CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

yeah we don't want any surprises from this bad storm huh,but so far I think we got lucky.

well in looking at this so far don't see any northward turn..do you?...............

well for myself..if this comes over to the tip of cuba, maybe all bets are off,after seeing the destruction in PR, in no way do we want this anywhere near Florida huh

Our weather people are insisting it will come no way near us.

LargoFL wrote:well in looking at this so far don't see any northward turn..do you?...............[img(600px,400px)]

Good afternoon. She's moving at 315 or so now Largo (due NW). Place your cursor over the eye at the beginning of the loop then compare to the end. Over time the NW heading should turn more NNW then N. Here's a static loop as I believe yours auto-updates. She looks around 20.8N and 69.5W at the moment.

Kinda interesting I ran an errand over lunch. Had over 15" of rain last week. Mowers were out mowing the entrance to the subdivision. I had to drive through a dust cloud. The ground is like a sponge up here.

Yep. We didn't have that much, but I hear ya on the dust.

Hopefully a rumor, but I heard it may be late October before debris is picked up. Miami-Dade offered double the price per cubic load, so we are lowered on the totem pole.

Good Early Friday Morning and TGIF!!......well I had a full day yesterday,did my lawn finally,what a mess after they came and picked up the debris,finished that and one of my neighbors severely broke his leg last week and is still in hospice care mending, so I went and did his whole lawn and backyard etc..whew and with this heat here wow..but I finally finished...well its Friday and so far we lucked out with Maria...NWS is saying today and tomorrow my rain chances are good 50% or so..sure can use the rain here,real dry once again...AUG is right...the ground here IS like a sponge LOL...well Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here..enjoy..have a great day everyone!

several overnight models Euro and CMC bring Maria up near the Carolina's in about 5 days time.

This is why you don't walk around outside in a hurricane geez................

gee in PR,no power or water for 6 months or more?..can you imagine the disease etc that's going to happen there..oh those poor people are going to suffer greatly huh. the news stories are just horrible this morning

Yes, it is sad for PR. I cannot imagine. They are at least getting supplies in. Hopefully the law that everything has to go through the port of Miami before it can get to San Juan can be relaxed.

Awww Largo, that was very nice of you to mow your neighbor's lawn for him. I hope he recovers quickly!

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Yes, it is sad for PR.  I cannot imagine.  They are at least getting supplies in.  Hopefully the law that everything has to go through the port of Miami before it can get to San Juan can be relaxed.  

Awww Largo, that was very nice of you to mow your neighbor's lawn for him.  I hope he recovers quickly!

hi Billsfan,yeah he is 78 and was still going strong till this happened,he should be home in a week I think his wife said..at least he wont have to worry about debris and the lawn..looks good now..on PR they sure will need ship loads of bottled water and food an medical supplies etc and..for the long haul too gee...cannot imagine that happening here in Florida,i guess we really do need to watch these Cat-4's and 5's huh...I do know if Maria hit here by me and the recovery was as long..i myself surely would not have enough supplies to last...I guess this is a learning experience for us all huh on what COULD happen...here in the USA recovery probably wouldn't be soo long but it could be months here too if the damage was so spread out.

way out in time but the season isn't over yet and..in OCT-NOV we really need to watch the gulf as storms there sometimes come east

Showers heading towards our east coast area's already this morning.......................

NWS Miami....Fri Sep 22 2017

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS BEACHES OF PALM BEACH COUNTY...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS BROWARD BEACHES...
...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STORMS THIS AFTERNOON...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: There is High Risk of rip currents along the beaches of
Palm Beach County, and a Moderate Risk of rip currents along the
beaches of Broward County.

Thunderstorms: Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are possible this
afternoon over South Florida. The primary impacts will be lightning
strikes and heavy rainfall.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

Scattered to numerous afternoon thunderstorms are possible over
South Florida on Saturday, before drier air works into the area late
this weekend into early next week reducing the coverage of the
thunderstorms.

Long period northeast swells from distant tropical Storm Jose and
Hurricane Maria will continue to lead to an enhancement of rip
currents along all Atlantic beaches through early next week.

Atlantic waters could become hazardous this weekend into early next
week due to the long period of northeast swells.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in Miami
website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

Baxter

NWS Melbourne...FRI SEP 22 2017

.NOW...
Scattered to numerous showers and isolated lightning storms will
move onshore from the Atlantic into the mid afternoon hours. Showers
will mainly affect the coastal counties through late morning and
then move toward the interior by early to mid afternoon. Heavier
showers may bring a half to one inch of rain as they move inland.
At east central Florida beaches a northeast to developing east swell
will contribute to a moderate risk for rip currents. Remember to
only swim near a lifeguard.

&&

Additional details...including graphics are available online at:
http://www.weather.gov/mlb/blog

$$

15

well almost 4 30pm and no rain here yet....hope some folks get some.

Afternoon. No rain here either. Mixed sun/clouds with a nice breeze. Doesn't feel too bad outdoors.

Maria seems to be moving north now between 71W and 72W longitude.

Thanks for updates Largo and Aug. Good to see Maria way out there!
Yes Largo, While I fear the CV storms from the east, October and early Nov are worrisome months IMO. You often don't have as much time.
I've been getting decent rains here.

NWS MIAMI.....Sat Sep 23 2017

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS BEACHES OF PALM BEACH COUNTY...
...MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...
...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: There is High Risk of rip currents along the beaches
of Palm Beach County, and a Moderate Risk of rip currents along the
rest of the east coast beaches of South Florida.

Flooding: Heavy rainfall from the thunderstorms will lead to possible
flooding of low lying and poorly drained areas.

Thunderstorms: Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are possible
across South Florida today especially over the interior and west
coast metro areas. The primary impacts will be lightning and heavy
rainfall.

Waves: Northeast swells of 3 to 5 feet will allow for the seas to
build to 5 to 7 feet tonight over the Atlantic waters of Palm Beach
County.

NWS Jacksonville.................Sat Sep 23 2017

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL WATERS...

...MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER AND COASTAL FLOODING CONTINUES...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Florida,
Southeast Georgia and the Adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...
Scattered thunderstorms are possible across southeast Georgia and
northeast Florida. Locally heavy rainfall will be the primary
hazard, though a few strong thunderstorms could produce gusty
winds, frequent lightning strikes, and small hail.

Good Saturday Morning folks!!...well I got some rain and a lot of thunder here around 7pm last night,didnt come down too heavy but lasted awhile..whatever fell was most welcomed here by me,might be more coming today too................well Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here..enjoy,have a great day everyone!!

oh if any of you have family or friends around the outer banks of the Carolina's..the over night models all bring Maria real close to..or quite possibly touching the shoreline..might warn them a hurricane or by then a real strong TS..could be up there sometime mid week..dont concentrate on the eye..the storm in area will be quite large

here are the Euro ensembles..as you can see some have it coming ashore too....

Another one possible in OCT...too far out in time to believe but......................

BILLSFAN..something maybe to stay alert for in roughly 10 days ok...............

this Possible oct 2nd storm is Not..Maria ok

Morning. Had a brief shower around 8:30 or so yesterday evening then another overnight. .24" in the gauge.

Looks like we are moving towards La Nina. Might be a warm, dry fall/winter for the FL peninsula. Time will tell.

StAugustineFL wrote:Morning.  Had a brief shower around 8:30 or so yesterday evening then another overnight.  .24" in the gauge.

Looks like we are moving towards La Nina.  Might be a warm, dry fall/winter for the FL peninsula.  Time will tell.

good morning Aug

Good morning Largo and all. Although right now it's only us, lol.

I learned yesterday a good friend of mine was in the eye of Hurricane Irma with 185 mph winds when it crossed the British Virgin Islands east of Puerto Rico back in early September. I'll dig up a pic or two she provided.

StAugustineFL wrote:Good morning Largo and all.  Although right now it's only us, lol.

I learned yesterday a good friend of mine was in the eye of Hurricane Irma with 185 mph winds when it crossed the British Virgin Islands east of Puerto Rico back in early September.  I'll dig up a pic or two she provided.

OMG and I guess all in its path faced similar destruction huh..well before it rains again here..cleaning out my gutters and roof here I go BBL

Good morning, All.  

First of all, I cannot even comprehend what the folks of the Leeward Islands and PR are facing right now.

An hour long sprinkle yesterday evening as the boomers split my location, and consolidated just past me.  Hellacious light show south of the bay area after sundown.




This is from my bike ride Thurs night.

FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1043 AM EDT Sat Sep 23 2017

...The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a Flood Warning for the
following rivers...

Withlacoochee At Holder

.Very heavy rain fell last week as Hurricane Irma passed by the area. Extensive
flooding recently occured upstream on the Withlacoochee River due to the heavy
rain falling in the headwaters. This water has slowly routed downstream and
will now bring rises to the river in northern Citrus county through next week
with minor flooding likely to begin early in the week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The latest
forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can follow NWSTampaBay
on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

Love the rainbow and sunset JR.

Raining buckets here now. Irma must've clogged up one of my downspouts. No flow coming through it and gutters overflowing. Guess I know what got added to the chore list this weekend.

Brief lull in activity so checked the gauge. Approx 1.5". Raining heavier again now.

Nice rains, StAug. I think Largo is the most diligent among us with the gutters! I use your method as well.

LOl gutters clean, I'm ready for these east coast storms to get here later today..............

I put these metal sort of lil baskets open at one end that fits into the top of the downspouts..really helps keep the downspout pipe clean of blockages..all I have to do is go on the roof with the blower and blow out the leaves and lil twigs,no clogged downspouts etc...but..its that time of year here when all the tree's start dropping huh..and besides..its a good workout lol

boy yesterday the storms didn't drop ALOT of rain but boy was there a lot of Thunder and Lightning with them,mostly light wind driven kind of rain. hopefully today's storms will be a bit heavier if they hold together coming across the state.

east coast Beaches might be a bit dangerous today due to Maria........................................COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
930 AM EDT SAT SEP 23 2017


FLZ033-038-125-240900-
/O.NEW.KJAX.SU.Y.0005.170924T0300Z-170925T0900Z/
/O.EXT.KJAX.CF.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-170925T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KJAX.RP.S.0014.000000T0000Z-170926T0000Z/
ST. JOHNS-FLAGLER-COASTAL DUVAL-
930 AM EDT SAT SEP 23 2017

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM
EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH
SURF ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM
EDT MONDAY.

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG PORTIONS
OF THE ST JOHNS RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES FROM JACKSONVILLE
SOUTHWARD TO PALATKA AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. SOUTH OF
PALATKA...TOWARD WELAKA AND THE OCKLAWAHA RIVER BASIN...MINOR
TO NEAR MODERATE RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE AROUND TIMES OF
HIGH TIDE. WATER LEVELS WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE WITHIN THE ST
JOHNS RIVER BASIN THIS WEEKEND AS NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
STRENGTHEN.

* WAVES AND SURF...SEAS BUILDING TO 6 TO 12 FEET...WITH SURF 5 TO
8 FEET ALONG THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA BEACHES.

* TIMING...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST MONDAY MORNING...PEAKING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

* IMPACTS...ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW
AREAS ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER AND ITS TRIBUTARIES WHICH WILL
FLOOD...MAINLY PARKS...CAMPGROUNDS....NORMALLY FLOOD PRONE
ROADWAYS AND SOME DOCKS AND BOAT RAMPS. HIGH WAVES AND SURF WILL
LEAD TO BEACH EROSION AND MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE COASTAL AREAS
LATE IN THE WEEKEND.

I feel like Largo now - gutters cleaned!  No debris in the downspouts but sorta like a beaver dam surrounding a couple that needed cleaning to get the water flowing again.

Rain stopped.  2.12".  Forecast was for .25" or less.

StAugustineFL wrote:I feel like Largo now - gutters cleaned!  No debris in the downspouts but sorta like a beaver dam surrounding a couple that needed cleaning to get the water flowing again.

Rain stopped.  2.12".  Forecast was for .25" or less.

gee I sure could use that rain here,glad you got the gutters cleaned out with that much rain aug

well I sure hope some of this rain holds toether and gives me some..here just blazing sun and HOT..http://static.baynews9.com/images/wx/bn9/radar/7_county/1506198481.jpg