CLOSED 8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER

Thanks for posting. He's the best IMO. Amazingly informative and presents well. And so young!

Love the TGFRx! Since we've been making so many trips to Sarasota, and dealing with the awful rain corridor of 75 over there and Alligator Alley, I asked hubby to RainX my windshield. What a difference!

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Love the TGFRx! Since we've been making so many trips to Sarasota, and dealing with the awful rain corridor of 75 over there and Alligator Alley, I asked hubby to RainX my windshield.  What a difference!

gee I use that also.RainX is fantastic

Good early Saturday Morning Folks!...local met says less rain chances today here..just checked the NHC and they really lowered 92L's chances for developing..for myself I'm watching it closely,especially when and IF..it gets to the bahama's....well blogs COFFEE is perking for when you get here.enjoy..have a great day everyone!

JRnOldsmar wrote:Incredible.  Nothing but a few sprinkle at my place.  I took off as it was starting to come in, and got my rain on I-75.  Torrential from the Turnpike to Ocala.  TGFRx (Thank God for Rain-x).  I apparently blew out the gears on the driver's wiper in the middle of that mess.  No rain here on the westside of Jax.

Damn JR, that had to suck. I hate driving in the rain, but without a functioning wiper?

NWS MIAMI..Sat Aug 19 2017

...STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE OVER SW FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON...
...HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES...
...INCREASING HEAVY RAIN CHANCES INTO NEXT WEEK...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Thunderstorms: Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop over
the interior and gulf coast this afternoon along the sea breeze
boundaries. The primary hazards will be lightning, gusty wind, and
locally heavy rainfall.

Wind: Afternoon thunderstorms will be capable of producing gusty and
erratic winds up to 45 mph.

Temperatures: The heat index will be above 100 degrees across most
of South Florida this afternoon, with values of 105 possible across
much of the east coast metro and Gulf coast metro regions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Increasing tropical moisture is forecast to bring better storm
coverage tonight into Sunday with locally heavy rainfall. A low
pressure system moving in from the east may bring widespread
precipitation by mid next week. Heavy rainfall and lightning will be
the main hazards.

Stronger southeasterly flow may bring an increased threat for strong
rip currents late this weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, however individual
spotters are encouraged to report high wind, hail and flooding to
the National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

sangria wrote:

JRnOldsmar wrote:Incredible.  Nothing but a few sprinkle at my place.  I took off as it was starting to come in, and got my rain on I-75.  Torrential from the Turnpike to Ocala.  TGFRx (Thank God for Rain-x).  I apparently blew out the gears on the driver's wiper in the middle of that mess.  No rain here on the westside of Jax.

Damn JR, that had to suck.  I hate driving in the rain, but without a functioning wiper?  

yes get that wiper motor fixed quickly.

Morning everyone!

Yeah Largo, they did drop 92L  to 30/40.  Looking at satellite this morning though, it looks like it is dealing with the shear better now.  The north and east side are not getting flattened/blown off as much.

Harvey looks pretty decent. It will be interesting to see if he makes it to the BOC.

sangria wrote:Morning everyone!

Yeah Largo, they did drop 92L  to 30/40.  Looking at satellite this morning though, it looks like it is dealing with the shear better now.  The north and east side are not getting flattened/blown off as much.

Harvey looks pretty decent.  It will be interesting to see if he makes it to the BOC.

Morning all. 92L does look ok but it'll have to deal with the ULL to its' NW that is sinking south. Looks like the only certainty at this point is something gets to the Bahama's then what remains and where it goes is up in the air.

Speaking of ULL's.........

Nice blob of storms south of jenny and WNW of waterdipper.

A little offshore precip here... nothing making it onshore, just some distant thunder can be heard.

US National Weather Service Tampa Bay Florida

It is going to be a very hot and muggy day across the region today. Rain chances will be below normal due to dry air aloft in the atmosphere. Temperatures will soar into the lower 90s along the coast, and mid to upper 90s inland. With high humidity levels heat indices will run in the 105 to 110 degrees range during the afternoon.

sangria wrote:US National Weather Service Tampa Bay Florida

It is going to be a very hot and muggy day across the region today. Rain chances will be below normal due to dry air aloft in the atmosphere. Temperatures will soar into the lower 90s along the coast, and mid to upper 90s inland. With high humidity levels heat indices will run in the 105 to 110 degrees range during the afternoon.

#comfy

Off to Publix......

JAX: .NEAR TERM (Today and Tonight)...
Low clouds and patchy fog early this morning will affect mainly
ne Fl where locally heavy rainfall occurred yesterday. Expect
another round of convection this afternoon/evening similar to
Fridays activity. Most of the showers and storms will be across ne
Fl into coastal areas of se Ga where the highest moisture exists.
Locally heavy rainfall will be the main concern due to a light sw
steering flow and PWATs around 2 inches. Showers will die off by
midnight with temperatures a few degrees above average.

StAugustineFL wrote:Off to Publix......

JAX:  .NEAR TERM (Today and Tonight)...
Low clouds and patchy fog early this morning will affect mainly
ne Fl where locally heavy rainfall occurred yesterday. Expect
another round of convection this afternoon/evening similar to
Fridays activity. Most of the showers and storms will be across ne
Fl into coastal areas of se Ga where the highest moisture exists.
Locally heavy rainfall will be the main concern due to a light sw
steering flow and PWATs around 2 inches. Showers will die off by
midnight with temperatures a few degrees above average.

ok Aug and thanks..sunny warm day down here today.

well so far it seems 92L isn't doing well at all..which is good for us huh..

more models on the 12Z run bring 92L to hurricane,lets hope it turns out to sea......

and every day these tracks change..watch 92 closely thru mid week folks..........................................

CMC says wens night-thurs morning 92 goes to hurricane,it pegged this all along huh.......

a lot of people laugh at the CMC, we all must remember..it was the CMC that pegged GERT to form to a hurricane when NONE of the other models did...now again..none of the other models say 92 will go to hurricane...if CMC wins again..thats the model IM following from now on when a storm is close to the USA

Billsfan-and south florida................NWS Miami for today..................A tropical wave extends from the northern Bahamas, across central Cuba
and west of Jamaica, then to the southwest Caribbean, moving west
at 10-15 kt. An area of moderate convection is along the wave's
axis from 22N-28N between 74W-80W. The wave shows up very well on
the TPW animation and 700 mb streamline analysis. Moisture associated
with this wave will continue spreading over the northern Bahamas
and central Cuba this morning, and across south Florida and
western Cuba in the afternoon and evening, increasing the
likelihood of showers and thunderstorms. There is a potential of
locally heavy rain and localized flooding with this activity.

so Billsfan missed out on our storms yesterday, looks like this trop wave will give her some too this afternoon...good luck down there...and be careful of that lightning, whew..it was bad here by me yesterday.

didn't someone here say they have family up in the Carolina's?.......................................................

ok so we watch 92 very carefully next week whew. BBL

LargoFL wrote:

sangria wrote:

JRnOldsmar wrote:Incredible.  Nothing but a few sprinkle at my place.  I took off as it was starting to come in, and got my rain on I-75.  Torrential from the Turnpike to Ocala.  TGFRx (Thank God for Rain-x).  I apparently blew out the gears on the driver's wiper in the middle of that mess.  No rain here on the westside of Jax.

Damn JR, that had to suck.  I hate driving in the rain, but without a functioning wiper?  

yes get that wiper motor fixed quickly.

We were driving from Toledo to Buffalo (on the Ohio turnpike) in a heavy snowstorm and the wiper blades broke. He had to cut the strings off of a sleeping bag and with the assistance of borrowed tie straps from a state trooper who stopped to help, rigged the wipers so we could make it the rest of the way. (last time we visited family in the winter!)

LargoFL wrote:CMC says wens night-thurs morning 92 goes to hurricane,it pegged this all along huh.......

Nothing pegged yet. Just a system of interest. The next 5 days will be telling.

Hot and dry here thus far with low-topped cumulus popping. It'll be awhile if/when any storms develop later this afternoon. Fingers crossed.

HOT HOT HOT

High temp to 93 today and HI to 110..... uggh

I feel your pain San. 93/114. Uggh

Largo -we didn't get a drop of rain or even clod cover. Full sun and heat.

Hang in there bills. Should be a surge of moisture coming off the Atlantic during the overnight or morning hours.

92L is down to 10/20% for the 2 day, 5 day.

StAugustineFL wrote:Hang in there bills.  Should be a surge of moisture coming off the Atlantic during the overnight or morning hours.

Good luck bills. It's trying........

I think it will stay out in Atlantic. Hope not. Will let you know. Rain gauge is EMPTY and I will check.

Good Sunday Morning folks!!..well looks like 92L may pay Florida a visit in the runs this morning sometime next week with whatever it becomes or doesn't become...but its rains would be welcomed here by me for sure...not a drop here yesterday...............well Blogs COFFEE is set to perk for when you get here..enjoy..have a wonderful day everyone!

NWS Tampa.......Sun Aug 20 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Deep moisture will return today and this combined with daytime
heating and the sea breezes will lead to scattered to numerous
mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms across the area.
Thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing strong
gusty winds, locally heavy rainfall, and frequent deadly
lightning strikes.

NWS Miami.............Sun Aug 20 2017

...SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Thunderstorms: There is a chance of thunderstorms across South
Florida today. The primary impacts from the storms will be lightning
strikes and heavy rainfall.

Flooding: Ponding of water on roadways, especially in low lying
areas, and locations with poor drainage will be possible today.

No other hazardous weather is expected at this time.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

Increasing tropical moisture is forecast to bring better storm
coverage to South Florida for most of this week, as a tropical wave
moves into the area from the Bahama Islands. The primary impacts from
the storms will be lightning strikes and locally heavy rainfall.

Stronger easterly flow early this week may bring an increase threat
for strong rip currents, before decreasing late this week as the
easterly winds decrease.

No other hazardous weather is expected at this time.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, however individual
spotters are encouraged to report flooding to the National Weather
Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

Baxter

well GFS says thur-friday 92 close to east coast but moves north..so far anyway......

well local met here is saying todays rain and storms on the gulf coast would begin Late afternoon but probably evening..just the sea breeze kind of rains.

Morning. Dominant ECSB up here today which means limited rain chances unless something fires early in the day before pushing off towards the interior. Good luck west coasters.

Further south it seems bills may have received some rain albeit light. Decent rains in Palm Beach County at the moment.

Good morning. Yes, light rain is falling. Heard some thunder, but haven't noticed any lightning.
Have a nice day all.

Morning everyone.... ex Harvey looks like he wants to put on his big boy pants again  :-)

yes Billsfan, your in the luck rain wise today........................................................

well once 92 gets close to florida we'll then have to watch it very closely..does it come across florida?..or does it stall off the coast and move northward?...it still has till wens-thurs etc..so still time for these models to change routes several times huh...what IM watching for..is how strong it gets remembering we have that hot water stream that flows along our coastlines..most storms go boom when they get into it.