CLOSED Last Hurrah for March?

The oak tree looks like it's almost done shedding, I think. He bagged up 15 55 gallon bags this season.
The mandevillas are in full bloom.. They love hot and kinda dry, so they've been in heaven.

Bills, Miami disco teased that a cool down will affect south FL with the next one!

The GFS tease....

We shall see!

Yes it looks like the NE is going to get hammered!

Local Met said that this cold front will bring in a week of cooler weather. Sweet!

That's really cold for Mexico!

If it comes to fruition, poor Spring Breakers that should be arriving soon.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Looks like I'm not invited to the cool down party.

Morning All,
Bills fan you should get in on the cool down say thursdayish.
Front came threw this am and if your leaves are not down they will be now. Look like a leave storm when leaving for work this morning.
Have a great day!!
John Z-hills

StPeteFLwx wrote:
My orange tree is showing good buds, but it also has black soot on the leaves and the bark on the trunk is falling off.  Not sure how this will end

Ouch, StPete.

Black soot: "The fungus grows on honeydew, the sticky waste of sap-sucking insects such as aphids and whiteflies. Fungal spores settle on the honeydew, then germinate. On leaves, the sooty fungal growth can be heavy enough to interfere with photosynthesis. Ridding your tree of the insects will eliminate the fungus."

Bark: "Phytophthora rot root is a soil-borne disease that causes the bark to peel at the soil level. The trunk may become girdled, with visible wound tissue. Over time, the tree may show symptoms of decline such as leaf chlorosis, leaf and fruit drop, branch dieback and ultimately, death."

Sorry, buddy. Been there, done that.

Ruh Roh.

Link: Whatever happened to that Largo tree-top adventure course?

I wonder if this will shake the tree enough to pull someone out of the woodworks.

This looks pretty good, BillsFan.

JRnOldsmar wrote:Ouch, StPete.

Black soot:  "The fungus grows on honeydew, the sticky waste of sap-sucking insects such as aphids and whiteflies. Fungal spores settle on the honeydew, then germinate. On leaves, the sooty fungal growth can be heavy enough to interfere with photosynthesis. Ridding your tree of the insects will eliminate the fungus."  

Bark:  "Phytophthora rot root is a soil-borne disease that causes the bark to peel at the soil level. The trunk may become girdled, with visible wound tissue. Over time, the tree may show symptoms of decline such as leaf chlorosis, leaf and fruit drop, branch dieback and ultimately, death."

Sorry, buddy.  Been there, done that.

Thanks. I suspected it wasn't good. Need to hit it with Neem oil again but I don't want to knock the buds off.

JRnOldsmar wrote:This looks pretty good, BillsFan.

not too shabby! It is a very warm 86 right now.

The potentially bad news would surely draw him out JR. I'm not sure what to think at this point.

Hope StPete can resolve the orange tree issues and bills gets the cooler temps.

Perfect day here today weather wise. Full sun, 75, and a bit of a breeze. Wish I could have spent more than a few minutes outdoors (work)

I can tell the pollen is rearing its ugly head.

Morning.  Not a gully-washer by any means but haven't seen the peninsula painted like this in awhile.  Should help with the pollen.

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p120i.gif?1520072106

7 day forecast locally. Might need to throw a couple logs on the fire Thursday night.

A shot of the nor'easter

Fire outlook for today.

...Portions of Florida...
Northerly low-level flow will allow a dry post-frontal air mass to
infiltrate much of Florida, with minimum RH values less than 35% --   perhaps locally less than 25% --  expected during peak afternoon heating. The dry air mass, combined with sustained surface winds of around 10-15 mph (locally up to 20 mph), is expected to foster elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon in areas where fuels are dry/receptive.

Good day all. Simply gorgeous here. Low 70's... Yay

When I saw we had a post 5:28 am (email goes to my phone), I got my hopes up that maybe Largo was back.

No offense Aug.... it's always great to see your posts

A CoC day today, deluxe. Park, beach, pool, alcohol, trail.

Looks like the next front is just gonna beat me to Ft Myers for Spring Training. Heading down Thursday.

No 80's in the forecast this week, Tampa or Ft Myers. Hopefully some of these fronts will bring in some March rains, before the April/May transition to summer. (it was a red-flag day here)

None taken bills. I was an early bird yesterday.

That is a good day JR. Enjoy the spring training game(s).

Looks like 2 chances or rain in the 7 day period. Tuesday night then next weekend.

Chilly start to the day.  Nearby PWS is reporting 37.  Not quite sure if it's really that cold but other stations are also in the 30's.  Majority in the 40's aside from some 50's near the St Johns River or Atlantic Ocean.

Edit: Must be that cold. Took out the pooch again in the daylight. Patchy frost on the rooftops along with steam rising up off the warmer waters of the retention pond out back.

StAugustineFL wrote:Chilly start to the day.  Nearby PWS is reporting 37.  Not quite sure if it's really that cold but other stations are also in the 30's.  Majority in the 40's aside from some 50's near the St Johns River or Atlantic Ocean.

Edit:  Must be that cold.  Took out the pooch again in the daylight.  Patchy frost on the rooftops along with steam rising up off the warmer waters of the retention pond out back.

Chilly, Aug. Looks like Thurs could dip a little lower.

Barely broke 50 this a.m. Already up to 52.

Morning everyone...

Have a great time at spring training JR!

I saw an interesting post on FB from NWS Ruskin about the 10 degree difference between Tampa Int'l Airport and the Clearwater airport. I had varying PWS reports around me. My "doojob" said 50 here, but I have it in a very protected area to reduce any "inflated" high temp readings.

The ones closest to me were reading 47, so I'll go with that.

I take that back, it was 16 degree difference over 10 miles and I was SO wrong about the airports....lol

What a beautiful PWAT reading from Ruskin's morning sounding - .16"

It is just lovely out.
Time change next Saturday. Boo!!!

Morning All,
Still no sign of Largo
Weekend morning temps....
Saturday 40.1
Sunday 38.6
Monday 35.8
That's the way we roll up here. Was a really nice weekend outside.
Have a great day all!!
John Z-hills

What a beautiful weekend. Temps were quite chilly during the AM, but warmed up nicely during the day. Actually had patchy frost yesterday with a low of 34, and more widespread frost today with a low of 32. Quite a bit colder than the forecast of upper thirties. Looks like the next cold front might be even colder and I don't think we are at the last Hurrah for March just yet. JB mentions the possibility of a mega east coast storm coming out of the Gulf towards the end of March as a possibility with this pattern. He even hints at 1993 as an analog, but didn't go as far as forecasting a 93 Storm of the Century.

good morning everyone~

Wow, you guys sure did get a bit chilly up your way. It was 60 when I left for work this morning. Perfect IMO!

Yes, still no Largo

That's something WD. I was just talking about the 1993 storm the other day. That was an amazing storm that covered such a huge area.

We could sure use some good rain

The In-laws are flying back to Minneapolis tomorrow night. Hopefully, the delays are a minimum.  A week of some of the best that Florida has to offer.

Now, I'm looking forward to this:

Hope the in-laws have a safe trip JR.

I'm not very confident that we will get much rain.

Hopefully will stick together.  Friend of mine in New Orleans said they got rain all night

The latest HRRR forecast

And the total QPF by hour 18

sangria wrote:And the total QPF by hour 18

That looks about right for my area. Rains are poofing on approach. Good luck to everyone else.

I didn't realize SPC had put the coast in "marginal"  




SPC AC 061931

  Day 1 Convective Outlook  
  NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
  0131 PM CST Tue Mar 06 2018

  Valid 062000Z - 071200Z

  ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
  WEST COAST OF FLORIDA...

  ...SUMMARY...
  Thunderstorms forming along and ahead of a cold front will pose a
  marginal severe-weather risk over west-central Florida overnight.

  ...FL...
  Current radar trends indicate the strongest storms remain well
  offshore the FL Panhandle, with a broad area of rain inland
  along/ahead of the front. As such, have removed the Marginal Risk
  from the FL Panhandle. Other storms may strengthen this evening and
  overnight over the water, and affect the west coast of FL with
  primarily a localized damaging wind threat.

  ..Jewell.. 03/06/2018

  .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1011 AM CST Tue Mar 06 2018/

  ...Discussion...
  A cold front from the southern Appalachians southwest into the
  north-central Gulf of Mexico is expected to progress eastward during
  the period, as an occluded upper low over Iowa rotates across the
  Ohio and Tennessee Valleys.  The front is expected to extend from
  the Carolina Piedmont into the northeast Gulf by this evening,
  reaching the central Florida peninsula by the end of the period.

  Along and ahead of the front, thunderstorm potential will persist as
  air mass modification continues over the Loop Current and low-level
  moisture gradually increases northeastward within the pre-frontal
  environment.  Modest instability with MLCAPE around 500-750 J/kg
  will remain primarily over the Gulf waters with more marginal
  instability spreading into coastal sections of northwest Florida
  this afternoon and west-central Florida tonight.  

  A pre-frontal convective line currently over southeast Alabama and
  far northwest Florida is expected to progress eastward this
  afternoon.  VAD wind profiles in advance of the line indicate strong
  low-level and deep layer shear favorable to enhance storm
  organization, with some potential for brief rotation to develop
  within stronger embedded cells.  Model guidance including CAM/HREF
  explicit storm attribute forecasts maintain a few weakly rotating
  updrafts mainly over the Gulf,  although several UH tracks affect
  the immediate coastal regions of northwest Florida this afternoon.
  As storms along/ahead of the advancing cold front move into the
  eastern Gulf tonight and approach the west-central Florida coast,
  several stronger cells may affect the immediate coastal sections.
  Isolated strong wind gusts and possibly a brief tornado will be
  possible with stronger cells over the Marginal Risk area.

Hello All,
Everything went POOF!!! .16 in the bucket.
Really thought we would get a lot more.
O-Well maybe next time.
Fire watch is out be careful.
John Z-hills

Only 1 cap Poof here. .25 in the bucket. Just take this cooler air down to Ft Myers, and I'm good. Long road trip tomorrow. To Orlando, then to Ft Myers. Back on Tuesday. Planning to stop by a new brewery in Largo on the way home. If time permits, I can spend some time in the area, to see the sights.

I'd say that qualifies as a bust, but I'll take whatever I can get! .18" in the bucket for me.

That's quite the drive tomorrow JR, hope traffic is kind to you on I-4.

Obviously ditto for me barely anything.

Thanks, San. Gotta get going by 6:30 here, and Orlando is gonna be hell. This morning I-4E got shutdown at Davenport. Mostly backroads heading south to kick back and take in the scenery. No schedule.

Good afternoon. Been one of those weeks at work. .04" registered in the gauge. Better luck to all over the weekend.

Safe travels JR. I hear horror stories about 1-4.