CLOSED Thick of Summer in Florida!

NWS MIAMI...405 AM EDT Mon Aug 13 2018

...SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS, SOME WITH GUSTY WINDS...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms should develop by this
afternoon, especially over inland areas. The primary threat is
lightning but a few thunderstorms may become strong with gusty winds.

Wind: Isolated strong thunderstorms are possible, mainly over
interior South Florida, this afternoon. These strong thunderstorms
could produce winds of 40 to 50 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

There is a chance of mainly afternoon thunderstorms, especially over
western interior sections of South Florida, each day. Lightning is
the primary threat, but a few thunderstorms, especially Tuesday, may
become strong and produce gusty winds.

Daytime heat index values Wednesday through the weekend may range
from 105 to 107 degrees.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

KONARIK

Good Monday Morning folks!! well stormy and booming thunder here,some good rain also..in looking at the forecasts I see rain chances go down thru the rest of the week here..after today....well i got about .25 so far this morning..hope for more..have a wonderful day folks!

NWS TAMPA...512 AM EDT Mon Aug 13 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to gradually move inland
through the afternoon and evening hours with an onshore wind flow
still in place. Storms will be capable of producing gusty winds,
heavy rainfall, and dangerous lightning.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
A few rivers continue to run at elevated water levels. Additional
rainfall over the coming days could lead to water rises on other
rivers as well. Residents living along rivers and streams should
remain aware of water levels and be ready to move to higher ground
should flooding be observed.

Good Monday morning. Had morning T storms Friday, Saturday and Sunday. Total for the 3 day period was 1.25". By the looks of the radar the bulk of the heavy rains this weekend were in Central and South FL. This AM a band of T storms has set up north of me running from Lake City southwestward through Dixie and Taylor counties and out into the Gulf. It has prompted a Flood Advisory from the NWS as it has already dumped 2-3" and is training in the area. That band and the associated energy is slowly sagging southward so I expect the rainfall to set in here sometime before noon.

Morning All,
Normal weather in my area over the weekend. Had rain and thunder total in the bucket was .56 and at 2.42 for the month.
Does look to be drying out this week but as always we shall see.
Have a great day
John Z-hills

severstorm wrote:Morning All,
Normal weather in my area over the weekend. Had rain and thunder total in the bucket was .56 and at 2.42 for the month.
Does look to be drying out this week but as always we shall see.
Have a great day
John Z-hills

good morning John, whew me and my dogs got caught in some heavy downpour early this morning wow we all got soaked lol

St pete, you folks ok flooding wise down there? ..that rain came in pretty darn Heavy around 3am or so whew

well local met is saying rain chances tomorrow on thru the week are going down some with dry air moving somewhat into our area's..sounds good, some of our area's could use a lil drying out time huh.

Got a little shower this morning and we are also supposed to dry out quite a bit this week . Problem is we don't need to lol

LOL bills.

It's been a good rainy season here. Yearly rainfall is above average but nothing extreme. Periods of very wet weather then periods of dry weather for a week or so. A nice balance. I'm sitting at 3.46" for the month and 42.03" for the year.

Afternoon everyone!

I was on the receiving end of the 2:30-3:00am thunderstorm. I dumped 1.18" out of the gauge and it was all from the early morning blob. I thought maybe I might pick up a little this afternoon, but nothing so far.

I don't like the wet for a week and then dry for a week. I'd rather have a little rain every day myself. The AM rains with a west flow tend to give me better rain totals but I'd swap a little bit of the rain to have rain cooled air in the afternoon/evening.

Yes I'd much prefer afternoon rain to morning for sure!

Good Tuesday morning folks! well some clouds above but no rain so far by me,but WD might be getting some up there...well i have things to do today..so have a wonderful day everyone!

Good morning everyone. I have been waking up every morning for a good chunk of the summer to the sound of thunder and rainfall on my tin roof and these song lyrics keep popping into my head:

And I wonder, still I wonder, who will stop the rain?

Another .50" in the rain bucket as of the time I left for work this AM. Looks like it is going to stick around for awhile as the batch of storms isn't really moving. Most of the storm has been light to moderate rates, but occasionally it will pick up for a few minutes. Weather man says this pattern will last through tomorrow before shifting to the afternoon storm pattern later in the week into the weekend with some slightly drier air around. However, with all the rain on the ground over Florida there will be plenty of moisture for at least scattered storms everyday. The westerly/AM pattern looks to return again next week with another increase in moisture. Oh joy.

well almost noontime, no rain by me but WD and maybe Billsfan might be getting some right now..................

AUG..your area in this..stay alert and safe ok....................Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
221 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018

FLZ033-133-138-141900-
Coastal Flagler FL-Coastal St. Johns FL-Inland St. Johns FL-
221 PM EDT TUE AUG 14 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL FLAGLER AND
SOUTHEASTERN ST. JOHNS COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EDT...

At 220 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Federal Point, or near Hastings, moving east at 20 mph.

Wind gusts of 45 to 55 mph can be expected along with possible minor
wind damage.

Locations impacted include...
Saint Augustine, Hastings, Saint Augustine Beach, Marineland,
Crescent Beach, Saint Augustine Shores, Butler Beach, Saint Augustine
South, Spuds and Anastasia.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2965 8127 2965 8130 2964 8130 2964 8131
2965 8132 2964 8132 2962 8151 2986 8154
2992 8123 2966 8115
TIME...MOT...LOC 1820Z 263DEG 17KT 2978 8146

$$

23

well in some area's around the state, some of the storms are getting strong along with it seems some bad winds etc...stay alert and safe folks ok..well so far nothing in my area, maybe later this evening?

LargoFL wrote:St pete, you folks ok flooding wise down there? ..that rain came in pretty darn Heavy around 3am or so whew

Hi, we only got half and inch out of that. Heard the thunder though.

Nice out now. 85°, humidity 67%. No rain all day

StPeteFLwx wrote:

LargoFL wrote:St pete, you folks ok flooding wise down there? ..that rain came in pretty darn Heavy around 3am or so whew

Hi, we only got half and inch out of that. Heard the thunder though.

Nice out now.  85°, humidity 67%.  No rain all day

ok thanks,hopefully back to our normal afternoon showers

say St Pete..keep an eye on those storms down in Manatee..looks to be heading OUR way in awhile huh...

Good afternoon. Not much to report here other than new gutters have been put on the house. Full rescreen of my enclosure comes next then I'm done with all the insurance/contractor nonsense from the April hail storm. I'll then look for a good pressure washer as my house needs it, especially on the north-facing side where it's much more shaded and the mildew tends to accumulate much more easily due to reduced sunlight.

Haven't seen JR pop on in awhile. Hope he's ok.

Good Wednesday Morning folks!! well no rain at my house yesterday and lower rain chances starting today as things change hopefully more back to our normal weather huh..have a wonderful day everyone!!

Good morning. It started raining as I pulled out of the driveway this am, but it looks to be just a small popcorn shower that will drop a quick tenth or so. Yesterday was a strange weather day here for mid August. It rained off an on all day, but the rain was never that hard and only totaled 0.25". The sun really never came out, just a grey, dreary day. Today is starting off grey as well, but hopefully the sun will come out and maybe dry some things out.

waterdipper wrote:Good morning. It started raining as I pulled out of the driveway this am, but it looks to be just a small popcorn shower that will drop a quick tenth or so. Yesterday was a strange weather day here for mid August. It rained off an on all day,  but the rain was never that hard and only totaled 0.25". The sun really never came out, just a grey, dreary day. Today is starting off grey as well, but hopefully the sun will come out and maybe dry some things out.

hiya WD,no rain here,suns out and only a 30% chance of rain,good luck up there and that light rain is good for the grass-plants etc..it soaks in not runoff.

its strange..this season ALOT of spiders around here, way more than usual seems like...man i hate walking thru their webs uggh

well so far we in Florida have been Lucky with NO tropical storms affecting us here..would be great if this trend continues huh.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Key West FL
1242 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2018

FLZ078-151715-
Monroe Lower Keys FL-
1242 PM EDT WED AUG 15 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LOWER KEYS IN MONROE COUNTY UNTIL
115 PM EDT...

At 1240 PM EDT, National Weather Service Meteorologists detected a
strong thunderstorm 7 miles southeast of Boca Chica moving northwest
at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 45 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Big Coppitt Key, Boca Chica Channel Bridge, Boca Chica, Key Haven,
Geiger Key and Shark Key.

This includes US 1 between mile markers 3 and 14.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2463 8182 2466 8180 2467 8179 2468 8177
2471 8165 2457 8158 2456 8163 2455 8164
2455 8165 2453 8173
TIME...MOT...LOC 1640Z 136DEG 21KT 2448 8161

$$

Ulrich

LargoFL wrote:well so far we in Florida have been Lucky with NO tropical storms affecting us here..would be great if this trend continues huh.

Amen to that. I don't mind a mid-grade tropical storm but would gladly do without another Matthew or Irma anytime soon. Peak season is approaching so hopefully the next 2 months will stay quiet.

Yes Largo you are correct! Spiders (and ants) have been super bad this year.

Oh my,we are sooo dry and will be all week Yuck
But, watching TWC right now and the flooding up North is disturbing and it keeps coming .

BILLSFAN...BE CAREFUL TODAY, DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS ETC...........NWS MIAMI...405 AM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

...HEAT INDEX VALUES ABOVE 105 FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...
...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON, MAINLY INTERIOR AND GULF COAST...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: A moderate risk of rip currents is anticipated at the
times of low tide today along the Atlantic beaches of South Florida.

Thunderstorms: Thunderstorms are possible today, mainly over the
interior and Gulf Coast regions of South Florida this afternoon. The
main threat with these storms will be lightning, heavy rain, and gusty
winds.

Temperatures: Maximum heat index values are forecast to reach the mid
100s over portions of Southwest Florida and northern Palm Beach
County this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

There will be a chance of mainly afternoon thunderstorms, especially
over western interior sections of South Florida, through Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, however individual
spotters are encouraged to report high wind and flooding to the
National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

RAG

Good Thursday Morning folks!..another nice HOT day ahead with possible afternoon showers..wow i got a booming thunderstorm around dinner time last night..got a few light showers but the thunder and lightning was the big story with it..i wonder if it sank down to St pete also?...well have a great day everyone!...........oh by the way...in the Tropic's there finally is a wave coming across..only 10% chance of developing..just something to watch.

Looks like the pattern finally shifted here in the Nature Coast sometime during the day yesterday. The morning storms that hit yesterday moved north during the day and the wind has come around to the SSE instead of the SW flow we have had for some time now. This morning it is clear and there are no storms on the horizon in any direction. Still a pretty good chance of afternoon storms and with the amount of water and moisture in the soils here locally, I expect a good chance of daily rainfall along the seabreeze boundary. The normal SE flow pattern looks to be short lived (again) and by early next week it appears we will be right back to the SW flow with scattered to numerous showers coming in from the Gulf overnight and into the morning hours. Several years ago we had a summer very much like this summer, with a predominant SW flow pattern and very wet. That summer the NWS dubbed it the "Summer of the Trough", due to the persistent trough over the eastern US. I am officially naming this summer the "Summer of the Trough II".

waterdipper wrote:Looks like the pattern finally shifted here in the Nature Coast sometime during the day yesterday. The morning storms that hit yesterday moved north during the day and the wind has come around to the SSE instead of the SW flow we have had for some time now. This morning it is clear and there are no storms on the horizon in any direction. Still a pretty good chance of afternoon storms and with the amount of water and moisture in the soils here locally, I expect a good chance of daily rainfall along the seabreeze boundary. The normal SE flow pattern looks to be short lived (again) and by early next week it appears we will be right back to the SW flow with scattered to numerous showers coming in from the Gulf overnight and into the morning hours. Several years ago we had a summer very much like this summer, with a predominant SW flow pattern and very wet. That summer the NWS dubbed it the "Summer of the Trough", due to the persistent trough over the eastern US. I am officially naming this summer the "Summer of the Trough II".

gppd morning WD..yeah we shifted back to our normal chances of afternoon rain and/orTS's...sounds good to me, can do the lawn etc during the morning hours.

it seems like NWS has raised the afternoon rain chances up so around here..we'll see how this goes......

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical
Storm Ernesto located several hundred miles southeast of Cape Race,
Newfoundland.

1. A tropical wave located about 750 miles east-southeast of the
Windward Islands is producing a large area of disorganized
cloudiness and showers. Some gradual development of this system
is possible over the next couple of days while it moves west-
northwestward at 15 to 20 mph toward the Windward Islands. By late
Saturday, unfavorable environmental conditions should limit the
chances for additional development while the system moves over
the eastern Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, this system is
likely to bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Lesser
Antilles during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Brown

Billsfan keep a good eye on that 99L coming next few days..hopefully it doesnt get strong and just a rain maker.

NWS MIAMI.....900 AM EDT Thu Aug 16 2018

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON, MAINLY INTERIOR AND GULF COAST...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: There is a moderate risk of rip currents along the
Atlantic beaches of South Florida.

Thunderstorms: Thunderstorms are possible today, mainly over the
interior and Gulf Coast regions of South Florida this afternoon. The
main hazards with these storms will be lightning.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

There will be a chance of mainly afternoon thunderstorms, especially
over western interior sections of South Florida, through next Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, however individual
spotters are encouraged to report high wind and flooding to the
National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

yes AUG, havent seen nor heard from JR also in awhile..hope he is ok too.

well sure is HUMID here by my area, just finished mowing the lawn and trimming bushes etc,,whew had to take a shower i was soaked..but maybe some rain later this afternoon to cool things down a bit..i hope.

Good afternoon everyone.
Yep WD, it must be the trough . Look at the same areas in the NE getting hammered over and over again with rains / flooding.
Hot, hot and dry here .

Yeah Largo, will watch and see about 99.

Good afternoon. I wish I was back on vacation. The salt mine is already wearing me out. I do have a 3 day weekend but will be busy with travels driving my mom down to Sanford Sunday afternoon while we stay at a hotel then seeing her off at the airport the wee hours of Monday morning. Also had my car battery crap out on me (fortunately at my house and before my trip!) Got that fixed yesterday afternoon after I got a jump from a neighbor then stood outside at the AutoZone in a downpour.

Had a very small cell (barely noticeable on radar and maybe 2 miles in diameter) park over me for 10 minutes early. No thunder/lightning. One could see clear skies in a few directions but that little sucker dumped some rain. .37"

StAugustineFL wrote:Good afternoon.  I wish I was back on vacation.  The salt mine is already wearing me out.  I do have a 3 day weekend but will be busy with travels driving my mom down to Sanford Sunday afternoon while we stay at a hotel  then seeing her off at the airport the wee hours of Monday morning.  Also had my car battery crap out on me (fortunately at my house and before my trip!)  Got that fixed yesterday afternoon after I got a jump from a neighbor then stood outside at the AutoZone in a downpour.

Had a very small cell (barely noticeable on radar and maybe 2 miles in diameter) park over me for 10 minutes early.  No thunder/lightning.  One could see clear skies in a few directions but that little sucker dumped some rain.  .37"

whew Aug, you had quite an active week,remember to take some time for yourself and relax a bit too ok.