4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered thunderstorms will be possible over inland areas this
afternoon and early evening, then during tonight a cold front will
approach from the northwest bringing a chance of thunderstorms to
areas from around the Tampa Bay area and Interstate 4 corridor
northward. Thunderstorms that develop will be capable of
producing gusty winds...locally heavy rains...and occasional
deadly lightning strikes.

lets hope no cloud to ground Lightning starting yet more fires .

looks like Aug etc will be getting rains thru this evening on..good luck Aug.........Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
905 AM EDT Mon May 1 2017

.UPDATE...

Showers with embedded thunderstorms will develop this afternoon as
moisture and instability increases ahead of an approaching cold
front. The coverage is expected to increase toward evening.

Above normal temperatures are expected for Today.

&&

sure would be great IF those showers in the gulf would come ashore here...

Movement of these gulf storms are to the northeast,Maybe a shower will get to me...

well I got the A/C guy here now..please post about Your area's ok

this run of the Nam model says the line of storms comes early morning by me....

Good afternoon. No sign of rain here in the near term but chances go up overnight. We shall see. HRRR has been consistent with a line of storms moving through but placement has been inconsistent with best coverage. I may get nothing or get an inch.

Next chance comes late Thur/Thur night followed by great weather. 2 nights in the mid 50's with highs in the upper 70's. Can't beat that in May.

Hmmm. This would be good for the WCFL folks if it verifies. Time will tell.

Damn Gomey, don't hog it all!!!!

lol..its on and off RAIN here this early tuesday morning LOL..yessss!!..woke me up with hard rain hitting my windows,must have had a lil wind with it...just after 3 30am and its stopped but I guess more will come in the next few hours. gee I really needed this rain badly...but what I'm watching out for is the Next one thus/Friday..might have a touch of severe stuff inside it...we'll see.

NWS Tampa 3 56am tues...............Currently the front is near Levy county with a fairly wide swath of
deeper moisture ahead of it...model PWAT values run from 1.5 to
around 2 inches. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are
already along the coast with a few showers offshore. These will
continue ahead of and right along the front as it pushes south...
reaching Tampa Bay about dawn...west-central FL this afternoon...
and southwest FL late afternoon and evening. Coverage will be
isolated to locally numerous for the showers and isolated for the
thunderstorms. The precipitation ends from north to south during the
day as drier air fills in behind the front. The front then stalls
and dissipates over night. However residual moisture remains across
southern FL Wed with some showers and a a few storms spreading into
the southern counties in the afternoon. Temperatures continue to run
above normal although slightly cooler air spreads in across the
north tonight. The Gulf coast high pressure moving east shifts winds
fairly fast through the north to the east...precluding any
significant cooling.

so it looks like I get the front pushing thru here around dawn,just a few hours away,hopefully more good rain with the main line of storms with it.

Good Tuesday Morning folks!!..guess I'd better set the Blogs COFFEE to perk for when YOU get here..grab a cup before your off to work..and be careful with any wet roadways out there ok went outside and I don't feel any good winds, just a breeze every now and then but might be some once the line crosses the area......have a great day everyone.

looks like the front is still a lil north of my area.......

for thurs-friday.................Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
MARGINAL 157,855 21,805,387 Jacksonville, FL...Portland, OR...Tampa, FL...St. Petersburg, FL...Montgomery, AL...
so there is a marginal risk of some severe storms in 2-3 days..i'll keep watching the warnings

st pete we could get some interesting weather here in a couple of days from now..

No rainfall by me. It went around us again. Hopefully we get some on Thursday, but I am guessing it will be much like what has happened for awhile now. A lot of hype and no show. Oh well, I'll get my annual rainfall allotment in July, August and September.

waterdipper wrote:No rainfall by me. It went around us again. Hopefully we get some on Thursday, but I am guessing it will be much like what has happened for awhile now. A lot of hype and no show. Oh well, I'll get my annual rainfall allotment in July, August and September.

yes our good rains are just a few months away.

well front is almost here,a few showers moving closer in the gulf.

front must be real close to new port richey I guess.......

this radar shows where the front is right now much better......

well just about 10 30am and a few drops falling here..i don't see this being a big rain maker for me unless something changes soon..looks like all the maybe good rains falling up in pasco etc.

well it seems like I'm dominating this blog..that I don't want to do,this is OUR Florida blog huh..and I am just one of the members...guess i'll lay low for awhile here...just checked doc's blog and man its terrible,post how the weather is in Your area folks ok...

All cloudy and dark in St. Pete. But no rain

Looks like we got some rain today. Will not know how much till I get home.
Good day all
John Z-hills

Good afternoon. Like waterdipper, not a drop here. I too don't feel too confident for much relief later in the week. The seabreeze storms should begin firing in the next month give or take a couple of weeks. Looks like I'll have to wait until then.

I got teased BAD! You are right Largo, it was all around Pasco, just not over my house! My gauge laughed at me when I went out to look.

sangria wrote:I got teased BAD!  You are right Largo, it was all around Pasco, just not over my house!  My gauge laughed at me when I went out to look.  

The nearby PWS recorded .01". That should hold you over til July.

LMAO Aug

Hi All, ok i got .45 in the bucket today. rain rate was 3.00in per hour. must of rain for maybe 15 mins at that rate. My yard is happy! Hope ones that missed out get thursday.
John Z-hills

Good Wednesday Morning folks!! looks like we have a day or two real dry and warm and then the lil stronger cool front comes and gets us down into the 70's again and Nam model is saying could be Better rainfall with this one and..Windy too..we'll see how it plays out...well I have my new A/C being installed today,been without for what seems like a week lol but coolness inside here will be much appreciated LOL...Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here...enjoy!!..have a great day everyone!!

nam model for Friday morning.........................................................

models are suggesting windy conditions when this new front comes into Florida,hopefully not too bad huh.

What a great morning here, 55 degrees, calm and sunny. Great May weather. Now, if Thursday's front would just bring some measurable rainfall I will consider it a win. I have no doubt our rains will come eventually. Looks like the central US is catching the monsoon at the moment. Seems to be the pattern of the last few years. Big sections of the country go dry while one area gets pounded with too much rainfall over and over leading to major flooding issues. I'm going to St Louis next month so hopefully their flooding issues will be over by then.

waterdipper wrote:What a great morning here, 55 degrees, calm and sunny. Great May weather. Now, if Thursday's front would just bring some measurable rainfall I will consider it a win. I have no doubt our rains will come eventually. Looks like the central US is catching the monsoon at the moment. Seems to be the pattern of the last few years. Big sections of the country go dry while one area gets pounded with too much rainfall over and over leading to major flooding issues. I'm going to St Louis next month so hopefully their flooding issues will be over by then.

good luck on your Trip WD,they sure are having problems with flooding rains lately there.

Good morning everyone!

No AC Largo? uggh, thank goodness it isn't August.

We got about a half inch rain last evening. No much but better than what most folks are getting.

Have a good day all.

GFS has the rains midnight thru noon on Friday here for tampa bay area etc..

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Good morning everyone!

No AC Largo?  uggh, thank goodness it isn't August.

We got about a half inch rain last evening.   No much but better than what most folks are getting.

Have a good day all.

Hia Billsfan..yeah its been a very warm few days here but..they are installing the new AC right now. should be done in about 3-4 hours.cant wait for the coolness to return indoors LOL well I guess things happen like this,my last unit lasted many many years with just regular maint etc.

this coming storm line wont break up like the last front,solid wall of storms.....

I'm thinking, since this line of storms will be coming IN from the gulf,then Tampa bay area should..get its rains this time as it comes ashore huh?..just hope no real bad winds as the cold front bangs into our high 80's and 90's temps,sometimes that can cause a water spout or tornado to come ashore with it..luckily the actual storm LOW will be way north of Florida...sure would be nice to get an inch of rain or more this time.....but watch...only a sprinkle or two LOL

one thing might be a sure thing..late thurs night might get a bit loud if this front has lightning and thunder with it..and hopefully no cloud to ground Lightning starting any more fires huh.

sangria wrote:I got teased BAD!  You are right Largo, it was all around Pasco, just not over my house!  My gauge laughed at me when I went out to look.  

LOL yeah,our area on the west coast needs rain badly for sure. just hope this next front stays around for awhile before moving down the state

a levee overflowed and failed in Arkansas I think it was..whew the flooding there is terrible,hopefully nothing like that here with this storm coming. mandatory evacuations going on there.

I saw something mentioned about the levee, but haven't had a chance to look at anything. I hope folks weren't in harms way when it gave.

gee I hope the CMC model verifies..i sure could use this rain,sooo dry here......

sangria wrote:I saw something mentioned about the levee, but haven't had a chance to look at anything.  I hope folks weren't in harms way when it gave.

its on CBS news San.........................http://www.cbsnews.com/news/levee-fails-in-arkansas-as-flooding-threatens-south-midwest/

well got my new A/C installed...ahhhhhh was there life..before A/C??.....nah LOL