ThunderboltWX Hurricane Contest

Get ready because like it or not the Atlantic Hurricane Season is approaching.
So time to have a little fun. This contest will be for the Atlantic basin only.

1. Predict how many named storms there will be this season :

2.Predict how many named storms reach Major Hurricane intensity:

3.Predict the number of named storms that hit the CONUS(Continental United States):

4.Predict how many Major Hurricanes make land fall on the CONUS

5. Provide a paragraph or two explaining "Why" you believe your predictions will happen.


and for a tie breaker (just in case)
Predict a coastal city in the CONUS that gets a land falling named storm
with in a fifty mile radius.


Post all entries below. All entries must be posted by May 28th,2017

GOOD LUCK!

I'll start with #5 ------> Because I live in Florida!

1. Predict how many named storms there will be this season :  14

2.Predict how many named storms reach Major Hurricane intensity:  4

3.Predict the number of named storms that hit the CONUS(Continental United States):  3

4.Predict how many Major Hurricanes make land fall on the CONUS:  1

5. Provide a paragraph or two explaining "Why" you believe your predictions will happen:  No one really knows.



and for a tie breaker (just in case)
Predict a coastal city in the CONUS that gets a land falling named storm with in a fifty mile radius:  NOLA of course.

LMAO at NOLA..this is not WU where every storm must hit NOLA:)  
but seeing how our atmosphere is forever changing fluid dynamics ,darts has a good of chance as any...

So,you may as well follow through and pull out a hurricane tracking chart and step back 7 paces add a blindfold and toss the dart,  where ever it hits could be your city!!

My roommates/baseball teammates had a dartboard in college.  I loved playing 301.  Go for the trip 20's then nail the low number at the end to zero out for the win!

Okay, my turn........

1. Predict how many named storms there will be this season : 14

2.Predict how many named storms reach Major Hurricane intensity: 4

3.Predict the number of named storms that hit the CONUS(Continental United States): 3

4.Predict how many Major Hurricanes make land fall on the CONUS: 1

5. Provide a paragraph or two explaining "Why" you believe your predictions will happen: Because I live in Florida


Tiebreaker - Homestead

sangria wrote:Okay, my turn........

1. Predict how many named storms there will be this season :  14

2.Predict how many named storms reach Major Hurricane intensity:  4

3.Predict the number of named storms that hit the CONUS(Continental United States):  3

4.Predict how many Major Hurricanes make land fall on the CONUS:  1

5. Provide a paragraph or two explaining "Why" you believe your predictions will happen:  Because I live in Florida


Tiebreaker - Homestead

You can't copy 1-4!

StAugustineFL wrote:

 You can't copy 1-4!

Is there a a rule for that???

rule!! we dont need no stinking rules!!!..just don't pick the same tie breaker.....wait wait wait!!!! that's a rule
ban me...lol

Well it's Memorial Day weekend  meaning BBQ's ,Indy and the best part THANKS TO OUR MANY VETERANS FOR THEIR SERVICE AND OUR FREEDOM.

It also has meant one more thing since August of 1969 and my interest was sparked in tracking Hurricanes. My annual Hurricane season prediction.

This will be my 47th season of predictions.

Ok...Here goes.

15 Named storms.

6 storms become Hurricanes

3 Hurricanes become major Hurricanes

4 named storms will hit the CONUS (Three will be of hurricane intensity)

1 Major Hurricane will strike the United States

Why you may ask...
Simple El Nino will happen but will be weak. Since it takes a month or so for actual conditions to be felt after El Nino forms the full effect of even the weak El Nino wont be felt until late September I feel....Meaning the peak of the season may happen before the weak El Nino settles in. I also feel with the warmer than normal winter we just had that the SSTs will be maybe a degree higher than usual...so even with a weak El Nino, with that kind of jet fuel the SST's create the systems can fight the shear and develop.


as usual should I be wrong....I eat crow,fried stewed or nude!



For that reason I predict an above average season.

now for the tie-breaker....
Morehead city, North Carolina.

I just could not pick NOLA as it is far to close to me. If it hits NOLA I hope its head on eye wall first so some that west cast everything to NOLA can finally see a real hurricane and not a flood from a broken out dated dike.

Haha Gomey!!

I like your rationale behind the tie-breaker pick! Since Aug got his little panties in a wad about my prediction earlier in the blog, I will provide an updated prediction this weekend!

I would keep it like it is....then when it's closer to homestead than NOLA,you win with his picks!!!LMAO

well i'll guess at 15-7-3 for this coming hurricane season