Re: CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG

by rjla67 Mon Aug 28, 2017 8:13 pm

Thanks for the storm pic comments guys. It was a pretty cool one that rolled through.

On a similar note, this rain just won't stop ugh!

by LargoFL Mon Aug 28, 2017 8:37 pm

Pouring down rain here tonight gee..2-3 inches an hour? wow.....................................Flood Warning

Flood Warning
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
716 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2017

FLC103-290115-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FA.W.0010.170828T2316Z-170829T0115Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pinellas FL-
716 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2017

The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a

* Flood Warning for...
Pinellas County in west central Florida...

* Until 915 PM EDT

* At 713 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated a large area of heavy
rainfall that will cause flooding of streets and low lying areas
impacting the warning area. Doppler radar indicated rainfall rates
within the warning area of 2 to 3 inches per hour in spots. These
rainfall rates for a prolonged period of time will result in
widespread street flooding and very difficult travel conditions.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Tampa, Clearwater, Largo, Pinellas Park, Seminole, Downtown Saint
Petersburg, Saint Petersburg, Fort Desoto Park, St. Petersburg, St.
Pete Beach, Palm Harbor, South Highpoint, Tierra Verde, West And
East Lealman, Ridgecrest, Bay Pines, East Lake, Harbor Bluffs,
Gandy and Feather Sound.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

&&

by LargoFL Mon Aug 28, 2017 8:40 pm

rjla67 wrote:Thanks for the storm pic comments guys. It was a pretty cool one that rolled through.

On a similar note, this rain just won't stop ugh!

hi, yes non stop rain here also..glad I don't live on a low lying street whew..going to be some street flooding if this going on most of the night.

by LargoFL Mon Aug 28, 2017 8:41 pm

rain hitting my window woke me up gee.......well as long as no bad winds with this I guess the rain will do some good.

by LargoFL Mon Aug 28, 2017 9:18 pm

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area Ruskin FL
833 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2017

FLC057-290230-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FA.Y.0065.170829T0033Z-170829T0230Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Hillsborough FL-
833 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2017

The National Weather Service in Ruskin has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
Hillsborough County in west central Florida...

* Until 1030 PM EDT

* At 828 PM EDT, emergency management and local media continue to
report some minor street flooding and standing water issues across
Hillsborough County as a result of recent and ongoing rainfall.
Travel conditions have improved since earlier in the
evening...however...motorist should still use caution and avoid
driving across any residual flood waters. Local creeks and streams
are also running high due to the recent rainfall. Those living
along these waterways should also be aware of the water levels and
be prepared to move to higher ground should it become necessary.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Tampa, Clearwater, Plant City, Temple Terrace, Fish Hawk, Lutz,
Brandon, St. Petersburg, Hillsborough River State Park, Greater Sun
Center, Palm River-Clair Mel, Tampa International Airport, East
Lake-Orient Park, Egypt Lake-Leto, Greater Carrollwood, Riverview,
University, Keystone, Greater Northdale and Macdill Air Force Base.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or ponding
of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.

&&

by LargoFL Mon Aug 28, 2017 9:19 pm

well I have to be close to 3 inches now with this heavy rain falling for so long here...good night folks

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 4:25 am

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 4:28 am

Good Tuesday Morning folks!..well I picked up some good rain last night,a couple inches my guess...well we should be getting more back to normal soon this week weather wise............well Blogs COFFEE is set to perk for when you get here..enjoy...have a great day anyone....oh did anyone have any flood issues?

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 4:29 am

not liking the lastest Euro model run...Really watch 93L closely.................................... blog - CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG - Page 2 Ecmwf_mslp_uv850_us_11

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 6:19 am

NWS Tampa........Tue Aug 29 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Scattered thunderstorms will likely develop late this morning and
last into the afternoon and evening hours. Locally heavy rainfall
and gusty winds will accompany the strongest storms.

...FLOOD IMPACT...
Several days of heavy rainfall have led to flooding in some areas.
As the ground remains saturated, and locally heavy rain will be
possible again today, flooding may become a concern once again.
This will especially be true of areas along the west central and
southwest Florida coast.

...RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
Several area rivers remain in flood stage due to runoff from the
recent heavy rains. River flooding may worsen in some areas where
additional heavy rain develops.

by severstorm Tue Aug 29, 2017 6:42 am

LargoFL wrote:Good Tuesday Morning folks!..well I picked up some good rain last night,a couple inches my guess...well we should be getting more back to normal soon this week weather wise............well Blogs COFFEE is set to perk for when you get here..enjoy...have a great day anyone....oh did anyone have any flood issues?

Morning Largo, Thanks for the coffee and no flooding up my way. I had 1.63 in the bucket last night. That puts me at 7.23 for the month. I saw Tampa and Largo areas got lots of rain last night.
Have a great day all!!
John Z-hills

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 7:45 am

severstorm wrote:
LargoFL wrote:Good Tuesday Morning folks!..well I picked up some good rain last night,a couple inches my guess...well we should be getting more back to normal soon this week weather wise............well Blogs COFFEE is set to perk for when you get here..enjoy...have a great day anyone....oh did anyone have any flood issues?

Morning Largo, Thanks for the coffee and no flooding up my way. I had 1.63 in the bucket last night. That puts me at 7.23 for the month. I saw Tampa and Largo areas got lots of rain last night.
Have a great day all!!
John Z-hills

Good Morning John!! yes it sure came down hard here last night,i guess more comes today, just had a pretty good shower just now already...glad you got some Coffee john, I'm on my second cup LOL..have a great day!!

by JRnOldsmar Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:11 am

Well another .8 overnight. It looks like the train is setting up a little further north today. That's good for Manatee and Sarasota. They need to drain and dry out a bit. San has incoming now.

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:15 am

is 956MB In a hurricane does that mean its becoming a Major hurricane? blog - CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG - Page 2 Ecmwf_mslp_uv850_watl_11

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:18 am

well IF what the Euro is saying today happens..what IF..93L goes Into the gulf?..you don't suppose do you?..nah..that wont happen...omg I hope that don't happen.

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:24 am

and just about all the models bring 93L up to Hurricane..one to watch closely folks... blog - CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG - Page 2 Gem_mslp_uv850_watl_41

blog - CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG - Page 2 Gem_mslp_uv850_watl_41

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:26 am

well at this time..no track or model is correct..a depression hasn't formed yet..once that happens..the models will get a bit better in where it will go..still far off time wise..plenty can happen in the meantime.

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 9:27 am

I'm very curious at what this afternoon's Euro will say about 93L

by BillsfaninSoFla Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:09 am

LargoFL wrote:and just about all the models bring 93L up to Hurricane..one to watch closely folks...

I like this one the best so far. Please stay far, far away.

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:12 am

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:
LargoFL wrote:and just about all the models bring 93L up to Hurricane..one to watch closely folks...

I like this one the best so far. Please stay far, far away.

yeah Billsfan..this one I'm really worried about...lets see what models and tracks say around labor day..they should know better by then...wayyy too early yet to know anything on track.

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:17 am

JRnOldsmar wrote:Well another .8 overnight. It looks like the train is setting up a little further north today. That's good for Manatee and Sarasota. They need to drain and dry out a bit. San has incoming now.

good morning JR,guess you missed last nights heavy rains....well suns peeking out now here by me..maybe things can dry out in the flooded area's.

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:18 am

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 10:24 am

was just reading about the 1935 Labor Day Hurricane that hit the florida Keys..a strong Cat-5 wow...and just about our time to watch this Hurricane coming now huh...

by StPeteFLwx Tue Aug 29, 2017 11:10 am

Local rainfall past 24 hours:
blog - CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG - Page 2 2017&cp=0

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 11:16 am

StPeteFLwx wrote:Local rainfall past 24 hours:

some good totals for our county huh St Pete!!

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 11:17 am

and..its raining hard here once again right now..whew...frogs are loving this............. blog - CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG - Page 2 1504019461

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 11:18 am

Hopefully we'll get a week to dry out before and IF..93L decides to pay us a visit huh

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 11:20 am

st Pete..we are in today's wet zone it looks like............................................. blog - CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG - Page 2 Image16

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 11:45 am

San any flooding by your area?..whew a lot of rain huh......................................

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 11:45 am

LargoFL wrote:San any flooding by your area?..whew a lot of rain huh......................................

blog - CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG - Page 2 Rain_pasco

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 11:47 am

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 12:17 pm

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 1:44 pm

12Z CMC...folks keep a very close watch on this one..hope the track changes northward... blog - CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG - Page 2 Gem_mslp_uv850_watl_41

by sangria Tue Aug 29, 2017 3:04 pm

Hiya guys!!

I've had a bit of the rain train the past couple of days! These numbers don't include today - I have about 2.52" sitting in the gauge since 7am this morning. Without today's tally, I was up to 11.02" for the month. It really rallied, as I thought I was going to be lucky to hit 6" for the month the way it was going!

The last 8 days up to and including yesterday:

0.26
0
0.53
0.24
0.39
0.8
1.39
2.42

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 3:19 pm

sangria wrote:Hiya guys!!

I've had a bit of the rain train the past couple of days! These numbers don't include today - I have about 2.52" sitting in the gauge since 7am this morning. Without today's tally, I was up to 11.02" for the month. It really rallied, as I thought I was going to be lucky to hit 6" for the month the way it was going!

The last 8 days up to and including yesterday:

0.26
0
0.53
0.24
0.39
0.8
1.39
2.42

hi San, yeah your area is in the rain train now..suns out here off and on,glad the rains cooled it off some.

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 3:20 pm

a little good news,12Z Euro track has moved a lil bit north of the 0Z run..................... blog - CLOSED FLORIDA/ALABAMA/TROPICAL BLOG - Page 2 Ecmwf_mslp_uv850_watl_11

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 3:23 pm

still 9-10 days out no track can be trusted yet..lets wait to see what the models say on Labor Day,but..its a good idea, if we go over our storm plans since the Peak of season is fast approaching and decide what we would do or go IF...guess we need to remember there will be more storms after this one probably.

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 3:39 pm

93L......
1. A low pressure area located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands has
become better defined since yesterday. Any significant increase in
the associated thunderstorm activity would result in the formation
of a tropical depression within the next day or two. The low is
forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over
the tropical Atlantic during the next several days. Heavy rain is
possible over portions of the northwestern Cabo Verde Islands
through tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Blake

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 3:45 pm

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 3:47 pm

also models are hinting at a new Low pressure system out in the western gulf next week..stay tuned..just what TX-LA don't need, another rain maker etc.

by StAugustineFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 4:07 pm

San, you've had more rain the past 5 days (counting your today total) then I have the past 5 1/2 weeks. smack

Yeah Largo, last thing TX/LA needs is a quick 1-2 punch. Eastern FL experienced the same in 2004 with Frances and Jeanne (both strong hurricanes) making landfall around Pt St Lucie within a 3 week period.

Send 93L away from here. Looks like it could be a healthy storm down the road.

by StAugustineFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 4:14 pm

Sat loops of both.

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 4:50 pm

yeah I remember those Aug...a real bad time for up there for sure huh

by BillsfaninSoFla Tue Aug 29, 2017 4:52 pm

Uggh Aug. What unpleasant memories! Frances meandered out there for an eternity it seemed. Knocked our power out three or four days ahead of her landfall 2 hours north of us. They wouldn't come out and fix the lines as the winds were TS strength for days (even though we didn't even get it! )

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 4:55 pm

yes we have many days watching 93, I'm hoping it falls apart somehow but in reading the NHC discussions..that doesn't seem like it will happen..well I guess we could live with a oh Cat-1 hurricane,hope nothing stronger should it hit Florida....but again..its a good time for us to go over plans etc..just in case...look at how many in texas didn't listen and look at what's going on over there now..thousands being rescued..gee...Hurricane season..always have the plan and be prepared always huh.

by JRnOldsmar Tue Aug 29, 2017 4:58 pm

StAugustineFL wrote:San, you've had more rain the past 5 days (counting your today total) then I have the past 5 1/2 weeks.

Yeah Largo, last thing TX/LA needs is a quick 1-2 punch. Eastern FL experienced the same in 2004 with Frances and Jeanne (both strong hurricanes) making landfall around Pt St Lucie within a 3 week period.

Send 93L away from here. Looks like it could be a healthy storm down the road.

And I would throw in Charlie, for the Polk Co Trifecta. I was shocked driving into Orlando the day after Jeanne blew through.

I got another .5 today, so am in good shape. 3.2" for the event, following a 10-day dry spell.

by LargoFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 5:04 pm

well clouding up here once again, no rain In awhile now..guess we go back to our normal weaher once this gets out of here..................good night folks

by BillsfaninSoFla Tue Aug 29, 2017 5:07 pm

I honestly am not sure how an evacuation would work in Houston. The Rita evacuation was a nightmare and there's probably even more people there now. Ditto South Florida. An evac would be impossible I think.

by StAugustineFL Tue Aug 29, 2017 5:25 pm

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:I honestly am not sure how an evacuation would work in Houston. The Rita evacuation was a nightmare and there's probably even more people there now. Ditto South Florida. An evac would be impossible I think.

Contra-flow has since been implemented after the Floyd scare but with the ever increasing population I agree it'd be impossible unless you get out days in advance. We can all pool our resources for a private jet. Smile

by sangria Tue Aug 29, 2017 5:42 pm

I was mesmerized by the Frances loop... it's amazing to me how storms can keep a good chunk of their structure crossing Florida.

I have my opinion on the lack of an evac in Houston. I believe they had plenty of notice ahead of time, and those in low lying areas should have been under evacuation orders. I understand the complications regarding an evac in a city the size of Houston, but I don't think the Mayor handled this responsibly.

He basically told everyone that there was hype around the expectations of Harvey. He should have asked those that had the ability, to evacuate so that resources could be utilized for those who didn't.... Just my little ole opine.

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