Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sat Sep 08, 2018 4:35 pm

keep a good eye on this sneaky pete storm..............................................................

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sat Sep 08, 2018 4:36 pm


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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sat Sep 08, 2018 4:56 pm

For the first of thousands of times, I don’t like Ike!

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by PuppyToes on Sun Sep 09, 2018 3:23 am

Florence will be retired after this storm of EPIC proportions. Rainfall accumulation and the system stalling over the NC coast could be unprecedented. I hope I’m wrong.
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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 5:20 am

PuppyToes wrote:Florence will be retired after this storm of EPIC proportions. Rainfall accumulation and the system stalling over the NC coast could be unprecedented. I hope I’m wrong.
yes this may be one for the record books

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 5:20 am

Hazardous Weather Outlook for South Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
413 AM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
100000-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach-Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-
Inland Broward-Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade-
Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-
Dade-Far South Miami-Dade-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
413 AM EDT Sun Sep 9 2018

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...
...INCREASING CONCERN FROM HIGH SURF PORTIONS OF EAST COAST LATE THIS WEEK...

This is the hazardous outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Lightning: Scattered to locally numerous showers and thunderstorms
area once again forecast for this afternoon and early evening.
Highest chances are across interior portions of south Florida north
of alligator alley, the Lake Okeechobee region, and towards the east
coast metro areas. However, storms will be possible anywhere across
the region. Main concern with the activity today will be occasional
to frequent lightning strikes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
Tropical Storm Florence will be approaching the U.S. east coast
towards the middle to latter part of next week. Potential impacts for
South Florida include increasing risk of high surf resulting in a
high risk of rip currents, the potential for minor to moderate beach
erosion, and minor coastal flooding particularly for the beaches of
palm beach county. However, some of those concerns, and at the very
least the higher risk of rip currents, could spread farther south
depending on the ultimate track, size, and strength of the storm. So
continue to monitor this information over the coming week.

Otherwise afternoon and evening scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue to prevail through the period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, however individual
spotters are encouraged to report high wind and flooding to the
National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 5:23 am

Good Sunday Morning folks!!..I got a lil light rain here last evening, not enough to wet the sidewalk, maybe some more this evening......lets hope FLO keeps on track for NC and doesnt decide to Surprise Florida huh...well have a wonderful day everyone!!!

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by sangria on Sun Sep 09, 2018 7:03 am

TS FLORENCE

5AM cone and Discussion


Tropical Storm Florence Discussion Number  40
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062018
500 AM AST Sun Sep 09 2018

Florence's cloud pattern has continued to gradually become better
organized overnight, with an increase in convection near the center
and a developing central dense overcast feature.  However, the
cloud tops are not particularly cold and the outer banding features
remain fragmented likely due to some nearby dry mid-level air.
Dvorak intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB range from 55 to 65
kt, so the initial intensity remains 60 kt, just shy of hurricane
strength.  The NOAA Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate
the storm later today, and that data should provide a better
assessment of Florence's intensity.

The upper-level outflow is becoming well established over the
cyclone, and the global model guidance indicates that Florence
will remain in a very favorable upper-level environment while the
cyclone moves over the warm waters over the southwestern
Atlantic.  These conditions favor strengthening with the only
apparent negative factor being nearby dry air, which will likely
remain away from the inner core due to the low shear conditions.
The NHC intensity forecast again calls for a period of rapid
strengthening within the next 12-36 hours, and Florence is forecast
to become a major hurricane on Monday with additional strengthening
early in the week.  This means that Florence is likely to be a very
powerful hurricane as it moves over the western Atlantic toward the
southeastern United States.  The new NHC intensity forecast is near
the various intensity consensus aids and is very similar to the
previous official forecast.

Florence is currently located between a couple of mid-level ridges
and a slow westward motion is expected today.  Another strong
high pressure ridge is forecast to build to the north of Florence
on Monday, which should cause the storm to begin moving
west-northwestward to northwestward at an increasingly faster
forward speed.  The dynamical model guidance is tightly clustered
for the first 2-3 days with increasing spread thereafter.  The GFS
remains along the right side of the guidance envelope with the HWRF
and ECMWF bracketing the left edge.  It should be noted that both
the GFS and ECMWF ensemble means are a little to the left or west
of their operational runs.  As a result, the NHC track forecast
lies to the left of the TVCA multi-model consensus, but is not as
far to the west as the FSSE and HCCA corrected consensus models at
day 5.  The models are in agreement that Florence is likely to slow
down near the end of the forecast period as a blocking high
pressure ridge builds to the north of the hurricane.

Key Messages:

1. Florence is forecast to be a dangerous major hurricane near the
southeast U.S. coast by late this week, and the risk of direct
impacts continues to increase. However, given the uncertainty in
track and intensity forecasts at those time ranges, it's too soon to
determine the exact timing, location, and magnitude of those
impacts.

2. Interests along the U.S. East Coast, particularly from north
Florida through North Carolina, should closely monitor the progress
of Florence, ensure they have their hurricane plan in place, and
follow any advice given by local officials.

3. Large swells affecting Bermuda and portions of the U.S. East
Coast will continue this week.  These swells will result in
life-threatening surf and rip currents.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  09/0900Z 24.5N  55.8W   60 KT  70 MPH
12H  09/1800Z 24.6N  56.7W   70 KT  80 MPH
24H  10/0600Z 24.8N  58.3W   85 KT 100 MPH
36H  10/1800Z 25.3N  60.4W  100 KT 115 MPH
48H  11/0600Z 26.1N  63.1W  110 KT 125 MPH
72H  12/0600Z 28.2N  69.1W  125 KT 145 MPH
96H  13/0600Z 31.3N  74.8W  120 KT 140 MPH
120H  14/0600Z 34.4N  77.9W  105 KT 120 MPH...INLAND


0Z Euro and GFS Ensembles



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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by sangria on Sun Sep 09, 2018 7:07 am

TS ISAAC

5AM cone and Discussion



Tropical Storm Isaac Discussion Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092018
500 AM AST Sun Sep 09 2018

The cloud pattern of Isaac has changed significantly during the past
several hours.  The storm no longer has a sheared appearance, and
instead microwave images reveal a well-defined curved band that
wraps a little more than halfway around the center.  Despite the
change in the storm's structure, the Dvorak classifications are
unchanged at 3.0/45 kt.  Based on that data, the initial intensity
is held at 45 kt for this advisory.

Now that the shear has lessened, Isaac should steadily strengthen
during the next few days as the storm remains over warm waters and
in a low wind shear environment.  Beyond a few days, however, the
SHIPS model shows a notable increase in shear, in part due to the
outflow from Florence, which should end the strengthening trend and
induce some weakening.  There was no significant change in the
intensity guidance this cycle, so the official forecast is largely
an update of the previous one.  This prediction lies fairly
close to the IVCN and HCCA models.

Isaac remains on the forecast track and the initial motion is the
same as before, 270/7.  A strengthening subtropical ridge to the
north of the system should cause Isaac to move westward at an
increasing forward speed during the next several days.  Although
there is some spread in the models, the usually more reliable GFS
and ECMWF models have been consistent in showing a due westward
motion through the forecast period.  The NHC track forecast leans
toward those models, and it is fairly similar to the previous
prediction. Based on the current forecast, Isaac will be near the
Lesser Antilles in 4 to 5 days and interests there should monitor
the progress of this system.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  09/0900Z 14.5N  38.1W   45 KT  50 MPH
12H  09/1800Z 14.6N  39.6W   55 KT  65 MPH
24H  10/0600Z 14.7N  41.9W   60 KT  70 MPH
36H  10/1800Z 14.7N  44.6W   70 KT  80 MPH
48H  11/0600Z 14.7N  47.5W   80 KT  90 MPH
72H  12/0600Z 14.7N  53.1W   85 KT 100 MPH
96H  13/0600Z 14.9N  58.9W   80 KT  90 MPH
120H  14/0600Z 15.3N  64.5W   70 KT  80 MPH


0Z Euro and GFS Ensembles



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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by StAugustineFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 7:08 am

PuppyToes wrote:Florence will be retired after this storm of EPIC proportions. Rainfall accumulation and the system stalling over the NC coast could be unprecedented. I hope I’m wrong.

Gonna be an interesting few days to see how things evolve. The GFS solution would be terrible.
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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by StAugustineFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 7:11 am

We shall see what happens but seems the models all-in-all want to kill Isaac in the Caribbean graveyard. The Euro ensembles for FLO can kiss
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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by sangria on Sun Sep 09, 2018 7:21 am

GFS 06Z RUN




EURO 0Z RUN

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 7:39 am

My guess is..not one person is preparing for THIS,god i hope it doesnt verify next week....navy model...

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 7:45 am

georgia and northern florida still in play until FLO makes that NW turn Towards SC..this is going to be one Dangerous hurricane..my guess is ..where this comes in..the place wont be there anymore,,rubble..im not in the danger zone i think but still im very nervous..i cannot imagine how folks in the Carolina's are going to be..you work hard all your life and finally you get your house and everything and BOOM..nature takes it all away

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 7:51 am


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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by sangria on Sun Sep 09, 2018 9:24 am

12Z Early Track Guidance

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by sangria on Sun Sep 09, 2018 9:39 am

The UKMet model is difficult to find on sites that don't require payment/membership.  This is the 0Z last frame of their 72 hour and the most recent I could find.  It looks like it is probably on location track with the GFS and Euro, but you can't garner anything else from it....

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by sangria on Sun Sep 09, 2018 9:59 am

Trends from the last two days of runs from a few different models....

UKMet



Euro



GFS - Note on the right it says AVN which was the very old name for the GFS
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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 10:27 am


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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 10:40 am

Lets see where Isaac is next Sunday, if it survives the trip and does it make it into the gulf?

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 10:41 am

one model i was looking at early this morning had Isaac making it into the gulf but as a tropical LOW

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by sangria on Sun Sep 09, 2018 10:55 am

11am NHC Advisory - Hurricane Hunters are in the storm and have found hurricane force pressure/winds



Hurricane Florence Discussion Number  41
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062018
1100 AM AST Sun Sep 09 2018

Satellite images indicate that Florence is strengthening.  Deep
convection has intensified in the central dense overcast, with
hints of a ragged eye in the latest GOES-16 visible channel.  The
NOAA Hurricane Hunters just flew through the eye, finding 70 kt
winds at flight-level and 66 kt from the SFMR.  This data confirms
that Florence has become a hurricane again, and the initial wind
speed is set to 65 kt.  The aircraft also found that the minimum
pressure has decreased to 984 mb.

Overnight microwave data and the Hurricane Hunter vortex message
show that a mostly complete eyewall has formed with Florence.  In
combination with low vertical wind shear and progressively warmer
waters near 29C, this structure is a blueprint for rapid
intensification. Almost all of the intensity guidance is showing at
least one period of rapid strengthening during the next few days,
which is rather rare.  The NHC wind speed forecast is raised in the
first couple of days following the guidance trend, then is very
similar to the previous one.  All indications are that Florence will
be an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane while it moves over
the western Atlantic toward the southeastern United States.

Florence continues moving slowly westward, caught between a pair
of mid-level ridges over the Atlantic Ocean.  A very strong ridge is
forecast to build over the northwestern Atlantic during the next few
days, which should steer Florence west-northwestward at a much
faster forward speed.  By Wednesday, the hurricane should turn
northwestward, and slow down somewhat due to another ridge forming
over the Ohio Valley.  It is interesting to note that while the
ensemble means from the ECMWF and UKMET are west of the NHC
forecast, the strongest members are on the right side of their
ensemble envelope.  Thus, the new NHC track forecast is very similar
to the previous one, and continues to lie between the corrected
consensus and consensus aids.  The Ohio Valley ridge is concerning
because Florence could stop moving pretty quickly around day 5,
potentially leading to a serious heavy rain episode and inland flood
hazard.

Key Messages:

1. There is an increasing risk of two life-threatening impacts from
Florence: storm surge at the coast and freshwater flooding from a
prolonged heavy rainfall event inland. While it is too soon to
determine the exact timing, location, and magnitude of these
impacts, interests at the coast and inland from South Carolina into
the mid-Atlantic region should closely monitor the progress of
Florence, ensure they have their hurricane plan in place, and follow
any advice given by local officials.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  09/1500Z 24.4N  56.3W   65 KT  75 MPH
12H  10/0000Z 24.5N  57.4W   80 KT  90 MPH
24H  10/1200Z 24.9N  59.3W   95 KT 110 MPH
36H  11/0000Z 25.6N  61.7W  105 KT 120 MPH
48H  11/1200Z 26.4N  64.5W  120 KT 140 MPH
72H  12/1200Z 29.0N  70.8W  125 KT 145 MPH
96H  13/1200Z 32.2N  75.8W  120 KT 140 MPH
120H  14/1200Z 35.0N  78.5W   85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND
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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by StPeteFLwx on Sun Sep 09, 2018 11:00 am

Flo’s track reminiscent of Floyd:

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by JRnOldsmar on Sun Sep 09, 2018 11:35 am

Weather pattern change confirmed. Seabreeze shower popped-up on top of me, on its way to the east. .25" -- bring on the steam bath!!
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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 11:52 am

JRnOldsmar wrote:Weather pattern change confirmed.  Seabreeze shower popped-up on top of me, on its way to the east.  .25" -- bring on the steam bath!!
missed me so far buy yes HUMID LOL

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 11:52 am


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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 12:02 pm

ok JR the good rain found me lol..grass etc is loving this

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by sangria on Sun Sep 09, 2018 12:39 pm

I'm hearing thunder from your rain here JR......guess I've just been pegged as having a thunderstorm day according to Aug's favorite met at JAX NWS. Very Happy
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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by StAugustineFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 1:06 pm

sangria wrote:I'm hearing thunder from your rain here JR......guess I've just been pegged as having a thunderstorm day according to Aug's favorite met at JAX NWS.   Very Happy

Yep, according to Jason Hess if you hear thunder you're in a full blown thunderstorm even if the storm is 20 miles away! Stupid logic that I will NEVER agree with. The guy was a bit condescending as well. Whatever, lol. Below is my inquiry followed by the response I received which I bolded to more easily differentiate.

First, thank you and the NWS Jacksonville team for everything you do each and every day.* It is much appreciated.

*

I have a question regarding the August Climate summary I’m hoping can be clarified for me.* Below are a few snips from the report:

*

...STORMIEST SUMMER FOR JACKSONVILLE ON RECORD...

SUMMARY...August continued a stormy pattern similar to the previous
summer months with 22 days of thunderstorms reported at Jacksonville
International Airport.

Followed by:

RAINFALL...There were 13 days of measurable rainfall in August at
Jacksonville International Airport

*

*

Where I find myself disconnected is how there were 22 days of thunderstorms at JIA but only 13 days of measurable rain.* That’s quite a variation.* Can you explain?

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thanks for your question. This can be confusing sometimes to see a different number of days with thunderstorms versus days with actual measurable rainfall.

The answer is due to a definition of a thunderstorm, which is when thunder is heard at a location.

So a thunderstorm may be heard when it is a few miles from a location, but if you are at all familiar with summertime thunderstorms, you may not actually receive rain at your location due to the*storm missing your location or weakening before it arrives.

That is the nature of convection and can lead to a*difference *in the numbers you describe above.
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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by sangria on Sun Sep 09, 2018 1:16 pm

No doubt he was condescending Aug!


Some of you may not know who Brad Panovich is, but he is a very good met in the Charlotte area...  this is his latest video on Florence

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 1:47 pm

ok... off and on "thunderstorms" here in Pinellas county lol

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sun Sep 09, 2018 1:50 pm

What a mumbo jumbo answer Aug!

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 1:53 pm

one thing i remember..always hearing"if you Hear Thunder..your close enough to get hit by lightning....way back when i was a teen..we were playing catch football one afternoon up in central park in NYC..as we played we started to hear thunder and a light rain started..all of a sudden, without warning BOOM..a huge bolt of Blinding Lightning hit right in the middle of us..we all flew all ways to the ground..scared to death...somehow,someway..we all got out of that alive..I never forgot that experience and every time i hear that distant rumble..its time to go in..i can tell you..lightning ISNT something to Ignore geez it sure isnt.

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sun Sep 09, 2018 2:00 pm

Wow Largo! Lucky.
In the 90s a little girl playing softball was struck and killed by a lightning strike. It was determined it was from a thunderstorm like 8-10 miles to the west.
All Broward County parks then had Lightning detectors installed that detected lightning i to 8-10 miles away and go off. Players to dugouts immediately.

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sun Sep 09, 2018 2:03 pm

Need a new generator. Repair guy came today and said by the time we spend money on labor and parts might as well get a new one. Told hubby we are going tomorrow after work.

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sun Sep 09, 2018 2:32 pm

Hopefully residents of the Outer Banks evacuate! Many of them are like Keys residents, don’t want to leave their homes, which I get, but the road will be washed out.

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 2:53 pm

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Wow Largo!  Lucky.
In the 90s a little girl playing softball was struck and killed by a lightning strike.  It was determined it was from a thunderstorm like 8-10 miles to the west.
All Broward County parks then had Lightning detectors installed that detected lightning i to 8-10 miles away and go off.  Players to dugouts immediately.  
yes we sure were lucky alright..gee

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 2:58 pm


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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 3:05 pm

Yessss....navy Model has moved Northward away from Florida, hope this verfies........................

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 3:09 pm

folks watch this one...in the caribbean..20% chance thru 5 days..heading to gulf?............

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Sun Sep 09, 2018 3:32 pm

i was just surfing the different NWS's on the east coast and a few of them are thinking if Florence slows down or stalls, some area's could see 30 inches of rain, this on top of already saturated soils...if i was in SC/NC etc i'd evacuate,no sense in taking that High risk in staying..add to that cat-3-4 winds etc..uh uh not me

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sun Sep 09, 2018 6:15 pm

Dolphins game is in it’s second LONG weather delay.
Lot of lightning in the vicinity. Still 3rd quarter of a game that started at 1:00.

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sun Sep 09, 2018 6:17 pm

Don’t blame you Largo. Hide from the wind, run from the water!

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sun Sep 09, 2018 6:17 pm

Pouring rain in many NFL games today.

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Mon Sep 10, 2018 4:40 am

NWS Miami...424 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA...
...ISOLATED LOCALlY HEAVY RAINFALL/GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE...

This is the hazardous outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Lightning: Isolated to Scattered showers and thunderstorms are once again
possible today mainly across interior portions of South Florida and
east coast metro areas. Frequent lightning strikes with the strongest
storms is the main concern with this activity.

Flooding: Slow storm motion today could result in an isolated
location experiencing heavy rainfall and ponding of water in low
lying roads or poor drainage areas particularly along east coast
metro areas.

Wind: Isolated wind gusts in excess of 40 mph are a concern with any
strong storm that develops today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Hurricane Florence will be approaching the mid atlantic region late
this week. Potential impacts for South Florida include increasing risk
of high surf resulting in a high risk of rip currents, the potential
for minor to moderate beach erosion, and minor coastal flooding
particularly for the beaches of Palm Beach County. However, some of those
concerns, and at the very least the higher risk of rip currents, could
spread farther south depending on the ultimate track, size, and strength
of the storm. So continue to monitor this information over the coming days.

Afternoon and evening scattered showers and thunderstorms will
continue to prevail through the period.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, however individual
spotters are encouraged to report high wind, hail and flooding to
the National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Mon Sep 10, 2018 4:44 am

Good Monday Morning folks!..well models seem to kill off Hurricane Isaac down in the Caribbean so far,that eases florida's worries some.......and NWS TAMPA only gives my area a 30% chance today for showers..well have a wonderful day everyone!!

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Mon Sep 10, 2018 4:55 am

NWS Tampa...439 AM EDT Mon Sep 10 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Thunderstorms will develop over the Gulf waters early this morning
with activity pushing inland as the day progresses. Gusty winds,
frequent lightning and heavy rain will accompany the stronger
storms.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
Several area rivers remain in or near flood stage and additional
rainfall may prolong or worsen existing flooding depending on
where the heaviest rains fall. Residents living along rivers or
faster flowing streams should remain aware of water levels and be
ready to move to higher ground should conditions warrant.

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Mon Sep 10, 2018 6:57 am


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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Mon Sep 10, 2018 6:58 am

the Euro model keeps moving a lil southward with Florence,still days and days away yet,remember until the storm definitely takes that northward path..dont take your eyes off this storm, dont want any surprises huh

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

Post by LargoFL on Mon Sep 10, 2018 7:02 am

AUG...Euro has Flo into SC/NC then circling down to around FL/GA border area...stay alert up there...

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Re: Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

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