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» Hurricane Season 2020
CLOSED May Blog:  Higher Temps, Higher Dew Points, Higher Irritability - Page 8 EmptySat Aug 22, 2020 9:09 am by BillsfaninSoFla

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» April-May Florida weather and local events etc
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» NASCAR 2019
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» Late January through February outlook
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CLOSED May Blog: Higher Temps, Higher Dew Points, Higher Irritability

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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 8:58 am

CLOSED May Blog:  Higher Temps, Higher Dew Points, Higher Irritability - Page 8 20181351042_GOES16-ABI-se-13-600x600
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 9:00 am

(clipped) NWS Melbourne.............Tue May 15 2018

.NOW...
A deep fetch of tropical moisture across east central Florida
will lead to another day of high rain chances with showers and
storms developing by late morning into the afternoon hours.
Numerous showers and isolated lightning storms will produce
locally heavy rainfall amounts today to 2 to 3 inches in areas
where showers and storms storms train over the same areas. The
rainfall may produce minor flooding of roadways and poor drainage
areas. A few storms may become strong with gusty winds. Initial
development of showers and isolated storms is expected along the
coast into early afternoon and then will transition farther inland
during the late afternoon hours. Highs will reach the lower 80s
along the immediate coast to the mid 80s across the interior.

$$


15
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 9:02 am

well no rain by my area yet,but sure is overcast up above,must be alot of moisture up there.
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 9:05 am

CLOSED May Blog:  Higher Temps, Higher Dew Points, Higher Irritability - Page 8 Fl_rain_today
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 9:07 am

well it seems we all in Florida have at least a 50% or higher chance for getting more rain today..good luck to those who need the rain badly.
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Post by PuppyToes Tue May 15, 2018 9:18 am

Morning. Coffee smells good today, thanks Largo. CoCo says we got .75 yesterday and we’ll take it. I must say I’m a bit disappointed considering all the hype in the models but there’s more to come. Also that pesky storm keeps showing up on the models as well. It’s so far out at this time it’s more of a watch and see.
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Tue May 15, 2018 9:22 am

PuppyToes wrote:Hey Bills, I agree with you 1000%. How much rain did you get?


Hey there PT! I got "exactly" two inches on my old fashioned Lowe's gauge.

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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 9:43 am

PuppyToes wrote:Morning. Coffee smells good today, thanks Largo. CoCo says we got .75 yesterday and we’ll take it. I must say I’m a bit disappointed considering all the hype in the models but there’s more to come. Also that pesky storm keeps showing up on the models as well. It’s so far out at this time it’s more of a watch and see.
Hi PT..yeah Coffee came out great this morning lol..we should be getting some more rain later this afternoon they are saying,good luck there ok!!
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 9:43 am

CLOSED May Blog:  Higher Temps, Higher Dew Points, Higher Irritability - Page 8 Image1
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 10:11 am

CLOSED May Blog:  Higher Temps, Higher Dew Points, Higher Irritability - Page 8 Rain_hillsbourgh
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 10:13 am

breeze's are getting a bit stronger here in my area, and sun's peeking thru the dense overcast which may provide more lift for the showers later today.
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 10:26 am

I think Doc's Blog has this right,rainfall wise thru this event....................................CLOSED May Blog:  Higher Temps, Higher Dew Points, Higher Irritability - Page 8 Precip-may13
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Tue May 15, 2018 10:33 am

That's a lot of rain nationwide!

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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 11:00 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:That's a lot of rain nationwide!
yes Im just hoping those area's in drought get some of that rain.
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Post by severstorm Tue May 15, 2018 11:02 am

PuppyToes wrote:Hey Bills, I agree with you 1000%. How much rain did you get?

I ALSO AGREE WITH BILLS 1000%
People need to pay attention and stock up on things when you know what MIGHT be coming.

How much rain did you get puppytoes?
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 11:02 am

well partial sunshine here by me, which means some daytime heating, I wonder if there will be thunder boomers here later today...almost got a thunderstorm here last evening.. heard the booms but it never reached me here.
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Post by StPeteFLwx Tue May 15, 2018 11:04 am

Got about 1.5" out of the Low here in St. Pete, but all clear today
CLOSED May Blog:  Higher Temps, Higher Dew Points, Higher Irritability - Page 8 Snapshot

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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 11:06 am

NWS MIAMI UPDATE..........BILLSFAN ...........................
This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: There is a moderate risk of rip currents along the
Atlantic beaches of South Florida.

Thunderstorms: Showers and thunderstorms are forecast to develop
across South Florida late morning through this evening. The primary
hazards will be lightning, strong winds, hail, and the potential for
heavy rainfall.

Tornadoes: Isolated stronger thunderstorms could produce funnel
clouds and weak tornadoes.

Waterspouts: Isolated waterspouts will be possible over all South
Florida waters.

Wind: 45 to 55 mph wind gusts possible with strong thunderstorms
today.

Hail: Hail up to the size of a quarter dollar is possible with strong
thunderstorms today.

Flooding: Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall may be possible along
the east coast metro region. Ponding of water on roadways is
possible in low lying and poor drainage areas.
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 11:07 am

gee Billsfan stay alert and safe down there ok...that Miami update sounds serious huh
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 11:09 am

hail the size of quarter dollar hail wow
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 11:10 am

yeah looks like bad weather east coast florida once again.............Special Marine Warning
AMZ552-151530-
/O.NEW.KMLB.MA.W.0045.180515T1501Z-180515T1530Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Special Marine Warning
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1101 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018

The National Weather Service in Melbourne has issued a

* Special Marine Warning for...
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm...

* Until 1130 AM EDT.

* At 1100 AM EDT, a thunderstorm was producing a waterspout near
Haulover Canal, moving north at 10 knots.

HAZARD...Waterspouts and wind gusts 34 knots or greater.

SOURCE...Relayed by the 45th Weather Squadron.

IMPACT...Waterspouts can can quickly form and capsize boats,
damage vessels and create locally hazardous seas. Make
sure all on board are wearing life jackets. Expect wind
gusts in excess of 34 knots...suddenly higher
waves...lightning and heavy downpours. Make sure all on
board are wearing life jackets. Return to safe harbor if
possible.

* Locations impacted include...
Haulover Canal, Klondike Beach and Mims.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Thunderstorms can produce sudden waterspouts. Waterspouts can easily
overturn boats and create locally hazardous seas. Seek safe harbor
immediately.

&&

LAT...LON 2877 8080 2880 8079 2882 8081 2883 8078
2882 8077 2883 8075 2883 8064 2871 8064
2869 8070 2871 8073 2871 8075 2868 8077
2869 8078 2869 8079 2867 8078 2866 8078
2864 8082 2865 8081 2881 8086
TIME...MOT...LOC 1500Z 175DEG 9KT 2872 8077

WATERSPOUT...OBSERVED
HAIL...0.00IN
WIND...>34KTS

$$

Bragaw
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Post by PuppyToes Tue May 15, 2018 11:55 am

Hi John, we got .75 according to CoCo yesterday. We’ve got some rumbling going on but it’s trending to the south and east of us now. Seems the wet pattern will continue so if we’re missed today, tomorrow is another day.
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Post by Hernando44 Tue May 15, 2018 12:02 pm

Finished up yesterday with 1.07 in the bucket here in Spring Hill. Hearing thunder to my southeast and by radar it's near the Pasco/Hernando line and east of the veterans xway. Looks to be moving almost due north. Everyone be safe!  Phil

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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 12:07 pm

Hernando44 wrote:Finished up yesterday with 1.07 in the bucket here in Spring Hill. Hearing thunder to my southeast and by radar it's near the Pasco/Hernando line and east of the veterans xway. Looks to be moving almost due north. Everyone be safe!  Phil
yes indeed and thanks!!
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 12:07 pm

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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 12:09 pm

EAST COAST FLORIDA FOLKS..STAY ALERT THRU TODAY.......................................................Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1159 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018

FLZ141-147-151630-
Coastal Volusia-Northern Brevard County-
1159 AM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018

...A STORM WITH THE POTENTIAL OF DEVELOPING FUNNEL CLOUDS WILL AFFECT
...

At 1158 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Scottsmoor,
moving north at 10 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Haulover Canal, Scottsmoor, Mims, Turnbull and Shiloh.

Funnel clouds can occasionally touch down and produce brief small
tornadoes. Move indoors and stay away from windows.

Local Atmospheric conditions are becoming more favorable for the
possibility of landspout formation. A landspout is a tornado of very
short duration and winds generally less than 60 mph which can cause
minor damage and injuries in its direct path. If this trend
continues, a tornado warning may be issued shortly. Stay tuned to
NOAA weather radio and local media for additional updates and
possible warnings.

LAT...LON 2879 8074 2875 8076 2875 8075 2877 8073
2868 8074 2868 8079 2869 8078 2870 8075
2872 8075 2880 8085 2868 8083 2868 8085
2883 8093 2883 8081 2880 8079 2883 8076
2878 8073
TIME...MOT...LOC 1558Z 179DEG 10KT 2873 8084

$$

Bragaw
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 12:11 pm

WELL just walked my dogs in the park...overhead the blue sky and silver clouds have returned..gone is the solid overcast and also the wind has picked up alot,guess we should stay a lil more alert for the rest of today huh


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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 12:12 pm

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Tue May 15, 2018 12:23 pm

LargoFL wrote:gee Billsfan stay alert and safe down there ok...that Miami update sounds serious huh

Coming from where I wonder? We've had sun all day. I don't see anything on radar?



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Post by StPeteFLwx Tue May 15, 2018 2:19 pm

Can't stand I-75, and I bet that stretch between Ocala and Gainesville is a real treat right now
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Tue May 15, 2018 2:25 pm

Yuck I can only imagine St Pete. That’s like being on 75 between Sarasota and Naples/Alligator Alley on summertime afternoons

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Tue May 15, 2018 2:28 pm

Well it was was dark and rumbling to the north of me, but that appears to be over. Winds have picked up a bit.

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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 3:03 pm

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
227 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018

FLZ063-066-151915-
Hendry FL-Glades FL-
227 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN HENDRY AND
SOUTHWESTERN GLADES COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM EDT...

* At 226 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were
tracking a strong thunderstorm near Charleston Park, or 7 miles
southwest of Labelle, moving northeast at 25 mph.

* Dime size hail and winds in excess of 45 mph will be possible with
this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
Labelle, Port La Belle, Ortona, Muse and Keri.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Miami on Facebook and
Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 2698 8142 2673 8115 2654 8140 2666 8157
2688 8156
TIME...MOT...LOC 1826Z 226DEG 22KT 2667 8152

$$

AR
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 3:05 pm

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Miami FL
144 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018

FLC011-151945-
/O.NEW.KMFL.FA.Y.0007.180515T1744Z-180515T1945Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Broward FL-
144 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018

The National Weather Service in Miami has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
Northern Broward County in southeastern Florida...

* Until 345 PM EDT.

* At 143 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding in
the advisory area. Over two inches of rain have already fallen
over portions of Coconut Creek and Pompano Beach.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Fort Lauderdale, Pompano Beach, Deerfield Beach, Tamarac and
Margate.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of canals
and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well
as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

&&

LAT...LON 2631 8012 2618 8017 2619 8023 2632 8018

$$

RAG
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 3:07 pm

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
300 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018

FLZ031-032-151945-
Bradford FL-Clay FL-
300 PM EDT TUE MAY 15 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BRADFORD AND CLAY
COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 300 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Keystone Heights, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph can be expected along with possible minor
wind damage.

Locations impacted include...
Green Cove Springs, Keystone Heights, Middleburg, Fleming Island,
Doctors Inlet, Lakeside, Kingsley, Oakleaf Plantation, Lake Geneva
and Camp Blanding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2980 8188 2979 8191 2976 8193 2975 8194
2974 8200 2972 8203 2973 8205 2975 8206
2976 8208 2978 8208 2980 8212 2983 8213
3019 8193 3019 8184 3012 8168 3005 8169
3001 8168
TIME...MOT...LOC 1900Z 212DEG 34KT 2981 8202

$$

HESS
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 3:09 pm

alot of weather warning out this last hour, be safe and drive carefully if going home today....
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 3:12 pm

CLOSED May Blog:  Higher Temps, Higher Dew Points, Higher Irritability - Page 8 1526409842
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 3:16 pm

any folks around Tampa bay area..overcast is broken, suns full out and the storm clouds are getting higher and bigger,and somewhat darker, might be an interesting evening around here storm wise.
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Post by LargoFL Tue May 15, 2018 3:19 pm

well so far it seems storms inland and east coast florida..lets see how this plays out for our gulf coast area's
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Post by StAugustineFL Tue May 15, 2018 5:43 pm

Good afternoon. No complaints with the pattern change here thus far. Last 3 days have brought .10, .77, and .41 (thus far today) for a total of 1.28". Actually had a short-lived thunderstorm this afternoon but the C2G's were generally to my east or west.

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Post by sangria Tue May 15, 2018 7:15 pm

Hey everyone! PT I'm with you, I too have found the rainfall totals to be disappointing and certainly not living up to the hype in our area. My gauge readings have been:
.22" - 7am Mon
.44" - 7am Tue
.14" - so far today since 7am
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Tue May 15, 2018 7:20 pm

It’s just came down heavy for a good 20 minutes. I’ll check the rain gauge and report back. And we definitely aren’t getting the hardest part of the storm. North of me is (as always)

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Tue May 15, 2018 9:49 pm

Picture Snoopy on his doghouse typing. It was a dark and stormy night......

I questioned where the rain would come from .Every which way . Close to two more inches .Time to share with others Mother Nature Smile

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Post by PuppyToes Tue May 15, 2018 9:51 pm

Ive been watching you Billsfan. You’re getting hammered pretty good!
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Tue May 15, 2018 11:41 pm

Yes PT. Lightning and thunder all around, so others may be getting more. Stopped for now. Hope you guys get some. Local met says the L is trapped by two H' s to east and west and isn't going anywhere. Uncle Lol

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Post by LargoFL Wed May 16, 2018 4:43 am

NWS Miami.....419 AM EDT Wed May 16 2018

...THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AGAIN TODAY ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...
...LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE EAST AND WEST COAST METRO REGIONS...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Thunderstorms: Showers and thunderstorms are forecast to develop
across South Florida late morning through this evening. The primary
hazards will be lightning and the potential for heavy rainfall.

Waterspouts: Isolated waterspouts will be possible over all South
Florida waters.

Flooding: Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall may be possible along
the east coast and west coast metro regions. Ponding of water on
roadways is possible in low lying and poor drainage areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

Periods of showers and thunderstorms are forecast to develop across
South Florida with above normal rain chances continuing through
the week into the weekend. Several periods of heavy rainfall may be
possible. This may lead to localized flooding concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, however individual
spotters are encouraged to report funnel clouds, high wind and flooding
to the National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

HAGEN
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Post by LargoFL Wed May 16, 2018 4:45 am

ea Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
339 AM EDT Wed May 16 2018

.SHORT TERM (Today and Thursday)...
Morning IR satellite imagery shows a disorganized area of
low pressure continues to spin across the eastern Gulf of
Mexico. This feature will slowly lift northward, becoming
absorbed in a weak upper trough over the next couple of
days. As it does so, it will continue to generate greater
coverage of showers and storms than we might typically
expect. As some areas of seen upwards of 6 to 9 inches of
rain over the last two days, the threat of localized
flooding will persist.

Nocturnal blossoming of thunderstorms has occurred over the
warm Gulf waters early this morning. This activity will
likely drift toward the Tampa Bay region and points south
through sunrise. Thereafter, a scenario much like yesterday
is primed to unfold. Lingering showers and perhaps even a
few storms will persist through late morning and into the
early afternoon. As daytime heating and seabreeze
convergence increases, storms look to become more numerous
for areas east of the I-75 corridor. Thunderstorm outflows
may eventually allow storms to build back toward the west
Florida coast toward evening.

The story will be much the same on Thursday, but as the
area of low pressure lift north into Georgia and the
Carolinas, greater chances for showers and storms may shift
a bit further inland due to veering winds. Still, most areas
will see at least a chance for showers and thunderstorms,
even as the weak area of low pressure departs.

Temperatures will be quite constant with highs in the low
to mid 80s and lows around 70 degrees.
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Post by LargoFL Wed May 16, 2018 4:52 am

Good Wednesday Morning folks!!!!...starting to rain again here by me, but dogs wanted to walk so i went ..what a way to wake up LOL,,rain drops were kinda big, and cold too LOL...well anyway, another on again off again rain... kind of day like yesterday and this week huh...well we do need this rain.... im perking the Coffee-Tea-Cocoa for when you get here enjoy...have a wonderful day folks!
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Post by LargoFL Wed May 16, 2018 4:56 am

well in reading the NWS discussions..i saw that some area's got 6-9 inches of rain..and more coming wow...anyone have any flooding concerns in YOUR area?
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Post by severstorm Wed May 16, 2018 6:14 am

Morning All,
Well it looks like I was in a sweet spot yesterday as I got 2.31 in the bucket. Had a really loud storm early last night. The kind where the thunder rolls forever. Some good lightning also. So for the month I have 3.41 in the bucket. Woop Woop
They are to start my roof today....... I don't think so!!
Have a great day all!! Stay dry
John Z-hills
PS Thanks for the coffee Largo!!!!!!! Very Happy

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