Re: CLOSED Thick of Summer in Florida!

by JRnOldsmar Thu Aug 23, 2018 10:55 am

Link: Cat6 Blog

Excerpt:
All of Hawaii’s major islands were under a hurricane warning late Wednesday except for Kauai and Niihau, which were under a hurricane watch. Lane appears to be the first storm to put virutally the entire state of Hawaii under hurricane watches and/or warnings, and it marks only the second time Honolulu and Oahu have been in a hurricane warning. The other time was during Iniki (1992), which ravaged Kauai as a Category 4 storm. Iniki stayed far enough west to spare Honolulu from sustained hurricane-force winds.

by JRnOldsmar Thu Aug 23, 2018 10:57 am

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 23 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the west coast of Africa
early Friday and then move quickly westward at about 20 mph. No
development is expected during the next few days, but environmental
conditions could become a little more conducive for some development
of the wave early next week over the central tropical Atlantic
Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

by LargoFL Thu Aug 23, 2018 1:51 pm

perhaps we should be watching the gulf a littler more than usual this season huh? conditions there might be a tad better next month or so?

by LargoFL Thu Aug 23, 2018 1:59 pm

well sun's full out here and whew..its getting real Hot outside

by LargoFL Thu Aug 23, 2018 3:16 pm

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
248 PM EDT THU AUG 23 2018

FLZ045-046-053-231945-
Osceola FL-Orange FL-Seminole FL-
248 PM EDT THU AUG 23 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN SEMINOLE...CENTRAL
ORANGE AND NORTHWESTERN OSCEOLA COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

At 247 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Orlando, moving east at 15 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Orlando, Kissimmee, Oviedo, Saint Cloud and Winter Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2864 8146 2864 8100 2808 8122 2809 8145
2814 8146 2814 8152 2820 8152 2826 8156
2826 8160
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 268DEG 12KT 2852 8135

$$

Smith

by LargoFL Thu Aug 23, 2018 3:18 pm

folks next 3 days there will be more of these warnings..stay safe out there................................Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Miami FL
136 PM EDT THU AUG 23 2018

FLC086-231930-
/O.NEW.KMFL.FA.Y.0041.180823T1736Z-180823T1930Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Miami-Dade FL-
136 PM EDT THU AUG 23 2018

The National Weather Service in Miami has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
North central Miami-Dade County in southeastern Florida...

* Until 330 PM EDT.

* At 135 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to
thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding in
the advisory area. Up to two inches of rain have already fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Hialeah, Miami Gardens, Doral, Miami Lakes and Hialeah Gardens.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 2593 8033 2593 8021 2582 8029 2578 8032
2578 8038

$$

KELLY

by LargoFL Thu Aug 23, 2018 3:20 pm

John, how is it up in Your area?..sure came down pretty good here by me early this morning.

by LargoFL Thu Aug 23, 2018 3:29 pm

by BillsfaninSoFla Thu Aug 23, 2018 8:38 pm

I hate watching anything that comes off of Africa this time of year. September storms are scary! Floyd was torture to watch. NOT saying this will be anything but it could be one for someone. Who knows!

by BillsfaninSoFla Thu Aug 23, 2018 9:08 pm

26 years ago at this time we were all freaked out with Andrew approaching. Satellite and internet not being what it is now, and nobody on our block had ever been through a major hurricane. My neighbor proudly said, I have 30 cans of soup, we're all set I asked, how much water? She said, huh? I had been saving milk jugs for two months and had 30. Thank goodness we were spared. Not the poor folks in South Miami. Changed the landscape demographically of Broward big time!

by BillsfaninSoFla Thu Aug 23, 2018 9:47 pm

And good luck to Hawaii

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 6:05 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:And good luck to Hawaii

Ditto

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 6:05 am

NWS TAMPA...507 AM EDT Fri Aug 24 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Ample moisture combined with daytime heating will lead to
scattered to numerous thunderstorms developing along the sea
breeze today with the greatest storm coverage expected to be
along the I-75 corridor during the afternoon and early evening
hours. Locally heavy rains, strong gusty winds, and frequent
lightning strikes will accompany the storm as they move to the
north and northwest at 5 to 10 mph. If hazardous weather
approaches your locations, move indoors immediately.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected each day
during the afternoon and early evening hours. The main hazards
from the storms will continue to be locally heavy rains, strong
gusty winds, and frequent lightning strikes.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

McMichael

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 6:08 am

Good Friday Morning and TGIF!!..well Mets are saying starting today..rain chances go somewhat higher and tomorrow saturday up to 70%..well by me we can sure use it if it verifies..well have a wonderful day everyone!!

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 6:11 am

ATTENTION BILLSFAN....3 overnight models..Euro-GFS-CMC...all put a tropical something on top of..or very close to your area in southern florida sept 1st-sept 8th..somewhere in that timeframe..yes..its still early and the track can surely change but its time for all of us in florida to go over supplies and plans huh

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 6:14 am

CMC the earliest model brings a tropical system into SF then up thru the state................................... CLOSED Thick of Summer in Florida! - Page 9 Gem_mslp_uv850_us_37

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 7:20 am

we all know how these models change run to run,so for right now..its something we watch and wait this out, myself im waiting to see what they say..oh 3 days out..what time/days do YOU wait and see what the models forecast??

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 7:22 am

Local met on TV just said possibly very heavy rains between 3-10 pm later today in some area's,for my area im hoping she is right

by waterdipper Fri Aug 24, 2018 8:30 am

LargoFL wrote:Local met on TV just said possibly very heavy rains between 3-10 pm later today in some area's,for my area im hoping she is right

TGIF. Weather has been hot, humid here, but the rains have missed me for a week now. Largo, it looks like the next 3 days or so the afternoon pattern is going to really get going with heavy rainfall in localized areas along and west of I- 75. I don't live in a favored area for this pattern, but do expect some good rain from it.

It appears the tropics are going to start ramping up in September for the peak of the season. The forecast I looked at seems to think we are going to get in a favorable MJO the first week of Sept and things are going to ramp up quickly for about 3 weeks with a big pulse in storms. It then appears it will quiet down again with just a sporadic storm here or there until the end of the season. Lets hope all the storms stay out to sea this year.

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 8:47 am

waterdipper wrote:
LargoFL wrote:Local met on TV just said possibly very heavy rains between 3-10 pm later today in some area's,for my area im hoping she is right

TGIF. Weather has been hot, humid here, but the rains have missed me for a week now. Largo, it looks like the next 3 days or so the afternoon pattern is going to really get going with heavy rainfall in localized areas along and west of I- 75. I don't live in a favored area for this pattern, but do expect some good rain from it.

It appears the tropics are going to start ramping up in September for the peak of the season. The forecast I looked at seems to think we are going to get in a favorable MJO the first week of Sept and things are going to ramp up quickly for about 3 weeks with a big pulse in storms. It then appears it will quiet down again with just a sporadic storm here or there until the end of the season. Lets hope all the storms stay out to sea this year.

yeah im with you on that WD, no bad storm this year would be great for sure..and so far this season we sure have been Lucky huh!!

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 8:51 am

by BillsfaninSoFla Fri Aug 24, 2018 8:53 am

LargoFL wrote:CMC the earliest model brings a tropical system into SF then up thru the state...................................

no thanks!

by BillsfaninSoFla Fri Aug 24, 2018 8:54 am

I will take that as a good sign that it will go elsewhere!

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 8:59 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:I will take that as a good sign that it will go elsewhere!

LOL for sure Billsfan!!!!

by StPeteFLwx Fri Aug 24, 2018 9:49 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:26 years ago at this time we were all freaked out with Andrew approaching. Satellite and internet not being what it is now, and nobody on our block had ever been through a major hurricane. My neighbor proudly said, I have 30 cans of soup, we're all set I asked, how much water? She said, huh? I had been saving milk jugs for two months and had 30. Thank goodness we were spared. Not the poor folks in South Miami. Changed the landscape demographically of Broward big time!

Interesting article in the Orlando Sentinel on the storm and how it changed forecasting and disaster recovery:
Andrew 26 years later

by BillsfaninSoFla Fri Aug 24, 2018 10:41 am

good read StPete!

by BillsfaninSoFla Fri Aug 24, 2018 10:42 am

we are getting sun showers, which are aggravating in a way as it just turns into a sauna!

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 12:18 pm

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
1126 AM EDT Fri Aug 24 2018

...The National Weather Service in Tampa Fl has issued a Flood
Warning for the following rivers...

Little Manatee River At Wimauma
Manatee River Near Myakka Head
Peace River At Zolfo Springs

.Heavy rainfall fell across parts of Polk, Hilssborough, and Manatee
counties yesterday. This, along with the possibility of additional
heavy afternoon showers and thunderstorms, will bring minor flooding
to a few rivers across West Central Florida this weekend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio. The
latest forecasts can also be found on weather.gov/tampabay. You can
follow NWSTampaBay on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

&&

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 12:30 pm

study finds...No amount of Alcohol drank is Safe.

by waterdipper Fri Aug 24, 2018 1:12 pm

Well so much for the easterlies sending late afternoon storms moving from east to west. A T storm has been sitting offshore of Cedar Key all morning. An outflow boundary came out of it heading eastward around noon and it built up once it made land. It has dropped quite a bit of rainfall here in the last hour. The storm is slowly drifting northward but back building as it goes. It should at least drop the temps for awhile. It will be interesting to see if we get another round later this afternoon as forecast or if this zaps the energy from the atmosphere here.

by JRnOldsmar Fri Aug 24, 2018 1:44 pm

waterdipper wrote:Well so much for the easterlies sending late afternoon storms moving from east to west. A T storm has been sitting offshore of Cedar Key all morning. An outflow boundary came out of it heading eastward around noon and it built up once it made land. It has dropped quite a bit of rainfall here in the last hour. The storm is slowly drifting northward but back building as it goes. It should at least drop the temps for awhile. It will be interesting to see if we get another round later this afternoon as forecast or if this zaps the energy from the atmosphere here.

Agreed, WD. Looks more like a transition day. Big blow-up just to my west. I went out of my way to drive thru the torrent on my way home. I needed the truck washed. Just a short little sprinkle at the house.

by JRnOldsmar Fri Aug 24, 2018 1:48 pm

LargoFL wrote:study finds...No amount of Alcohol drank is Safe.

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 2:26 pm

JRnOldsmar wrote:
LargoFL wrote:study finds...No amount of Alcohol drank is Safe.

LMAO!!!!!!!

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 2:29 pm

well its been on-off sprinkles here by me sun breaks thru from time to time..local TV met said rain is coming and may go on thru 10pm,well see how this plas out,now from what they say..tampa bay area may be..in the money.. rainfall wise tomorrow afternoon evening

by LargoFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 2:30 pm

by StPeteFLwx Fri Aug 24, 2018 4:16 pm

LargoFL wrote:study finds...No amount of Alcohol drank is Safe.

Well then, no point in moderating.

by BillsfaninSoFla Fri Aug 24, 2018 4:28 pm

LOL JR and St Pete!

by BillsfaninSoFla Fri Aug 24, 2018 4:30 pm

Largo -the storm hitting the Gulf that you posted, is that the one you were talking about crossing over?

by StAugustineFL Fri Aug 24, 2018 5:05 pm

These studies crack me up. One year X is good then the next year bad. I'll just keep on living and whatever happens, happens!

We'll see what happens with the models in the coming weeks. I personally think they're biased with showing something since it's approaching peak season. NHC dropped their yellow circle from yesterday with no formation through 5 days.

by BillsfaninSoFla Fri Aug 24, 2018 9:10 pm

I know Aug! Coffee is bad for you (uh oh Largo) , butter, eggs you name it! Then they're ok.

Stupid studies and waste of money. Spend more time on cures for cancer, MLS, Tourettes etc..

by LargoFL Sat Aug 25, 2018 4:44 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Largo -the storm hitting the Gulf that you posted, is that the one you were talking about crossing over?

yes it was the next run, thats why this far out in time the model runs cannot be truly believed huh

by LargoFL Sat Aug 25, 2018 4:46 am

by LargoFL Sat Aug 25, 2018 4:53 am

Good Saturday Morning folks!! wow what a storm came thru My area last evening..Boom.. Pouring down heavy rain, for hours,tree's swaying..more booms, more HEAVY pouring down sideways rain..i hear Hon the dogs need to go out i know your kidding right!...to me it was like a tropical storm came right in here.....well it had to be an inch and a half of rain..maybe more..myself i say several inches it been a LONG time since ive seen such Heavy rain lasting for so long lol...and..local met is saying more for us later today whew..am I so glad i cleaned the gutters etc..lol.....well if you have things to do today..better do them early..stay safe out there ok......have a great day folks!

by LargoFL Sat Aug 25, 2018 6:17 am

NWS Tampa...516 AM EDT Sat Aug 25 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Ample moisture combined with daytime heating will lead to
numerous thunderstorms developing along the sea breeze today with
the greatest storm coverage expected along and to the west of the
I-75 corridor during the late afternoon and early evening hours.
Torrential downpours, strong gusty winds, and frequent lightning
strikes will accompany the storms as they move to the west and
northwest around 10 mph. Remember if threatening weather approaches
your location, move indoors immediately.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
Heavy rainfall the last few days across parts of Polk, Hillsborough,
and Manatee counties along with the possibility of additional heavy
rain today, will bring minor flooding to the Little Manatee River
at Wimauma, the Manatee River near Myakka Head, and the Peace
River at Zolfo Springs today.

by LargoFL Sat Aug 25, 2018 6:20 am

NWS MIAMI...This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: There is a moderate risk of rip currents along the
Atlantic beaches.

Thunderstorms: Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop
across the Gulf and Atlantic waters early this morning, with the
activity moving into the east coast metro areas by mid morning.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will push across
the interior and into the west Gulf coast into the afternoon and
early evening hours. Main threats will be frequent cloud to ground
lightning, torrential downpours, and strong wind gusts.

Waterspouts: Isolated waterspouts are possible across the local
waters today. The highest chances will be across the local Atlantic
waters this morning, Lake Okeechobee and along the Gulf coast today.

Wind: The strongest storms this afternoon and evening will capable
of producing wind gusts up to 50 mph, mainly across the interior and
Gulf coast metro areas.

Flooding: Heavy rainfall from slow moving storms will bring a threat
for minor flooding of streets and poor drainage areas with storms
today.

Temperatures: Heat index up to 105 is possible in portion of the
West Gulf coast.

by LargoFL Sat Aug 25, 2018 6:21 am

AUG..are you missing out on all the stormy fun we're having down here?

by StAugustineFL Sat Aug 25, 2018 6:54 am

Morning Largo. I had good rain last Sunday and Tuesday and a light shower on Wednesday. Last couple of days have been dry. The flow has turned more onshore up here with chances for rain in my area late morning/early afternoon before the seabreeze pushes through. Best rain chances are west of the St Johns River basin. I saw there were some hefty storms on the west side of the peninsula yesterday. Glad you got some good rain!

by LargoFL Sat Aug 25, 2018 6:57 am

StAugustineFL wrote:Morning Largo. I had good rain last Sunday and Tuesday and a light shower on Wednesday. Last couple of days have been dry. The flow has turned more onshore up here with chances for rain in my area late morning/early afternoon before the seabreeze pushes through. Best rain chances are west of the St Johns River basin. I saw there were some hefty storms on the west side of the peninsula yesterday. Glad you got some good rain!

thanks Aug..hopefully everyone is doing ok rain wise now that its back to normal sort of.

by LargoFL Sat Aug 25, 2018 7:03 am

well overnight model runs, CMC brings something into Georgia/SC area and the Euro brings something into south florida then into the gulf..run to run things change..what isnt changing?..all the good models say..something tropical IS coming LOL..stay tuned.

by LargoFL Sat Aug 25, 2018 7:03 am

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