CLOSED 12-8 Florida/Alabama Blog - Southern Snow and Severe

It's been about as cold as I like (though 1 or 2 light freezes would not be a bad thing).  The last 4 mornings have been around 40, 40, 50, and 50.  No frost, no freeze.  I'm about 8 miles inland and a block from the bay.  I haven't covered any plants for years. If something dies, it gets replaced with something more tolerable and sustainable.  I do have some azaleas and blueberries to replace this year.  They dried out too much earlier this year (drought + broken sprinklers).

Looks like a great weekend coming....



Christmas shopping -- what's that?!?!  I have ordered the dinner meats for smoking on the 24th  (wet-cured ham, boston butt (pulled pork), pork shanks)  First time doing shanks.

hmmm possibly not as cold in some of our northern/and inland area's tonight...............

WD..GFS model has changed..Xmas day might be a wet day for Florida..too soon yet ok..

LOl got this off mikes weather page...LOL.............................

Lol Largo. I saw that too.

I'm not finished with my shopping yet. I do have my out of town ones finished, need to wrap and make the much dreaded trip to the post office.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Lol Largo.  I saw that too.

I'm not finished with my shopping yet. I do have my out of town ones finished, need to wrap and make the much dreaded trip to the post office.  

Hiya Billsfan, yeah the dreaded trip to the post office was hard on us here..man what a long line there,almost 45 minutes just standing there holding all these cartons etc lol..glad I only did it 3 times lol..

Good Thursday Morning folks!..cool but not as COLD this early morning as it has been,supposed to be in the mid 70's later today..it seems at least for a few days temps may  be back to normal for this time of year,im keeping watch on the front coming maybe Friday..Doesn't look too bad this time...well have a great day everyone!!

Morning all,
Stopped by to give nighttime temps.
33.6 last night but started warming after 3 am.
was 36.7 when I left at 5am
Have a great day!!
John Z-hills

severstorm wrote:Morning all,
 Stopped by to give nighttime temps.
33.6 last night but started warming after 3 am.
was 36.7 when I left at 5am
Have a great day!!
John Z-hills

That's cold, John. Just 30 miles west: 51 last night, 53 at 5am. That gulf breeze, over 60's water temps, sure makes a diff.

severstorm wrote:Morning all,
 Stopped by to give nighttime temps.
33.6 last night but started warming after 3 am.
was 36.7 when I left at 5am
Have a great day!!
John Z-hills

good morning John..hopefully next few days temps will moderate  inland too,well almost the weekend huh.

Good morning JR!! yeah the warmer waters so far has kept us warmer than inland and north.

LargoFL wrote:the pic sizer app on this blog no longer works for me..sorry about the big pics.

Good evening.  Catching up on things here.  Year end work rush has been a grind.  On one hand it's exhausting while on the other allows opportunity to excel/impress.  Such is the "white-collar" world but nothing white-collar working from home in t-shirt, shorts, and flip-flips. I'm definitely blue-collared at heart but gotta make a living.  

Not sure how folks check in here but I use the old brick and mortar laptop.  If the images don't fit the screen I right-click then select "open image in new tab".  It does exactly that - opens an image (full sized) in a new tab, lol.  May be browser dependent though.  I also have the imgur add-on where I can also right-click and "rehost image"

I normally check in on my Kindle. I can usually see everything.
Although chilly I so much prefer this over 100 degree deal like temps.

And yikes Largo on post office. I'm finished BUT my daughter who is swamped with finals, wants to pick up a few things for Grandma and Grandpa also. I told her I really want to get them out tomorrow. She has a final at 9 in Miami. Uggh. So if you don't hear from me tomorrow you'll know why

Good Friday morning Folks and TGIF!!!!!!!..........well its warmer here this early morning than its been for awhile..looks like the real cold temps have moderated now..and as I walked the dogs just now..i got a sprinkle of rain..just a few drops,nothing big........the weak front that's supposed to stall out over central florida must be closer now.......well Have a great day everyone...and Billsfan...tell your Daughter we here wish her "good Luck" on the finals ok.

wow we just took a walk thru Largo Central Park, the city has all the tree's etc lit up with Christmas lights..its simply Beautiful...don't often say this but..Good Job city of Largo!!

well just had a 2 second heavy rain shower then it was gone..I guess with this dry spell every drop counts huh.

anyone know how this ruling on getting rid of the Net Neutrality will affect you and me on the web?...what will change?...will it affect us posting in here?

Little bit of rain this morning

yes not much left in the moisture line...............................................

I know most of you are working right now but man, its really NICE outside..

SpaceX just stuck another one.  Amazing to watch

LargoFL wrote:anyone know how this ruling on getting rid of the Net Neutrality will affect you and me on the web?...what will change?...will it affect us posting in here?

Check out WMNF 88.5fm, Monday noon for good info on this.  For anyone else stream from wmnf.org, or download the wmnf app.

if you are a true music fan, and tired of hearing the SOS, this is where to go.  Commercial-free, member supported.  Midday is progressive talk.  All else is a vast diversity of musical tastes.  Drive-time and Saturday's are Prime.  My station, except Sunday mornings, and they archive everything on-line for a week.

Good Saturday Morning folks!..no rain in the forecast thru the weekend and nice temps too...hopefully it stays like this thru the coming week!..........well have a wonderful day everyone!

Good morning. Chilly day in store up in this part of the state. Forecast high is 61. It then jumps into the 70's tomorrow through the end of the week.

StAugustineFL wrote:Good morning.  Chilly day in store up in this part of the state.  Forecast high is 61.  It then jumps into the 70's tomorrow through the end of the week.

good morning Aug,its 61 here by me right now,mid 70's for a high they say,its a good day to do outside chores,surely wont be sweating any LOL...

Nice day there Largo. Dreary stratocumulus overcast up here. Looking at the Jax visible sat seems it may clear up around noon time. Since it's a blah morning I am cooking up some cabbage rolls. Can't wait to dig in later this afternoon!

Clouds are beginning to clear. Looks like a wonderful afternoon albeit on the cool side.

StAugustineFL wrote:Clouds are beginning to clear.  Looks like a wonderful afternoon albeit on the cool side.

yeah partial sunshine here and cool. outside chores finished,I can relax now.

Clipped from this afternoons NWS Tampa discussion............................With a generally stable weather pattern and large scale
subsidence attributed to high pressure, temperatures will
be quite warm/hot for much of the week. Afternoon highs in
the low to mid 80s will be common, some 10 to 15 degrees
above normal. Low temperatures will be similarly warm in the
upper 50s to low 60s. If you happen to enjoy warmer weather
over the holiday, you will probably be happy, as the
general synoptic pattern looks to remain unchanged into next
weekend.

&&

so it seems for central florida..warm and dry thru the holiday weekend,..........good for those travelling to family instate for the holiday

and for south Florida........................000
FXUS62 KMFL 161955
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
255 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017


.DISCUSSION...
Strong deep high pressure remains well in control of the region,
which remains in place through at least the middle opf next week.
Current light winds will turn more NE and increase a little on
Sunday as pressure gradients become tighter.

Temperatures will continue to gradually climb back to near normal
values, with afternoon highs reaching the low 80s during the next
couple of days. Model solutions show little to no chances o rain
until mid week, with maybe some slight chances of rain Wednesday
afternoon. Morning lows also gradually warm up into the upper
60s/low 70s by mid week.

In general, beautiful and benign South Florida weather expected
to continue through the forecast period. Enjoy!

&&

Cooking done here. Dig in folks.

Good Sunday Morning Folks!..i was just looking at the GFS model run for Christmas day,the south may have another one of those rainy kind of days again...so far I don't see any for mainland florida that day...well nice clear morning here..around 61 degree's or so,its going to be a nice dry day ahead..enjoy.....have a great day folks!

is anyone going up into the northeast for Christmas?..models hinting at a winter storm up there right around Christmas.

Morning. No travel plans here. I'll be staying local.

All Christmas cards and gifts were sent out a couple of days ago. I need to wrap up a few things for my elderly aunt, daughter, and the little nugget but aside from that I am done.

StAugustineFL wrote:Morning.  No travel plans here.  I'll be staying local.  

All Christmas cards and gifts were sent out a couple of days ago.  I need to wrap up a few things for my elderly aunt, daughter, and the little nugget but aside from that I am done.

good morning Aug.yes all my cards-presents already sent out also...time to relax now till the Holiday arrives.

stay alert and safe up there Gome storms coming..and more storms thru Christmas there

well 71 degree's and sunny here..what a beautiful day it is here!!

Drive Carefully in this Fog inland area's...................................................URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
520 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

...AREAS OF DENSE FOG DEVELOPING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...

.Areas of dense fog are developing across west central and
southwest Florida early this morning. Visibilities have dropped
to less than a quarter mile in some areas, and the fog is expected
to continue to develop and expand in coverage through the early
morning hours.

FLZ043-052-056-057-061-239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-181400-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FG.Y.0019.171218T1020Z-171218T1400Z/
Sumter-Polk-Hardee-Highlands-DeSoto-Inland Levy-Inland Citrus-
Inland Hernando-Inland Pasco-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Manatee-
Inland Sarasota-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-
Including the cities of Wildwood, Lake Panasoffkee, Bushnell,
The Villages, Lakeland, Winter Haven, Wauchula, Bowling Green,
Zolfo Springs, Sebring, Avon Park, Placid Lakes, Arcadia,
Chiefland, Bronson, Williston, Inverness, Brooksville,
Spring Hill, Dade City, Zephyrhills, Brandon, Plant City,
Sun City Center, Parrish, Lakewood Ranch, Myakka City,
North Port, Babcock Ranch, Fort Myers, and Lehigh Acres
520 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL has
issued a Dense Fog Advisory, which is in effect until 9 AM EST
this morning.

* VISIBILITY...A quarter of a mile or less.

* IMPACTS...Visibility may suddenly be reduced causing hazardous
conditions while driving. Motorists should take caution,
especially at high rates of speed.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one quarter mile. If driving, slow down, use
your low beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of
you.

&&

Good Monday Morning folks!..well this time next week Christmas is here,if you haven't finished your holiday shopping,time to do so is slipping away fast now..good luck ok..............well another beautiful day coming up here by me..NWS says 80-81 degree's later this afternoon and yes..dry no rain expected..............well have a great day everyone!

Morning. A pleasant 56 degrees here. I have the slider wide open to knock the house temp down to the upper 60's before the warm up begins. 77 forecast later. Perfect day!

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
904 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

FLZ069-070-181515-
Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-
Including the cities of Naples and Immokalee
904 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

...AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY BURN OFF COLLIER COUNTY...

Areas of fog will continue to slowly burn off through the late
morning hours over Collier County. Visibilities in the fog will
range from 1 to 3 miles, and drivers need to slow down and use low
beam headlights while driving through the fog.

$$

Baxter

well no fog by me although it was kinda cool here around day break,warming up nicely now.

hey Billsfan..how is the weather down by you? nice too??

folks in the Panhandle-Northern Florida be sure to read this.....................................................................
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1007 AM EST Mon Dec 18 2017

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

A dense fog advisory was issued for all but the Florida Panhandle
and Western Big Bend counties until 10 am est. Although the advisory
has expired, patchy fog will continue at several locations for a few
more hours. Otherwise, extensive low level clouds and intermittent
mostly light rain can be expected today with above seasonal temps in
the 70s to around 80 degrees.


.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Wednesday]...

A relatively strong 500 mb ridge over the Southeast will weaken
Tuesday night and Wednesday as a short wave trough (currently over
the Baja Peninsula) moves eastward across the Southeast. Until
then rain chances for our forecast area will be slight and
confined mainly to the northern parts of our area, on the fringes
of weak Q-G forcing and increasing deep-layer moisture. Rain
chances will increase Wednesday, especially across the FL
Panhandle, southeast AL, and southwest GA, where the greatest
concentration of large scale ascent and moisture will be. (PoPs
will range from 60% at Dothan to 30% at Tallahassee, and less than
20% at Cross City).

Although most of the upper-level height falls will be to our
north, 0-6km bulk shear values of at least 50 knots over our
forecast area would suggest at least some possibility of storm
organization. However, MLCAPE values will struggle to reach 500
J/kg. Thus with limited buoyancy and large-scale ascent, the
threat of isolated severe storms on Wednesday is low, and would
consist primarily of damaging wind gusts (40-60 MPH) or perhaps
a brief tornado, mainly north and west of Tallahassee.

Temperatures are likely to be well above climatology, despite
significant cloud cover during the daytime. Lows will be in the
lower 60s (climatology is lower 40s). Highs will be in the mid
70s (climatology is lower 60s).


.LONG TERM [Wednesday Night Through Monday]...

Rain chances will end quickly Wednesday night once the
aforementioned upper trough and associated surface baroclinic trough
move by, with only a slight drop in temperatures to close out the
work week. Considerable differences arise between the global models
by the weekend. The GFS brings a cold front slowly through our
forecast area and stalls it just to our south, with gradually
cooling temperatures and persistent rain chances through Christmas
Day. The ECMWF keeps the front well to our northwest, with
continued warm temperatures and fair weather. As usual this far
out, we have blended the solutions and get PoPs in the 20-30%
range, highs in the upper 60s (north) to mid 70s (south), and lows
in the 50s. Hopefully the models will trend toward the same
solution in subsequent forecast cycles.

oh boy a traffic nightmare over Tampa way..this from NBC news just awhile ago...................AMPA (WFLA) – Interstate 275 northbound at mile marker 51 is closed due to a fatal crash.
All northbound traffic is being diverted off the highway at Fowler Avenue.
Florida Highway Patrol is investigating the crash between a semi and a truck that happened just before 11:30 a.m.

John hope this is gone by the time you drive home..good luck over there.