30 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected.
Thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing strong
gusty winds...locally heavy rains...and frequent deadly lightning
strikes.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
High surf will produce rip currents along area beaches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected each
day. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing strong gusty
winds...locally heavy rains...and frequent deadly lightning
strikes.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
Continued high surf may produce rip currents along area beaches on
Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

Hubbard
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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 5:35 am

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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 5:38 am

Good Sunday Morning Folks!!...well hopefully they are correct and our rains etc begin in earnest today, and some are suggesting it may go on thru Thursday lol..we'll see how this plays out, hopefully no Flooding issues and no wind damage issues either huh....well Blogs COFFEE is set to perk for when you get here..enjoy!!...have a great day folks and stay safe out there.
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Post by StAugustineFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 7:39 am

Morning. Just a few bursts of brief rain here thus far. Jacksonville has been getting hit pretty good. No wind, no thunder.......just tropical type downpours. Jax radar is interesting. Along/south of I-10 the precip is moving west to east. North of there you can see the NNE surge along/behind the front bringing in precip from a different direction.

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Post by StAugustineFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 7:47 am

Guess I'll run up to Publix real quick while there's a lull. Looks like a wet morning and I don't want to go later in the day when the store will be packed.
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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 8:50 am

StAugustineFL wrote:Guess I'll run up to Publix real quick while there's a lull.  Looks like a wet morning and I don't want to go later in the day when the store will be packed.
good morning Aug. yeah drive safe too..good luck
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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 8:50 am

NWS Melbourne....... SUN JUL 30 2017

.NOW...
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms over the northeast Gulf
of Mexico will spread quickly inland and affect areas north of
Orlando and Cape Canaveral this morning.

Coverage and intensity of storms will increase across the entire
area this afternoon. In addition to local heavy rain and
occasional lightning strikes, wind gusts to around 50 mph will be
possible with a few strong storms.

&&

Additional details...including graphics are available online at:
http://www.weather.gov/mlb/blog

$$
RL
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Post by StAugustineFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 8:52 am

All good Largo. It's only a mile up the road once I leave my subdivision. I'm still in a somewhat rural area but it has built up quite a bit over the 14 years I've lived in the house.
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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 8:55 am

so far no rain by me, with partly sunny skies etc..local met says coverage will increase later today here..we'll see, today is just the beginning,now when that LOW gets into the gulf and the actual front stalls out over central florida and that LOW starts sending impulses along the front west to east things will be very interesting, especially here along Tampa bay area coastal area's lol..oh well we NEED this rain for sure..and..at the very least it will kill off those 100+ heat index's huh.
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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 8:55 am

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Post by StAugustineFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 8:57 am

Looks like it may be pouring come 9:30 or so. I feel like a kid in a candy store. .38" in the gauge since 7 AM from a couple brief downpours.

Static loop.

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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 8:58 am

OH NO..remember yesterday I said we watch ANY LOW in the gulf this time of year...well...florida - CLOSED  7-25 FLORIDA/ALABAMA Tropical season weather - Page 3 Two_atl_5d0
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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 9:01 am

NHC..........2. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop along a dissipating
frontal boundary over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico during the
next day or so, and then move eastward across the Florida peninsula
into the western Atlantic by midweek. Any development should be
slow to occur due to only marginally conducive upper-level winds and
proximity to land. However, this system is expected to produce
locally heavy rainfall across portions of central and northeastern
Florida during the next couple of days. Please see additional
information from your local National Weather Service Forecast
Offices concerning the rainfall threat.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart
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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 9:09 am

yes good thing no real wind up there so far Aug...I hope everyone checks the blog today..so they know about the gulf and that LOW.
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Post by gomexwx Sun Jul 30, 2017 9:11 am

Good luck with the tropical yuck...I have a cobalt blue sky and plan on practicing imaging for the coming eclipse...I can get back to weather once the eclipse is over.
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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 9:14 am

gomexwx wrote:Good luck with the tropical yuck...I have a cobalt blue sky and plan on practicing imaging for the coming eclipse...I can get back to weather once the eclipse is over.
good morning Gome and thanks.
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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 9:15 am

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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 9:16 am

so, looks like I could get 6-7 inches of rain next 2-3 days huh and IF the LOW goes tropical and comes in here whew..maybe even More rainfall?
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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 9:18 am

well glad I took in things that could blow around outside, and gutters cleaned out etc..im ready,we're going to the store in a few to get some things, might be raining heavy next few days once this thing ramps up here in central florida
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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 9:20 am

Possible flash flooding today here in the coastal counties close to the gulf,drive safely folks...florida - CLOSED  7-25 FLORIDA/ALABAMA Tropical season weather - Page 3 Noaad1
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Post by sangria Sun Jul 30, 2017 9:35 am

Bring on the rain baby!!! I'm going to be highly disappointed if the front stalls south of me and I don't end up with solid rainfall amounts. :-(
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Post by LargoFL Sun Jul 30, 2017 10:45 am

sangria wrote:Bring on the rain baby!!!    I'm going to be highly disappointed if the front stalls south of me and I don't end up with solid rainfall amounts.  :-(
good morning San,yes they still are a lil unsure exactly where this front is going to stall out...where ever it does, that area is going to get a lot of rain over several days whew,,they still are saying central florida.
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