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» Hurricane Season 2020
4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog - Page 5 EmptySat Aug 22, 2020 9:09 am by BillsfaninSoFla

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4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog

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Post by severstorm Wed Apr 26, 2017 4:02 pm

LargoFL wrote:John that brush fire up along SR 54 news says is 80% contained..good luck on the drive if you go that way ok.

Hey Largo, That fire is on the west side of pasco. I live on the east side. Yes I heard they had it under control. I hope the rain for may 1st pans out. Laughing

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Post by LargoFL Wed Apr 26, 2017 4:46 pm

severstorm wrote:
LargoFL wrote:John that brush fire up along SR 54 news says is 80% contained..good luck on the drive if you go that way ok.

Hey Largo,  That fire is on the west side of pasco. I live on the east side. Yes I heard they had it under control. I hope the rain for may 1st pans out. Laughing
ok John glad it wasn't bothering your driving..yes we sure need the rain huh.
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Post by LargoFL Thu Apr 27, 2017 5:53 am

Good Thursday Morning folks! well it looks like dry HOT weather ahead for us thru Sunday they are saying..wow maybe mid 90's inland..break out the shorts and tee's LOL...well Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here..enjoy...have a Great day everyone!!
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Post by LargoFL Thu Apr 27, 2017 10:04 am

it looks like towards the end of next week,could see some rain,we'll see how it goes..4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog - Page 5 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_31
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Post by LargoFL Thu Apr 27, 2017 10:49 am

This pretty much describes no rain here thru Saturday..nice dry weekend..........4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog - Page 5 Noaad3
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Post by gomexwx Thu Apr 27, 2017 2:44 pm

Afternoon!
Current conditions...ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND DRYER AIR

Temp: 86f
Humidity: 54%
Dew Point: 67f
Winds SW at 7mph
Barometer: 29.68 digital , 29.82 analog...trend rising slow
24 hr Precipitation: 0.20

Forecast for tonight.......big ole stars,planets and a new moon just before it sets maybe a few clouds....low 66
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Thu Apr 27, 2017 4:00 pm

Good afternoon everyone!

By the feel of today, summer is definitely right around the corner!
And hopefully the rains!


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Post by sangria Thu Apr 27, 2017 5:45 pm

Afternoon all!

I am not looking forward to this heat, bring back February please!

4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog - Page 5 Pf73iiW
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Post by sangria Thu Apr 27, 2017 5:46 pm

I can't even bring myself to look at the models, knowing full they will show nothing but hot and dry and more hot!
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 4:30 am

(Friday)..might be record breaking temps later today whew............4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog - Page 5 Image13
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 4:33 am

Good Friday Morning Folks!! and TGIF!!!....well a very warm day ahead for us..nws is mentioning a very slight chance for a pop up shower or two for some area's..very slight I guess..be careful of the heat index,some area's might be a 100 degree's drink plenty of fluids if outdoors........well BLOGS COFFEE is perking for when you get here...enjoy..have a great day everyone!!
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Post by waterdipper Fri Apr 28, 2017 7:38 am

Much different mornin here from the others this week. Very warm and muggy this at the house with some fog. We are going blueberry picking tomorrow at a U pick in Bronson. It is going to be hot, but should be great weather for it. Hope some of the rainfall the models are showing materializes next week. I will gladly take a tenth of an inch to knock the dust down a bit.

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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 7:44 am

waterdipper wrote:Much different mornin here from the others this week. Very warm and muggy this  at the house with some fog. We are going blueberry picking tomorrow at a U pick in Bronson. It is going to be hot, but should be great weather for it. Hope some of the rainfall the models are showing materializes next week. I will gladly take a tenth of an inch to knock the dust down a bit.
good luck on the Blue berries WD,ive done that several times over the years and its a lot of fun as well,yes HOT for sure since its only april and boy do we ever need rain huh...we'll see how next week plays out..several models like GFS and CMC and the navy model do give us some rain.
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 7:49 am

I see some experts over in California are saying on the news that the ocean sea level rise might be Higher than currently predicted..for any of you younger folks in the coming years stay alert to any big storms with tidal surge along our coasts in the future..add tidal storm surge to risen sea levels and surprises might be in store for coastal communities huh.maybe like we have never seen before.
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 7:51 am

well maybe a surprise sea breeze shower along our gulf coast later today..not much weather news today outside of the HEAT huh...
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 7:54 am

Jenny and folks up in the panhandle area,might be some storms sunday night and Monday up there..good luck on the rain, nws is saying a 50-70% chance for rain and storms..hope no lightning to start any fires there.
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 7:57 am

SYNOPSIS...



...Severe drought conditions continue for most of western areas of South Florida...



...Moderate drought conditions continue for Mainland Monroe County...
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 10:57 am

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
917 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017


.UPDATE...Patchy fog and low clouds burning off this morning. Mid/Upper
ridge across the Fl peninsula with a southerly low level flow will
produce temperatures well above normal today. Seabreezes will move
inland with isolated showers/thunderstorms possible over the interior
as boundaries collide late this afternoon. Otherwise hot and dry
conditions will prevail with high temperatures reaching 90 to 95
inland...and mid/upper 80s at the beaches. Smoke from the West
Mims wildfire will drift north today.

&&
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 10:58 am

anyone still have fires close or in their area's today?...stay alert and safe ok
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 1:02 pm

whew just did some pruning, I can attest to the humidity going up here and gee that sun sure is hot and strong here today...not a day to do any yard work for sure lol..i guess we Floridians need some time to adapt to the warmer temps, these HOT high 80's and 90's are a bit early yet to be here.
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 1:41 pm

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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 1:48 pm

and just heard on the news..5 children run over getting off school bus in POINCIANA, Fla..news says 1 child has died 2 more in critical..stay safe out there folks.
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Post by sangria Fri Apr 28, 2017 3:17 pm

That's horrible to hear about the school children. I don't know what the bus stops are like in Poinciana, but here they stop on major roads for drop offs. I have never seen that until I moved to Florida. I mean really! Who stops on a 6 lane divided road to drop off school children on a bus!
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 3:20 pm

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
214 PM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.SHORT TERM (Tonight - Saturday)...
An upper level low sits just north of the four corners region with
broad troughing extending over the western U.S. This upper low will
move southeast through the period and the trough further deepens and
extends well into Mexico by Saturday evening. Upper level ridging
continues to hold over the Florida peninsula and will further build
along the east coast through the short term period. On the surface,
a broad area of high pressure near Bermuda continues to ridge
southwest across the peninsula through the end of the week and into
the weekend. This will keep a southeast through southwest wind flow
over the area which will result in above average temperatures. The
coastal counties will top out in the upper 80`s, while the inland
counties will see daytime highs in the mid 90`s on Friday and
Saturday. Rain free conditions will continue through the weekend.
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 3:23 pm

sangria wrote:That's horrible to hear about the school children.  I don't know what the bus stops are like in Poinciana, but here they stop on major roads for drop offs.  I have never seen that until I moved to Florida.  I mean really!  Who stops on a 6 lane divided road to drop off school children on a bus!
yes its a real bad situation, I cannot imagine what the parents are going thru right now...and IF..i heard the news correctly..the guy who hit the kids and kept going was some kind of retired policeman..they got him I think it said....should be on the news tonight.
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Post by LargoFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 3:24 pm

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Post by StAugustineFL Fri Apr 28, 2017 5:24 pm

LargoFL wrote:anyone still have fires close or in their area's today?...stay alert and safe ok

Good afternoon Largo and all. I'm out of work jail for a couple of days. There is a large fire near the FL/GA border. Winds are out of the south now so no smoke concerns but if winds shift from the NW it'll get smokey here.
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Fri Apr 28, 2017 10:52 pm

LargoFL wrote:I see some experts over in California are saying on the news that the ocean sea level rise might be Higher than currently predicted..for any of you younger folks in the coming years stay alert to any big storms with tidal surge along our coasts in the future..add tidal storm surge to risen sea levels and surprises might be in store for coastal communities huh.maybe like we have never seen before.

Largo... I wouldn't believe anything that "experts" in California say! They don't have a clue.

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Post by JRnOldsmar Fri Apr 28, 2017 11:03 pm

StAugustineFL wrote:
 I'm out of work jail for a couple of days.  

Good for you, StAug.  Please enjoy.  I've been in work hell all week and it will continue over the weekend and for the unforeseeable future.  Major multiple fires, and three of them seriously cross my path.  Payback time for the work flexibility that I would typically enjoy.  5 years, 8 months, 11 days  -- I'm out!  Smile
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 3:24 am

StAugustineFL wrote:
LargoFL wrote:anyone still have fires close or in their area's today?...stay alert and safe ok

Good afternoon Largo and all.  I'm out of work jail for a couple of days.  There is a large fire near the FL/GA border.  Winds are out of the south now so no smoke concerns but if winds shift from the NW it'll get smokey here.
Hi Aug,stay safe up there ok..if the smoke reaches you, be careful,it can sometimes be so bad it affects breathing etc.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 3:26 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:
LargoFL wrote:I see some experts over in California are saying on the news that the ocean sea level rise might be Higher than currently predicted..for any of you younger folks in the coming years stay alert to any big storms with tidal surge along our coasts in the future..add tidal storm surge to risen sea levels and surprises might be in store for coastal communities huh.maybe like we have never seen before.

Largo... I wouldn't believe anything that "experts" in California say!   They don't have a clue.  
Hiya Billsfan,yes I'm thinking its guesswork on their part so far.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 3:29 am

well dogs got me up real early this Saturday morning..seems a pair of Rabbits were snooping around my garden,dont know how..the dogs knew that..Rabbits are so quiet lol.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 3:34 am

Good Saturday Morning folks!!..just looked at the models and still uncertain but..looks like some rain chances MAY..be coming for us tues/Friday..still too early yet to know if any GOOD rain happens and where in our state..I'm guessing they should know more by Monday morning's nws discussions..GFS so far insists next Friday could be a good rain day..still too early to believe huh....well I'm setting the Blogs COFFEE to perk for when you get here...hey..its Saturday..relax and enjoy lol...have a great day everyone!
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 6:36 am

NWS Tampa (clip)....The frontal system early in the week...the short wave trough
mid-week....and a second and somewhat more robust front at
the end of the week will keep skies partly cloudy and
support a slight chance to a chance of showers with a few
thunderstorms. Temperatures initially run above normal but
then decrease to around normal by Fri due to the clouds and
rainfall. Prevailing light southeast and south winds...with
afternoon sea breezes...continue until Fri when they become
westerly and increase some.

&&
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Post by sangria Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:06 am

beh.....

4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog - Page 5 LZiAP2Z
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Post by sangria Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:26 am

And the matching beh......

4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog - Page 5 RPd51Mm
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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:52 am

Beh is right. Even NWS JAX is being pessimistic with their forecast and downcasting the long term forecast.

"On Friday a band of thunderstorms will move across the area and we
will have to look for the possibility of severe weather. While
people are looking to this system to drop a significant amount of
rain, am not seeing it right now. Right now looking at 5. to 1 inch
over Florida and 1 to 2 inches across interior southeast Georgia but
nothing that is going to extinguish fires or bust the drought looks
to be in the cards right now. Going to use the old forecaster adage
of "when in drought forecast more drought" at least until something
big comes along to kick it over and this is just not that system.
Would not be surprised to see future model runs backing off on this
system`s storm total rainfall."

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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 7:56 am

JR - LOL at the countdown. Good on you when that day comes. At best I have 14 years to go
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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 8:21 am

Meanwhile a deluge for other parts of the country.......

4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog - Page 5 WCSxKqI
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Post by sangria Sat Apr 29, 2017 9:34 am

This list of high temps covers the entire Tampa Bay area; there are even a few 100s on there.....


National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL..........High Temperature Reports for April 28th...
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 2:03 pm

well some good gusts of wind here on the gulf coast most of the day so far and HOT..no showers yet.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 2:03 pm

4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog - Page 5 7co_winds
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 2:04 pm

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
High temperatures in the 90s over the interior...afternoon
relative humidity values briefly dropping to 35 percent or
less...and breezy winds will create elevated fire danger
conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
There will be a slight chance to a chance of showers...along with
isolated thunderstorms...Monday through Friday and mainly in the
afternoons. A few of the Thunderstorms may become capable of
producing strong gusty winds...locally heavy rains...and frequent
deadly lightning strikes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 2:08 pm

Jenny and the panhandle folks ........For Sunday night into Monday, there still remains a marginal risk of
severe weather, mainly across southeast Alabama and the Florida
panhandle. A squall line will be approaching the area late Sunday
night. Guidance indicates a small area of unstable air will persist
ahead of it into the far western portions of our area with
sufficient wind shear to maintain the marginal risk of mainly
damaging winds. The squall line is expected to continue gradually
weakening as it moves eastward with the severe weather threat
decreasing farther to the east.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 3:31 pm

sangria wrote:beh.....

4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog - Page 5 LZiAP2Z
yeah I notice my area is in the DRY spot once again gee,something just have to give with this drought thing here..hopefully the stronger wave/front coming around Friday will get to my area..
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 3:34 pm

sangria wrote:This list of high temps covers the entire Tampa Bay area; there are even a few 100s on there.....


National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL..........High Temperature Reports for April 28th...
yes in the 90's here and..outside that sun sure is strong today,would be nice if some unforeseen overcast would come in from the gulf LOL,good day to stay indoors if you don't want to burn
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 3:37 pm

yes what we do NOT need Friday with this front and possibly a few thunderstorms, we don't need any cloud to ground Lightning starting even more fires huh.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 3:39 pm

Billsfan's area has a chance of rain some days and Friday even better chance.........................................This Afternoon: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83. Breezy, with an east wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers after 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 79. Windy, with an east wind around 21 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Windy, with a southeast wind 20 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.

Sunday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 79. Windy, with a southeast wind 18 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.

Monday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Breezy, with a southeast wind 15 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Southeast wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. Southeast wind 8 to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. East wind around 7 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Southeast wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 76.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.

Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76.

Friday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84.




Fort Lauderdale FL
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 3:47 pm

4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog - Page 5 Allfcsts_loop_ndfd
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Post by LargoFL Sat Apr 29, 2017 3:51 pm

NWS Melbourne still gives central florida a 40% chance on Tuesday.......................Tuesday

A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 84. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
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