CLOSED 7-25 FLORIDA/ALABAMA Tropical season weather

well I'm glad Some area's are getting rain today..by me its full sun and blistering hot!!

on another note here..i guess the atmosphere and what happens to it..is I guess..weather news huh...I read on CNN that countries in Europe will ban Gas only cars and trucks by 2040..i see a lot are going all electric but I think I read some cars will be a hybrid variety...I wonder once this gets going, will..the USA follow suit? knowing full well how much atmosphere destroying the exhaust from cars and truck spew out every day........do YOU or Would You...go all electric or hybrid for your next car in 2040?..i already have a hybrid and I love it.

and the GFS long term..Takes a tropical LOW into the gulf and into LA around the 12th of August, weak yes but from now on we need to watch every Tropical LOW in the gulf or anywhere near Florida huh.

well nothing going on around my area..guess i'll say good night folks...stay safe out there.

Good afternoon. Been relatively cloudy here all afternoon with no rain. Guess I should get used to the clouds beginning Saturday onward for a few days. Couple of snips from Jax.......

widespread 1 to 3 inch rainfall totals expected through Sunday
and localized totals up to 4 to 6 inches possible. Highest totals
with this event appear to be across NE FL where the front slows
down on Sat Night and Sunday.

Additional rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are possible next
week with the highest totals across NE FL and coastal areas as
onshore winds early in the week may help develop a few stationary
convergent rainfall bands.

StAugustineFL wrote:Good afternoon.  Been relatively cloudy here all afternoon with no rain.  Guess I should get used to the clouds beginning Saturday onward for a few days.  

Pulled out of a stretch like that a few days ago. Enjoy it while you can, Aug.

LargoFL wrote:on another note here..i guess the atmosphere and what happens to it..is I guess..weather news huh...I read on CNN that countries in Europe will ban Gas only cars and trucks by 2040..i see a lot are going all electric but I think I read some cars will be a hybrid variety...I wonder once this gets going, will..the USA follow suit? knowing full well how much atmosphere destroying the exhaust from cars and truck spew out every day........do YOU or Would You...go all electric or hybrid for your next car in 2040?..i already have a hybrid and I love it.

If I buy my next car in 2040, I'll be a happy camper! That would put my 2001 F150 at near 500k miles, and I could go straight to pedaling the tricycle..

JRnOldsmar wrote:

LargoFL wrote:on another note here..i guess the atmosphere and what happens to it..is I guess..weather news huh...I read on CNN that countries in Europe will ban Gas only cars and trucks by 2040..i see a lot are going all electric but I think I read some cars will be a hybrid variety...I wonder once this gets going, will..the USA follow suit? knowing full well how much atmosphere destroying the exhaust from cars and truck spew out every day........do YOU or Would You...go all electric or hybrid for your next car in 2040?..i already have a hybrid and I love it.

If I buy my next car in 2040, I'll be a happy camper!  That would put my 2001 F150 at near 500k miles, and I could go straight to pedaling the tricycle..

LOL I'm Glad I wont be around to see what could be.. drastic measures coming in the near future...LOL on the Tricycle

well we need to keep an eye on invest-97 still a long way off and tracks don't mean much right now..

NWS Tampa.....Fri Jul 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Expect isolated thunderstorms on Gulf waters this morning then
isolated to scattered storms inland for the afternoon and evening
hours. Some thunderstorms will be capable of producing strong
gusty winds...locally heavy rains...and frequent deadly lightning
strikes.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT IMPACT...
High humidity levels and high temperatures will result in heat
indices in the 100 to 105 degree range this afternoon. These
values will create a dangerous situation in which heat illnesses
are likely.

Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outdoors. When
possible...reschedule strenuous activities to early morning or
evening. Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat
stroke. Wear light weight and loose fitting clothing when
possible and drink plenty of water.

Good Early Friday Morning folks and TGIF!!..wow the weeks flying by huh...well hardly any chance of rain by me but maybe mother Nature will surprise me with a quick shower of rain lol..............well Blogs COFFEE is set to perk for when you get here..enjoy..have a great day everyone and folks..excessive Heat once again today..drink the fluids and stay safe ok.

guessed at tracks for invest-97..right now just something to wait and watch........

ok so now GFS-EURO-CMC all show invest-97 growing into a Tropical system,where it goes is still unknown ok...just something to watch and wait this out ..but..August is fast approaching and it IS..that time of Year when we all..need to stay alert and yeah..have all our preps and plans ready huh.

well Nam model for Sunday Aug and WD,get any outdoor things done before then huh......

yes Sunday morning it begins,looks like it may have a lot of rain with it too...

NWS Miami...Fri Jul 28 2017

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...
...SLIGHT CHANCE OF WATERSPOUTS ACROSS ALL SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Thunderstorms: Thunderstorms will be possible across South Florida
today, with the best chances in the interior and along the Atlantic
coast. The primary threats will be lightning, locally heavy rain, and
brief gusty wind.

Waterspouts: There is a slight chance of waterspouts today across all
South Florida waters. The best chances will be through the morning
hours.

Temperatures: The heat index is forecast to reach near 110 degrees in
the southern portion of Miami-Dade and Mainland Monroe Counties
today. Other areas in South Florida may see the heat index reach to
105 to 107 degrees today, mainly for the Atlantic coast metro area,
and the interior, south of Alligator Alley.

Hmmm...GFS has the tail end LOW of the front right over Tampa Bay area Monday morning..

Nam model for Monday is also interesting for Tampa bay area..we'll see how this plays out..

Billsfan for your area..............................Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Miami FL
1050 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

AMZ630-650-651-670-671-FLZ067-068-071>074-168-172>174-281700-
Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Inland Palm Beach-
Metro Palm Beach-Inland Broward-Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-
Metro Miami-Dade-Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-
Dade-Far South Miami-Dade-
Including the cities of Pahokee, South Bay, Belle Glade,
Wellington, Lion Country Safari, South County Regional Park,
Palm Springs, Florida Gardens, Aberdeen, Boca West,
Miccosukee Indian Reservation, Markham Park, Coconut Creek,
Coral Springs, Tamarac, Sunrise, Plantation, Davie, Cooper City,
Hollywood, Pembroke Pines, Miramar, Homestead, Florida City,
Redland, Miccosukee Resort, Kendale Lakes, West Kendall,
Country Walk, Shark Valley, Miami, Miami Gardens, Miami Lakes,
Hialeah, Doral, South Miami, Kendall, Cutler Ridge, Jupiter,
West Palm Beach, Boca Raton, Pompano Beach, Fort Lauderdale,
Fort Lauderdale Beach, Hollywood Beach, Aventura, Miami Beach,
Miami Shores, Downtown Miami, Cutler Bay,
Homestead Bayfront Park, and Everglades National Park
1050 AM EDT Fri Jul 28 2017

.NOW...
Isolated to widely scattered showers along with a few storms will
continue to develop across portions of the east coast this
morning and into the afternoon. Lightning strikes and locally
heavy downpours will be the primary threats with any thunderstorm
that develops.

$$

and this from NWS Huntsville Alabama..............................Fri Jul 28 2017

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of Alabama and southern middle Tennessee, including the
following areas, in Alabama, Colbert, Cullman, De Kalb,
Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison,
Marshall, and Morgan. In Tennessee, Franklin, Lincoln, and
Moore.

* Through this evening

* Showers and thunderstorms will affect the region today,
producing generally 1 to 2 inches of rainfall. Localized
amounts over 3 inches are possible where rainfall persists
longer, or where showers and storms repeatedly track over the
same areas. Flash flooding is possible in these areas with the
heaviest rainfall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

Billsfan be a lil alert today..it seems these may move in your area ...............................SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Miami FL
139 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2017

FLZ072>074-172-173-281830-
Coastal Broward County FL-Metro Broward County FL-
Metropolitan Miami Dade FL-Inland Miami-Dade County FL-
Coastal Miami Dade County FL-
139 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2017

...Significant Weather Advisory for frequent to excessive lightning
and 45 to 55 mph winds for northeastern Miami-Dade and southeastern
Broward Counties Until 230 PM EDT...

* At 139 PM EDT...Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
 over Opa-Locka, or over Miami Gardens, moving north at 15 mph.

* The primary impacts will be frequent to excessive lightning and
 gusty winds  of 45 TO 55 mph.  Lightning is the number one weather
 related killer in Florida. Trees and open shelters offer no
 protection. These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and
 blow around unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe
 building until the storm passes.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
 Miami, Hialeah, Fort Lauderdale, Pembroke Pines, Hollywood,
 Miramar, Davie, Miami Gardens, Hallandale, Weston, North Miami,
 Doral, North Miami Beach, Aventura, Dania Beach, Miami Lakes,
 Cooper City, Hialeah Gardens, Opa-Locka and West Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to street flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

WOW...check THIS out..........down in south Florida.........Feels Like 125 °F ...stay safe down there if outdoors...drink those Fluids

well enough from me...folks let us know how it is in Your area ok

Looks like rain Sunday

LargoFL wrote:Nam model for Monday is also interesting for Tampa bay area..we'll see how this plays out..

BRING IT ON!!!!!!!!!!!

Good afternoon! Finally we got a little rain. Seems like it's been forever.
Largo- I saw a feels like of 124 the other day. Wonder how accurate? I saw 117 earlier today.. Since the rain its down to feels like 92. I'd better grab my coat!

I am ready for the front. Looks like it'll produce well for most of the peninsula. We shall see.

Stay cool billsfan. I think the 124 is a bogus reading but we're in the dog days of summer so it's hot regardless.

Yes, I imagine it bogus, who knows where the station is, could be placed in an excessively hot area to give inflated readings. That's what drove me crazy on WU, Master's thinking the PWS were the gospel truth.

NWS Tampa...........Sat Jul 29 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Isolated to scattered thunderstorms near the coast early this
morning will develop inland by this afternoon and continue into
early this evening. Late tonight more scattered showers and
thunderstorms are expected to develop over the eastern Gulf of
Mexico and some of these will move onshore impacting areas near
the coast. Thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing
strong gusty winds...locally heavy rains and frequent deadly
lightning strikes.

...WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
Atmospheric conditions will be favorable for waterspout
development. Mariners should be on the lookout for waterspouts.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A weakening cold front will move into north Florida Sunday and
settle across the central Florida peninsula Monday into Tuesday
before drifting back north for the second of the work week. Deep
moisture in the vicinity of the boundary combined with a series
of upper level disturbances will bring rounds of showers and
thunderstorms to the region Sunday through Wednesday with heavy
rainfall likely. More typical scattered mainly afternoon and
evening thunderstorms are expected for late in the week.

...WATERSPOUT IMPACT...
For the first half of the upcoming week atmospheric conditions
will remain favorable for waterspout development. Mariners should
be on the lookout for waterspouts.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

Good Saturday Morning Folks..another day like yesterday HOT lol...but tomorrow things change with maybe Heavy rains and possible winds etc..I guess it will be like that last week when it poured rain just about every day huh......well anyway..its the weekend go out and enjoy yourselves!!...just in case I'm Perking the blogs COFFEE for when you get here..enjoy...have a great day folks!

wow Tampa Bay May...see upwards of 6 inches of rain next 5 days?.......

well no matter how much rain comes, best do yard work etc today,one chore I have to do is clean out the gutters for sure with possible heavy rains coming...otherwise I'm all set..BBL

Good morning. Forecast looks good; coffee hitting the spot. I'll take that 6 inches of rain over 3-4 days. It's needed again here. It looks like everyone should have a chance for some good rains, starting with Gomey today.

Good morning!

I'd like to see that rain, and not surprised by it since I took Monday off dammit!!

It's been hot hot hot here and we need a little cool down. :-)

I haven't been paying attention to NHC, but Largo I don't see anything on the 5 day about a system. Was there a tagged invest that got the boot?

sangria wrote:I haven't been paying attention to NHC, but Largo I don't see anything on the 5 day about a system.  Was there a tagged invest that got the boot?

good morning. yes when I checked earlier this morning the invest was gone,i guess the dry air killed it off. but yesterday it WAS tagged as an invest 97

sangria wrote:I haven't been paying attention to NHC, but Largo I don't see anything on the 5 day about a system.  Was there a tagged invest that got the boot?

There was a tagged invest but it's gone.  NHC just released their updated morning package.  A new yellow X but not tagged an invest yet.  I think it's a different system.

JRnOldsmar wrote:Good morning.  Forecast looks good; coffee hitting the spot.  I'll take that 6 inches of rain over 3-4 days.  It's needed again here.  It looks like everyone should have a chance for some good rains, starting with Gomey today.

good morning JR, yes we need the rains to return around here huh, we've been in a dry spot again.

good morning Aug, good luck with the rain up there ok.....say Aug..let us know..since your probably going to feel the effects of this coming front and storms first..let us know about winds ok...last time we got a lot of rain but hardly any wind here...hopefully This coming front is the same..dont want anyone getting any wind damage...thanks

Possible coastal convergence here overnight into tomorrow morning. I love when Jax speaks that language. Had such an event in May 2013 that dumped 9" in a day and 15" over 3 days. Not expecting that much this go around but I could always wish.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
649 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

.AVIATION [Through 12Z Sunday]...

VFR conditions to prevail at all TAF sites through the period
outside of SHRA and TSRA, with prevailing westerly winds around 10
KTS. SCT SHRA and TSRA continue to move southeast toward DHN and
ABY, likely reaching these terminals within the next 1 to 2 hours.
Activity will become more widespread between 15 to 18Z, affecting
all other terminals. Gusty winds, and reductions in CIGS and vsby
to at least MVFR conditions are expected under any storms.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [340 AM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

The cold front associated with the upper level low moving into the
Mid-Atlantic region continues to advance southward at this hour,
with scattered pre-frontal showers and weak thunderstorms ongoing
across Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia. Given the ongoing
convection advancing upon the region and increasing cloud cover
across the region, chances for severe storms today will remain
minimal. While there will be abundant moisture in place (PWATS 2
to 2.5") and moderate instability, bulk shear will remain weak and
mid- level lapse rates poor. Nonetheless, we cannot completely
rule out a strong storm capable of yielding gusty winds with any
storms that develop later this morning and this afternoon. With
such deep moisture in place, the bigger threat from these storms
will be heavy rainfall rates, particularly in the strongest storms
that develop, as precipitation efficiency will be high.

Expect shower and thunderstorms coverage to gradually decrease from
north to south this afternoon and this evening as the front sags
through the region. Afternoon high temperatures will remain in
the mid to upper 80s across much of the northwestern half of the
forecast area, with locales in the southeastern half likely
approaching or eclipsing 90 prior to showers and thunderstorms.

Will do Largo but we could possibly be dealing with two different types of weather. Front may slip south of me setting up a "local nor'easter" of sorts with storms coming in off the Atlantic while you stay south of the front with storms coming in off the Gulf.

Day 2 excessive rainfall outlook from 8 AM tomorrow to 8 AM Monday.

StAugustineFL wrote:Will do Largo but we could possibly be dealing with two different types of weather.  Front may slip south of me setting up a "local nor'easter" of sorts with storms coming in off the Atlantic while you stay south of the front with storms coming in off the Gulf.

yes I just saw this,you and WD so far better stay alert sun/Monday for any high winds etc.......

Here are days 1 and 3.

I guess we'd better watch this tail end of the coming front as it dips into the gulf..sometimes this time of year they can give us nasty surprises huh

Morning All,
I will take the rain as I only have 4.66 in the bucket for the month. Should be around 8.50 inches or so.
Anyways have a great weekend to All!!!!
John Z-hills

gee I hope some of these rainfall estimates prove true..i sure could use a real good soaking here,and it would be wonderful if it ould be spread out over days instead of all at once..im guessing if it came all at once i'd still be ok flooding wise..but what we need here is the soaking in kind, not run off