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CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 7:27 am

my local met is saying we have a good chance for some good rains sun-mon and maybe even Tuesday with the coming strong cold front etc...boy I sure could use some good rain its so dry here by my area..had to run the sprinklers twice this morning gee...but the coming low 60's temps daytime will feel great lol.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 7:29 am

folks IF you in the Dense Fog area's this morning going to work etc..use extra caution driving ok..kinda dangerous in some area's of the state this morning.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 8:27 am

StAugustineFL wrote:Big temp difference between St Aug and NPR tomorrow.  Onshore winds are your friend.
yes AUG and my local met has you at 30% chance for showers...around my area the fun begins sunday afternoon on thru Monday or so...I just hope with this strong froning, no tornado's or real strong winds,CMC model this morning had a gulf LOW crossing Florida about the I-4 corridor..but..that could change..im staying alert sun/monday for sure,i surely do NOT trust March storms.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 8:29 am

Billsfan good morning...what are the mets saying about Your area's weather sunday-monday?...are you going to get some good rain also?

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 8:37 am

you folks in Northen Florida stay alert if this storm moves your way..stay safe out there.............................Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
746 AM EST FRI MAR 10 2017

ALC069-FLC063-GAC087-099-201-253-101300-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0102.000000T0000Z-170310T1300Z/
Houston AL-Jackson FL-Decatur GA-Miller GA-Early GA-Seminole GA-
746 AM EST FRI MAR 10 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM
EST/700 AM CST/ FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON...NORTHEASTERN JACKSON...
NORTH CENTRAL DECATUR...SOUTHERN MILLER...SOUTH CENTRAL EARLY AND
NORTHERN SEMINOLE COUNTIES...

At 746 AM EST/646 AM CST/, a severe thunderstorm was located near
Donalsonville, moving southeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Colquitt, Donalsonville, Iron City, Jakin, Steam Mill, Babcock,
Crosby, Davis Park, Little Hope, Lela, Lovedale, Boykin, Killarney,
Riverturn, Sharphagen, Hornsville, Donaldsonville A/P, Chattahoochee
SP, Enterprise and Lucy.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 8:44 am

Aug those bad storms up in Georgia and panhandle seem to be sinking southward, some of those storms have 60+ mph winds....I tried to post the pic of them but the Blog here is telling me new members aren't allowed to post pics lol..sorry..stay safe up there ok.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by gomexwx on Fri Mar 10, 2017 9:01 am

At work watching the rain...
will see how much we get here

Good Morning Florida Followers...

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 9:14 am

test

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by gomexwx on Fri Mar 10, 2017 9:18 am

nice test...
What are we testing?

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by gomexwx on Fri Mar 10, 2017 9:27 am

Showers died as they headed South
I got a trace of rain..
The NWS defines a trace of rain as anything less than 0.11 inches of rain...there is some trivia for ya!
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by StAugustineFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 10:44 am

Morning. Nothing going on here. I got a decaying outflow boundary that races SE from the storms up in GA.
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by sangria on Fri Mar 10, 2017 11:25 am

LargoFL wrote:Aug those bad storms up in Georgia and panhandle seem to be sinking southward, some of those storms have 60+ mph winds....I tried to post the pic  of them but the Blog here is telling me new members aren't allowed to post pics lol..sorry..stay safe up there ok.

Good Morning Largo!

You shouldn't be restricted from posting pics in here. I believe you posted some the other day. Are you using the little image "icon" that is next to the link "icon"?
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 1:50 pm


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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 1:52 pm

ok I just inserted the 6z Navy model for Monday...now when I put in the insert 640 width and 480 height...blog told me new members cant post pics...ok so I went back and erased the width and height..and the pic got posted lol...what am I doing wrong?...lot to learn here I know.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:00 pm

CMC this run has backed off the really Heavy rain and storms..guess they will do that huh..

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:04 pm

well from today thru sunday there will be 13 races down in st pete..Grand Prix race starts at 12 30pm sunday

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by StAugustineFL on Fri Mar 10, 2017 3:22 pm

LargoFL wrote:well from today thru sunday there will be 13 races down in st pete..Grand Prix race starts at 12 30pm sunday

I'm not sure they'll be able to get that one in with the high rain probabilities.
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sat Mar 11, 2017 5:36 am

Good Saturday Morning folks!..nice outside as I walked my dogs.looks like a nice day ahead for us,seems tomorrow sometime the change comes..I hope they can finish the Race in st pete before the rains come...have a great day everyone!

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sat Mar 11, 2017 5:37 am

oh..local met is saying IF you have outdoor things to do..today is the day to do it ok.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by sangria on Sat Mar 11, 2017 6:34 am

Good Morning!!

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by sangria on Sat Mar 11, 2017 7:10 am

NAM QPF Forecast  ....pffft

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by StAugustineFL on Sat Mar 11, 2017 7:14 am

Morning. Nice sunrise san.

I know you don't like that NAM run but it's pretty good to me. I hope it's right!
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by sangria on Sat Mar 11, 2017 7:15 am

GFS.....no better

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by sangria on Sat Mar 11, 2017 7:16 am

StAugustineFL wrote:Morning.  Nice sunrise san.

I know you don't like that NAM run but it's pretty good to me.  I hope it's right!

Morning Aug!

Nope, it's the GFS for you!!
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by StAugustineFL on Sat Mar 11, 2017 7:20 am

sangria wrote:
StAugustineFL wrote:Morning.  Nice sunrise san.

I know you don't like that NAM run but it's pretty good to me.  I hope it's right!

Morning Aug!

Nope, it's the GFS for you!!

fiddle
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by gomexwx on Sat Mar 11, 2017 1:26 pm

Hello florida bloggers!
Looking for more rain here this evening..

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sat Mar 11, 2017 1:48 pm

well warm and sunny here on the gulf coast,sure could use some rain here whew.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by gomexwx on Sat Mar 11, 2017 2:43 pm

It might make it to you this time...
depending on the track of the developing low

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by sangria on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:24 pm

Damn both of these charts!  Tarpon Springs is the best comparison for me, but they always get more rain than I do.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by sangria on Sat Mar 11, 2017 3:29 pm

gomexwx wrote:Hello florida bloggers!
Looking for more rain here this evening..

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 6:10 am


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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 6:13 am

Good Sunday Morning folks!! nice outside this morning, and I hope everyone set there clocks ahead one hour??....well rain chances go up for some area's today, sure would be nice to get a heavy rain here by me...might happen maybe tomorrow,well an inch would do fine..more that that is greatly welcomed lol...have a wonderful day folks..

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 6:17 am

Hey St. Pete...the big Grand Prix Race begins today at around 12 30 huh...man I hope the rain holds off for it...I bet big crowds down there for it huh..well good luck down there ok!!

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 6:44 am

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
451 AM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE ON MONDAY...

...RECORD SETTING COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED MIDWEEK...

.NEAR TERM /Today-Tonight/...

Today...Shortwave aloft in zonal flow pushing along the North
GOMEX coast will track across SE GA/NE FL today and will help to
develop a weak low pressure center over the Atlantic Coast. A band
of showers will track from SE GA this morning into NE FL by the
afternoon and a few embedded storms will be possible but chances
still remain around 20% and slight chance of storms wording has
been kept in the forecast for now. Rainfall amounts will generally
be in the 0.10-0.25" range with isolated higher totals near 0.50".
Cloudy skies will remain through the day with Max Temps nudging
only slightly upwards from morning values ranging from the upper
50s/lower 60s SE GA to mid/upper 60s along the I-10 corridor of
North FL and some lower 70s possible south of a line from SGJ-GNV.
At the surface as low pressure develops over the ATLC Coastal
Waters through the day and winds will become NE at 15G20-25MPH
over inland areas and 15-25G30-35 mph along the coast.

Tonight...Sfc Low/Trof over the ATLC Coastal Waters will deepen
enough to pull shower activity mainly into the coastal waters and
impacting the coastal areas along the I-95 corridor where windy
conditions will continue with NE Flow at 15-25G30-35 mph and bands
of showers will be possible at times with another 0.10-0.25"
possible and some higher 0.50" totals possible where rain bands
set up along the NE FL coastline. Further inland expect mainly
cloudy and cool conditions as NE winds on back side of the low
pull temps down into the 40s while 50s expected along coastal SE
GA and inland NE FL and lower/middle 60s along the coastal NE FL.
Any isolated storm activity will likely remain over the Coastal
Waters closer to the Trof/Sfc Low. NE Winds along the coast will
approach Wind Advisory criteria with gusts in the 30-35 mph range
but too early to determine if 35-40 mph gusts will be possible.

.SHORT TERM /Monday and Tuesday/...

Models continue to disagree with the synoptic details on Monday.
There will be several players in place. An inverted coastal trough
offshore will extend southward and back across the central Florida
peninsula into the Gulf. A potent shortwave trough digging towards
the Gulf will help to induce weak cyclogenesis out over the Gulf
of Mexico. This feature and an associated large area of
precip/convection will rapidly move east over the Gulf and across
the Florida peninsula Monday afternoon and evening.

Exactly where the gulf low crosses Florida will ultimately be the
deciding factor on how much rainfall we get across our area. The
GFS continues to downplay the event and continues to back off on
QPF amounts. The ECWMF however has started to trend the higher
rainfall amounts back towards our area. If the stationary
boundary across Florida lifts north into our southern zones, the
gulf low will likely track along it and increase the potential
for some heavier rains in our area, including some embedded
thunderstorm activity across portions of northeast Florida.

In addition, a Meso-low may try to track northward along our
coast Monday afternoon and if this occurs it could bring
potential for locally heavy rainfall along our coast. Confidence
still remains low however. The latest forecast calls for scattered
to numerous showers across northeast Florida, with the highest
chances expected along and east of a line from Brunswick GA to
Cross City FL. Lower chances are progged for inland areas of
southeast Georgia.

The vigorous shortwave trough will pivot rapidly across our area
Monday night. The main cold front will also quickly pass through
with the possibility of a few showers continuing through the
evening hours. Cold air advection will begin to get underway on
Tuesday, very slowly at first. Dry air advection will be much more
pronounced. Full sun on Tuesday, with weak cold air advection at
first due to westerly flow aloft, should allow most areas in
northeast Florida to top out near normal...with below normal temps
expected in southeast Georgia. Breezy northwest winds will make it
feel a little cooler.

CAA will begin to increase Tuesday night and a few locations
across portions of southeast Georgia could approach the freezing
mark towards dawn. All areas will be below normal with most inland
locations dropping into the 30s.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 6:47 am

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
513 AM EDT Sun Mar 12 2017

.SHORT TERM (Today-Monday)...
The boundary that moved through the area Friday night and became
stationary across south Florida yesterday will continue to drift
north into central Florida today as a mid/upper level shortwave
trough moves across the southeast U.S. today. This will bring some
deeper moisture northward and when combined with daytime heating
and the shortwave energy we`ll see scattered showers pop up,
especially over inland areas this afternoon. Temperatures will
warm up into the mid 70s north and along the coast to the mid 80s
over inland portions of southwest Florida.

Tonight the shortwave will move off to the east with any showers
moving east and coming to an end. The surface boundary will remain
across the area with a north to northeast flow setting up,
especially north of it across the Nature Coast. Will continue to
see partly to mostly cloudy skies with some patchy fog possible
mainly south of the Interstate 4 corridor where the boundary
should be lingering. North of the boundary expect to see mainly
low clouds across the Nature Coast. Low temperatures will range
from the mid 50s far north to the mid 60s near the coast from
around Tampa Bay southward.

On Monday the stronger shortwave trough will be moving across the
eastern U.S. with an area of low pressure expected to develop over
the central gulf. This low will track east northeast along the
stalled boundary with rain chances increasing through the day.
Could be enough instability with daytime heating to see a few
embedded thunderstorms during the afternoon, but nothing severe is
anticipated at this time. Temperatures will be held down in the
mid to upper 70s across the northwestern half of the area thanks
to the expected abundant clouds with lower 80s still forecast
across the southern interior and inland southwest counties.

.MID TERM/LONG TERM (Monday Night-Saturday)...
An upper low will be in place over the eastern sea board through
much of the week. At the surface, a cold front will be moving
through the area Monday night with scattered showers and possibly
a thunderstorm pushing south overnight. Conditions will clear
Tuesday as some drier air moves into the area with a reinforcing
front pushing through the state. Another dry front will move
through Wednesday with high pressure building down across the
state from the Ohio Valley region for the end of the week bringing
much cooler and drier air into the region. Temperatures will
generally be below normal through the period.

&&

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by StAugustineFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 7:33 am

Morning. My laptop is moving slower than san molasses this morning. Might have to reboot if it keeps up.

HRRR doesn't look too promising for rain today. Gomey's hogging it all.
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by StAugustineFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 8:10 am

Last Monday the Jacksonville radar was taken offline for an upgrade.  It was scheduled to be down 3 days.  Here was the initial outage message:

Message Date:  Mar 06 2017 10:56:31

KJAX 88D Radar(Jacksonville) will be down starting today for appoximately 3 days
for upgrades. Use adjacent radars...KTLH...KMLB...KJGX...and KCLX.***** $$


Now this!  Down a month?  That's crazy.

Message Date:  Mar 09 2017 20:56:10

KJAX 88D RADAR OUTAGE UPDATE: DUE TO UNFORSEEN PROBLEMS ENCOUNTERED AFTER INSTALLING A NEW SIGNAL PROCESSOR SYSTEM AT KJAX RADAR...MAJOR PARTS FOR THE RADAR WILL NEED TO BE ORDERED AND REPLACED. THE KJAX RADAR OUTAGE MAY CONTINUE UNTIL MARCH 30TH. WE APOLOGIZE FOR THE OUTAGE. ADJACENT RADARS TO USE: KJGX, KTBW, KMLB, K
TLH, AND KCLX.*****
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by sangria on Sun Mar 12, 2017 8:31 am

That sucks Aug, but at least you have some good overlap from nearby WHO offices.
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by StAugustineFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 8:39 am

sangria wrote:That sucks Aug, but at least you have some good overlap from nearby WHO offices.

Not really. Valdosta would have worked but it's offline too! I am at the far northern fringe of MLB range and can't see anything to my west. I am too far east for Tallahassee but can at least see what may be headed this way if precip has some sort of eastward component. Beh.
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by sangria on Sun Mar 12, 2017 8:46 am

StAugustineFL wrote:

Not really.  Valdosta would have worked but it's offline too!  I am at the far northern fringe of MLB range and can't see anything to my west.  I am too far east for Tallahassee but can at least see what may be headed this way if precip has some sort of eastward component.  Beh.

Okay, that really does suck.  I figured you would just use Valdosta while Jax was Sleep
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 9:08 am

AUG..this radar from my local baynews9 site for your area..good luck for rain ok..

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 9:13 am

are the local mets up in northern Florida saying a possible freeze event later this coming week up there? or no, just 30's temps? but no solid freeze?

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by gomexwx on Sun Mar 12, 2017 9:30 am

Hope everyone remembered to set their clocks up an hour. The rain is here, I woke this morning to 43° North winds and a cold rain.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by gomexwx on Sun Mar 12, 2017 9:35 am

I don't think this system has the cold air they expected and our lows will be in the 40s except for Wednesday Night where we should go down to 35.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by gomexwx on Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:01 am

Oh,and Largo,you have mail...just so you know it works I sent you a message.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by StAugustineFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:05 am

gomexwx wrote:I don't think this system has the cold air they expected and our lows will be in the 40s except for Wednesday Night where we should go down to 35.

I think the trough bottoms out to your east and it'll be colder here than the Mobile area. Snipped from the Jax long term.

It should be noted that our current forecast for Wednesday night
is on the warmest end of the guidance and will likely need to be
adjusted downward. In fact, both the ECMWF and GFS ensemble
guidance show an ensemble mean in the mid 20s for most inland
locations Wednesday night. So it looks like a good bet that most
interior locations will drop below 30 with hard freezes certainly
not out of the question for inland locations early Thursday
morning. Records will likely be broken.
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by StAugustineFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:07 am

LargoFL wrote:are the local mets up in northern Florida saying a possible freeze event later this coming week up there? or no, just 30's temps? but no solid freeze?

The interior is likely to see a freeze. Not sure about my area. Will monitor the forecast then wrap up the pipes and protect a couple of plants if needed.
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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 10:56 am

Question folks..WHY is this website trying to install an app on my computer?

LargoFL

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 11:17 am

I got the mail Gome..thanks I replied ok...I left a link to this site on our old WU blog,hopefully he and others come to us here...we'll see once april 3rd happens and the Blogs go bye bye...I doubt if most will stay with Doc on that one blog of his.

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

Post by LargoFL on Sun Mar 12, 2017 11:19 am

ok I have more raking to do outsde geez..hope this ends soon...raking and getting all this oak pollen over me is terrible..sneeze sneeze cough cough LOL> we need a steady heavy rain to wash it all away huh

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Re: CLOSED BLOG Florida Weather

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