Late January through February outlook

Good Thursday Morning folks!!..cool outside maybe mid 50's here but 78-80 degree's later today...enjoy..have a wonderful day everyone!!

Good afternoon. Perfect day with highs in the upper 70's. I can get used to this. One day of 60's in the forecast for Saturday before the 70's return.

StAugustineFL wrote:Good afternoon.  Perfect day with highs in the upper 70's.  I can get used to this.  One day of 60's in the forecast for Saturday before the 70's return.

hiya Aug, yes once the syn warm up the early morning coolness its a beautiful day..a real good week for us!!

Good Thursday Morning folks!!..a cool 54 here by me but they say going up to near 80 today and no rain..a beautiful day ahead...enjoy...have a great day everyone!!

well the GFS model is still saying around the 13-14th is our next chance of some rain etc..we'll see how this plays out

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1031 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-080345-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia-
Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard-Osceola-
Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Northern Brevard-
1031 AM EST Thu Feb 7 2019

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
Weather and ocean conditions will produce a moderate risk for
dangerous rip currents at the beaches of east central Florida.
The greatest threat for rip currents will be between 1230 PM and
630 PM due to tidal effects. If you choose to enter the chilly
surf today, do so only near a lifeguard, and never swim alone.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
A strong high pressure ridge will build over the central and
eastern U.S. this weekend, remaining centered well north of
Florida. Conditions will become breezy to windy across the region
with building seas, rough surf, and increasing shower chances.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

Smith/Cristaldi

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
405 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

FLZ020>023-030-031-035-036-GAZ162-081300-
Hamilton-Suwannee-Columbia-Baker-Union-Bradford-Gilchrist-Alachua-
Echols-
Including the cities of Jasper, Jennings, West Lake, Belmont,
White Springs, Houston, Live Oak, McAlpin, Newburn,
Suwannee Springs, Columbia, Lake City, Oleno State Park, Lulu,
Watertown, Macclenny, Olustee, Lake Butler, Starke, New River,
Trenton, Gainesville, Gainesville Airport, Newnans Lake,
Needmore, and Statenville
405 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019

Areas of dense fog will restrict visibilities to less than one
quarter mile at times this morning. Motorists should exercise
caution.

$$

Good Friday morning folks and TGIF!!!!!...........cool here by my area this morning but up to 80 again in some area's...enjoy, have a great day everyone!

AUG and northern Florida people..might want to heed any warnings .15th of this month if this verifies..

Morning All,
Just checking in. All good up my way.
Love the mornings right around 50 outside.
Have a great weekend and enjoy the nice weather.
John Z-hills

severstorm wrote:Morning All,
Just checking in. All good up my way.
Love the mornings right around 50 outside.
Have a great weekend and enjoy the nice weather.
John Z-hills

hiya John!! yeah have a great weekend also!!!

Going to try out the new St. Pete to Tampa Ferry tomorrow, spend the day with our buddies across the Bay.

StPeteFLwx wrote:Going to try out the new St. Pete to Tampa Ferry tomorrow, spend the day with our buddies across the Bay.

hiya ST Pete..let us know how it was ok

AUG>............................URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
345 AM EST Sat Feb 9 2019

FLZ124-125-133-138-GAZ154-166-100300-
/O.NEW.KJAX.WI.Y.0002.190209T1400Z-190210T0300Z/
Coastal Nassau-Coastal Duval-Coastal St. Johns-Coastal Flagler-
Coastal Glynn-Coastal Camden-
Including the cities of Amelia City, Fernandina Beach, Yulee,
Arlington, Jacksonville, Oceanway, Tallyrand, Ponte Vedra Beach,
Durbin, Palm Valley, Anastasia, Saint Augustine, Palm Coast,
Jekyll Island, Glynn Haven, Sea Island, St. Simons,
Country Club Estate, Dock Junction, Dover Bluff, Kingsland,
and Dungeness
345 AM EST Sat Feb 9 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Jacksonville has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 9 AM this morning to 10 PM EST
this evening.

* WINDS...Northeast 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* IMPACTS...Minor damage to trees, power lines, and property are
possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds greater than
25 mph are expected for at least an hour, with gusts of 35 to
57 mph at any time.

Motorists in high profiles vehicles are advised to use caution
until the wind subsides. Strong winds can topple trees, blow
weakened roofs off houses, and down power lines. Take precautions
to secure trash cans, lawn furniture, and any other loose outdoor
objects.

&&

$$

Thanks Largo. I'm not expecting much wind here. It's more along the beaches which are 10+ miles to my east.

The day started out sunny but now socked in with clouds with temps at a cool 61. They'll probably hold steady throughout the day but not much drop tonight with a low of 56.

StAugustineFL wrote:Thanks Largo.  I'm not expecting much wind here.  It's more along the beaches which are 10+ miles to my east.

The day started out sunny but now socked in with clouds with temps at a cool 61.  They'll probably hold steady throughout the day but not much drop tonight with a low of 56.

ok glad you know..its almost dinner time here now and the sky is overcast and a bit funky like its going to storm here or something..and windy too

Hi everyone. Nice out, bit windy. Thanks for updates.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Hi everyone.  Nice out, bit windy.  Thanks for updates.  

hiya Billsfan!!! hope everything is ok down there

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
355 AM EST Sun Feb 10 2019

.DISCUSSION (Today-Saturday)...
Mid/upper level ridging will hold across the Florida peninsula
into Monday then a trough will swing through the eastern U.S.
Tuesday into Wednesday. Meanwhile at the surface the stalled
boundary across the area will begin to lift north as a warm front
as high pressure over the Mid-Atlantic states this morning moves
out into the Atlantic Ocean tonight and Monday. This will shift
the band of clouds and showers over the central Florida peninsula
at this time northward across the Nature Coast during today and
out of the area tonight as the northeast to east low level flow
becomes southeast to south by Monday. Another area of deep
moisture is forecast to lift north-northwestward across south
Florida into the central Florida peninsula during Monday
afternoon and evening and this combined with daytime heating will
lead to a chance of showers, especially over the interior
counties.

For Tuesday the cold front associated with the trough will
approach bringing a chance of more showers ahead of it and
shifting the winds to a southwesterly direction. The boundary is
expected to move through Tuesday night and early Wednesday with
the chance of showers continuing until the cooler drier air moves
in behind it during Wednesday. The cool down will however be
rather short lived as high pressure slides quickly across the
southeast states Wednesday and out into the Atlantic Ocean
Thursday with the low level flow shifting to east and then
southeast bringing a quick moderating trend.

Late in the week into next weekend the next mid/upper level trough
will be moving across the central and eastern U.S. with its
associated cold front forecast to move through Friday night and
Saturday. Plenty of moisture will return ahead of this front to
bring another chance of showers for Friday into Saturday followed
by another cool down.

&&

good morning folks!! an interesting week ahead for us..see above..........well not cold by me this morning but very Misty outside..looks like heavy fog might be trying to form...well enjoy..have a wonderful day everyone

Largo, did you get any rain overnight? I had .15". Looking at CoCoRaHS reports a fair little line sliced through the center of the peninsula with .25 - .5" totals in NW Hillsborough and N Pinellas. Might have slid just a tad to your north.

StAugustineFL wrote:Largo, did you get any rain overnight?  I had .15".  Looking at CoCoRaHS reports a fair little line sliced through the center of the peninsula with .25 - .5" totals in NW Hillsborough and N Pinellas.  Might have slid just a tad to your north.

no rain here by me last night Aug..maybe john and JR got some??

GFS keeps saying rain etc fpr Florida on the 13th and 15th.........hope no bad winds too....................................................

whew...this coming week is going to get interesting alright even into next weekend.............

Good Monday Morning!!..looks like alot of FOG warnings out there..mostly inland area's..drive safe ok....warm day ahead for my area..80 or a bit higher inland.....have a great day everyone

guys dont forget her Thursday!!

Billsfan...drive safe this morning........................Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
453 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

FLZ063-066-067-069>071-073-075-121330-
Glades-Hendry-Inland Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-
Inland Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Mainland Monroe-
Including the cities of Palmdale, Moore Haven, Clewiston,
LaBelle, Big Cypress Seminole Reservation, Pahokee, South Bay,
Belle Glade, Wellington, Lion Country Safari,
South County Regional Park, Naples, Immokalee,
Miccosukee Indian Reservation, Markham Park, Homestead,
Florida City, Redland, Miccosukee Resort, Kendale Lakes,
West Kendall, Country Walk, Shark Valley, and Flamingo
453 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

...PATCHY FOG CONTINUES EARLY THIS MORNING...

Localized fog is restricting visibility in some spots to below
one-half mile across interior South Florida early this morning.
Through sunrise, motorists should prepare to encounter rapid
changes in visibility from fog. Reduce speed, use only low beam
headlights, and leave plenty of distance between your vehicle and
the one in front of you.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
429 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

.SHORT TERM (Today-Wednesday)...
Patchy fog will continue to develop mainly across the
southern zones early this morning. This will lift after
sunrise, with scattered to numerous showers and a few
thunderstorms possible mainly in the afternoon as some upper
energy lifts over the area and combines with the warm moist
air in place with the highest chances inland as winds turn
SW this afternoon. A cold front then pushes through the area
tonight with 60-70 percent rain chances. Conditions then
gradually clear from north to south through the day
Wednesday as drier air moves in under high pressure. Highs
this afternoon in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Lows tonight in
the mid 50s to mid 60s. Then highs Wednesday only reaching
into the mid 60s to lower 70s.

Good Tuesday Morning Folks..not cold here this morning as the cold front comes thru Tonight along with possible rain etc.........have a wonderful day everyone!!

and NWS Melbourne....535 AM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Moisture, instability and some mid level energy will produce
scattered to numerous showers and isolated lightning storms mainly
between 2pm and 10 pm. The storms should develop over mainland
Florida and move quickly toward the northeast and off the east
coast this evening. The primary threats will be cloud to ground
lightning, gusty winds up to 40 mph and heavy downpours.

GFS is saying most of us will get some rain from this front...good luck to those who need rain ok!!..

Anyone have any thoughts on our next hurricane season?

BILLSFAN...did you see that Giant 20 foot CROSS that washed ashore on a beach by your city last week??

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-122000-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia-
Northern Lake-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard-Osceola-
Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-Coastal Volusia-
Southern Lake-Northern Brevard-
1227 PM EST Tue Feb 12 2019

.NOW...

Through 3 p.m. As of 12:25 p.m. scattered showers were developing
from Melbourne to Lake Kissimmee northward. Showers will continue
to increase across this area through this afternoon with the
highest chances being southeast of the I-4 corridor. Isolated
lightning storms will also be possible. Showers and storms will
be capable of gusty winds up to 40 mph, cloud to ground lightning
strikes, and heavy downpours. Shower and storm movement will be
fairly quick with movement toward the north-northeast around 25
mph. Farther south across the Treasure Coast and Okeechobee,
scattered showers will also be possible this afternoon along with
isolated lightning storms.



$$

Good afternoon. Ran into some wet roads in spots on the commute back home but nothing at the house.

Yes I saw that Largo.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Yes I saw that Largo.  

ok weird huh.