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CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Mon Oct 16, 2017 6:10 am

NWS Tampa....Mon Oct 16 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered thunderstorms will develop today, mainly during the mid
to late afternoon hours and will linger into the evening. Gusty
winds and occasional lightning will be possible with any storms
that develop.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
Flooding continues along the Withlacoochee River at Holder and
Dunnellon. This flooding is forecast to continue through at least
the end of the upcoming week. Should any heavy rainfall occur,
flooding may worsen or be prolonged.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Mon Oct 16, 2017 6:15 am

Good Monday Morning folks!....I had a good 10 minute Down pouring rain last night, didn't last long at all but it was some much needed rain here..NWS is mentioning good chances of those afternoon/evening showers as this coming weak front stalls out over florida, tomorrow I guess they said for central florida etc....one thing I want to mention..several model's are hinting at a LOW in the gulf around the 25th and this time of year every low in the gulf needs to be watched huh...well have a great day everyone!

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Mon Oct 16, 2017 8:16 am

well it seems like the Blog is dying out here..from now on I'm only posting my area weather..folks post about Your area weather ok..if that doesn't work..well......

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Mon Oct 16, 2017 8:45 am

LargoFL wrote:Good Monday Morning folks!....I had a good 10 minute Down pouring rain last night, didn't last long at all but it was some much needed rain here..NWS is mentioning good chances of those afternoon/evening showers as this coming weak front stalls out over florida, tomorrow I guess they said for central florida etc....one thing I want to mention..several model's are hinting at a LOW in the gulf around the 25th and this time of year every low in the gulf needs to be watched huh...well have a great day everyone!


Thanks Largo. I sure hope nothing gets down in the Gulf this time of year. Can you post a model?

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Mon Oct 16, 2017 8:46 am

LargoFL wrote:well it seems like the Blog is dying out here..from now on I'm only posting my area weather..folks post about Your area weather ok..if that doesn't work..well......

Well Largo I look forward to your updates. Sorry I haven't been more of a participant, just been so busy since the storm, and issues at home and work.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Mon Oct 16, 2017 1:26 pm

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:
LargoFL wrote:Good Monday Morning folks!....I had a good 10 minute Down pouring rain last night, didn't last long at all but it was some much needed rain here..NWS is mentioning good chances of those afternoon/evening showers as this coming weak front stalls out over florida, tomorrow I guess they said for central florida etc....one thing I want to mention..several model's are hinting at a LOW in the gulf around the 25th and this time of year every low in the gulf needs to be watched huh...well have a great day everyone!


Thanks Largo.  I sure hope nothing gets down in the Gulf this time of year.  Can you post a model?

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Mon Oct 16, 2017 1:30 pm

Aug, you might want to keep a good eye on this Low at the end of this month........

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Mon Oct 16, 2017 1:31 pm

it seems to me some weak Caribbean LOW gets mixed on the tail end of a front and boom..still far out in time..we'll see what develope's in a week or so.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Mon Oct 16, 2017 2:10 pm

Thanks Largo!!!

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Mon Oct 16, 2017 2:13 pm

It's been complete sunshine all day.(over 90) Now there's one cloud overhead and we are getting a sun shower (sun is still basically out)... That should do wonders for the humidity.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Mon Oct 16, 2017 3:58 pm

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:It's been complete sunshine all day.(over 90)  Now there's one cloud overhead and we are getting a sun shower (sun is still basically out)... That should do wonders for the humidity.
yes suns full out here by me,tomorrow we all deal with this front coming downstate..supposedly stalling out somewhere giving most of us a better chjance at rain.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Mon Oct 16, 2017 4:00 pm

Billsfan..I just checked the CMC model..it has the Caribbean LOW either going thru the straights down there or crossing south Florida about the 25th or so

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Mon Oct 16, 2017 4:00 pm

here is the CMC model's latest run....................................

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Mon Oct 16, 2017 4:01 pm

well we have 8-9-10 days to watch this..plenty of time for tracks to change huh

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Mon Oct 16, 2017 4:17 pm

I hate storms that form down there in October. Usually all pathways lead to Florida. I sure hope not!

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Mon Oct 16, 2017 4:37 pm

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:I hate storms that form down there in October.  Usually all pathways lead to Florida.  I sure hope not!
yes OCT is the month I always watch any LOW's in the gulf..we'll see what happens..plenty of time yet for changes...guess i'll say goodnight...our night crew should be getting home soon lol...dunno what happened to all our posters here..guess I was posting way too much,they just gave up..i'll be taking it easier from now on ok..thanks

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Mon Oct 16, 2017 5:21 pm

No way Largo, it's not because of you. I'm guessing people are just busy, or maybe they aren't used to change and stuck with WU or found a different weather site. It's not because you're posting too much.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by StAugustineFL on Mon Oct 16, 2017 5:36 pm

LargoFL wrote:well it seems like the Blog is dying out here..from now on I'm only posting my area weather..folks post about Your area weather ok..if that doesn't work..well......

Busy stretch at work here Largo. I try to pop on when I can but work/life schedule doesn't always permit. I'm sure many others would say the same. The calendar is transitioning to the time of year the tropics are winding down, holidays are approaching, etc... Preferences tend to shift during the "off season"

I find this site to have near/as much participation as Scott's old WU page.

My near term forecast. We shall see if boom or bust! "A cold front will move southeastward through our region overnight, bringing numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms to much of southeast Georgia and northeast Florida. The front will push south of our area before sunrise on Tuesday, with a much cooler air mass settling over our region as strong high pressure builds over the Mid- Atlantic region and expands southward down the southeastern seaboard. Small Craft Advisories will go into effect this evening, and windy conditions can be expected in the northeast Florida and southeast Georgia coastal counties from late tonight through at least Wednesday night. Bands of training showers and embedded thunderstorms will move onshore, mainly over coastal northeast Florida, with widespread rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches expected from Mayport southward. Local totals up to 4 inches will be possible along portions of coastal St. Johns and Flagler Counties. High and rough surf will develop later tonight, with a high risk of rip currents expected at area beaches. Coastal flooding and beach erosion will be possible during times of high tide beginning on Tuesday morning, and these conditions could persist through Thursday along the southeast Georgia and northeast Florida coasts. Flooding could also increase along the St. Johns River Basin in northeast Florida by midweek."

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:54 am

NWS Tampa....................Tue Oct 17 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered thunderstorms will develop today, mainly during the mid
to late afternoon hours and will linger into the evening. Gusty
winds and occasional lightning will be possible with any storms
that develop.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
High pressure building in north of the waters today will produce
breezy easterly winds, with Small Craft Exercise Caution level
winds possibly increasing to Small Craft Advisory levels by this
evening.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
Flooding continues along the Withlacoochee River at Holder and
Dunnellon. This flooding is forecast to continue through at least
the end of the week. Should any heavy rainfall occur, flooding
may worsen or be prolonged.

LargoFL

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:57 am

Good Tuesday Morning Folks!..well everything is sort of wet outside by me and its starting to sprinkle right now..front must be slowly pushing downstate..I guess its going to be One of Those days..maybe on and off showers with a lil wind.....well have a great day everyone!

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:58 am


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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 5:01 am


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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 5:04 am


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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 7:10 am

no real rain here yet but..alot of Lightning and some thunder now here............

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 8:00 am

well this front is supposed to stall out here over central florida,guess we get this on and off sprinkles etc for a day or so.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 8:05 am

some good news, models have changed on this mornings runs..now that Caribbean LOW crosses Cuba out into the atlantic end of OCT..but i'll keep following it..still a long time yet for more changes.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 8:33 am


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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 8:41 am

well almost 8 45 am and light rain has finally found me lol..the good kind of rain, the soaking in kind.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by JRnOldsmar on Tue Oct 17, 2017 9:51 am

LargoFL wrote:well almost 8 45 am and light rain has finally found me lol..the good kind of rain, the soaking in kind.

Good morning, Largo. Got a steady soaking half inch this morning at the homestead. I actually slept in a bit, to listen to the rain, as the morning walk was off the table. Smile We could use a rainy day.

I appreciate all of your updates. It's been really busy here since Irma blasted through.
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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 9:57 am

JRnOldsmar wrote:
LargoFL wrote:well almost 8 45 am and light rain has finally found me lol..the good kind of rain, the soaking in kind.

Good morning, Largo.  Got a steady soaking half inch this morning at the homestead.  I actually slept in a bit, to listen to the rain, as the morning walk was off the table.  Smile  We could use a rainy day.

I appreciate all of your updates.  It's been really busy here since Irma blasted through.
good morning JR..yes we sure needed this rainy day,everything outside is soaking wet...finally LOL

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 9:58 am

St.Pete..looks like the light rain has found you also down there..might be like this for a day or so as the front stalls over us here.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 9:58 am


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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 10:39 am

wow a couple of hours ago..the temp here by me was 67 degree's!!!..its about 10 40am and still its only 72 degree's!!..oh boy I wish this would stay around for awhile

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 11:03 am

gee back down to 69 degree's here..yessssss!!.........................................

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Tue Oct 17, 2017 1:11 pm

Lucky you on those temps Largo!! woo hoo!

I can't wait for our turn.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:14 pm

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Lucky you on those temps Largo!!  woo hoo!

I can't wait for our turn.
yes it was an overcast breezy damp day here but somewhat cool too..actually feels like Fall!!

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:15 pm


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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:16 pm

yeah still only 73 here by me...sun never had a chance here today..so far anyway..

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:19 pm

ok here is...the Caribbean LOW I'm watching closely next few weeks..............

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:21 pm

CMC is a few days earlier,still time for track changes,keep a close watch on it.................

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:23 pm

so GFS and CMC bring it over cuba and goes to hurricane looks like but moves out into the atlantic..so far anyway..now yesterday's runs brought it into Florida..so we watch and wait..i don't trust October storms at all.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:25 pm

Navy model also is picking up on it in its early stages around the 25th...............

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:30 pm

yes cool and a bit windy up around Aug's area too..................................

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by StAugustineFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:54 pm

Good afternoon. Thanks for the updates Largo. Yep, cloudy and cool here today. Got to turn off the AC and open the slider all day. First time since probably April.

The front must have dipped south a little quicker than forecast. Today was forecast to be a washout but no rain at all. It did rain an inch overnight.
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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by StAugustineFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 5:19 pm

Looking quite wet for much of the eastern US the next week. A good majority of the rain in this forecast is in the 6-7 day period.



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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 6:06 pm

StAugustineFL wrote:Good afternoon.  Thanks for the updates Largo.  Yep, cloudy and cool here today.  Got to turn off the AC and open the slider all day.  First time since probably April.

The front must have dipped south a little quicker than forecast.  Today was forecast to be a washout but no rain at all.  It did rain an inch overnight.
that's good Aug..only got .15 here..mostly sprinkles etc then about a half hour of real light rain in the morning, still breezy and overcast here and oh so cool!! yeah feels real nice for a change huh.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 6:07 pm

StAugustineFL wrote:Looking quite wet for much of the eastern US the next week.  A good majority of the rain in this forecast is in the 6-7 day period.

yeah I think another front comes next Monday or so..hope it also brings cool temps.


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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Tue Oct 17, 2017 6:08 pm

well good night folks..up early again tomorrow am....stay safe out there.

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 18, 2017 6:19 am


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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 18, 2017 6:22 am

Good Wednesday Morning folks!...well its COOL outside here this morning, feels wonderful but..we all know it wont last huh...low rain chances next few days,...NWS says rain chances go up beginning Saturday into next week....long term there is a cold front coming knocking our high temps down into the 70's..fall is coming folks.........well have a great day!!

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Re: CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

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