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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:07 am

WELCOME TO OUR NEW FLORIDA BLOG.
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:10 am

This system already up to 70% chance of development over 5 days..need to watch this one..CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG Two_atl_5d0
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:17 am

Looks like we might have Irma soon. Then Jose down the road.
thanks for the new blog Largo.

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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:20 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Looks like we might have Irma soon.  Then Jose down the road.  
thanks for the new blog Largo.
good morning Billsfan, yes looks like the tropics getting active alright.
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:22 am

1. A tropical wave and associated low pressure area located just
offshore of the coast of western Africa is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms. This system has become better organized
since yesterday, and a tropical depression could form in a few days
over the eastern Atlantic. The low is forecast to move westward at
15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic during the next several
days. Regardless of development, heavy rain is possible in
portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:26 am

I'm assuming Levi has the potential storm coming across from Africa as 93L............CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG 93L_intensity_latest
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:28 am

yes the storm off Africa IS 93L...............................................................CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG 93L_gefs_latest
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:31 am

and September is just a few days away.tropical season peak is closing in also......CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG September
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:36 am

Can you Believe 12Z GFS with Harvey???...reforming in the gulf again possibly??...........CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG Gfs_mslp_uv850_watl_5
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:45 am

CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG 151548_earliest_reasonable_toa_34
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 11:59 am

St Pete, these gulf storms heading NE towards you in a lil while, good luck rain wise...CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG 1503935641
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:00 pm

well by me, only had a quick shower earlier,maybe more coming this afternoon
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:14 pm

FEMA may be In Texas for years dealing with Harvey's aftermath and destruction..its an Historic event the will take a long time to recover from...
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:28 pm

and CMC model is hinting at a wave train coming across from Africa..stay tuned....CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG Gem_mslp_uv850_atltropics_32
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:33 pm

old 92 now 10.....................The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Ten, located off the southeast U.S. coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:05 pm

eastern south Carolina may want to watch out for Flooding too.................................CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG 205404WPCQPF_sm
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:08 pm

A friend of mine that lives in Arcadia FL are flooded. They cannot get off of their property.

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:11 pm

LargoFL wrote:FEMA may be In Texas for years dealing with Harvey's aftermath and destruction..its an Historic event the will take a long time to recover from...

It's just awful what's going on there. Not sure if it is true or a photo shopped picture, but I saw dozens and dozens of City busses just sitting there, probably under water and ruined. I hope that is not the case, the busses should have been relocated to higher ground I would hope!

It's awful telling people not to go into their attics, go on their roofs with so many tornados being spawned. So sad Crying or Very sad

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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:28 pm

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:
LargoFL wrote:FEMA may be In Texas for years dealing with Harvey's aftermath and destruction..its an Historic event the will take a long time to recover from...

It's just awful what's going on there.  Not sure if it is true or a photo shopped picture, but I saw dozens and dozens of City busses just sitting there, probably under water and ruined.  I hope that is not the case, the busses should have been relocated to higher ground I would hope!

It's awful telling people not to go into their attics, go on their roofs with so many tornados being spawned.  So sad Crying or Very sad
yes its horrible alright..one news report about 30,000 people in shelters geez....saw one pic of a Tractor trailer floating down a street..can you imagine? gee..damage way well be in the many billions whew. and...its FAR from being over!...if that happened here in florida..they just might as well make the whole state a national park..wouldn't be much left.
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:29 pm

for myself I'm keeping a very good eye on the tracks of this 93l..which models say could be a hurricane this coming week..i sure hope it turns northward away from florida.
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:53 pm

keep a real good eye on this 93L..sure hope it turns away from Florida................CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG Ecmwf_mslp_uv850_watl_10
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:55 pm

well still a week and a half away from the islands..its just the long range tracks..they can surely change thru the next week or so.
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:58 pm

good GFS has it recurve up the east coast..so far anyway,cant trust long range model runs..CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG Gfs_mslp_uv850_atl_48
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 3:02 pm

93L...A tropical wave and associated low pressure area located a few
hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions
are conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form
in two or three days over the eastern Atlantic. The low is forecast
to move westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic during
the next several days. Regardless of development, heavy rain is
possible in portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Mon Aug 28, 2017 3:11 pm

Ok, this is what I cannot stand. The Governor ( who I really like), FEMA etc... all patting each other on the back, telling each other how great they are, and what a wonderful job they're doing. It's your JOB, just go do it.

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Post by StPeteFLwx on Mon Aug 28, 2017 3:35 pm

Looks like feeder bands setting up for the low up north
CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG Wasp2

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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:13 pm

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Ok, this is what I cannot stand.  The Governor ( who I really like), FEMA etc... all patting each other on the back, telling each other how great they are, and what a wonderful job they're doing.  It's your JOB, just go do it.  
yes indeed...and 30,000 plus in shelters..where were the evac orders etc...over 3,000 water recues and the list goes on huh
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:14 pm

StPeteFLwx wrote:Looks like feeder bands setting up for the low up north
CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG Wasp2
yeah st pete..looks like the training storms will be up here thru tonight etc..hope its nothing like what Manatee county got last few days huh.
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:17 pm

John..looks like your in the money rainwise today up in Zhills area...hope no roads flooding up there..be careful driving tomorrow morning ok.CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG 1503950701
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:18 pm

anyone have any flooded roadways etc near you?
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:20 pm

oh oh..just saw this on baynews9's site,im IN this whew.....................ST. PETERSBURG -- 
UPDATE - 3:05 p.m.
Flood advisories have been issued for the following areas until 4:45 p.m. -
Pasco County, Hernando County, North & Central Pinellas County, Northwestern Polk County, Northeastern Hillsborough County
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:21 pm

Flood Advisory

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
253 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2017

FLC053-057-101-103-105-119-282045-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FA.Y.0062.170828T1853Z-170828T2045Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sumter FL-Pasco FL-Hernando FL-Pinellas FL-Polk FL-Hillsborough FL-
253 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2017

The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for Poor Drainage Areas
for...
Southern Sumter County in central Florida...
Pasco County in west central Florida...
Hernando County in west central Florida...
North central Pinellas County in west central Florida...
Northwestern Polk County in central Florida...
Northeastern Hillsborough County in west central Florida...

* Until 445 PM EDT

* At 252 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding.
Overflowing poor drainage areas will result in minor flooding in
the advisory area. Up to two inches of rain have already fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Spring Hill, New Port Richey, Zephyrhills, Brooksville, Dade City,
Bushnell, Hudson, Lutz, Holiday, St. Leo, Weeki Wachee,
Hillsborough River State Park, New Port Richey East, South
Brooksville, Zephyrhills South, North Brooksville, Zephyrhills
West, Land O Lakes and Hernando County Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 2847 8273 2877 8195 2835 8196 2835 8193
2811 8195 2809 8288

$$
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Post by StAugustineFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:28 pm

Thanks for the new page Largo.

Looks like a wet evening for many along the WCFL coast. Hope it falls over the areas that need it and not over those who had 6-12" over the weekend.

Relatively overcast here all day with a slight drizzle several hours ago. Temps were only in the low to mid 80's which is pleasant for late August.
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Post by StAugustineFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:30 pm

CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG MlSY74G
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Post by StPeteFLwx on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:37 pm

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Ok, this is what I cannot stand.  The Governor ( who I really like), FEMA etc... all patting each other on the back, telling each other how great they are, and what a wonderful job they're doing.  It's your JOB, just go do it.  

Saw on the news before Harvey made landfall the mayor of one coast town say he was not going to order mandatory evacuation because he didn't want to have to drag people out of their homes. Unfortunately that is what they are having to do now, except with boats and helicopters

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Post by JRnOldsmar on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:47 pm

Finally getting some rains from PTC 10/92L/trough.  Over an inch and climbing.

Those rains south of the bay are not really needed at this time, I don't think.

And that was the Corpus Christi mayor the refused to order mandatory evac's.  They did not get the rain/flooding that Houston got, or the winds/surge that came in to their north.


Last edited by JRnOldsmar on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:50 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:47 pm

StAugustineFL wrote:Thanks for the new page Largo.  

Looks like a wet evening for many along the WCFL coast.  Hope it falls over the areas that need it and not over those who had 6-12" over the weekend.

Relatively overcast here all day with a slight drizzle several hours ago.  Temps were only in the low to mid 80's which is pleasant for late August.
ok Aug...raining heavy by me right now..this must be from that second Low that broke off from the old 92 and stayed over on the gulf side.
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:48 pm

CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG 1503953041
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:50 pm

Flood Advisory

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
433 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2017

FLC057-081-103-115-282230-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FA.Y.0063.170828T2033Z-170828T2230Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Manatee FL-Pinellas FL-Hillsborough FL-Sarasota FL-
433 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2017

The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for Poor Drainage Areas
for...
Manatee County in west central Florida...
Pinellas County in west central Florida...
Hillsborough County in west central Florida...
Northwestern Sarasota County in west central Florida...

* Until 630 PM EDT

* At 432 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain causing urban and
small stream flooding. Overflowing poor drainage areas will result
in minor flooding in the advisory area. Up to two inches of rain
have already fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Tampa, Clearwater, Largo, Sarasota, Bradenton, Pinellas Park, Plant
City, Temple Terrace, Seminole, Palmetto, Downtown Saint
Petersburg, Fort Desoto Park, Fish Hawk, Saint Petersburg, Lutz,
Brandon, St. Petersburg, St. Pete Beach, Anna Maria and Palm
Harbor.

Additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches is expected over the area. This
additional rain will result in minor flooding.

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Post by LargoFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:52 pm

well time for me to say good night folks...stay safe out there ok..
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Post by StAugustineFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 5:09 pm

JRnOldsmar wrote:Finally getting some rains from PTC 10/92L/trough.  Over an inch and climbing.

Those rains south of the bay are not really needed at this time, I don't think.

And that was the Corpus Christi mayor the refused to order mandatory evac's.  They did not get the rain/flooding that Houston got, or the winds/surge that came in to their north.

Good deal. Your area has missed out lately. Maybe you get to 2"+ Good totals without any local concerns.

Jax says the trough axis extending across the Bay region lifts north tomorrow as PTC 10 lifts out. Fingers crossed for a good rain event. While not in dire straights here for rain by any means it has been somewhat of a dud rainy season in these parts. I haven't had a day with 1" all month which is somewhat unusual for August.
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Post by sangria on Mon Aug 28, 2017 5:33 pm

Afternoon all!

Thanks for the new blog Largo - I'll go shut the other one down.

The Houston Mayor is going to get trashed big time. He refused to do any evacs, knowing the forecast for rainfall was going to be catastrophic. He's an idiot!!

Glad you got some rain JR, I was sitting on the railroad tracks this afternoon and have 1.73" in the gauge right now.

Ruskin shows the long term getting back into the normal pattern after PTC 10/trough lifts out. And might I add that I HATE that new designation! You want to call it that fine, but don't put "TEN" on the NHC TWO. That is very deceiving!!
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Post by StAugustineFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 5:36 pm

sangria wrote:Afternoon all!

Thanks for the new blog Largo - I'll go shut the other one down.

The Houston Mayor is going to get trashed big time.  He refused to do any evacs, knowing the forecast for rainfall was going to be catastrophic.  He's an idiot!!

Glad you got some rain JR, I was sitting on the railroad tracks this afternoon and have 1.73" in the gauge right now.

Ruskin shows the long term getting back into the normal pattern after PTC 10/trough lifts out.  And might I add that I HATE that new designation!  You want to call it that fine, but don't put "TEN" on the NHC TWO.  That is very deceiving!!

How about NINE or ELEVEN? jail


Last edited by StAugustineFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 5:37 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Post by sangria on Mon Aug 28, 2017 5:36 pm

rjla67 wrote:CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG X12
Storms keep on setting up in South Pasco County on Sunday

I just had to bring this over to the new blog.  rjla, that was a beautiful pic!!
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Post by sangria on Mon Aug 28, 2017 5:37 pm

StAugustineFL wrote:
sangria wrote:Afternoon all!

Thanks for the new blog Largo - I'll go shut the other one down.

The Houston Mayor is going to get trashed big time.  He refused to do any evacs, knowing the forecast for rainfall was going to be catastrophic.  He's an idiot!!

Glad you got some rain JR, I was sitting on the railroad tracks this afternoon and have 1.73" in the gauge right now.

Ruskin shows the long term getting back into the normal pattern after PTC 10/trough lifts out.  And might I add that I HATE that new designation!  You want to call it that fine, but don't put "TEN" on the NHC TWO.  That is very deceiving!!

How about NINE or ELEVEN?  

e slap e slap e slap ASS
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Post by JRnOldsmar on Mon Aug 28, 2017 5:48 pm

Good luck there, Aug. Mets here are saying the same.

1.6 here. A few sprinkles might linger.

You see any cool front making it down by week's end? I know I'm fishin' but am putting on a bbq at the parents' place (Jax) on Saturday. it sure would be nice. Smile
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Post by sangria on Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:11 pm

I'd be willing to bet that everyone here would think this pic was from Houston....   NOPE , try Manatee county

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Post by StAugustineFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:17 pm

Looks like typical late summer weather JR. 90'ish give or take a couple degrees for highs, mid 70's for lows, chance of rain.

That's a lot of water san. I see StPete is in the firehose of moisture for the time being.
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Post by JRnOldsmar on Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:27 pm

Thanks, Aug. As expected. Wink
I do like your morning lows though. They're a bit better for a morning walk. 79-80 is about the norm here.
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Post by StAugustineFL on Mon Aug 28, 2017 6:36 pm

Rain seems to have hit the brakes in southern Pinellas and redeveloping back to the north.  Another round?  

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