CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

I'm guessing that low is the remnants of Kirk.

Good morning everyone! Not liking those models Largo! I realize it’s early but.....

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Good morning everyone!   Not liking those models Largo!  I realize it’s early but.....

yes same here billsfan,season is still active

StAugustineFL wrote:I'm guessing that low is the remnants of Kirk.

yeah we'll have to see if its named IF it indeed is kirk and rekindles

say..does that ECMF30 person still post around the web?

? Don’t know Largo. I don’t really remember that handle.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:? Don’t know Largo.  I don’t really remember that handle.

he posted on the 2017 blogs in here..if it IS a he..i dunno

Oh now it sounds familiar

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Oh now it sounds familiar

Billsfan..scroll up to the top of the page here and just under the thunderbolt..check out the memberList

I sent an email to Jenny..she was a good poster. wish she'd come back.

man just about all the models have something organizing somewhere under Cuba next week

LargoFL wrote:I sent an email to Jenny..she was a good poster. wish she'd come back.

yeah, miss Jenny, Scott, Ed all of them!

Under Cuba in October equals not good!

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Under Cuba in October equals not good!

yeah thats for sure, still time yet for tracks to change.

Good Sunday morning folks!!..models still hinting and something forming under Cuba, nothing yet thank goodness...well have a great day everyone!!

NWS Tampa...350 AM EDT Sun Sep 30 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, mainly over
Southwest Florida. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing
strong gusty winds, locally heavy rains, and frequent deadly
lightning strikes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, mainly over
Southwest Florida. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing
strong gusty winds, locally heavy rains, and frequent deadly
lightning strikes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

Noah

NWS Miami...419 AM EDT Sun Sep 30 2018

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES...
...GUSTY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN TODAY...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: A high risk of rip currents will exist along the
Atlantic beaches.

Thunderstorms: Morning Atlantic storms will spread west across South
Florida as the day goes on becoming more scattered by the afternoon.
The primary hazards will be lightning, heavy rainfall, and gusty
winds.

Waterspouts: Isolated waterspouts are possible across the South
Florida coastal waters today including Lake Okeechobee.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Scattered thunderstorms are forecast with the highest coverage
across the western interior and Gulf coast most afternoons. The main
threat with any activity is lightning.

An increasing pressure gradient will lead to higher winds and
building seas in the Atlantic and Gulf waters that will persist into
early week. The elevated risk of Rip Currents along the Atlantic
beaches is possible through most of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

Good morning everyone!

Yes, emcf used to be active here in the blog but life is busy for him these days.

It would not be a surprise to see something form down in the Carib - we generally see more western Carib/GOM systems during October.

The thing that is the issue with part of the Carib is the high shear - this is pretty normal for this time of year in that part of the Carib, hence the "graveyard."

Morning.  I wonder where Scott landed.  He had that alpha male personality and has to be floating around on some weather site unknown to us.  I can't see him not participating somewhere.  As to "E" (emcf30) as we called him, posting on weather sites has taken a back seat to more important matters.

Looks like a potential brief local nor'easter sets up here tomorrow with the potential for heavy rain. We shall see how it unfolds.

Good morning! Thanks for the weather and people updates!
Lol on Scott! Definitely the Alpha personality. I used to love it when he’d get into spats with the clique over on WU!
I hope you’re right about shear San!

Not sure where those morning showers for South Florida are? Not by me that’s for certain.

Good Monday Morning folks!!...it looks like models are still hinting ar something tropical forming below Cuba possibly late this week-early next week,and just in case its still a good time to go over plans and supplies huh..hope we dont need them..well this heat wave is something else whew..hurry up cold fronts lol..well have a great day everyone!!

hmmmm next monday on..could..get very interesting

NWS Miami...347 AM EDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG ATLANTIC BEACHES...
...THUNDERSTORMS FOCUSED OVER ATLANTIC AND EAST COAST TODAY...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: A High Risk of Rip Currents continues along the
Atlantic beaches.

Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms today, mainly over the
Atlantic waters and along the east coast, will be capable of
producing lightning, heavy rain, and gusty winds.

Waterspouts: Isolated waterspouts will be possible mainly this
morning along the Atlantic waters including Biscayne Bay.

Waves: Small Craft should exercise caution today in the Atlantic,
particularly around the Gulf stream where seas up to 8 feet are
possible today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are forecast with the highest
coverage across the western interior and Gulf coast most afternoons.
The main threat with any activity is lightning.

A tight pressure gradient will lead to higher winds and building
seas in the Atlantic and Gulf waters that will persist into early
week. The elevated risk of Rip Currents along the Atlantic beaches is
possible through most of the week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

RAG

AUG..where do you think that HIGH will be around the 8th or 9th??,,hope it dont block this tropical whatever from moving away from us.

ok i still have 6-7 cases of bottled water, im ok on that..i'll wait till friday-saturday to see if she needs any food items..my freezer is full, we'll eat the things in there first if we lose power..got plenty of charcoal for BBQ if needed..guess im still prepared...are you folks?

ok now this is downright scary, hopefully it doesnt verify,many days yet to change but......

just read somewhere that JULY 2018 was the hottest month on record for Earth,gee we are living thru History

Billsfan..whatever does form..the models seem to think its going thru the straights of FL..so far anyway..still a week away unless That changes also

well it seems..whatever track it takes northward,most if us will get something from it huh

Largo-Please make that go AWAY... )

Precip here for September. Once that High set up mid-month everything shut down

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Largo-Please make that go AWAY... )

yes i too hope it really DOES go away..one good thing we have 6-7-8 days or more to watch and see if it forms..nothing at all there right now ok,im waiting to see if NWS Miami starts mentioning any of its effects this coming weekend..if they do..we'll start watching in earnest for sure..

StPeteFLwx wrote:Precip here for September. Once that High set up mid-month everything shut down

yes the good rains surely stopped all of a sudden huh st pete

well its October and still 90+ temps thru this week, our cool fronts still far away?

well it would be a good thing IF..this coming storm went over those High Mountains in Cuba..weakened, then became a good rainmaker for SE Florida, a place that hasnt been getting the good rains yet,,thats a possibility i would think.

Happy October everyone. The heat has been relentless with no break in sight - is this normal? Our pool is 98! Seems like there might be some mischief brewing and it’s not Halloween related... we shall see.

PuppyToes wrote:Happy October everyone. The heat has been relentless with no break in sight - is this normal? Our pool is 98! Seems like there might be some mischief brewing and it’s not Halloween related... we shall see.

Hiya PT, yes sure is hot OUTSIDE whew