CLOSED 9-17-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA BLOG

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Miami FL
713 AM EDT TUE SEP 26 2017

FLC011-086-261315-
/O.NEW.KMFL.FA.Y.0086.170926T1113Z-170926T1315Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Miami-Dade FL-Broward FL-
713 AM EDT TUE SEP 26 2017

The National Weather Service in Miami has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for Poor Drainage Areas
for...
Northeastern Miami-Dade County in southeastern Florida...
Eastern Broward County in southeastern Florida...

* Until 915 AM EDT

* At 713 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding.
Overflowing poor drainage areas will result in flooding in the
advisory area. Up to two inches of rain have already fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Miami, Hialeah, Fort Lauderdale, Pembroke Pines and Hollywood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of canals
and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well
as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

&&

LargoFL wrote:looks like a dry week ahead for my area..Billsfan's area has best chances for rain a 40-50% chance today down there..good luck Billsfan!!!

Thanks Largo! I know I'll regret saying this, but I don't need any rain right now, at least on work days and during work hours. We are already WAY behind schedule due to Irma and this is really making a mess out of things.

LargoFL wrote:

That needs to STOP IT right now. lol

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:

LargoFL wrote:looks like a dry week ahead for my area..Billsfan's area has best chances for rain a 40-50% chance today down there..good luck Billsfan!!!

Thanks Largo!  I know I'll regret saying this, but I don't need any rain right now, at least on work days and during  work hours.  We are already WAY behind schedule due to Irma and this is really making a mess out of things.  

hi Billsfan, yes I was thinking of you and the rains affecting work,i see the flood warning was only till 9 45am I think it was..hopefully it wont be so bad thru the day..good luck ok.

ahhhh the A/C guy came..the fan motor blew out..even he was surprised, my A/C is brand new only 4 months old..well he put in a spare motor and is sending the failed one back to manufacturer, the new one comes sometime next week..but at least he could give us cold air till it comes.......im asking nicely..HOW did our ancesters live...without A/C?? lol

Billsfan, this weekend but listen to YOUR local weather guy ok..12Z GFS..

CMC brings it into the gulf Saturday......................................................................

Hey St Pete...did you lose power because of this..this morning?...........................A paraglider got caught in power lines Tuesday morning in St. Petersburg and had to be hospitalized.
Witness said incident sounded like transformer going off
Paraglider taken to Tampa General for burn injuries
Power restored to area by noon
The incident happened about 9 a.m. at 60th Street and 1st Avenue North.
Police said the paraglider was being treated at Tampa General Hospital for severe burns.
A witness said she heard three "bangs" and said it sounded like a transformer going off.
About 100 people lost power in the area, and Duke Energy was notified. Residents said power was restored before noon.
Police said there were other paragliders in the area but they had left the scene.

well enough from me lol..a dry week ahead for my area it seems.

LargoFL wrote:ahhhh the A/C guy came..the fan motor blew out..even he was surprised, my A/C is brand new only 4 months old..well he put in a spare motor and is sending the failed one back to manufacturer, the new one comes sometime next week..but at least he could give us  cold air till it comes.......im asking nicely..HOW did our ancesters live...without A/C?? lol

well, I found out for five days two weeks ago and I don't know how they did it. But I guess if you never know any different you adapt.

LargoFL wrote:Billsfan, this weekend but listen to YOUR local weather guy ok..12Z GFS..

um, NO THANK YOU... I already gave at the office.

LargoFL wrote:

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:

LargoFL wrote:looks like a dry week ahead for my area..Billsfan's area has best chances for rain a 40-50% chance today down there..good luck Billsfan!!!

Thanks Largo!  I know I'll regret saying this, but I don't need any rain right now, at least on work days and during  work hours.  We are already WAY behind schedule due to Irma and this is really making a mess out of things.  

hi Billsfan, yes I was thinking of you and the rains affecting work,i see the flood warning was only till 9 45am I think it was..hopefully it wont be so bad thru the day..good luck ok.

Even if it stops early, it's still pretty much a wash out. Unfortunately.

Where does that storm come from that they have hitting us?

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Where does that storm come from that they have hitting us?

Billsfan,not the Caribbean possibility...this week end a Low will be crossing south florida............here I clipped this from NWS Tampa's afternoon discussion................................MID/LONG TERM (Wednesday Night through Next Tuesday)...
A low aloft continues over the area through the weekend then
slips south as ridging builds in for the early part of
next week. Surface troughing across FL and the Gulf pulls
away to the northeast by the end of the week. During the
weekend Canadian high pressure slides in across the Great
Lakes then moves to New England. The high builds down into
the Gulf...pushing a front ahead of it...and sets up
easterly flow across FL with an embedded low/inverted trough
traversing the southern part of the state. The latest GFS
and ECMWF handle this feature similarly but the GFS is a bit
faster and more defined.

AUG.....................................................................

where is Odessa Florida?.............................Small experimental helicopter crashes into Odessa home.....it crashed into the homes roof...family wont be able to live there during clean-up..fuel may have leaked into the house and the roof will have to be fixed..omg

Good afternoon all. Glad you got some temp AC going Largo. Bad time of year to be without. To piggyback off the Ruskin statement, here is a snip from Jax from their long term discussion......

.LONG TERM /Friday-Tuesday/...

Nor`easter conditions expected to develop especially by this weekend
and into early next week as a cold front stalls south of the area
and a strong deep layer ridge builds across the northeast U.S. The
12Z ECMWF has come in much wetter than the 12Z GFS in that it has a
mid/upper low meandering just offshore the Fl east coast which... if
verifies...could bring prolonged periods of rain especially near and
along the coast. Until there is better model consistency...have gone
with high end scattered pops along the Ne Fl coast with lower rain
chances especially across inland Se Ga. Temps will cool to slightly
below normal across most areas except for across inland areas of N
cntl Fl where afternoon temps will be near normal.

LargoFL wrote:where is Odessa Florida?.............................Small experimental helicopter crashes into Odessa home.....it crashed into the homes roof...family wont be able to live there during clean-up..fuel may have leaked into the house and the roof will have to be fixed..omg

I had to Google it.  It's a bit NE of JR and ESE of san.  Looks like it's in south central Pasco near the Hillsborough/Pasco county line.

The local nor'easters up here vary greatly with respect to rain. Could range from a stray shower or two to a full on deluge. The constant is the wind, rip currents, elevated tides, beach erosion, possible coastal/river flooding. Seems like this may potentially be a good set up for rain - frontal boundary just south of the area, high pressure to the north, low pressure further south. We shall see how the forecast fine tunes itself into Friday. A prime nor'easter event set up here in May 2013 and dumped over 15" of rain over a 3 day period.

Wednesday 9/27...NWS Jacksonville..This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Florida,
Southeast Georgia and the Adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

Moderate risk of rip currents for Northeast Florida and
Southeast Georgia beaches.

Small craft advisory for the offshore coastal waters.

Minor to moderate river and coastal flooding continues.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Local nor`easter conditions will develop this weekend and
continue at least through the middle of next week. Strong
northeast winds and building seas will produce dangerous
boating conditions. With a long onshore wind fetch and
high astronomical tides next week...coastal flooding and
beach erosion will likely develop along with a high rip
current risk. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible
along the east coast.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

For additional information, visit the National Weather Service
in Jacksonville website on the internet at weather.gov/jax.

$$

well Good Luck on getting some rain up there Aug..my NWS Tampa is saying hardly any rain at all till the weekend with this weak front coming,and a supposed Low if it develops will traverse southern florida..still have a few days to see what plays out weather wise....

Good Early Wednesday Morning folks..the A/C repair guy told me he didn't have power for a week after Irma..and he said some on the next block from him, are still without power and might get it restored by the weekend wow...well I hope John and WD made it thru IRMA ok and have their power restored also..........Blogs Coffee is perking for when you get here..enjoy..have a great day everyone!

NWS Melbourne 9/27..
Developing low pressure will bring a period of higher rain
chances, increased winds, and hazardous seas beginning Saturday
and continuing into early next week. Residents in areas with
ongoing flooding or that are prone to re-flood, may need to take
additional measures to protect property from additional
inundation.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not anticipated today.

$$

well just about all models hinting at something forming in the Caribbean,nothing definite yet,well see what happens when OCT gets here

yes rain chances go up starting Saturday on.............................................

EURO model still hinting at something coming up from the Caribbean next week..

GFS has the LOW NWS Melbourne was talking about..has it cross central florida...

Good morning Largo and all..

Thanks for the updates Largo.

NHC broke out the crayons.

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Maria, located east of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, and on
Hurricane Lee, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.

1. An area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low
pressure is located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. This
system is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward across Cuba
and the Straits for Florida during the next day or so. Some
development of this system is possible when it moves near the
Florida peninsula or the northwestern Bahamas on Friday or Saturday
before upper-level winds become less favorable early next week.
Regardless of development, this system is likely to produce locally
heavy rainfall over portions of Cuba, southern Florida, the Florida
Keys, and the Bahamas during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

StAugustineFL wrote:For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Maria, located east of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, and on
Hurricane Lee, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.

1. An area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low
pressure is located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.  This
system is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward across Cuba
and the Straits for Florida during the next day or so.  Some
development of this system is possible when it moves near the
Florida peninsula or the northwestern Bahamas on Friday or Saturday
before upper-level winds become less favorable early next week.
Regardless of development, this system is likely to produce locally
heavy rainfall over portions of Cuba, southern Florida, the Florida
Keys, and the Bahamas during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

yes something to watch for sure

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
525 PM EDT WED SEP 27 2017

FLZ058-059-272230-
St. Lucie FL-Okeechobee FL-
525 PM EDT WED SEP 27 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN ST. LUCIE AND EASTERN
OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM EDT...

At 523 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong cluster of
thunderstorms near Fort Drum, moving east northeast at 10 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Okeechobee, Basinger, Fort Drum, Four Seasons Estates and Country
Hills Estates.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

yeah this weekend sat-sun could get a bit interesting alright...................

Local met just said on TV the tropics is getting quite active especially next few weeks..

whatever the EURO see's in the Caribbean and comes into the gulf might be a big one in area,but lets wait for the 1st week of OCT to get here, then we'll see what happens..

gee I hope this verifies..18Z GFS now takes the ATL LOW away from Florida...

well the models have been saying for awhile now that OCT will be a wet one for Florida.

Hi all. We've been so dry that the sprinklers are going again tonight. If we get a little rain it's ok with me. Seems like it's feast or famine.

Ok. How long has Lee been around??? Seems like forever

NWS Tampa..Thu Sep 28 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A few thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and
evening...especially to the south of the I-4 corridor.
Thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing gusty
winds...and frequent lightning strikes.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
Minor to moderate flooding continues on several area rivers,
especially the Withlacoochee River. Conditions are gradually
improving near Trilby and Croom. As the water continues to route
farther downstream, additional rises are forecast during the next
couple of days in Northern Citrus County. Residents living along
rivers or faster flowing streams should remain aware of water
levels and be ready to move to higher ground should flooding
occur. Check with your local emergency management agency for
available shelters if you are displaced due to flooding.
Elsewhere, levels continue to recede along most of West Central
Florida`s rivers due to the recent dry weather.

Good Thursday Morning Folks!!...well rain chances up to 20% around my area today we'll see how it goes thru the evening..folks in south and east coast Florida heed your Local forecasts thru the weekend ok..hopefully just rain....well Blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here enjoy,have a great day everyone!

Aug..whatever comes up from the Caribbean next couple of days seems to ride up the east coast, then later gets pushed back to the gulf thru north florida looks like...still 3-4-5 days for this to change and they still don't know if it develops ok..just stay a lil more alert thru Monday ok.

I'm hoping my area gets some of this rain,and just like PT I'm putting My sprinklers on tomorrow..this 90 degree temp along with no rain is again drying things out here.

LargoFL wrote:I'm hoping my area gets some of this rain,and just like PT I'm putting My sprinklers on tomorrow..this 90 degree temp along with no rain is again drying things out here.

Well Hello All,
I had some rain last night. Got .10 in the bucket. Not to bad when we were not to get rain. i'll take it. Largo my power came back on 5 days after Irma. Looks like we might get some good rain chances sat. and sun. All's good up my way.
Largo you might of blew a fan motor if your a/c was turned on when the power came back on. Its called a power surge. I had gone around and turned and unplugged everything before the power came back on for that very reason.
Have a great day!!!!!!
John Z-hills

severstorm wrote:

LargoFL wrote:I'm hoping my area gets some of this rain,and just like PT I'm putting My sprinklers on tomorrow..this 90 degree temp along with no rain is again drying things out here.

Well Hello All,
I had some rain last night. Got .10 in the bucket. Not to bad when we were not to get rain. i'll take it. Largo my power came back on 5 days after Irma. Looks like we might get some good rain chances sat. and sun. All's good up my way.
Largo you might of blew a fan motor if your a/c was turned on when the power came back on. Its called a power surge. I had gone around and turned and unplugged everything before the power came back on for that very reason.
Have a great day!!!!!!
John Z-hills

good morning John,yeah that's what blew the fan motor,and yes I guess it was still turned on..i have to remember that for any future storms..thanks....glad you got a lil rain...my area is starting to feel desert like lol..hope this weekend we do get some..have a great day too ok.