CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Hopefully Maria doesn't come to Florida.

well we went around all the supermarkets nearby, all were out of milk,finally we tried Walmart..bingo,they just got a delivery!!..

That's where we replenished our supplies at, Wal-Mart.

Maria is now a Cat 5. Models are far to the east. Gonna be hard to bring it to FL at this point. Works for me but I feel sorry for Dominica and Puerto Rico.

My local Publix was fully stocked and back to business as usual when I picked up a few items over the weekend. Hope ya'll get your stores restocked in the next couple of days.

StAugustineFL wrote:Maria is now a Cat 5.  Models are far to the east.  Gonna be hard to bring it to FL at this point.  Works for me but I feel sorry for Dominica and Puerto Rico.

My local Publix was fully stocked and back to business as usual when I picked up a few items over the weekend.  Hope ya'll get your stores restocked in the next couple of days.

yeah AUG,i just looked at the overnight models..and so far Maria does stay away from Florida which is surely good news..

Good Tuesday Morning Folks!....well another HOT and DRY day forecasted for My area today,looks like it stays that way till maybe Friday when more moisture arrives, by then I could really use some rain here again.......well tropics wise, it looks..SO FAR..that Maria stays away from Florida but..again its only one run of the models...well anyway...Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here...enjoy..have a great day everyone!

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:

severstorm wrote:

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:There is still people in my neighborhood without power.

Hi Billsfan,  If the 120v is not working it will trip off or you can not set it at all.
very hard to flip the switch.
Hope this helps.
John Z-hills

thanks John.  What to do then?  

Hi,
Replace the switch. If your not sure how you-tube it or see if you can find someone to look at it.
That's the best I can do. Hope it works.
John Z-hills

StAugustineFL wrote:Maria is now a Cat 5.  Models are far to the east.  Gonna be hard to bring it to FL at this point.  Works for me but I feel sorry for Dominica and Puerto Rico.

My local Publix was fully stocked and back to business as usual when I picked up a few items over the weekend.  Hope ya'll get your stores restocked in the next couple of days.

Hi StAugustine,
I will have to agree with you, unless something strange happens I also think this is not our storm.
Prayers to all who have been hit or who are in the way of this monster.
John-Z-hills

Hope all are getting back to normal after Irma. Seems the rainy season has possibly come to an end at my neck of the woods. Since even before Irma, we have begun transitioning into Fall and I for one and happy about it. Afternoon temps are still hot, just not quite like they were a few weeks ago. Morning temps have been in the mid to upper 60's now (65 this AM!!)and the humidity is down significantly. We will still have some hot days to come as it is only mid Sept, but we are trending in the right direction now.

Good Morning WD,still waiting for all the tree debris to be picked up here in my area..and stores still have some bare shelves and NO MILK lol...but thank goodness for Wal-Mart LOL...now just hoping Maria doesn't want a Floridia Vacation on her Journey.

Thanks John for the generator advice. I think we have someone that will look at it this afternoon. Fingers crossed.

Happy for you WD that fall is coming to you. We won't even begin to feel anything like that for a minimum of 4 weeks, but as they say, there's light at the end of the tunnel.

Have a good day all.

now if..this track verifies,we in Florida wont get Maria...a BIG IF until this happens huh..

gee with all the bad pics of the flooding going on in so many places..the last thing we need is another hurricane with a lot of rain with it too huh..hopefully the model tracks today will verify and she goes elsewhere,we'll really be in trouble if somehow she changes course and heads this way or to the gulf huh

Good afternoon. If Maria goes east as forecast she should pull down dry, less humid air over Florida - maybe even some cooler temps. Fingers crossed.

I see WD is already benefiting from some milder mornings. Cooled off a tad here but still running on average low 70's during the overnight.

StAugustineFL wrote:Good afternoon.  If Maria goes east as forecast she should pull down dry, less humid air over Florida - maybe even some cooler temps.  Fingers crossed.

I see WD is already benefiting from some milder mornings.  Cooled off a tad here but still running on average low 70's during the overnight.

I was just looking at the discussion on JOSE,seems he is stuck circling again up there,if he isn't gone by the time MARIA gets up to the south she May get stuck also, until JOSE gets out of there..dont let your guard down folks,stay alert for any changes next few days,things may just change be Friday, lets see how this plays out,god I hope she doesn't decide to come to Florida.

this coming weekend just might get interesting if she doesn't make that turn

In this case we want Jose there.  Keeps a weakness in place and prevents the ATL high along with the high over the NE from bridging which would force her more to the west if they did bridge.  Jose gives Maria an outlet to the north with the weakness between the two ridges.

No doubt I'll continue to watch until she passes by 30N latitude.

I really hope they are correct in the northward movement. If it starts trending west at all trouble. At 175 mph it's going to create a huge wind field?

New update from Levi which breaks things down.

Hurricane Maria Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
300 AM AST Wed Sep 20 2017

...300 AM AST POSITION AND INTENSITY UPDATE...
...MARIA'S FURY AIMED AT PUERTO RICO AND VIEQUES...

A sustained wind of 106 mph (170 km/h) with a wind gust to 137 mph
(220 km/h) was recently reported in the western portion of St.
Croix.

A sustained wind of 53 mph (85 km/h) with a wind gust to 76 mph
(122 km/h) was recently reported in Puerto Fajardo, Puerto Rico.


SUMMARY OF 300 AM AST...0700 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 65.3W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM W OF ST. CROIX
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...913 MB...26.96 INCHES

$$

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:I really hope they are correct in the northward movement.   If it starts trending west at all trouble.  At 175 mph it's going to create a huge wind field?

yes we need to keep a good eye on her alright,IF she makes it to the Bahamas her winds could affect our east coast huh

well its almost 5am Wednesday and the eye of cat-5 Maria almost to the shoreline of P.R. ..my prayers for the people there,getting hit while they are sleeping,but hopefully by now they are awake and getting under the mattresses etc and protecting themselves as best they can..this Maria is no storm to take lightly..this one is a killer..

Good Wednesday Morning Folks!..well my city has yet to pick up all the HUGE piles of tree debris outside all over my area..hope all this isn't here for a month whew but all in all..i came thru Irma ok that that's the main point huh............well another dry day here they are saying...hurry up Fall lol...well blogs COFFEE is set to perk for when you get here..enjoy..have a great day everyone..................oh...models are picking up on something in the gulf...could get interesting storm wise around the first week of October..too far out in time to believe just yet.

LargoFL wrote:well its almost 5am Wednesday and the eye of cat-5 Maria almost to the shoreline of P.R. ..my prayers for the people there,getting hit while they are sleeping,but hopefully by now they are awake and getting under the mattresses etc and protecting themselves as best they can..this Maria is no storm to take lightly..this one is a killer..

Praying for the best for them.

Good morning Largo and all. Our area hasn't even begun to pick up all the debris. It took about three-four weeks after Wilma. Boy those folks who run the debris removal companies are going to make a killing. Look at Texas and Florida alone with mountains and mountains of debris. Plus minor damages in other states from Harvey and Irma. Guess we won't even have to worry about those names again.

Central pressure from a stream gauge south of San Juan PR

lets keep a very watchful eye on this monster storm..............................

notice how the wind graph has come closer to the coastline,lets see what its saying thurs night/Friday morning.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Good morning Largo and all. Our area hasn't even begun to pick up  all the debris. It took about three-four weeks after Wilma.  Boy those folks who run the debris removal companies are going to make a killing.  Look at Texas and Florida alone with mountains and mountains of debris.  Plus minor damages in other states from Harvey and Irma.  Guess we won't even have to worry about those names again.

good morning Billsfan, yes I'm thinking our huge mounds will be here for quite awhile gee..but then they do need a place or places to Dump all this debris...ive been here many years and ive never had this much tree damage etc..a first for me

well they are beginning to p/u the huge debris piles here by me,hope they make it to my house

the guy on accuweather says its way too early to rule out..maria affecting anyone on the whole east coast of the USA..stay alert folks till she is north of Florida,alot can change in the coming days huh.

100% of PR without power in case anyone has family or friends there ok.

12Z CMC is now saying Maria into the Carolinas,more north C than South C..so far anyway,stay alert to this monster cane folks..

remember it was the CMC who first predicted Irma into Florida,anything possible now huh....

GFS is hinting at something tropical in the gulf or Caribbean first week of OCT..

Good afternoon. Been a busy day returning to work after a 2 week hiatus for varying reasons.

Aside from possible higher surf along the FL east coast Maria should be of no concern to FL. NC northward may be another story with how the coastline is much further east in longitude as one goes north.

5pm NHC cone has Maria a good 400-500 miles east of FL.

So sad about Puerto Rico.

I'm sorry any one has to get Maria, but sure happy it's not our issue.

Sad indeed billsfan.

New update from Levi.

Good Thursday Morning folks!..well debris by me was picked up yesterday. that's a good thing.well Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here.enjoy..have a wonderful day everyone!

Big mass of dry air in the central Atlantic should keep things quiet from that direction

StPeteFLwx wrote:Big mass of dry air in the central Atlantic should keep things quiet from that direction

that's a good thing maybe weakening Maria

well it looks like rain chances go up for us next 2 days.........................................

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
920 AM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017

.UPDATE...
The 12Z morning sounding is showing a slight uptick in low and mid
level moisture with a PW of 1.51 inches. This is apparent in
satellite imagery and surface observations showing a SCT/BKN mid
level cloud deck around 10kft. Although there is a little more
cloudiness this morning, a fairly nice day is on tap with partly
cloudy skies and minimal rain chances expected. Similiar to
yesterday, the highest rain chances (20-30 percent) POPs
will remain south of the I-4 corridor over southwest
Florida. Under partly cloudy skies, temps will warm up to
slightly above average with low 90`s expected region wide.
No changes needed for the forecast at this time.

&&

ok lets keep a watchful eye on Maria till she is past Florida,already its a lil west of the model lines...