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CLOSED 8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER

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Post by sangria Sun Aug 20, 2017 10:48 am

JAX NWS doesn't have anything specific, but they do have the full time range for different locations on their eclipse page....

JAX NWS ECLIPSE PAGE
weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 VdB9Acd


Miami/South FL NWS also has the same page with areas specific to their region on their eclipse page....

MFL NWS ECLIPSE PAGE
weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 9lNwFPQ

Tampa/Ruskin NWS has the same page, in addition to a Facebook post:
US National Weather Service Tampa Bay Florida
5 hrs ยท
The countdown to the 2017 Total Solar Eclipse on Monday, August 21 continues! For West Central and Southwest Florida we will see a partial solar eclipse with maximum obscuration amounts ranging from 86% in Cheifland, Levy County, to around 78% in Fort Myers, Lee County. The time of maximum obscuration will be between about 2:45 and 2:55 PM EDT across the area. More details and safety information about the eclipse can be found on the following web page: http://www.weather.gov/source/crh/eclipse.html?sid=tbw

TBW NWS ECLIPSE PAGE
weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 HzC9kJL


MLB NWS has a graphic on their Facebook page, but no chart on their NWS page.

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 EgBs6JX


Mobile is the loser of the bunch with regards to % of obscuration, but that won't matter since Gomey is headed to KY for the event.

MOB NWS ECLIPSE
PAGE

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 PfF41gM


Last edited by sangria on Sun Aug 20, 2017 11:07 am; edited 1 time in total
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Post by StAugustineFL Sun Aug 20, 2017 11:04 am

I grabbed this off of my favorite local met Mike Buresh's page as far as the timing and such for the Jax CWA.

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 O2yblu4
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Sun Aug 20, 2017 11:12 am

Thanks for the info! I guess I should've planned ahead and bought eclipse glasses. Doubt I can find them now.

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Post by sangria Sun Aug 20, 2017 11:18 am

Not looking good for cloud cover during the eclipse in the JAX area, and bummer for the midwest which would have a great view.

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 DZF4keT
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Post by sangria Sun Aug 20, 2017 11:19 am

Billsfan, the way I look at it is..... there will be a ton of pics on social media, so I just want to see the transition of coverage without having to look directly at the sun.
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Post by StAugustineFL Sun Aug 20, 2017 11:23 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Thanks for the info! ย I guess I should've planned ahead and bought eclipse glasses. ย Doubt I can find them now.

While not as much fun here are some alternatives. You need Facebook to view the vid.

https://www.facebook.com/ActionNewsJacksonville/videos/1703787349693744/?fref=gc&hc_location=ufi
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Sun Aug 20, 2017 11:39 am

Thanks San and Aug. Yes I'm sure I'll see it over and over! .

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Post by sangria Sun Aug 20, 2017 11:47 am

HRRR Precip forecast today... hope I actually see a bit of that rain this afternoon

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 TLTlwP5
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Post by LargoFL Sun Aug 20, 2017 1:21 pm

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Miami FL
100 PM EDT SUN AUG 20 2017

FLC099-201830-
/O.CON.KMFL.FA.Y.0062.000000T0000Z-170820T1830Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Palm Beach FL-
100 PM EDT SUN AUG 20 2017

...THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
230 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY...

At 1259 PM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
heavy rain due to thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small
stream flooding in the advisory area. Over three inches of rain have
already fallen.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Boca Raton, Boynton Beach, Delray Beach, Highland Beach and Ocean
Ridge.

Additional rainfall of one to two inches is expected over the area
in the next hour. This additional rain will result in minor flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as
well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely. You can also share your report with NWS Miami on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 2653 8003 2631 8003 2632 8006 2632 8009
2633 8009 2632 8010 2633 8010 2633 8015
2653 8013

$$

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Sun Aug 20, 2017 2:15 pm

You can see the sky is black to the north of me. Sun is out here.

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Post by LargoFL Sun Aug 20, 2017 2:48 pm

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 92L_tracks_latest
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Post by LargoFL Sun Aug 20, 2017 2:49 pm

what kind of house damage comes with 45-55 mph winds sustained?
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Post by LargoFL Sun Aug 20, 2017 2:51 pm

I think this coming week I'm going to take in things outside that could blow around, don't want any broken windows etc
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Sun Aug 20, 2017 3:56 pm

I'm not trusting this 92L. It should have very conducive conditions as it nears the Bahamas. I'm not saying this will happen, but Katrina was just a wave, then a TD, then quickly became TS Katrina, and developed into a hurricane two hours east of Florida. It caught many off guard, caused widespread damage (mostly trees but still) We lost power for 6 days.

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Post by LargoFL Sun Aug 20, 2017 4:38 pm

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:I'm not trusting this 92L. ย It should have very conducive conditions as it nears the Bahamas. I'm not saying this will happen, ย but Katrina was just a wave, then a TD, then quickly became TS Katrina, and developed into a hurricane two hours east of Florida. ย  It caught many off guard, caused widespread damage (mostly trees but still) ย  We lost power for 6 days. ย 
yes I'm not taking my eyes off it Billsfan...lets see what the models say tomorrow..i just don't like the tracks today.
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Sun Aug 20, 2017 4:55 pm

Yes and correct, it could dissipate or do numerous other things.
I'm just not trusting it for some reason.

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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 5:33 am

Billsfan,so far it looks like maybe a weak TS coming ashore down there.................................................weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 Aal92_2017082106_track_early
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 5:37 am

well up to 40% now,guess i'll begin preparing for a TS..weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 Two_atl_5d0
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 5:43 am

Good Monday Morning Folks..so the track of 92 hasn't really changed in a couple of days now,so maybe it IS coming to florida..for myself I'm preparing for a TS, doesn't matter if it DOES come..i was ready huh....still a few days away yet...................well anyway...I just got one lil sprinkle of rain yesterday..lasted a whole minute lol....but with 92 coming I guess rain chances will be going up thru this week....OH and I want to wish those looking at or going to..the eclipse area..good luck..and protect the eyes folks............................well Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here..enjoy..have a great day everyone!
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 5:49 am

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 P120i
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 8:03 am

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 Gem_z850_vort_watl_21
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 8:45 am

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 Lg_spaghetti2
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 8:48 am

I somehow cant explain why...no NWS in florida is mentioning 92l other than a slight possible strengthening over the days to come...IF it does go fast to TS or higher..a lot of people on the east coast might get caught off guard huh
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Post by waterdipper Mon Aug 21, 2017 9:02 am

LargoFL wrote:I somehow cant explain why...no NWS in florida is mentioning 92l other than a slight possible strengthening over the days to come...IF it does go fast to TS or higher..a lot of people on the east coast might get caught off guard huh

Largo, in reading the NWS Ruskin scientific forecast, it seems they think that 92L will not develop into much, but really help to increase the moisture at the end of the week going into the weekend. A front will sag southward into the peninsula late in the week and really help wring the moisture out. Hopefully it will bring you the rain you have been looking for. I on the other hand am ready for an end to the rainy season. It has been rainy here since late July and I would gladly take some drier air and maybe some cooler conditions. Sometimes they occur here in September, but normally we don't see a big change until October.

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Mon Aug 21, 2017 9:21 am

LargoFL wrote:I somehow cant explain why...no NWS in florida is mentioning 92l other than a slight possible strengthening over the days to come...IF it does go fast to TS or higher..a lot of people on the east coast might get caught off guard huh

everyone is obsessed with the eclipse! Cool

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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 9:24 am

waterdipper wrote:
LargoFL wrote:I somehow cant explain why...no NWS in florida is mentioning 92l other than a slight possible strengthening over the days to come...IF it does go fast to TS or higher..a lot of people on the east coast might get caught off guard huh

Largo, in reading the NWS Ruskin scientific forecast, it seems they think that 92L will not develop into much, but really help to increase the moisture at the end of the week going into the weekend. A front will sag southward into the peninsula late in the week and really help wring the moisture out. Hopefully it will bring you the rain you have been looking for. I on the other hand am ready for an end to the rainy season. It has been rainy here since late July and I would gladly take some drier air and maybe some cooler conditions. Sometimes they occur here in September, but normally we don't see a big change until October.
good Morning WD, yeah your area sure has been getting pounded with rain for sure..and for me its a kinda dry rainy season so far..yeah we did get days where it rained,but far more sunny and hot days inbetween..well we cant have it good all the time huh...good luck getting some dry days up there ok.
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 9:25 am

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 Gem_mslp_uv850_92L_18
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 9:27 am

ok so this mornings CMC run has 92 come into south florida,cross over to the gulf..strengthen some then comes back into gulf side under tampa bay and cross over to the atlantic again...stay tuned and alert this week folks.
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 9:32 am

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 Rgem_mslp_wind_us_17
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 9:35 am

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 92L_intensity_latest
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:56 am

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 Clark10latest
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 10:58 am

well so far this morning, the likelihood of 92 going to tropical storm...................weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 Clarki10latest
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:00 am

well we have today-Tuesday and possibly Wednesday to see any model changes..one site is saying 92 could speed up and come in Tuesday sometime.....that would be good..no time to build up strengeth..now if..it decides to slow down or stall a day over that very warm gulf stream current between florida and the bahama's..look out.
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:03 am

folks I need to say this..what I'm posting is my own view of things and NOT..official forecast in any way ok....myself I'm thinking this goes to TS over florida...and its what I prepared for...most likely it wont but just in case..im ready...I guess i'll take in things that can blow around outside..other than that..i'll see what happens
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:47 am

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 Aal92_2017082112_track_early
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:51 am

Billsfan....so far...most of the models that bring 92L ashore..bring in into or near your area...so if you can..when and IF this happens...IF you can..let us know how it is?....hopefully the tracks will change over the next day or so..i'll keep posting the tracks etc...and so far..no NWS or NHC warnings or even mention it coming ashore here ok...lets see what they are saying tomorrow etc...good luck down there ok.
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 11:52 am

yeah most of the intensity models so far bring it up to TS strength in about 36 hours...but this can surely change...stay tuned.
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:21 pm

LargoFL wrote:Billsfan....so far...most of the models that bring 92L ashore..bring in into or near your area...so if you can..when and IF this happens...IF you can..let us know how it is?....hopefully the tracks will change over the next day or so..i'll keep posting the tracks etc...and so far..no NWS or NHC warnings or even mention it coming ashore here ok...lets see what they are saying tomorrow etc...good luck down there ok.

Will do Largo. Thanks for keeping track. I too am thinking the worst scenario that is would stall in between us and Bahamas. I have plenty of food and water, the only thing we do not have is generator gas.

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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:31 pm

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:
LargoFL wrote:Billsfan....so far...most of the models that bring 92L ashore..bring in into or near your area...so if you can..when and IF this happens...IF you can..let us know how it is?....hopefully the tracks will change over the next day or so..i'll keep posting the tracks etc...and so far..no NWS or NHC warnings or even mention it coming ashore here ok...lets see what they are saying tomorrow etc...good luck down there ok.

Will do Largo. Thanks for keeping track. ย I too am thinking the worst scenario that is would stall in between us and Bahamas. ย  I have plenty of food and water, the only thing we do not have is generator gas. ย 
ok its good your ready and prepared..hopefully at worst by you it would be a weak TS..i guess you can handle that...what I'm worried about..is if it gets into the gulf and builds up then comes ashore here and crosses back to the atlantic.....we'll see how this plays out next few days..i'll keep watching the models and should it build..i'll for sure post it ok...stay safe my friend.
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:32 pm

from mikes weather page................Invest 92 making a beeline towards Florida. Crossover seems likely. Starting to pop some convection. Needs time though to form. Maybe as it passes over South Florida and the Florida west coast it has a better shot. We will know soon. www.spaghettimodels.com / Mikes Weather
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:34 pm

LOL funny thing is about 92L..none of the "experts" know how strong 92L will be..all guesswork so far...will it speed up?..will it slow down or stall...no one knows gee..my guess is we..will know better tomorrow.
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 12:35 pm

for myself I'm expecting heavy rains..along with some strong wind gusts...hopefully no Hurricane force wind gusts..its the huge tree's around me I'm worrying about...and yeah I guess power outages could happen..maybe...and then again it IS possible it never does form and stays just a wave with some rain huh.
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:00 pm

Latest CMC has TS-92 coming ashore tues evening, crosses florida to the gulf,then comes back across Fla..still a TS into ATL and developes into a Hurricane..goes up the coast and into the Carolina's as a hurricane...its the CMC I'm watching for sure...GFS and Euro cant seem to get their act together with this storm...stay alert folks next few days ok.
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:00 pm

weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 Gem_mslp_uv850_us_29
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:02 pm

so CMC has 92 fooling with us from tues all the way to the following Monday whew..sure hope its wrong huh
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:07 pm

man I sure wish CMC is dead wrong with 92..we do Not need this here...............................weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 Gem_mslp_uv850_92L_18
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:15 pm

it could be..tomorrow Billsfan unless it slows down some huh..........................................weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 Rb-animated
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:18 pm

one thing is kinda certain, south florida will get some much needed rainfall if this does come ashore.
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Post by sangria Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:34 pm

If y'all don't have the link, this is the NASA streaming page. It is pretty cool....

https://www.nasa.gov/eclipselive/#NASA+TV+Public+Channel
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Post by LargoFL Mon Aug 21, 2017 1:47 pm

some good storms up in Aug's area right now................................................weather - CLOSED  8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER - Page 7 1503333841
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