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CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 9 EmptySat Aug 22, 2020 9:09 am by BillsfaninSoFla

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CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Thu Sep 20, 2018 5:22 pm

How interesting St Pete. Thanks

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Thu Sep 20, 2018 6:19 pm

But hey, I heard thunder, so I guess I got a thunderstorm.

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Post by JRnOldsmar Thu Sep 20, 2018 8:34 pm

Got a real one tonight. Big boomers with several very close strikes. 1.3" in 20 mins. Total 1.6".
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Thu Sep 20, 2018 10:18 pm

Good for you JR! So darn hot and dry here. Had to run the sprinklers on Sunday and tonight. (Our allowed days))

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Post by LargoFL Fri Sep 21, 2018 4:54 am

Good Friday Morning and TGIF!!!!!!........well around 8pm last night the sky here above me was so freaky looking, dark clouds with a hmm.. greenish tint, some swirling, and lightning flashes up there..i got my dog inside,it started booming and we went to sleep..this morning i see some small pools of water along the curbs so i guess i got some good rain too..well same 40% chance today, could use more rain so hot and humid it is...so have a great day folks!
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Post by LargoFL Fri Sep 21, 2018 6:37 am

NWS Tampa...552 AM EDT Fri Sep 21 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected from early this
afternoon into the early evening...with the greatest coverage
near the coast south of the Interstate 4 corridor. These storms
will slowly dissipate and drift offshore during the evening. The
strongest storms will be capable of producing gusty
winds...locally heavy rainfall...and frequent deadly lightning
strikes.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
Some area rivers remain at or near flood stage. Any additional
rainfall today may prolong or worsen existing flooding depending
on where the heaviest rains fall. Residents living along rivers or
faster flowing streams should remain aware of water levels and be
ready to move to higher ground should conditions warrant

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered to at times numerous afternoon showers and thunderstorms
are expected each day. The strongest storms will be capable of
producing gusty winds...locally heavy rains...and frequent deadly
lightning strikes.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
Additional rainfall over the next several days will result in many
area rivers remaining at or near flood stage.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

09/RKR
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Post by waterdipper Fri Sep 21, 2018 7:49 am

TGIF. My rain free days ended yesterday as an afternoon T-storm brought me 0.65" of unwanted rainfall in 15 minutes.  I had 6 days in a row of no rain which was my longest stretch of rainless days since the first week of June.

Flooding continues to be a problem in the low lying Nature Coast and TV20 out of Gainesville did a special about the flooding last night. They focused in on the ongoing flooding in Dixie County in particular, but it is happening in all counties of the Nature Coast and Big Bend. This flooding is what they are calling ground-water flooding where the ground is 100% saturated and the water has no-where to go but down into the ground once the water table drops. There are many residents there that are boating to there houses currently and have been doing so since July with no end in sight. Hopefully the area will begin to dry out as we go into Fall, but with the likelihood of an El Nino this Winter, the flooding issues will most likely continue from this Summer all the way into next Spring before it will completely dry out .

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Fri Sep 21, 2018 8:25 am

WD- so sorry to hear this.

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Post by JRnOldsmar Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:03 am

Best of luck up there, WD. Doesn't sound promising.
Link:  TV20 Story
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Post by JRnOldsmar Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:08 am

There's still a lot going on out there. If the conditions ripen, we could certainly have something else to watch.

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
805 AM EDT Fri Sep 21 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1145 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave likely to be analyzed today near the coast of
Africa based on model guidance and satellite imagery. The present
satellite imagery shows a broad canopy of multilayer clouds with
scattered moderate to strong convection ahead of the wave from 04N
to 13N between 16W and 21W. The imagery also shows pretty good
upper- level outflow with this activity as marked by the cirrus
clouds fanning outward away from convection.

Another far eastern Atlantic Ocean has its axis along 26W/27W
from 03N to 20N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Only isolated
showers and weak thunderstorms are within 60 nm either side of the
wave axis from 04N to 08N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 50W/51W from
05N to 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is within 60 nm either side of the wave
from 11N to 14N. Scattered moderate convection is within 30 nm of
12N48W and within 30 nm of 11N49W. Dry mid-level air and strong
upper level winds are expected to hinder any development of this
disturbance while it moves toward the WNW.

A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave has its axis along 74W south
of 20N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are seen within 240 nm east of the wave
north of 15N to across the Dominican Republic. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are north of 15N and west of the wave to 75W.
Satellite imagery has been showing Saharan dust to the east of
the wave from 12N to 24N between 57W and 67W. Puerto Rico and the
Virgin Islands have been reporting hazy conditions.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough axis extends from the coastal border sections
of Guinea and Sierra Leone near 09N13W to 05N20W. The ITCZ
continues from 05N20W to 06N28W, to 05N38W, and 08N44W. Other than
convection associated with the wave along the coast of Africa,
and with the one along 26W/27W, scattered moderate convection is
seen within 210 nm north of the ITCZ between 40W and 45W.

...DISCUSSION...

GULF OF MEXICO...

An upper-level cyclonic circulation center is moving westward over
S Florida near 26N81W. Associated upper-level cyclonic wind flow
covers Florida, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Atlantic Ocean from
the Florida Straits to 32N between 75W and 85W. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms are over the eastern gulf waters from 24N to
27N east of 85W. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere
over the basin.

High pressure building in the eastern U.S.A. will support gentle
to moderate E to SE winds, and sea heights ranging from 1 foot to
4 feet, across the basin through Sun. It is possible that typical
nocturnal surface trough, that will be moving westward across the
southwestern corner of the Gulf of Mexico, may produce locally
fresh winds through Saturday.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Broad upper-level cyclonic wind flow, with a trough, covers the
Caribbean Sea from Hispaniola westward. Isolated moderate
rainshowers are in the area of upper level cyclonic wind flow.

The eastern Pacific monsoon trough axis is along 08N/09N from 75W
in Colombia beyond southern Costa Rica. Scattered mdoerate to
strong convection is over the far western portion of the
southwestern Caribbean south of 14N and west of 80W.

The Hispaniola tropical wave will move westward into Central
America through Sunday. Gusty winds are possible near rainshowers
associated with this wave. High pressure building westward from
the central Atlantic Ocean into the Bahamas will support moderate
to fresh trade winds and building seas through Friday. The wind
speeds will diminish across most of the basin during the upcoming
weekend.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

An upper-level cyclonic circulation center is near 28N80W, moving
from the Atlantic Ocean toward Florida. Upper level cyclonic wind
flow covers Florida, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Atlantic Ocean
from the Florida Straits to 32N between 75W and 85W. Isolated
moderate rainshowers are in the area of upper level cyclonic wind
flow. Other isolated moderate rainshowers are in the Atlantic
Ocean from 25N to 30N between 70W and 75W.

A cold front extends from 1008 mb low pressure center that is
near 33N63W, to 30N66W 28N70W 28N74W, and 29N81W near the coast
of Florida. Isolated moderate to locally strong rainshowers cover
the area that is from 28N northward between 46W and 66W. Dry air,
that is associated with a weakening frontal system, and strong
upper level winds, are expected to inhibit any significant
development during the next couple of days. It is possible that
conditions may become a bit more conducive for the 1006 mb low
pressure center to acquire some tropical characteristics,
gradually, early next week, while the system moves southward on
Sunday, and then drifts westward to the southwest of Bermuda on
Monday.

A surface trough is along 33W/35W, from 24N to 32N. A 1018 mb low
pressure center is along the trough near 30N. The 1018 mb low
pressure center is the remnant of Joyce. Rainshowers are possible
from 24N northward between 30W and 37W.

An upper-level trough extends from a 31N24W cyclonic circulation
center, to a second upper level cyclonic circulation center that
is near 28N40W, to 21N47W, to a third upper level cyclonic
circulation center that is near 14N52W, to 14N60W. Isolated
moderate rainshowers are within 180 nm on either side of the line
that runs from 33N19W to 30N30W to 27N40W, and within 600 nm on
either side of the line that runs from 27N40W to 17N47W.

The current Bermuda to 29N81W cold front will reach 27N on
Friday, and then dissipate through Saturday. The low pressure
center that is associated with the front will drift southward
through Sat, and then it will move northwestward early next week.
NE swell is forecast to affect the waters E of the Bahamas
through early next week.

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
MT/Aguirre
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Post by StPeteFLwx Fri Sep 21, 2018 9:33 am

waterdipper wrote:TGIF. My rain free days ended yesterday as an afternoon T-storm brought me 0.65" of unwanted rainfall in 15 minutes.  I had 6 days in a row of no rain which was my longest stretch of rainless days since the first week of June.

Flooding continues to be a problem in the low lying Nature Coast and TV20 out of Gainesville did a special about the flooding last night. They focused in on the ongoing flooding in Dixie County in particular, but it is happening in all counties of the Nature Coast and Big Bend. This flooding is what they are calling ground-water flooding where the ground is 100% saturated and the water has no-where to go but down into the ground once the water table drops. There are many residents there that are boating to there houses currently and have been doing so since July with no end in sight. Hopefully the area will begin to dry out as we go into Fall, but with the likelihood of an El Nino this Winter, the flooding issues will most likely continue from this Summer all the way into next Spring before it will completely dry out .

Wow, water levels are way up near you.  Lets hope no storms
CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 9 USGS.02312558.32463.00060..20180914.20180921.log.3.p50.pres

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Post by StPeteFLwx Fri Sep 21, 2018 3:15 pm

Here it comes Largo
CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 9 WUNIDS_map?station=TBW&brand=wui&num=1&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=0

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Post by JRnOldsmar Fri Sep 21, 2018 3:34 pm

You bet, StPete. 1" in 15 mins of 45 degree rain with some monster gusts. Plenty of lightning, 2 very close -- still seeing the shadows. Wink
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Post by StPeteFLwx Fri Sep 21, 2018 3:39 pm

JRnOldsmar wrote:You bet, StPete.  1" in 15 mins of 45 degree rain with some monster gusts.  Plenty of lightning, 2 very close -- still seeing the shadows.  Wink

No rain here yet, just thunder. But that outflow boundary going through was cool. Can still sort of see it in the radar to the south

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Fri Sep 21, 2018 4:36 pm

Holy cow! What an impressive radar!

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Post by StAugustineFL Fri Sep 21, 2018 5:33 pm

Good afternoon. Radar has refreshed since those storms rolled through but did see on my phone app they looked fierce in spots. Looked like quick movers too so I'm sure high wind producers in areas.
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Fri Sep 21, 2018 6:02 pm

I should’ve quoted.

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Post by sangria Fri Sep 21, 2018 7:04 pm

Awww ... WD, sorry to hear about some of the folks and the flooding issues. I'm not sure I buy into the El Nino this winter though.

I had a very nice training cell set up over me last night. It was pretty gentle to begin with but had some doozy thunder. I expected an inch or so in the gauge this morning but dumped 2.46" out at 7am. I fell asleep before 10:00pm so a lot of that fell afterwards.

I've heard a bit of thunder this afternoon (yep, I get another thunderstorm day!) but nothing has fallen from the sky so far.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Sep 22, 2018 6:14 am

StPeteFLwx wrote:Here it comes Largo
CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 9 WUNIDS_map?station=TBW&brand=wui&num=1&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=0
omg, in 1 minute i got a HUGE Blast of 40+mph winds!!!!...and just a few drops of rain from that storm that crossed pinellas..geez outside the whole block had branches etc down all over the place...LOL in one minute..Mother Nature shower her wrath lol
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Post by LargoFL Sat Sep 22, 2018 6:15 am

NWS Tampa...500 AM EDT Sat Sep 22 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into the early
evening with the best chances near the west coast. These storms
will weaken and slowly dissipate as they drift offshore during the
evening hours. The strongest storms will be capable of producing
gusty winds, locally heavy rainfall, and frequent deadly lightning
strikes.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered mainly afternoon and early evening showers and
thunderstorms are expected each day with the strongest storms
capable of producing gusty winds, locally heavy rainfall, and
frequent deadly lightning strikes.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

PRC
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Post by LargoFL Sat Sep 22, 2018 6:17 am

Good Saturday Morning everyone!!...well NWS is mentioning a slightly higher rain chance for here today, maybe 50% i could use a good rain again, lets see if it happens....Have a great day everyone
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Post by sangria Sat Sep 22, 2018 7:17 am

Morning everyone....

NWS Ruskin put out their fall newsletter. I went back and read through a few of the archived ones(I didn't know they existed), and there are some good reads in there.

https://www.weather.gov/tbw/tampabaysuncoastweatherobserver
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Post by LargoFL Sat Sep 22, 2018 8:08 am

sangria wrote:Morning everyone....

NWS Ruskin put out their fall newsletter.  I went back and read through a few of the archived ones(I didn't know they existed), and there are some good reads in there.

https://www.weather.gov/tbw/tampabaysuncoastweatherobserver
thanks for this San..that El-Nino is a good read in there..hope no Tornado's by us whew.
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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Sep 22, 2018 8:19 am

sangria wrote:Morning everyone....

NWS Ruskin put out their fall newsletter.  I went back and read through a few of the archived ones(I didn't know they existed), and there are some good reads in there.

https://www.weather.gov/tbw/tampabaysuncoastweatherobserver

Morning. I think that first article about El Nino with a mention of 2016 was our SPC high risk day with TOR CON 10's. I definitely know it was in January. That was a stressful day. Hope I don't see that again!

I see the archives but nothing from 2014 - 2017. Maybe they discontinued for awhile?

Opposite of WD it has become increasingly dry here with the persistent onshore flow that has seemed to be locked in for the past month with a few exceptions here and there. September is shaping up to be well below normal rainfall wise. It's the wettest month of the year in these parts but will end up with the lowest amount of precipitation since March.
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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Sep 22, 2018 8:33 am

I was off a year.  It was 2017.

Edit: In addition to the below here's a link from the SPC archives. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/archive/2017/day1otlk_20170122_2000.html

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Post by sangria Sat Sep 22, 2018 9:09 am

Might as well toss in the storm reports from Jan 21 and 22 to go along with that Outlook your threw up there Aug!

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/170121_rpts.html

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Post by LargoFL Sat Sep 22, 2018 9:47 am

well it must be fall, my oak tree's beginning their dropping leaves..whew..just went on the roof..blowing out the gutters..man almost full,,well next month or until the leaf dropping is over i have to get up there often.
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Post by LargoFL Sat Sep 22, 2018 9:49 am

NWS MIAMI...Sat Sep 22 2018

...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK PALM BEACH COUNTY TODAY...
...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING TODAY...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip Currents: There is a moderate risk for rip currents for the Palm
Beach County beaches today, and a low risk along the Broward and
Miami-Dade County beaches.

Thunderstorms: scattered thunderstorms are expected today. The
greatest hazard from these storms is frequent lightning, although
small hail and wind gusts to around 45 mph are also possible with a
few of the stronger storms.

Flooding: localized flooding of poor drainage areas is possible if
thunderstorms develop over urban areas today.

Waterspouts: waterspouts are possible in the Atlantic and Biscayne
Bay waters today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Scattered mainly afternoon thunderstorms are forecast each day,
especially over the western interior. The primary threats are
lightning and localized flooding of poor drainage areas.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, however individual
spotters are encouraged to report high wind, hail, funnel clouds,
waterspouts, and flooding to the National Weather Service forecast
office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$
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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Sep 22, 2018 10:25 am

Largo, I'll soon be joining you in the gutter cleaning.  Have a crepe myrtle growing over one corner of the house and a second soon to grow over.  Nothing like your large oaks but some busy work nonetheless.

San, to add to your SPC, here's a radar i saved.  Supercells everywhere.  If memory serves me correct our saving grace was they were clustered too close to one another stealing energy otherwise it may have been "game on".

CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 9 GLDG7p0
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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Sep 22, 2018 10:38 am

We have a low rider.  Models aren't thinking much of it but something to monitor over the coming days. The "cone" is quite narrow so pretty certain it's headed just north of west as it navigates the Atlantic.

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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Sep 22, 2018 10:45 am

Atlantic basin. The storm in the CATL is modeled to stay out there for days. Looks like no threat to land but might be fun to watch as it'll be around for a long time.

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Post by StAugustineFL Sat Sep 22, 2018 10:46 am

Close to home a nice ULL off the west coast of FL. Not forecast to do anything but interesting to watch.

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Post by LargoFL Sun Sep 23, 2018 7:19 am

NWS Tampa...525 AM EDT Sun Sep 23 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected mainly in the
afternoon and evening hours with the best chances along the coast.
Thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing strong
gusty winds, locally heavy rains, and frequent deadly lightning
strikes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected each afternoon and evening.
Thunderstorms will be capable of producing strong gusty
winds, locally heavy rains, and frequent deadly lightning
strikes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

Hubbard
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Post by LargoFL Sun Sep 23, 2018 7:21 am

Good Sunday Morning folks!!...well no rain by me in several days and this brutally HOT sunshine is making things outside wilt again, guess i'll put the sprinklers on..have a wonderful day folks!!
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Post by sangria Sun Sep 23, 2018 7:39 am

Good morning everyone!  Damn at the TWO!  AT least it looks like that low pressure that might head toward the Carolinas coast won't amount to much

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Post by StAugustineFL Sun Sep 23, 2018 7:50 am

Morning. Yeah, that area forecast to head towards the Carolinas will get swept up by a front. Speaking of fronts, while one hasn't passed through here it felt nice outside when I took the pooch out. Some upper 60's earlier from nearby PWS's!
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Post by LargoFL Sun Sep 23, 2018 10:34 am

StAugustineFL wrote:Largo, I'll soon be joining you in the gutter cleaning.  Have a crepe myrtle growing over one corner of the house and a second soon to grow over.  Nothing like your large oaks but some busy work nonetheless.

San, to add to your SPC, here's a radar i saved.  Supercells everywhere.  If memory serves me correct our saving grace was they were clustered too close to one another stealing energy otherwise it may have been "game on".

CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 9 GLDG7p0
ah one of my neighbors has that crape myrtle tree and in talking to him..i now know what you mean lol
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Post by LargoFL Sun Sep 23, 2018 10:35 am

CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 9 1537711561
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Post by LargoFL Sun Sep 23, 2018 10:36 am

unless something changes..Kirk stays a TS all the way across but when he reaches the islands he goes Poof..probably a good thing for us.
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Post by LargoFL Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:25 am

Good early Monday Morning folks!!..man what a powerful thunderstorm i had here last evening, BOOMING Thunder, Lots of lightning and rain, dogs were so upset, these storms sat over my house, just sitting up there, booming thunder for hours..me and my dogs huddled (LOL) on the sofa, dogs were thinking..save us !!,,never saw them so scared, then again its been a LONG time since a TS was sooo Loud..right over my house seemed like..weather guy did say the storms were hardly moving here on the west coast..i wonder how JR and ST Pete made out and were the storms over them also??..well im glad my grass etc is all wet now..guess i did get some rain last night...well have a wonderful day everyone!!
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Post by LargoFL Mon Sep 24, 2018 6:56 am

50% or more rain chances later this afternoon/evening..........................Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
443 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-242045-
Sumter-Pinellas-Polk-Hardee-Highlands-DeSoto-Coastal Levy-
Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Pasco-
Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-
Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Citrus-
Inland Hernando-Inland Pasco-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Manatee-
Inland Sarasota-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-Tampa Bay waters-
Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-
Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
443 AM EDT Mon Sep 24 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected mainly in the
afternoon and evening hours. Thunderstorms that develop will be
capable of producing strong gusty winds, locally heavy rains, and
frequent deadly lightning strikes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected each afternoon and evening.
Thunderstorms will be capable of producing strong gusty winds,
locally heavy rains, and frequent deadly lightning strikes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

Hubbard
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Post by LargoFL Mon Sep 24, 2018 8:00 am

well a nice clear morning here by me, weather guy is still saying maybe some Thunderstorms again this afternoon/evening..hopefully waiting till you folks get home and off the roads.
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Post by LargoFL Mon Sep 24, 2018 8:02 am

GFS has a pacific crossover storm heading to the Gulf,too far out in time to fully believe but.....CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 9 Gfs_mslp_pcpn_watl_51
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Post by waterdipper Mon Sep 24, 2018 8:32 am

Good Monday morning. Had a rain free weekend, but my goodness was it extremely hot and humid for late September. I think I lost 10 pounds from sweating alone. Normally by this time we would be talking about our first cool down here in Levy County, but it doesn't look like that is anywhere in site right now. Looks like summer is going to hang on through the month and even into October. Maybe by the second week of October we will get a reprieve.

Here is a link to a Fall summary from the NWS on when we normally expect our first cool down in west coast FL.

https://www.weather.gov/tbw/whencool

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Post by JRnOldsmar Mon Sep 24, 2018 9:15 am

Thanks for the link, WD. Personally, I'd rather see when we dip below 70 for the first time down here. (reference: Aug above) That's more like the beginning of fall to me.

Surprisingly a dry weekend. No rain on Saturday and barely measurable on Sunday (at the house). I was at the beach after dinner, so caught the big storm there. Nice show and got my truck washed on the way home.
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Post by LargoFL Mon Sep 24, 2018 11:58 am

gome just might be getting some of these storms,stay alert and safe ok..CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 9 1537803961
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Post by LargoFL Mon Sep 24, 2018 12:00 pm

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mobile AL
948 AM CDT Mon Sep 24 2018

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-251500-
Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-
Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central-
Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George-
948 AM CDT Mon Sep 24 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
Alabama...southwest Alabama...northwest Florida and southeast
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is now a moderate risk of rip currents along the beaches of
Alabama and the northwest Florida panhandle through tonight.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected today.
Some localities may see several storms pass in a short time, causing
ponding of water to nuisance flooding in poor drainage areas.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are through much
of the period. Some localities may see several storms pass in a
short time, causing ponding of water to nuisance flooding in poor
drainage areas.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Activation of SkyWarn Severe Storm Spotter networks is not
expected through Sunday.

$$
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Post by LargoFL Mon Sep 24, 2018 2:03 pm

storms firing up all over Florida but Panhandle might be getting some severe storms looks like..CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 9 1537810201
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Post by LargoFL Mon Sep 24, 2018 2:05 pm

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1224 PM EDT MON SEP 24 2018

FLC037-241830-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FA.Y.0086.180924T1624Z-180924T1830Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Franklin FL-
1224 PM EDT MON SEP 24 2018

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a

* Flood Advisory for Minor Flooding in Poor Drainage Areas for...
North central Franklin County in Big Bend of Florida...

* Until 230 PM EDT.

* At 1223 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. This will cause minor flooding. Overflowing poor
drainage areas will result in minor flooding in the advisory area.
Three to four inches of rain have fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Carrabelle, Carrabelle Beach, Morgan Place, Royal Bluff, High
Bluff, Yent Place and Green Point.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

&&

LAT...LON 2974 8484 3001 8491 3001 8462 2985 8460

$$

32
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:03 pm

Boy Largo, you sure have been getting some wicked storms!

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