4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog

Billsfan looks like Your area may have the tail end LOW of the front passing over your area.monday..good luck on getting some rain there too.

ok enough from me lol...BBL

Somehow I doubt it...

StPeteFLwx wrote:Somehow I doubt it...

yeah perhaps this warm dry spring is here to stay maybe gee.

might be a few Storms in the coming rain over the weekend east coasters............................................Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
320 PM EDT Fri Apr 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...

...Unsettled Weather Sunday into Monday as Low Pressure Tracks
across the Southeast...

Tonight...High pressure offshore will allow low level southeast flow
to continue overnight. Should see isolated light shower activity
remain across the ATLC overnight as low lvl flow veers to SE/SSE
toward morning. A deep layer dry airmass will allow skies to be
mostly clear overnight though some marine stratocu may approach the
Treasure coast late. Areas of smoke are again expected near larger
inland smoldering fires as winds become light around 5 mph or less
inland after midnight. Lows in the lower to mid 60s for the interior
and upper 60s to around 70 along the immediate coast and beaches.

Saturday...Low level winds will veer to the SSE with a slight
increase in low level moisture across the area. GFS hints at some
light QPF along the inland moving sea breeze boundary though NAM and
ECM remain dry. Will lean toward the drier solution and keep any low
afternoon rain chances across far srn sections. Highs will be warmer
in the mid 80s coastal areas to upper 80s for the interior.

Weekend...An area of convection is expected over the SE Gulf and FL
Straits associated with a weak and slow moving upper wave/
disturbance will lift NE ward toward S FL as the upr feature phases
with an approaching shortwave moving across the LWR MS Valley. A
fetch of deeper moisture containing PWAT greater than 1.75" wl be
transported Nwd across the FL peninsula overnight Sat night and into
Sun, bringing an increasing chc of showers along with some embedded
storms. The forecast features isold showers around Lake Okee late
Sat aftn spreading north overnight Sat into Sun with the best chc of
area wide rains along with a chc of storms during Sun.

Low pressure system along the SE US coast late Sun will drag drier
air into the area from the west, effectively shunting moisture and
best chc for rains to the ATLC waters by around daybreak Mon.

Next Week...Post frontal drying behind a rather potent area of low
pressure moving away from the region on Mon with breezy conds will
be expected into Mon eve with dry and mild conditions in place
through at least the middle of next week as high pressure is the
main feature.

&&

tampa bay lets hope this pans out huh.........NWS Tampa.....................LONG TERM (Saturday Night - Friday)...
Saturday night and Sunday, as a longwave trough swings south through
the southern Mississippi River Valley, an upstream shortwave trough
will advance into the Florida Peninsula from the eastern Gulf of
Mexico. This will allow for a significant increase in atmospheric
moisture, mostly for the areas south of Interstate 4, with PWAT
values of 1.5 to 2.0 inches forecast. As a result, scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop Saturday
night and Sunday. The longwave trough will move in late Sunday night
and into Monday, pushing a surface cold front in and leading to
another round of showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures
will be a little cooler on Monday, with highs generally in
the upper 70s and low 80s, but will then quickly start to
increase again by Tuesday. The rain chances will move out by
late Monday afternoon through Tuesday as high pressure and
relatively drier air fills in from the west. High pressure
will then build through the rest of the week, with rain free
conditions and increasing temperatures. By the end of the
week, highs are forecast to reach into the low 90s inland,
with generally mid to upper 80s along the coast.

&&

It figures..now 12Z CMC is saying the heavier rains will be down in southern florida....

StPeteFLwx wrote:Somehow I doubt it...

Feelin' the chill. Huh, StPete!

I'll take Mon/Mon night, but by Fri it is back up to 87...sigh

sangria wrote:I'll take Mon/Mon night, but by Fri it is back up to 87...sigh

and if we don't get some rain this time, I'll bet on Extreme around here pretty soon.

JRnOldsmar wrote:

sangria wrote:I'll take Mon/Mon night, but by Fri it is back up to 87...sigh

and if we don't get some rain this time, I'll bet on Extreme around here pretty soon.

yes this drought is getting serious alright.

Good Early Saturday Morning folks!!...good luck to those who get a shower or two thru today...if you do..let us know ok................well I'm setting the Blogs COFFEE to perk for when you get here..enjoy..have a great day everyone!!

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
COLLIER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
439 PM EDT FRI APR 21 2017

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE
COLLIER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICE.

THE WILDFIRE IN GOLDEN GATE ESTATES IS STILL OUT OF CONTROL WITH
ZERO CONTAINMENT DUE TO THE WINDS. THE FIRE INCIDENT COMMANDER HAS
FURTHER EXPANDED THE MANDATORY EVACUATION ZONE TO THE FOLLOWING
BOUNDARIES. FROM THE NORTH BOUNDARY, AT GOLDEN GATE BLVD, TO THE
SOUTH BOUNDARY AT I-75. FROM THE WEST, AT COLLIER BLVD AND EAST
TO WILSON BLVD. THIS NOW INCLUDES THE HOUSING COMMUNITY ABUTTING
MAGNOLIS POND DRIVE OFF OF COLLIER BLVD. ADDITIONALLY A VOLUNTARY
EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR RESIDENTS LIVING SOUTH OF GOLDEN GATE
PARKWAY, NORTH OF 32ND AVENUE SW AND EAST OF TROPICANA BLVD.

GOLDEN GATE COMMUNITY CENTER HAS BEEN DESIGNATED THE RECEPTION
AREA FOR EVACUEES.

TUNE TO YOUR LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO STATION FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS LOCAL CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE FROM THE COLLIER
COUNTY DEPARTMENT OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LargoFL wrote:Good Early Saturday Morning folks!!...good luck to those who get a shower or two thru today...if you do..let us know ok................well I'm setting the Blogs COFFEE to perk for when you get here..enjoy..have a great day everyone!!

Morning All, I picked up a cup of coffee on the way to work today.
Thanks Largo!!!!!!!!!
Looking forward to some rain. Fingers crossed!!!
Have a great day
John Z-hills

news is saying thousands of people evacuated yesterday in florida due to fires..please stay alert and safe out there folks.

severstorm wrote:

LargoFL wrote:Good Early Saturday Morning folks!!...good luck to those who get a shower or two thru today...if you do..let us know ok................well I'm setting the Blogs COFFEE to perk for when you get here..enjoy..have a great day everyone!!

Morning All,  I picked up a cup of coffee on the way to work today.
Thanks Largo!!!!!!!!!
Looking forward to some rain. Fingers crossed!!!
Have a great day
John Z-hills

good morning John..yes the Coffee came out really good today..have a great day John

well good luck today southern Florida folks on getting the rains..looks like south florida might get some showers for 2-3 days...

NWS Tampa...Sat Apr 22 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Increasing moisture combined with daytime heating and the
development of the west coast seabreeze will support isolated
thunderstorms over southern portions of the region today during
the afternoon and early evening hours. Some locally heavy rains,
gusty winds, and deadly lightning strikes will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
An upper level disturbance moving across the southern peninsula
and a cold front approaching from the north will support isolated
thunderstorms over the region Sunday through early Monday. Some
locally heavy rains, gusty winds, and deadly lightning strikes
will be possible. Pleasant dry weather will return to the region
Tuesday through Friday as high pressure builds in over the area.

gee what we do NOT need is any cloud to ground Lightning to start even more Fires huh

LargoFL wrote:

StPeteFLwx wrote:Somehow I doubt it...

yeah perhaps this warm dry spring is here to stay maybe gee.

This is what happens when you are running the wrong software for your weather station. Ask me how I know....I did the same mistake years ago.
John Z-hills

Good morning. Hopefully Collier County will get some relief. That fire is a nasty one.

StAugustineFL wrote:Good morning.  Hopefully Collier County will get some relief.  That fire is a nasty one.

good morning Aug..yes its a real bad situation there alright..so many evacuated from their homes and..could lose those homes to the fire geez.

Billsfan you can see whats going to be heading towards you in the next few days..you at a 70% chance today for rain..and I'm hoping no cloud to ground Lightning setting fires...rain we need badly..not the Lightning huh

imagine working hard all your life..you buy a home for your family..and in one day..lose everything to a fire..my prayers fore those people.

Sat Apr 22 2017

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DENSE FOG/SMOKE IMPACT...
Localized dense smoke from smoldering fires may affect visibility
on some roads early this morning through about 900 AM, and again
early on Sunday morning between about 600 and 900 AM. Motorists
should continue to check road conditions for potential closures,
and especially if traveling on State Roads 528, 520, and 407 in
eastern Orange and northern Brevard counties, State Roads 44 and
46 in northeast Lake County, and Interstate 4 near Orange City in
southwest Volusia County. Use extreme caution wherever low
visibility may be encountered.

man..a long time ago we were driving over to Daytona beach on I-4..and smoke was over the highway for a few miles and I can say..you could not see the car in front of you,, smoke was so dense,dont want to ever drive thru that again whew.

well almost 11am here and in looking outside..the thick moisture clouds are making it almost overcast here on the gulf and they seem to be moving north-northeastward..well with daytime heating and if a gulf sea breeze developes later today..there just might be a shower or two here later on...

Good luck on the rain Largo. A few more clouds here today as well but no rain chance until tomorrow. It's a little warm but doesn't feel too bad with the sun peeking in/out of the clouds. I've been out checking on some yard sales to pick up some stuff for my daughter but didn't have much luck. Took about a 2 1/2 mile walk afterwards. I need to burn off about 10 lbs I gained over winter.

StAugustineFL wrote:Good luck on the rain Largo.  A few more clouds here today as well but no rain chance until tomorrow.  It's a little warm but doesn't feel too bad with the sun peeking in/out of the clouds.  I've been out checking on some yard sales to pick up some stuff for my daughter but didn't have much luck.  Took about a 2 1/2 mile walk afterwards.  I need to burn off about 10 lbs I gained over winter.

ok yes walking really helps ..good luck...heavy dark overcast here moved over to Tampa I guess..no rain so far and suns back out.

LargoFL wrote:

StAugustineFL wrote:Good luck on the rain Largo.  A few more clouds here today as well but no rain chance until tomorrow.  It's a little warm but doesn't feel too bad with the sun peeking in/out of the clouds.  I've been out checking on some yard sales to pick up some stuff for my daughter but didn't have much luck.  Took about a 2 1/2 mile walk afterwards.  I need to burn off about 10 lbs I gained over winter.

ok yes walking really helps ..good luck...heavy dark overcast here moved over to Tampa I guess..no rain so far and suns back out.

Largo's backyard forecast for today through when ever:
100% chance of Chlorine based rain

JR, are you getting in on that little bit of moisture that is sliding east, or did it pop too far north for you?



This is from the PWS Webcam a mile south of me.   It is aimed SE, so that rain shaft on the right side of the screen is probably Citrus Park/ Eastlake Tarpon area.  

Hey..I had a great down Pouring rain here earlier around 2 30 or so and on and off drizzle or light rain since then..and its still sprinkling on and off here with an overcast sky..airport about 5 miles inland is saying they got .31 there but I got more here by me just with that heavy downpour plus all the light stuff afterwards..whatever amount I'm a happy camper now...gee I really needed this..everything outside is soaking wet yesssssss!! LOL..and..it seems like we might have a day or so more in some places....good luck on getting rain folks!!

and MORE coming up from the south..we sure needed this.....

well its 73 rain cooled degree's and rain has stopped..so far anyway but local met says 30% today and tomorrow..we'll see how this plays out next few days...well have a good night everyone..stay safe out there.

sangria wrote:JR, are you getting in on that little bit of moisture that is sliding east, or did it pop too far north for you?

LargoFL wrote:Hey..I had a great down Pouring rain here earlier around 2 30 or so and on and off drizzle or light rain since then..and its still sprinkling on and off here with an overcast sky..airport about 5 miles inland is saying they got .31 there but I got more here by me just with that heavy downpour plus all the light stuff afterwards..whatever amount I'm a happy camper now...gee I really needed this..everything outside is soaking wet yesssssss!! LOL..and..it seems like we might have a day or so more in some places....good luck on getting rain folks!!

Well, I witnessed Largo's rain shower as I headed down to Clearwater this afternoon.  I caught 5 windshield drops with that one.  At that point, I was disconnected and indoors until this evening.  No diff; 0.00 at my place.  

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
420 AM EDT SUN APR 23 2017

FLC085-111-231015-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FA.Y.0004.170423T0820Z-170423T1015Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
St. Lucie FL-Martin FL-
420 AM EDT SUN APR 23 2017

The National Weather Service in Melbourne has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
Southeastern St. Lucie County in east central Florida...
Northeastern Martin County in east central Florida...

* Until 615 AM EDT

* At 417 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms near and East of Port Saint Lucie and along US
Highway One. This will cause minor flooding in the advisory area.
Up to two inches of rain have already fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Stuart, Port Saint Lucie, Jensen Beach and Palm City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding. Slow down and do not drive through water of
unknown depth.

&&

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
427 AM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.SHORT TERM (Today-Monday)...
An upper trough will be moving over south Florida today as
an upper low pushes into the deep south tonight. The upper
low will then move over GA/N FL Monday. At the surface, a
weak trough will lift over south Florida today and bring a
chance to likely rain chances across much of the area with
the highest pops south and inland this afternoon. As the
trough pushes east, a cold front will then approach the area
from the NW. The front will then move through the area late
Sunday night through Monday afternoon with just a slight
chance of rain with the front. Winds will increase for
Monday and be gusty/breezy. Temperatures will be in the mid
to upper 80s this afternoon for highs and in the lower 60s
to lower 70s for lows tonight. Highs Monday will be cooler
behind the front in the upper 70s to lower 80s.

Good Sunday Morning Folks!! seems like a good chance for rain today especially south and inland Florida,good luck to those who get some..i know we ALL need rain badly......well Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here...enjoy..have a great day everyone!!

Morning.

temp"61f
humidity 96%
dew point: 60f
wind:W at 4mph
Barometer: 29.90 digital, 29.93 analog
24hr precipitation: 1.31 inches

clearing and a high in the upper 70s with a low near 50

it seems like this wall of rain and storms is moving slowly northward.....

gomexwx wrote:Morning.

temp"61f
humidity 96%
dew point: 60f
wind:W at 4mph
Barometer: 29.90 digital, 29.93 analog
24hr precipitation: 1.31 inches

clearing and a high in the upper 70s with a low near 50

good morning gome..local met thinks rain showers may expand into the tampa bay area with the gulf sea breeze coming in this afternoon..im good on rain, ground outside is still wet which is Great here by me..its really been a long time since its been like this here...well i'll be on and off today,wife wants to do thing and go places..BBL

you know you have been in a drought when it rains and people want to get out in it...

Have fun Largo!

Morning. A bit more humid here this morning with the SW flow. Almost feels like summer. I'm not holding my breath on the rain chances here.

Glad to see SFL get rain but looks like it was hit and miss. Some areas had inches while others virtually nothing.

Morning everyone!

Glad you got a good shower yesterday Largo. It just couldn't make it's way to me. :-( I thought maybe you missed out on it JR.

I see the Collier County fire is still raging. 5500 acres burned and still only 20% contained. The scattered rain didn't put much of a dent in it.

Current conditions from PWS stations within a few miles of me.  Significant difference In dew points from yesterday.

Good morning! Nearly an inch of rain for me so far. It's stopped raining, but still cloudy. Hopefully we get some more!

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Good morning!  Nearly an inch of rain for me so far.  It's stopped raining, but still cloudy.  Hopefully we get some more!

That's great for you Billsfan! The radar still looks very beneficial for south Florida.