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CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

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Post by StAugustineFL on Sat Nov 10, 2018 6:20 am

Good morning. Ah, free from work for a week. Lot's of "to-do's" to get done. I'll see how motivated I am. One job at a time.

My company has Monday off for Veteran's Day.

Had a brief downpour yesterday evening. Not quite sure what the total was since it's still too dark to check the gauge but it wasn't much. Today/tomorrow temps cool to the low 70's, increase to near 80 Mon/Tue with high rain chances, then a decent front passes through. Forecast high for Wednesday is only 61 then warms back up to the low 70's later next week.
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Post by JRnOldsmar on Sat Nov 10, 2018 7:57 am

Morning all. A bit foggy this morning. Driving to Orlando this afternoon, for my daughter's BD. 4 hours on I-4. Whoohoo!

Have a good time on vaca, Aug. I'll be heading up your way Friday or Saturday. I'll check and see if the fam wants some lemons.

Looks like we're getting a good temp dip mid-week. Maybe break into the 50's a bit.

And I see the yellow crayon is out.
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Post by StAugustineFL on Sat Nov 10, 2018 8:32 am

Thanks JR. Enjoy the time with your daughter. Mine along with grandson should be here in an hour.
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Post by LargoFL on Sat Nov 10, 2018 11:07 am

whew did alot of outside work, Gardening and raking leaves etc..wow what a NICE day it is around here..Humidity must have lowered quite a bit..didnt sweat at all!!!
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Post by StAugustineFL on Sat Nov 10, 2018 1:31 pm

Good deal to not sweat Largo. I had my daughter help me pick lemons. 489 picked today weighing in around 115 lbs. And my tree is quite small!
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Post by LargoFL on Sat Nov 10, 2018 2:11 pm

yes a nice day here today for sure Aug..back in the mid 80's i had two big Orange tree's here..boy did i have some great pickings too with them..but eventually they died, never replaced them as Citrus Greening is all around here..and i went to flowering bushes etc
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Post by LargoFL on Sat Nov 10, 2018 3:17 pm

Billsfan...did the front with slightly cooler temps reach you down there today??
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sat Nov 10, 2018 3:20 pm

Hi Largo! No, cooler temps have not reach us yet. We were talking with a few people about that while walking in the Walmart parking lot! It’s miserable.


Last edited by BillsfaninSoFla on Sat Nov 10, 2018 3:29 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sat Nov 10, 2018 3:27 pm

A reply from a few days ago. Yes Aug, my boss did me dirty pool. I’ve worked for him nearly 33 years and a few weeks ago, he sold the company without letting his employees know. It was very, very rushed and customers weren’t notified on a proper manner. Many called the letter, impersonal, ingratiating, cold to name a few adjectives.
I’m with the new company in transition, the the other two employees, one being my husband who helps part time when he can, were let go.
To say it was a shock is an understatement.
So during the workweek, I will not be able to post as much

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sat Nov 10, 2018 3:31 pm

Enjoy your staycation Aug.
Safe Travels JR.

I hope everyone is doing well

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Post by LargoFL on Sun Nov 11, 2018 3:13 am

CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief - Page 16 Gem_mslp_pcpn_watl_19
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Post by LargoFL on Sun Nov 11, 2018 3:16 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Hi Largo!  No, cooler temps have not reach  us yet.  We were talking with a few people about that while walking in the Walmart parking lot! It’s miserable.
ok Billsfan..maybe this stronger one coming in a few days will make it down there..good luck ok
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Post by LargoFL on Sun Nov 11, 2018 3:20 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:A reply from a few days ago.  Yes Aug, my boss did me dirty pool.   I’ve worked for him nearly 33 years and a few weeks ago, he sold the company without letting his employees know.  It was very, very rushed and customers weren’t notified on a proper manner.  Many called the letter, impersonal, ingratiating, cold to name a few adjectives.  
I’m with the new company in transition, the the other two employees, one being my husband who helps part time when he can, were let go.
To say it was a shock is an understatement.
So during the workweek, I will not be able to post as much
strange..i worked for this company for 20 years and MY boss did the same thing, sold it off quietly ...I guess THIS is how it works in business..take care of yourself and dont worry one bit about the employee's.
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Post by LargoFL on Sun Nov 11, 2018 3:21 am

CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief - Page 16 Two_atl_5d0
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Post by LargoFL on Sun Nov 11, 2018 3:25 am

well i hope this 7-day forecast verifies for the Tampa Bay area,looks like it lasts for awhile...CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief - Page 16 Lg_whats_ahead
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Post by LargoFL on Sun Nov 11, 2018 3:40 am

good early Sunday Morning folks..nice breeze here and cooler. 69 by my area right now. which is great!! perhaps the 90's are gone finally...well enjoy..have a great day everyone..the NEW blog should be coming soon
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Post by StAugustineFL on Sun Nov 11, 2018 7:50 am

LargoFL wrote:
BillsfaninSoFla wrote:A reply from a few days ago.  Yes Aug, my boss did me dirty pool.   I’ve worked for him nearly 33 years and a few weeks ago, he sold the company without letting his employees know.  It was very, very rushed and customers weren’t notified on a proper manner.  Many called the letter, impersonal, ingratiating, cold to name a few adjectives.  
I’m with the new company in transition, the the other two employees, one being my husband who helps part time when he can, were let go.
To say it was a shock is an understatement.
So during the workweek, I will not be able to post as much
strange..i worked for this company for 20 years and MY boss did the same thing, sold it off quietly ...I guess THIS is how it works in business..take care of yourself and dont worry one bit about the employee's.

Morning all. Sorry to hear about the hubby bills. With it being part time hopefully it's not too big a hit personally.

In the 20+ years with my company I've seen hundreds of teammates be let go - not to mention the thousand and thousands of others I didn't know. And many, many mergers and acquisitions but those have settled the past 10 years. In the back of my mind it's not if I get let go at some point but when. So, I'm in the midst of a 5 year plan to aggressively pay off my mortgage and be debt free should the worst happen. I can then settle for a lesser paying job to give me peace of mind not worrying about making ends meet. My company has been good to me and offers fantastic benefits. I'd like to retire there. Survive and advance in the meantime.

Sunny start to the day with temps in the mid 50's. Feels good. Low 70's today then back to the 80's tomorrow/Tuesday before the next front passes through.
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Post by StAugustineFL on Sun Nov 11, 2018 7:57 am

With the fronts dropping down regularly now and forecast to continue doing so, I don't see the potential disturbance getting any further than the Bahamas before swept out to sea. However we shall see!
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Post by LargoFL on Sun Nov 11, 2018 10:03 am

Thank Goodness we live in Florida and not California huh..gee the pics are Horrible from there
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Post by JRnOldsmar on Sun Nov 11, 2018 11:11 am

Ouch, BillsFan. Sorry to hear. 33 years should minimally earn you a little respect, regardless of the circumstances. Business doesn't care any more; and it's why the employees don't either. Good luck to you and your hubby.

Outside day here. 68 this morning. A little maintenance, grill, football, beer, and back in the pool this weekend. 80 degree water. You have to take advantage of this in November. Since I don't get Veteran's Day off from work; I'll celebrate my holiday today.
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sun Nov 11, 2018 4:25 pm

Thanks guys.
We had 2.5 inches of rain overnight. Hubby said it poured. I slept thru it lol

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Sun Nov 11, 2018 4:26 pm

I see our little system is up to 70 percent.

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Post by JRnOldsmar on Sun Nov 11, 2018 6:18 pm

Good rains, Bills. Hopefully just 70% chance of more good rains.
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 3:37 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Thanks guys.  
We had 2.5 inches of rain overnight.  Hubby said it poured.  I slept thru it lol
im glad you got some good rain down there Billsfan!!
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 3:39 am

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
303 AM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A mid level long wave trough from northern Manitoba, Canada to the
Four Corners region of the U.S. slides east and stretches from
western Quebec to the southern plains by late Tue. In response an
Atlantic ridge across Cuba and the southern half of FL to the
Caribbean Sea eases to the southeast. At the surface a frontal
boundary across the Gulf of Mexico from south TX to south FL early
this morning slowly lifts north...reaching the Gulf coast and
north FL tonight as a low pressure area forms near LA. This low
tracks into GA/SC by late Tue...with a cold trailing southwest
over the Gulf. As the frontal boundary moves north relaxed
Atlantic high pressure builds in across Fl to the eastern Gulf
through tonight but begins to retreat Tue...as the cold front
approaches.

The front moving north with lower level flow becoming southeast and
southern as high pressure builds in from the east will provide warm
and moist air. This will support some lower chance showers later
today and into the evening. Moisture remains in place Tue as the
mid level trough and cold front approach from the west...
resulting in an increase in rain chances and supporting a few
thunderstorms. Temperatures will stay on the warm side of normal.

For Wed-Sun: The mid level trough deepens into a low over the lower
Mississippi Valley that slowly tracks to New England by Fri...
dragging the cold front through the east Gulf and across FL with
showers and thunderstorms. High pressure builds into the western
Gulf Fri then treks east through the weekend. This will usher in
drier and significantly cooler air on northerly flow.

&&
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 3:41 am

Good Monday morning folks!!..looks like another nice warm day ahead for most of us enjoy..have a great day everyone!!
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Post by StAugustineFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 6:16 am

Morning all. I get to join you all back in the 80's today after a couple of cooler days. 30-40% chance of rain today/tomorrow then rain chances really boost upward Wed/Wed night ahead of the cold front.

My brother in central Missouri had 2.5" of snow a few days ago. More forecast today although the heaviest will stay just to his south. Kinda uncommon to have 2 snowfalls before Thanksgiving up there.
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 8:54 am

Stay alert North Florida....................URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 426
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
435 AM CST Mon Nov 12 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme southwestern Alabama
Western Panhandle of Florida
Southern Louisiana
Southeastern Mississippi
Coastal Waters

* Effective this Monday morning from 435 AM until NOON CST.

* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible

SUMMARY...Potential for surface-based supercells and a few
accompanying tornadoes will increase as a warm front slowly shifts
inland, accompanied by favorable instability, moisture, lift, and
vertical shear.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles west southwest of
Intracoastal City LA to 20 miles southeast of Pensacola FL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 9:58 am

some showers sneaking up the east coast,good luck Melbourne folks etc........................CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief - Page 16 TBW_loop
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 9:58 am

some showers sneaking up the east coast,good luck Melbourne folks etc..sure could use some showers here too, hopefully Wednesday or Thursday we will, and cooler temps too
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 10:19 am

GFS model is saying Thursday's rain chances for Florida are pretty good!!..................CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief - Page 16 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_12
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 10:43 am

wow stay alert up there in the Panhandle area's.................................................CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief - Page 16 1542036781
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 10:47 am

CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief - Page 16 Fl_rain_tomorrow
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 10:48 am

I bet California would LOVE the above rain chances huh, gee so many suffering over there..
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Post by LargoFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 10:50 am

000
FXUS62 KJAX 121430
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
930 AM EST Mon Nov 12 2018


.UPDATE...Warm front to the south and offshore will lift north
today reaching se Ga by evening as low pressure moves northeastward
from the central Gulf coast. Scattered morning showers will
mainly affect coastal areas. Scattered afternoon and evening
showers and storms will develop over ne Fl as they move ne
towards the east coast by early evening. A few strong storms may
occur late this afternoon and evening across se Ga near warm
frontal boundary. Temperatures will range from the upper 60s to
mid 70s over se Ga to the upper 70s/lower 80s over ne Fl where
more heating will occur.

&&
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Post by StAugustineFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 11:37 am

California can use the rain for sure. It's about that time of year when their wet season begins. Hopefully it'll be a good one.
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Post by StAugustineFL on Mon Nov 12, 2018 2:16 pm

Had 3 brief showers here.  .21".  The next one zooming up from the south looks good.  Might get at least an additional .25" if is remains intact by the time it passes through.

CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief - Page 16 JQTDVha
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Post by LargoFL on Tue Nov 13, 2018 4:40 am


Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
411 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

.DISCUSSION..
A mid level trough from Hudson Bay to the southern high plains
early this morning eases eastward as the southern portion
separates and deepens into a low aloft the southern Mississippi
Valley late Wed. A complex frontal boundary accompanies this
trough...moving from the lower Great Lakes-central Gulf coast to
along the eastern seaboard and southwestward into the eastern
Gulf tonight. The boundary slows Wed as a wave/low forms on
it...near northeast FL/southeast GA. Surface high pressure from
the Atlantic extends across FL and into the extreme eastern Gulf
of Mexico today then pulls back east tonight then east of the
state Wed.

Light winds early this morning and adequate moisture has resulted
in patchy fog over central and north counties. This fog will
begin to lift around 8 am. Available moisture along with daytime
heating under partly cloudy skies will support some isolated to
scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. Rain chances begin to
increase Wed as the approaching front provides additional moisture
and energy. Temperatures stay on the warm side of normal for the
next day or so.

From Thu through Mon: Broad mid level troughing resides over the
east and much of the central U.S. with ridging across Cuba and the
Caribbean Seas...with nearly zonal flow aloft the Gulf of Mexico.
At the surface a frontal system across FL Thu exits to the
Atlantic early Fri as high pressure builds into the Gulf region.
This high pressure dominates the area as it slides eastward. A dry
front with a second area of high pressure will approach the gulf
region early next week. Showers and thunderstorms will clear the
area by late Thu or early Fri as a dry and significantly cooler
air mass spreads into the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
13/06Z TAF cycle. Light winds with patchy BR until shortly AFT
sunrise with MVFR/LCL IFR. Then prevailing VFR with VCNTY SHRA
and BKN clouds AOA 4K through the morning then decreasing clouds
through the afternoon and winds become S to SW.

&&
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Post by LargoFL on Tue Nov 13, 2018 4:43 am

Good Tuesday morning Folks!! another warm day ahead here again but rain chances up slightly at last,  I could use a good soaking here..looks like Thursday might be the best chance of that happening..well have a wonderful day everyone!!
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Post by StAugustineFL on Tue Nov 13, 2018 6:49 am

Morning. Had a really good rain around 11 o'clock last night. .91" in the gauge. Hopefully everyone gets some tomorrow into Thursday as it seems to dry out for awhile afterwards.
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Post by LargoFL on Tue Nov 13, 2018 8:55 am

StAugustineFL wrote:Morning.  Had a really good rain around 11 o'clock last night.  .91" in the gauge.  Hopefully everyone gets some tomorrow into Thursday as it seems to dry out for awhile afterwards.
Glad you got some good rain up there Aug.im wondering what..is going to happen down here when this strong cold front smashes into these 80' temps and..warm almost hot gulf waters surrounding my county...hope no bad winds and/or tornado's
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Post by LargoFL on Tue Nov 13, 2018 10:15 am

CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief - Page 16 1542115981
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Post by LargoFL on Tue Nov 13, 2018 2:18 pm

I made a new blog topic for us at................new Florida Blog
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