4/16/17 Florida/Alabama Weather Blog

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
346 AM EDT Wed Apr 19 2017

.SHORT TERM (Today - Thursday)...
Upper level ridging extends over Florida, then northward over the
eastern seaboard through Thursday. On the surface, strong high
pressure sits north of Nova Scotia and ridges south-southwest
through the western Atlantic. The parent high moves northeastward,
while a secondary high develops off the mid-Atlantic coastline by
Thursday morning. This will keep dry conditions, warm temperatures
and a predominant east through northeast wind flow over the Florida
peninsula.

&&

.Long Term (Thursday Night - Tuesday)...
High pressure will continue to ridge across the area through Sunday
keeping E/SE flow in place with afternoon sea breezes. A cold front
will then move through the area later Sunday through Monday night
bringing a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Drier and slightly cooler high pressure will then build back into
the area for Tuesday. Temperatures will be above normal through
Sunday night, then fall below normal for Monday, and be near normal
Monday night and Tuesday.

&&

thanks for the Java Largo!
up early here ,wife has cancer surgery today.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
346 AM EDT Wed Apr 19 2017

.SHORT TERM (Today - Thursday)...
Upper level ridging extends over Florida, then northward over the
eastern seaboard through Thursday. On the surface, strong high
pressure sits north of Nova Scotia and ridges south-southwest
through the western Atlantic. The parent high moves northeastward,
while a secondary high develops off the mid-Atlantic coastline by
Thursday morning. This will keep dry conditions, warm temperatures
and a predominant east through northeast wind flow over the Florida
peninsula.

&&

.Long Term (Thursday Night - Tuesday)...
High pressure will continue to ridge across the area through Sunday
keeping E/SE flow in place with afternoon sea breezes. A cold front
will then move through the area later Sunday through Monday night
bringing a chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Drier and slightly cooler high pressure will then build back into
the area for Tuesday. Temperatures will be above normal through
Sunday night, then fall below normal for Monday, and be near normal
Monday night and Tuesday.

&&

gomexwx wrote:thanks for the Java Largo!
up early here ,wife has cancer surgery today.

prayers for Her!!!!!

Morning all, Coffee is a great thing. Thanks Largo!!
As I drove into work this am there are puddles everywhere. North of Tampa must of got some showers over night. My place still high and way to dry.
Have a great day all.
John Z-hills

well lets see who gets the rain sun/mon...good luck northern florida and panhandle folks..hopefully a shower or two will make it into central florida too

gomexwx wrote:thanks for the Java Largo!
up early here ,wife has cancer surgery today.

oh man..my prayers everything goes ok..some years ago doc found a small blob of skin cancer on my ear..they cut it out and so far no return thank goodness...but it IS kinda scary huh..my prayers for her gome.

severstorm wrote:Morning all, Coffee is a great thing. Thanks Largo!!
As I drove into work this am there are puddles everywhere. North of Tampa must of got some showers over night. My place still high and way to dry.
Have a great day all.
John Z-hills

good morning John..yes they said a 20% chance last night..not a drop by me.

well I have some outside cleanup to do..BBL

Prayers for Mrs. Gome!

Dryness is i abundance.  It's noticeable how lawns are really starting to suffer.  C'mon rainy season!

Billsfan, GFS is saying Monday may be your rainy day..good luck ok....supposedly a weak cold front passes thru your area and south florida with some showers etc...a lil early yet to be sure.

yeah billsfan, nws  down in your area is also mentioning possible showers thru the weekend into Monday...........
Saturday Night

Saturday..A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southeast wind around 11 mph.


Sunday

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 9am. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Southeast wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.


Sunday Night

A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70.


Monday

A 40 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 83.


Monday Night

A 40 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.

It is cloudy everywhere and the radio says heavy rain in areas. Not my area!

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:It is cloudy everywhere and the radio says heavy rain in areas.   Not my area!

yeah Billsfan, earlier I saw some good showers on radar coming in from the atlantic just north of your area.

it looks like Jenny will have a few awesome days in the mid 70's for highs after this week cold front comes thru this weekend..good luck on any rain too Jenny.

that's the trouble with central florida area's this time of year..all the fronts come into the south and then head NE and hardly anything gets down to us here....we must wait for things to change and the storms and rain etc come thru florida from the atlantic or in from the gulf...just a few more months and the change and the tropical season begins...thank goodness for sprinklers lol, but still I lost portions of the lawn grrrr.

Gome if you feel up to it..let us know how things turned out ok..blogs prayers are with her ok.

its just after 2pm and it seems some showers still coming into southern florida...

12Z GFS gives just about everyone some showers sun but more Monday......

yes CMC agree's so far...Monday with the front..showers-best chance looks like..

Hope all goes well for you and the misses gomey. I'll be thinking about you guys.

Glad to see some rain chances in the forecast. It'll soon be the season to dodge my avatar.

NWS Tampa...looks like rain chances UP sunday and Monday..........Long Term (Friday Night - Wednesday)...
High pressure will continue to ridge across the area through Sunday
keeping E/SE flow in place with afternoon sea breezes and allowing
for a few afternoon showers Saturday and a chance of some pre-
frontal showers and possibly a storm Sunday. A cold front will then
move through the area Sunday night and Monday bringing a chance of
showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Drier and slightly
cooler high pressure will then build back into the area for Monday
night through Wednesday. Temperatures will be above normal through
Sunday night, then fall below normal for Monday, near normal Monday
night and Tuesday, and above normal Tuesday night and Wednesday.

&&

Good Thursday Morning folks..well warm and dry here by me till this cold front comes sun/mon..at least there IS a chance for us huh......well Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here...and again..prayers for Mrs Gome and I pray everything went ok with her surgery..have a great day everyone!

Good morning everyone.

Some clouds around, but no rain.

Have a good day!

Don't know if anyone posted this one in awhile, but just in case... kinda dry here

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Good morning everyone.

Some clouds around, but no rain.

Have a good day!

good morning Billsfan..yes no rain here either.

StPeteFLwx wrote:Don't know if anyone posted this one in awhile, but just in case... kinda dry here

good morning st pete..yes this drought is getting bad here,might need a week of rain to catch up lol

JR..looks like your city gave up on getting the new RAYS stadium..traffic wise it might be a good thing there.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
905 AM EDT Thu Apr 20 2017

.SHORT TERM (Today)...
An upper ridge ridge was across the area with a dry and
stable airmass...the 12Z TBW RAOB came in with PWAT at 1
inch and an inversion at 765MB. Low level flow was easterly
thanks to Atlantic high pressure ridging west...north of
the area. These features continue during the day with
mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies...as some clouds drift
in from the Atlantic. The upper ridge will preclude any
significant rainfall. Although slightly deeper moisture in
the far south could support a few showers in Charlotte and
Lee counties. Current forecasts on track with no updates
planned.

&&

Jenny good luck on the rain for Monday..60%....................................................................

Gome I'm putting on a special pot of Coffee for ya'all..hope everything worked out ok,prayers for the mrs ok

LargoFL wrote:JR..looks like your city gave up on getting the new RAYS stadium..traffic wise it might be a good thing there.

Thanks for the heads-up, Largo.  I was both for and against the Rays moving here, for different reasons.  No too disappointed, but I kinda would have liked them here.  The increase in traffic shouldn't have been a major impact to me personally.

They've moved on, and are now in the process of screwing up MY park (even further)!.

underutilized-sheffield-park-set-to-shine

I agree with the comments more than the article.
-eagle nests are long-gone
-indiscriminate deforestation (there is NO selective cutting going on)
-not properly maintained
-disc golf?? - don't care one way or the other, except for the habitat destruction that it's causing -- and it is called a "Nature Preserve"

The good side of these changes is that they've cleaned out the drain/flood control ditches/ponds and are rebuilding the decrepit boardwalk.

Regardless, I will still enjoy walking and riding thru the park.  It's just no longer the Nature Preserve and small neighborhood park that moved beside, some 20+ years ago.  This small town does have a good number of parks, and they've done a good job in connecting them all thru trails and wide-sidewalks.

I'm not alone though -- Your park is next Largo!

Thanks all, Largo that special pot comes in handy!..
My wife is back home recovering,they got it all. Now like last time we wait and hope it don't return...

Current Condition along the North Central Gulf Coast:
Sunshine with a few clouds..
10% chance of rain.....good luck with that!
High near 88
Clear tonight low in the mid 60's

Temp: 87f
Humidity: 45%
Dew Point: 63f
Wind: N at 7mph
Barometer: 29.85 digital , 29.90 Analog, steady trend
24hr Precipitation 0.0

forecast for tomorrow..little change

gomexwx wrote:Thanks all, Largo that special pot comes in handy!..
My wife is back home recovering,they got it all. Now like last time we wait and hope it don't return...

Good news, Gomey. Thanks.

Considering the date, makes me wonder about that special pot that Largo provided. Coffee???

gomexwx wrote:Thanks all, Largo that special pot comes in handy!..
My wife is back home recovering,they got it all. Now like last time we wait and hope it don't return...

Current Condition along the North Central Gulf Coast:
Sunshine with a few clouds..
10% chance of rain.....good luck with that!
High near 88
Clear tonight low in the mid 60's

Temp: 87f
Humidity: 45%
Dew Point: 63f
Wind: N at 7mph
Barometer: 29.85 digital , 29.90 Analog,  steady trend
24hr Precipitation 0.0

forecast for tomorrow..little change

hi gome, I'm glad it went alright..good luck ok hope she recovers fast too.

for some reason the blog is freezing up on me..guess i'll call it a night then..good night everyone.

Good afternoon.

Glad to hear all went well gomey.

3 day weekend in store for me. I needed a break.

No issues here Largo but I do have issues with my laptop freezing up on occasion. Perhaps that was your issue??

Hmmm, I wonder if a local nor'easter is going to set up shop here in a few days after the FROPA based on the WPC rainfall forecast. Haven't had time to read up on much the past few days.

StAugustineFL wrote:Good afternoon.

Glad to hear all went well gomey.

3 day weekend in store for me.  I needed a break.

No issues here Largo but I do have issues with my laptop freezing up on occasion.  Perhaps that was your issue??

Hmmm, I wonder if a local nor'easter is going to set up shop here in a few days after the FROPA based on the WPC rainfall forecast.  Haven't had time to read up on much the past few days.

yes good rain chances for my area maybe even starting tomorrow (sat)....yeah Aug I was trying to post in here..blog froze I gave up..dunno what caused it but..later in the evening we had a power transformer blow..lost power for a few minutes..could be it I guess.

Check out THIS forecast.....................................................Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
412 AM EDT Fri Apr 21 2017

.SHORT TERM (Today-Saturday)...
A weak upper trough will be in place across the western
Gulf through the period. High pressure at the surface will
ridge across the area through the period as an inverted
trough over the southeast Gulf lifts deep moisture and a
chance for rain across the area Saturday afternoon. Dry
conditions this afternoon will cause fire weather concerns
for a few counties. Generally E/SE winds will be in place
with a weak sea breeze near the coast each afternoon.
Temperatures will be above normal, with highs generally in
the 80s and lows in the 60s.

.LONG TERM (Saturday Night - Thursday)...
Models are in reasonably good agreement with synoptic scale
features during the long term period so a blend will be
used. A short wave trough over the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico at the start of the period will be lifting out to the
northeast across the south-central peninsula ahead of an
amplifying upper level trough moving into the eastern U.S..
Deep moisture (Pw`s increasing into the 1.6 to 1.8 inch
range) associated with the short wave trough over the Gulf
will support decent chances for some much needed rainfall
(Pops in the 30 to 60 percent range) with scattered showers
and possibly a few storms expected across central and
southern portions of the forecast area Saturday night, and
then across the entire region on Sunday with the highest
rain chances setting up over inland sections along the sea
breeze boundaries during the afternoon.

During Sunday night into early Monday additional showers and
storms (Pops in the 20 to 30 percent range) will be
possible as a vigorous upper level trough and closed low and
an attendant cold front approach and move across the
forecast area. In the wake of these features pleasant dry
weather will return to the forecast area Tuesday through
Thursday as high pressure builds in over the region.

Temperatures will remain above normal through Sunday night,
then will fall to a few degrees below normal during Monday
and Monday night. Temperatures will then return to near
normal on Tuesday, and then climb to above normal during
Wednesday and Thursday when highs will reach into the upper
80s to around 90 over inland locations each afternoon.

&&

Good Friday Morning Folks and TGIF!!!!!...at last rain chances going up after today!!....well Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here..grab a cup and enjoy...have a great day everyone!!

The only good thing about this dry weather is the morning lows are actually running a few degrees below average here every morning due to the low humidity and conditions prime for evaporative cooling. This morning it was 52 degrees which feels really cool due to the highs getting into the mid 80's each day. Doesn't look like much rain on the near horizon. WU forecast for Chiefland has about a 40% chance on Sunday with a prediction of 0.06". Hope maybe more will come through to wet down the road as it is getting way too dusty living a mile in off the pavement.

waterdipper wrote:The only good thing about this dry weather is the morning lows are actually running a few degrees below average here every morning due to the low humidity and conditions prime for evaporative cooling. This morning it was 52 degrees which feels really cool due to the highs getting into the mid 80's each day. Doesn't look like much rain on the near horizon. WU forecast for Chiefland has about a 40% chance on Sunday with a prediction of 0.06". Hope maybe more will come through to wet down the road as it is getting way too dusty living a mile in off the pavement.

good morning WD,yes local met has my area also at about 40% for sunday but we'll see how this plays out..the real moisture is coming from the carribean I guess..so it may turn out that central and south florida might get a bit more..i sure hope so,everything is so dry here and the pollen still is terrible by me.

waterdipper wrote:The only good thing about this dry weather is the morning lows are actually running a few degrees below average here every morning due to the low humidity and conditions prime for evaporative cooling. This morning it was 52 degrees which feels really cool due to the highs getting into the mid 80's each day. Doesn't look like much rain on the near horizon. WU forecast for Chiefland has about a 40% chance on Sunday with a prediction of 0.06". Hope maybe more will come through to wet down the road as it is getting way too dusty living a mile in off the pavement.

Nice mornings up there, WD.  I've been on the verge of early summer this week, with mornings right around 70. Maybe low to mid 60s coming on Tuesday/Wednesday.

Red flag warnings today for Polk, Manatee, and Hernando.
flag-warning-issued

yes looks like tomorrow rain chances are back,maybe I-4 southward...........

yesah panhandle/no florida gets the fronts rains,central and so fla get the carribean moisture..

gee it sure would be nice to get an all day drizzle or light soaking in rain..but I know it wont happen,i'll be lucky to get a quick 10 minute shower lol..

CMC brings a LOW into So.FLA while also putting heavier rains into Tampa bay area sun nite and monday YESSS..lets see if CMC verifies.man I sure hope so.a good soaking rain sure would help..just hope no Lightning, we don't need any more fires huh.

now Navy model gives most of us some showers Monday,well see what happens....

so it sure looks like most models are in agreement to some extent on bringing some rain to our parched state huh..sure would be nice for an all day on and off shower event..soaking in not run off.