CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:07 pm

mike not quite onshore yet Billsfan but soon
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:08 pm

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by JRnOldsmar on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:09 pm

Michael has not yet made landfall, Bills.

Soon..................
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by JRnOldsmar on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:14 pm

About 20 miles to go; speed ~14mph.

Hurricane Michael Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
1100 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...11 AM CDT POSITION UPDATE...
...CORE OF MICHAEL NEARING THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
BETWEEN ST. VINCENT ISLAND AND PANAMA CITY...

A private weather station on St. George Island, Florida, recently
reported a sustained wind of 46 mph (74 km/h) and wind gust of 66
mph (106 km/h). The Apalachicola airport recently reported
sustained winds of 45 mph (72 km/h) with a gust of 76 mph (122
km/h).

Water levels continue to rise quickly along the coast of the Florida
Panhandle. A National Ocean Service water level station at
Apalachicola recently reported nearly 5.5 feet of inundation above
ground level.


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.6N 85.8W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SW OF MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...923 MB...27.26 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Brown

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:20 pm

well by me the sunshine is trying to break thru the overcast, hasnt really rained in awhile hopefully some more thru the evening
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:21 pm

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:24 pm

opps rain squall just came over here JR..its not over yet huh
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:26 pm

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:31 pm

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by JRnOldsmar on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:32 pm

LargoFL wrote:opps rain squall just came over here JR..its not over yet huh

For us, I hope not, Largo.  I only got about 1/4" of rain.  Could use a bunch more.
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:35 pm

JRnOldsmar wrote:
LargoFL wrote:opps rain squall just came over here JR..its not over yet huh

For us, I hope not, Largo.  I only got about 1/4" of rain.  Could use a bunch more.
yeah it seems like bands of rain will still be coming over us maybe into this evening..i sure can use more also.
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:36 pm

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:37 pm

amazing how all the models way early this morning knew exactly where the eye would come ashore. track wise i mean
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:39 pm

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:49 pm

some person up there says the destruction there has begun..i cannot imagine what it would be like..stuck there and having to live thru that massive hurricane, huddled down and hearing the roof being ripped off man not me..i'd evacuate long before THAT happened
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:57 pm

well i need a break folks..my eyes are closing gee..keep the news about this storm coming ok..BBL
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by JRnOldsmar on Wed Oct 10, 2018 12:58 pm

@Bills
The eyewall is thrashing the coastline now.
Looks to landfall between Panama City and Port St Joe.
Mexico Beach (again) or Tyndall AFB are the likely locations.
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:54 pm

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
121 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

FLZ124-125-133-GAZ165-166-101815-
Coastal St. Johns FL-Coastal Duval FL-Coastal Nassau FL-
Inland Camden GA-Coastal Camden GA-
121 PM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN NASSAU...
NORTHEASTERN ST. JOHNS...EASTERN DUVAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL CAMDEN
COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM EDT...

At 120 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of broken showers
moving quickly north along the local coast between St. Marys
southward toward St. Augustine. Movement was north at 40 mph.

Wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph can be expected along with possible minor
wind damage.

Locations impacted include...
Jacksonville, St. Marys, Saint Augustine, Fernandina Beach, Unf,
Arlington, Ponte Vedra Beach, Yulee, Neptune Beach and Baymeadows.

LAT...LON 2984 8138 3020 8156 3031 8165 3032 8168
3051 8163 3069 8168 3074 8166 3077 8178
3077 8174 3073 8142 3025 8135 2987 8122
TIME...MOT...LOC 1720Z 166DEG 33KT 2994 8133

$$

ENYEDI
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:54 pm

be careful and alert up there Aug
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:55 pm

winds are picking up here and pieces of tree branches starting to fall,be careful when walking outside
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 1:59 pm

this gulf LOW on the 23rd crosses south FL into the atlantic..may be the next one to watch..
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by StPeteFLwx on Wed Oct 10, 2018 2:02 pm

Eye passing onshore right now, this gauge in the eye on land at Panama City.

Wind speed of 155 mph reported.  Just watched the Brett Adair storm chaser video where his truck got washed away.  Scary stuff

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Wed Oct 10, 2018 2:33 pm

JRnOldsmar wrote:@Bills
The eyewall is thrashing the coastline now.
Looks to landfall between Panama City and Port St Joe.
Mexico Beach (again) or Tyndall AFB are the likely locations.


thanks JR!

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by StAugustineFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 5:12 pm

Michael is moving into south GA and still possesses a well defined eye.

Static loop:

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by StAugustineFL on Wed Oct 10, 2018 5:23 pm

Had a brief 5 minute squall move through here earlier that was severe thunderstorm warned. Also a report of a tornado across the river in Clay County.

A TORNADO WAS CONFIRMED ON THE GROUND BY A JAX NWS EMPLOYEE IN LAKE BROOKLYN. (JAX)

Tornado watch til 2AM but I think/hope it'll expire before that. Not much happening on radar at the moment locally to cause concern.
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Wed Oct 10, 2018 5:38 pm

Thanks for update Aug!

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 3:56 am

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 4:01 am

Good Thursday morning folks..I hope we all made it thru this horrific storm ok wow what a storm he was too huh...well by me not too bad over all, got a lil over an inch,maybe close to 2 inches of rain which i badly needed..just alot of small branches etc to p/u later today,,i hope no one got any damage..have a wonderful day folks..NWS still says 70% chance for shower here today.
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 5:47 am

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
410 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Tropical Storm Michael continues to move quickly to the northeast
into the Carolinas while continuing to weaken this morning. Closer to
home, deep tropical moisture remains in place with bands of showers
and thunderstorms lingering from Michael. As Michael pulls away, a
weak frontal boundary will approach the area and will bring with it a
little taste of fall in the form of lower humidity and cooler
overnight lows, but don`t get too excited as it`ll be pretty short-
lived.

For today, temps will top out around 90 across the area with scattered
showers and isolated storms possible mainly from the Bay area south
where deeper moisture is in place. Drier air associated with the
aforementioned boundary will push into the area throughout the
afternoon and evening hours allowing for a mostly dry and sunny day
on Friday. The noticeable cooldown comes Saturday morning as
overnight lows in the upper 50s expected across the Nature Coast with
60s expected everywhere else except for lower 70s near the beaches
and across far SW Florida. High pressure controls the weather through
the weekend while the high moves off the east coast by Monday which
will result in easterly wind flow over Florida returning allowing for
increasing moisture and rain chances to return over the peninsula
through the middle of next week. Temperatures will return to above
normal to start next week.

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 5:50 am

my prayers for the poor suffering people up in and around Panama city etc..the news reports are horrible..like the city is now a heap of rubble..so much so that first responders cant get in geez
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Thu Oct 11, 2018 8:21 am

Good morning. Yes, prayers for all of our neighbors to the north. Sounds like Mexico Beach was destroyed.

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Thu Oct 11, 2018 8:22 am

hmmm... an orange crayon already? sheesh

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Thu Oct 11, 2018 8:24 am

I see Leslie and Nadine are still meandering around out there. Seems like Leslie has been around forever.

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by JRnOldsmar on Thu Oct 11, 2018 9:08 am

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Thu Oct 11, 2018 9:16 am

Yay JR! I was just thinking (as I was sweltering in the heat) that only a few more weeks and some relief.

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 10:12 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:hmmm... an orange crayon already?  sheesh
yeah but supposedly it will go into central america
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Thu Oct 11, 2018 10:18 am

LargoFL wrote:
BillsfaninSoFla wrote:hmmm... an orange crayon already?  sheesh
yeah but supposedly it will go into central america


sorry for them, but good Smile

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by waterdipper on Thu Oct 11, 2018 11:06 am

Hard to feel good about your personal outcome with the storm when you look at the impact it has had on those pore people of Panama City and surrounding areas. Cedar Key and the rest of the Nature Coast were mostly spared the wrath of Michael and the clean up is mostly done. I am at a loss of words for those in the Central Panhandle. This storm was truly a life altering event for those folks. Looking at the blob of convection in the Carib last weekend who would have believed this historic storm was going to be spawned out of it? Unfortunately the entire state of FL is in a bad spot for Hurricanes and it is only a matter of time until the next one.

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by StPeteFLwx on Thu Oct 11, 2018 12:09 pm

My guess, or hope, is that there is not much effort to rebuild Mexico Beach. That little stretch of beach has no protection, its low-lying, no dunes or offshore barrier island. Most of it’s recent development occurred last 15 years or so when the St. Joe Paper company turned into the St. Joe realestate company, and they’re focusing more inland these days.

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 12:18 pm

StPeteFLwx wrote:My guess, or hope, is that there is not much effort to rebuild Mexico Beach. That little stretch of beach has no protection, its low-lying, no dunes or offshore barrier island. Most of it’s recent development occurred last 15 years or so when the St. Joe Paper company turned into the St. Joe realestate company, and they’re focusing more inland these days.
yes quite possibly can they make it into a state park ?
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 12:21 pm

well anywhere in florida we can try to live out our lives, but its every year. its in the back of our minds....is it this time the hurricane comes to me?
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 12:26 pm

we here dodged a bullet, i was so worried it would make that right turn like they usually do, i had everything prepped to protect my home etc..but the models said NO..not this time and it kept going. I cannot imagine the death toll for those who for whatever reason, stayed and didnt evacuate...this story isnt over yet thats for sure..soooo many houses in sooo many places up there.. they have to go to each one and search for survivors and yes even for the possible bodies
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 1:18 pm

whew picked up and chopped up all the branches and pieces, i'll gives them all to Largo so they can mulch it all for use next year
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 1:19 pm

warm and very humid here by me this afternoon, cant wait for the High of only 70 days.. to come huh lol Fall is just about here
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 1:22 pm

Mexico beach is wiped out alright Billsfan..the pics are horrible from there,this from CNN...https://cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/181011100117-02-mexico-beach-aerial-exlarge-169.jpg,,,nah wont post..im not too good at this
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 1:25 pm

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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 1:26 pm

well even the roads up in Franklin County were destroyed gee
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 1:28 pm

oh oh..season ISNT over folks,,check THIS out gee...then see the next pic below.....................................


Last edited by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 1:32 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 1:31 pm

SEE this storm on the Pacific side of MEXICO?..crosses over into the gulf and into Panhandle...
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Post by LargoFL on Thu Oct 11, 2018 1:34 pm

after what mike did, im not going to second guess Mother Nature again..gee
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Re: CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

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