CLOSED Florida/Alabama Blog - October Tropical Mischief

Aerial video from the Mexico Beach area. This is heart-breaking.

https://twitter.com/twitter/statuses/1050389263794274304

StAugustineFL wrote:Aerial video from the Mexico Beach area.  This is heart-breaking.

https://twitter.com/twitter/statuses/1050389263794274304

Morning AUG,yeah ive been reading the news reports and pics..Horrible alright..gee

ational Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
308 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

.SHORT TERM (Today-Saturday)...
Upper shortwave moving through the SE US pushing first cold front
of the season into the area early this morning with surface high
pressure dropping into the Gulf Coast region bringing a much
drier airmass to most of the FL Peninsula today through Saturday.
Ahead of the front, some moisture pooling is producing patchy
fog, low clouds and light rain mainly from the Suncoast down
into SW FL early this morning. But with frontal passage and
drier air mixing those conditions are expected to be short
lived except will keep about 20% chance of afternoon showers
as the front finally moves into S FL later today.

Afternoon temps hold in the mid to upper 80s today and Saturday,
while low temps will be noticeable cooler tonight into Saturday
morning. Expect much drier atmosphere over the area with PWATs
dropping to an 1 inch or less through C FL today then through
southern areas tonight-Saturday.

.LONG TERM (Saturday Night - Thursday)...
During the second half of the weekend, broad mid level ridging will
build across the Florida Peninsula and the Gulf of Mexico, shifting
slightly east into the western Atlantic during the first half of
next week. At the surface, a strong ridge of high pressure sprawled
across the eastern US will push east into the Atlantic by early next
week, then will slide south during the middle part of the week as a
cold front advances through the eastern CONUS. This pattern will
support persistent easterly low level flow through the long term
period, with generally isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon. The rain coverage will
become a bit more numerous Tuesday and Wednesday as atmospheric
moisture becomes more favorable. Temperatures will run several
degrees above normal, with highs generally in the upper 80s and low
90s. Sunday morning lows will bottom out in the 60s over the Nature
Coast and low 70s over southwest Florida, then low to mid 70s across
the area through the rest of the week.


&&

good morning folks!! nice warm day ahead for my area, they say no rain but i could use a lil more here..well have a wonderful day and hey.........TGIF!!

Good morning! Happy Friday. The radio weather guy said, maybe, just maybe, we might get a cool front in a week. Pretty please???

It absolutely POURED yesterday afternoon. Of course, right when I left work for the day and had like four stops after work. Oh well, I don't melt and the lawn really needed it.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Good morning!  Happy Friday.  The radio weather guy said, maybe, just maybe, we might get a cool front in a week.  Pretty please???

It absolutely POURED yesterday afternoon.  Of course, right when I left work for the day and had like four stops after work.      Oh well, I don't melt and the lawn really needed it.

glad you finally got some good rain billsfan!!

gee news is saying there's 11 dead from the hurricane..maybe more to come as they go house/building hunting huh

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
817 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

FLZ155-130200-
/O.CON.KTBW.BH.S.0010.000000T0000Z-181013T0200Z/
Coastal Manatee-
817 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...

* RED TIDE HAZARDS...Possible respiratory irritation in some
coastal areas.

For red tide forecast information visit
https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/hab/gomx.html

* FLORIDA RED TIDE RESPIRATORY IRRITATION POTENTIAL IMPACTS...
Symptoms may include coughing...sneezing...and tearing eyes.
People with respiratory conditions such as asthma...
emphysema...and other pulmonary diseases may be more
sensitive. Irritation may vary locally and throughout the day.
If you experience uncomfortable symptoms...consider going to
an unaffected beach nearby.

* FLORIDA RED TIDE RESPIRATORY IRRITATION TIMING/LOCATION...NOAA
FORECAST: Coastal southern Manatee County: Gulf coast...possible
Friday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Florida red tide observations...You can find unaffected beaches
by checking reports of recent local observations and data: Mote
Marine Laboratory daily beach conditions at
https://visitbeaches.org and the Florida Fish and Wildlife
Conservation Commission (FWC) red tide status at
myfwc.com/redtidestatus.

Florida red tide health information...Consult the Florida
Department of Health at: www.floridahealth.gov/environmental-
health/aquatic-toxins/red- tide.html or call the Poison Control
Center at: 1 800 222 1222.

Inclusion of external links does not constitute endorsement by
the Department of Commerce (DOC)/(NOAA) of these external web
sites or the information, products, or services contained
therein.

Florida red tide information sources...red tide forecasts are
provided by the National Ocean Service with data provided by the
FWC and Mote Marine Laboratory.

&&

$$

I friend of mine in VA list power last night. Big limbs down.
Guess we’ll never have to worry about Michael named storm.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:I friend of mine in VA list power last night.  Big limbs down.  
Guess we’ll never have to worry about Michael named  storm.  

yes that name is gone from the list now forever,i was listening to this scientist about his thoughts on Global warming and he is of the opinion that..the hurricane season just may, be extended a month longer and..there may be reason enough to make a Cat-6 strength in the storm categories in the years to come whew...

I’ll take that with a grain of salt Largo. They’ve been predicting things like that for decades.

Here is NOAA imagery of the affected areas:
NOAA Hurricane Michael imagery

My sister's place on Cape San Blas is still standing but missing part of the roof. The road onto the Cape is destroyed so no getting in there to fix it

That’s a shame Aug. Best wishes for her.

StPeteFLwx wrote:Here is NOAA imagery of the affected areas:
NOAA Hurricane Michael imagery

My sister's place on Cape San Blas is still standing but missing part of the roof. The road onto the Cape is destroyed so no getting in there to fix it

gee i hope they get to fixing roads as fast as they can.so many need help

NWS MIAMI...340 AM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS PALM BEACH COUNTY BEACHES...
...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EASTERN AREAS...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: There is a moderate risk of rip currents on Palm Beach
county beaches.

Thunderstorms: Isolated thunderstorms are possible across eastern
sections of South Florida and adjacent Atlantic waters. The primary
threat is lightning.

Waterspouts: Waterspouts are possible across Atlantic waters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A moderate risk for rip currents will likely continue Sunday for
waters off Palm Beach County, and this risk is forecast to spread to
all East coast beaches Monday into at least mid-week.

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms through the period. The
primary threat is lightning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$
KONARIK

well dogs walked..and its a beautiful 65 degree's outside here this morning!!!

Good Saturday morning everyone!! nice day ahead for us today...enjoy!! have a wonderful day folks

gee....Michael's death toll rises to 17, including 8 in Florida

Morning all. Sorry to hear about your sisters roof StPete. Hope the house isn't a loss.

It is 56 here right now. First time probably since April I've been able to open up the slider for a bit and give the AC a break. I might be able to squeeze in one more morning tomorrow then afterwards lows go back to the low 70's.

While I was not exactly expecting the forecasted 67 to actually verify, it got down to 65 this morning. The house is wide open, at least for a couple of hours. First Fresh Air.

I'm sure the dogs are lovin' this, Largo!

Congrats on the rain, Bills.

Good/bad news on your sister's front, StPete. Best wishes for her. Michael had crippled many livelihoods. Good riddance to the name.

What an absolutely beautiful morning here! Like JR, I was doubtful about the low temp actually verifying but it did.

StPete, sorry about the roof but I guess if there is a silver lining, at least the house is still intact aside from the roof.

Go-Pro video from Mexico Beach courtesy of Mark Suddath  showing the fury of Michael as he roared ashore.  The gulf isn't even visible at the beginning of the video then a little later surge is pouring over the streets and washing out the road. Structures also visible at the beginning of the video are completely gone or severely damaged.

Wow Aug! Just wow.

Unfortunately none of the coolness has made it to us.

JRnOldsmar wrote:While I was not exactly expecting the forecasted 67 to actually verify, it got down to 65 this morning.  The house is wide open, at least for a couple of hours.  First Fresh Air.  

I'm sure the dogs are lovin' this, Largo!

Congrats on the rain, Bills.

Good/bad news on your sister's front, StPete.  Best wishes for her.  Michael had crippled many livelihoods.  Good riddance to the name.

oh they sure were happy this morning, me too lol..wish it would hang around for awhile but its still too early in the season. maybe next month

Aug around the 23-24th of this month, watch out for any storm warnings ok..............

yeah this comes from the gulf coast to your area Aug..................................

Once a tropical system passes through an area of water, aren’t the waters cooled, at least temporarily? Seems I’ve heard that before.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Once a tropical system passes through an area of water, aren’t the waters cooled, at least temporarily? Seems I’ve heard that before.  

yes i think i remember hearing that also Billsfan, i think that is its job, cooling the waters

im thinking, whatever that LOW is up by Aug may be..the tail end of a front, sometimes those lows cause alot of trouble too huh

StAugustineFL wrote:Go-Pro video from Mexico Beach courtesy of Mark Suddath  showing the fury of Michael as he roared ashore.  The gulf isn't even visible at the beginning of the video then a little later surge is pouring over the streets and washing out the road.  Structures also visible at the beginning of the video are completely gone or severely damaged.

That was great footage!  I had not seen that yet, thanks for posting Aug.

Good early Sunday Morning folks!! well another nice day ahead and NWS is saying a slight 20% rain chance for my area..guess we get back to that slight afternoon shower kind of weather next few days huh...well have a wonderful day folks!

Largo prepares a Fresh pot of Delicious COFFEE and sets it to perk for when the next person enters the forum..grabs a cup and relax!!

well news is saying that awful red tide is back at Pinellas beaches and pollen counts are high also..so not good for allergy sufferers.

Morning all. Another beautiful morning. About 10 degrees warmer than yesterday but still mid 60's.

Largo - do you know what is the culprit for your pollen? Grass? We have none here on the pollen index. Plant growth is slowing down or beginning to go dormant based on plant species.

I had a 4' black racer inside my screen enclosure yesterday afternoon. I grabbed a long broom and tried to guide him towards a screen door I opened but he slithered off into a bed I have thick with butterfly ginger then began making some sort of sound telling me "you best leave me alone". I walked back inside, lol. I don't know if he's still there or relocated overnight. If I spot him in the open I'll try again but not putting my hands anywhere near the plants.

Morning all..... another pleasant morning here but the temps are going to climb back to 90 this afternoon.

It was nice while it lasted!!

sangria wrote:Morning all..... another pleasant morning here but the temps are going to climb back to 90 this afternoon.

It was nice while it lasted!!

2 days of "fall" was nice while it lasted. At least it's a hint the seasons are soon to change. Light at the end of the tunnel.

StAugustineFL wrote:Morning all.  Another beautiful morning.  About 10 degrees warmer than yesterday but still mid 60's.  

Largo - do you know what is the culprit for your pollen?  Grass?  We have none here on the pollen index.  Plant growth is slowing down or beginning to go dormant based on plant species.

I had a 4' black racer inside my screen enclosure yesterday afternoon.  I grabbed a long broom and tried to guide him towards a screen door I opened but he slithered off into a bed I have thick with butterfly ginger then began making some sort of sound telling me "you best leave me alone".  I walked back inside, lol.  I don't know if he's still there or relocated overnight.  If I spot him in the open I'll try again but not putting my hands anywhere near the plants.

LOL on the Racer, i have one who loves my back yard..an old timer told me never to kill THAT snake..they are the good ones..come to think about it..ive lived here since mid 80's and ive never seen a mouse...the black racer just smiles at me hahaha..he got into my screen door once...i caught him with a semi wet beach towel that the kids were drying out there...worked great, i let him go out back..he never came in again that i know of....yeah pollen is high here..grass and ELM they say

sangria wrote:Morning all..... another pleasant morning here but the temps are going to climb back to 90 this afternoon.

It was nice while it lasted!!

morning San yeah warm again,wasnt too bad before the sun came up early this morning..but now...whew

models are sensing something from oct 22nd on, each one a lil different but ....................

Yeah, they are good snakes and I won't harm them but they'll strike for sure. Just trying to get him back where he belongs.

Good afternoon! Boy, another very hot one. I’m sure looking forward for the weather to break.

Do you guys have the huge, green lizards? They look like mini dinosaurs.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Do you guys have the huge, green lizards? They look like mini dinosaurs.

no i havent seen any of those around here by me Billsfan

NWS MIAMI...408 AM EDT Mon Oct 15 2018

...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Thunderstorms: There is a slight chance of thunderstorms today across
the area. The primary hazard is lightning.

Rip currents: There is moderate risk of rip currents along the
Atlantic beaches.

No other hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

The risk of rip currents is forecast to be elevated through the week
for the Atlantic beaches of South Florida.

Thunderstorms are forecast for South Florida each day through the
week. The primary hazard is lightning at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

Good Monday Morning folks!! looks like another warm and possibly dry day ahead for us around Tampa bay..maybe some of you elsewhere will get a shower or two..good luck...have a wonderful day everyone!