CLOSED 1-6 Florida/Alabama Blog - January Thaw!

Looks as if the second round of rain for the afternoon won't materialize.  All I'm seeing is south and east now.  

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/WXTYPE/loop25se.html

yes but it is clouding up by me San...maybe later tonight huh.

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
232 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2018

.SHORT TERM (Tonight-Wednesday)...
A weak area of low pressure is in place over the eastern
Gulf of Mexico. Some chaff is moving over the southern zones
this afternoon. The upper low with this system will weaken
and shift to over south Florida through the period as the
surface low opens into a trough across the state. A little
subsidence on the back side of the trough will keep rain
chances limited across the central and southern coasts, with
20-40 percent chances north and inland through the period.
Lows tonight will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Highs
will be in the mid 70s to around 80 Wednesday afternoon.

Good Wednesday Morning folks!..well warm outside this early morning, 63 here by me and no rain,looks to be a warm day met is saying maybe up to 77,good I need to do some outdoor raking leaves etc..........just a note..news is saying a BIG 7.6 earthquake happened in the Caribbean off the coast of Honduras and Mexico...too early yet to know what happened with it.........for that area it is a large one..hope everyone down there is ok..................well have a great day.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
550 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2018

FLZ056-057-061-155-160-162-165-255-260-262-265-101500-
Hardee-Highlands-DeSoto-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-
Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Inland Manatee-Inland Sarasota-
Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-
Including the cities of Wauchula, Bowling Green, Zolfo Springs,
Sebring, Avon Park, Placid Lakes, Arcadia, Bradenton,
Anna Maria Island, Venice, Sarasota, Englewood, Port Charlotte,
Punta Gorda, Cape Coral, Captiva, Sanibel, Parrish,
Lakewood Ranch, Myakka City, North Port, Babcock Ranch,
Fort Myers, and Lehigh Acres
550 AM EST Wed Jan 10 2018

...PATCHY DENSE FOG SPREADING ACROSS SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...

Patches of dense fog have developed across southwest Florida
overnight, and will continue to reduce visibilities to around a
quarter mile or less in some spots through around 10 AM. If you
encounter fog while driving, slow down, use your low beam
headlights, and leave plenty of distance between you and the
vehicle in front of you.

$$

Fleming

well I see they are saying Largo got .025 rain last night,in going outside..nothing by my area,everything is dry here again....did YOU folks get any last night?

We’re having light rain now but ending soon.

LargoFL wrote:well I see they are saying Largo got .025 rain last night,in going outside..nothing by my area,everything is dry here again....did YOU folks get any last night?

Morning All,
Yes I had .11 in the bucket last night and .49 in the bucket yesterday
I didn't here anything about the skydiver Largo.
Have a great day!!!
John Z-hills

PuppyToes wrote:We’re having light rain now but ending soon.

ok thanks for letting us know PT..have a great day ok

severstorm wrote:

LargoFL wrote:well I see they are saying Largo got .025 rain last night,in going outside..nothing by my area,everything is dry here again....did YOU folks get any last night?

Morning All,
  Yes I had .11 in the bucket last night and .49 in the bucket yesterday
I didn't here anything about the skydiver Largo.
Have a great day!!!
John Z-hills

ok john, ok on the sky diver death,guess this was out of town then,,

Only got 0.15 out of the rain yesterday AM. It is misty out this morning, but haven't seen any measurable rain. Looks like we might get some on Friday with the front passing, then cold for the weekend and most of next week. The 10 day forecast for me has highs in the 50's for 5 days in a row starting Saturday, and lows near freezing each of those nights with the coldest night down to 28. Guess I better go chop some more fire wood.

Looks to be mild over the next week for Tampa Bay area.  Another great weekend looks to be coming.

waterdipper wrote:Only got 0.15 out of the rain yesterday AM. It is misty out this morning, but haven't seen any measurable rain. Looks like we might get some on Friday with the front passing, then cold for the weekend and most of next week. The 10 day forecast for me has highs in the 50's for 5 days in a row starting Saturday, and lows near freezing each of those nights with the coldest night down to 28. Guess I better go chop some more fire wood.

yeah WD, the heat goes on once again this weekend and beyond.

sure would be great if this coming front gave us some good rain again JR

dreary misty kind of day here so far..solid overcast too by me.

I'm curious..anyone here have sink hole coverage in insurance?...I don't I don't think..................Bayanews9 report.........................PALM HARBOR --
A woman was evacuated from her Palm Harbor home Tuesday night due to a possible sinkhole.
Cracks in walls forces woman from her Palm Harbor home
Woman heard cracking sounds at 11:30 p.m. Tuesday
Structural engineers examining home today

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
200 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2018

FLZ033-038-125-110000-
St. Johns-Flagler-Coastal Duval-
Including the cities of Ponte Vedra Beach, Durbin, Palm Valley,
Fruit Cove, Switzerland, Anastasia, Bakersville, Palm Coast,
Arlington, Jacksonville, Oceanway, and Tallyrand
200 PM EST Wed Jan 10 2018

...PATCHY DENSE FOG NEAR THE COAST...

Locally dense fog has formed along the Flagler county coast and
visibilities of a quarter of a mile have been reported near
Flagler Beach. Mist and fog has also reported near St Augustine
and Bunnell where visibilities of about 2 miles are occurring this
afternoon. The fog may increase in coverage with additional
reductions in visibilities down to a less than half a mile through
this evening. The fog is likely to continue into late tonight and
early Thursday and expand to the north and west.

The nature of the fog is such that visibilities will vary greatly
over short distances. Motorists should be alert for rapidly
changing conditions tonight.

$$

well sun has cleared out this misty overcast here by me..should warm up nicely here now.

Dense Fog Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
515 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2018

...Dense Fog Advisory in effect until 10 AM EST Today...

.Widespread fog, dense in some areas restricting visibility to a
quarter of a mile or less, has formed and will continue into the
mid-morning hours.

FLZ050-052-056-057-061-151-155-160-162-165-251-255-260-262-265-
111500-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FG.Y.0001.180111T1015Z-180111T1500Z/
Pinellas-Polk-Hardee-Highlands-DeSoto-Coastal Hillsborough-
Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-
Inland Hillsborough-Inland Manatee-Inland Sarasota-
Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-
Including the cities of St. Petersburg, Clearwater, Largo,
Lakeland, Winter Haven, Wauchula, Bowling Green, Zolfo Springs,
Sebring, Avon Park, Placid Lakes, Arcadia, Tampa, Apollo Beach,
Westchase, Bradenton, Anna Maria Island, Venice, Sarasota,
Englewood, Port Charlotte, Punta Gorda, Cape Coral, Captiva,
Sanibel, Brandon, Plant City, Sun City Center, Parrish,
Lakewood Ranch, Myakka City, North Port, Babcock Ranch,
Fort Myers, and Lehigh Acres
515 AM EST Thu Jan 11 2018

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL has
issued a Dense Fog Advisory, which is in effect until 10 AM EST
this morning.

* VISIBILITY...One quarter mile or less.

* IMPACTS...Motorists should drive with extreme caution. Slow
down where visibilities are reduced, use low beam headlights,
and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one quarter mile. If driving...slow down...
use your headlights...and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

Good Thursday Morning folks!...well VERY Foggy outside here,if its like this in Your area..drive extra carefully ok..its really thick...well we await the coming cold front once again..hopefully this 50% chance of rain tomorrow verifies.....well have a great day everyone.

gee its been awhile here to have Fog so thick, its kinda eerie outside lol..would have been great if this was Halloween huh.

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
512 AM EST THU JAN 11 2018

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-111430-
Coastal Volusia-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line Out to 20 NM-Indian River-Inland Volusia-Martin-
Northern Brevard-Northern Lake-Okeechobee-Orange-Osceola-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet Out To 20 NM-Seminole-
Southern Brevard-Southern Lake-St. Lucie-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet Out to 20 NM-
512 AM EST THU JAN 11 2018

.NOW...

...Areas of Fog through Mid Morning with Showers Along the Coast...

Scattered showers over the Atlantic will push onshore through mid
morning...bringing period of light to moderate rain to the Space and
Treasure Coasts. Rainfall generally will be less than a tenth of an
inch with local amounts up to one quarter inch.

Light winds and ample moisture have allowed areas of fog overnight...
especially along and north of the I-4 Corridor. Visibility will be
reduced to a half mile or less times...and below a quarter of a mile
in local spots. Low lying areas and damp ground will be particularly
conducive to the formation of dense fog.


&&

Additional details...including graphics are available online at:
http://www.weather.gov/mlb/blog

$$

local met has 60% chance for rain Friday,now the GFS brings the rain in later Friday,over night into Saturday morning...as I followed the GFS run,seems there will be a series of cold spells thru Jan 19th etc..so up and down we go thru the month I guess temp wise but don't see any serious storms etc..at least on this run..hope everyone got to work safely this morning,its been awhile since ive seen real heavy fog here in my area.

Gome an update for Your area....................Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1147 AM CST Thu Jan 11 2018

.DISCUSSION...See updated information below.

&&

.UPDATE...Current forecast is in overall good shape with isolated
to scattered showers continue mainly across the western half of
the area. Rainfall amounts should remain light this afternoon as
low level warm air advection is driving the precip with the more
significant lift not arriving until later tonight. Advection fog
is beginning to impact immediate coastal areas of the NW FL
Panhandle. Visibilities are expected to remain above a 1/4 mile
through the afternoon, but 1/4 mile visibilities are possible
along coastal AL/NW FL this evening. Will monitor for the
potential of a Dense Fog Advisory for coastal land areas. 34/JFB

&&

ok NWS for tomorrow has my area at 70% chances for rain,along with gusty winds,Fog again and possibly a few thunderstorms..lets see how this plays out over the next few days.

Thick and lasting fog this a.m. Eerie for the morning walks, and the froggy orchestra is at full volume.

Good rains so far for a January, and I'll take these weather dips, as long as they can stay above 40.

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
220 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

FLZ063-066-067-070-071-121000-
Glades-Hendry-Inland Palm Beach-Inland Collier-Inland Broward-
Including the cities of Palmdale, Moore Haven, Clewiston,
LaBelle, Big Cypress Seminole Reservation, Pahokee, South Bay,
Belle Glade, Wellington, Lion Country Safari,
South County Regional Park, Immokalee,
Miccosukee Indian Reservation, and Markham Park
220 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2018

...PATCHY DENSE FOG DEVELOPING OVER THE INTERIOR AREAS...

Patchy fog will continue over to develop over the interior areas
of South Florida early this morning. Visibilities in the fog will
fall down to 1 to 3 miles, but could fall down to less than
quarter of a mile in some isolated locations. Drivers need to slow
down and use low beam headlights while driving in the fog early
this morning.

$$

Baxter

NWS Miami..Fri Jan 12 2018

...A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EAST COAST BEACHES...
...PATCHY DENSE FOG POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING INTERIOR/WEST
COAST...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Thunderstorms: Isolated thunderstorms are possible this afternoon
over South Florida ahead of a cold front. The primary impacts from
the thunderstorms will be lightning strikes and gusty winds.

Wind: The strongest storms this afternoon could produce wind gusts up
to 50 mph.

Rip Currents: There is a Moderate Risk of Rip Currents along the
the Palm Beach county beaches.

Visibility: Patchy dense fog is possible early this morning over
mainly the interior and Gulf Coast region. Visibilities in the fog
could fall down to less than one quarter of a mile.

NWS Tampa..............Fri Jan 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A cold front approaching from the west will bring showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms through the afternoon.
Thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing strong
gusty winds...locally heavy rains...and frequent deadly lightning
strikes.

...DENSE FOG IMPACT...
Visibilities will frequently be reduced to less than one quarter
mile over parts of the Nature coast where a dense fog advisory is
in effect this morning. Patchy fog can be expected elsewhere. If
driving...slow down...use your low beam headlights...and leave
plenty of distance between you and the vehicle in front of you.

Good Friday Morning folks and TGIF!!.......well so far no fog here like yesterday,maybe later on huh..NWS has my area at 70% rain chances..maybe Higher than that up in WD and also maybe Aug's area's..well an interesting couple of days ahead for us..hope no serious winds etc........well have a great day everyone!!

OK folks..the THICK fog like yesterday is now coming in...whew.............................NWS Tampa...Fri Jan 12 2018

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* VISIBILITY...Less than one mile...with areas of visibility
less than one quarter of a mile.

TGIF. Foggy and misty here this AM. Looks like a good chance of at least 0.50" of rainfall coming about mid day today then another batch of cold air behind the front. Looks like this week should be a typical January cold snap in Florida, especially north of I 4. We are forecast to have Temps in the 50's during the days and at or slightly below freezing each night. I for one am glad we are having a normal winter this year since the last couple have been duds. The Winter forecast by NOAA was for warmer than normal and drier than normal conditions for the winter season. However, it has been up and down temp wise which averages out to right at normal, and we have actually received significant rainfall with each frontal passage this winter. That is something we haven't seen in several years, and I hope it keeps up.

good morning WD,yeah, we really have our florida winter this year for sure...the line of rain and storms is moving a bit closer now out in the gulf,might be a bit noisey around noon looks like.

winds here gusting to about 30mph now,storm line getting real close.

Very foggy and it has been raining lightly for about 30 minutes. Looks like a little bit heavier rain is getting ready to move in. These wet fronts have been great this year.

on and off pouring rain here by me now,yes WD this is welcomed rain for sure.

some accidents out there on the roads..drive safe and alert folks.

Hi guys. No fog for me, but rains this afternoon with thunder!

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Hi guys.  No fog for me, but rains this afternoon with thunder!

Cool, BillsFan. .3 of easy rain here, and catchin' a good chill (highs 61) for the weekend.

Good Saturday Morning folks...well not bad this early morning outside..so far by me its 61 and breezy,i see there is a freeze warning from about Gainesville northward..looks like inland area's..well we knew it was coming huh..im seeing in my 7 day forecast..looks like thurs/Friday mornings might be my area's low temps danger..possibly 30's...but still early yet....well have a great day everyone!

well down to 59 here with light sprinkling rain..guess this is how it goes thru today.

NWS Tampa.................. Sat Jan 13 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
A freeze watch is in effect tonight for inland Levy county where
low temperatures are expected to be around 30 degrees. Elsewhere,
overnight temperatures will drop into the upper 30s to lower 40s.
Make sure to dress in layers to protect yourself from the cold.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
High surf will produce rip currents along area beaches today.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
A small craft advisory for hazardous seas is in effect for the
outer waters until 10 PM this evening. A high surf advisory is in
effect until 7 PM this evening along the coast.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
A cold front is expected to push across the area mid week with
much colder temperatures in the wake of the front. Temperatures
will likely drop below freezing Wednesday night over the nature
coast...and possibly across interior areas of west central
Florida.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
Wind speeds may approach advisory levels across the coastal
waters of west central and southwest Florida in the wake of a
cold front on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

Oglesby

rea Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
847 AM EST Sat Jan 13 2018

...MUCH COLDER TODAY...

...FREEZE WARNING PARTS OF INLAND NE FL TONIGHT...

.UPDATE...

About 20 degrees cooler this morning at 8 am compared to 24 hrs
ago at JAX trailing the cold front last night. Some locations
across SE GA including Homerville and Baxley reached freezing
this hour due to strong, but somewhat shallow cold air advection
per the 12Z JAX raob which indicated NW flow just above the
surface, then WSW flow upward from about 920 mb and a steep
inversion. Low clouds were steadily pressing southward over SE GA
early this morning, initialized well by HRRR layered cloud cover
product which advertised sun breaking out generally north of I-10
corridor by noon, with gradual break-up of low stratus across NE
FL through mid-afternoon as the moisture shield gradually settles
south of I-10 corridor. An elevated low level pressure gradient
was over the local area between the cold front settling southward
over central FL and a surface ridge axis extending W-E across
south-central GA. As the cold front settles farther south, this
low level ridge axis will build across the area into the
afternoon, which will gradually relax the gradient and bring
decreasing winds into the afternoon and evening hours. This
morning winds were WNW 10-15 mph with gusts of 20-25 mph, with
expected speeds falling to near 10 mph with gusts up to 20 mph
into the early afternoon. High temperatures were already realized
at many locations before sunrise this morning, with cold air
advection continuing to lower temperatures this hour after
sunrise. Expect enough insolation today for temperatures to
rebound into the mid/upper 40s across SE GA to lower 50s for much
of NE FL.

&&

NWs Miami...Sat Jan 13 2018

...WIND CHILL VALUES AROUND 40 POSSIBLE TONIGHT...
...HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ESPECIALLY OFFSHORE...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR ALL GULF BEACHES...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip Currents: There is a moderate risk of rip currents for all Gulf
Beaches.

Temperatures: Wind chill values are likely to fall into the 40s
across South Florida, with mid to upper 30s over the Collier County
and northwestern areas tonight.

Wind and waves: Gusty northerly winds will likely lead to hazardous
boating conditions today and tonight, mainly Gulf offshore waters.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Wind chill values are likely to fall into the 40s across South
Florida, with 30s over the northwestern areas Sunday night. Wind
chill values in the 40s are possible over northwestern areas Monday
and Tuesday nights, with even lower values across South Florida
expected Wednesday night.

Gusty northerly winds will continue to keep hazardous boating
conditions on Sunday and possibly continuing into Tuesday.

The risk for rip currents on Gulf Beaches may continue through
Sunday, before shifting to the east coast beaches of South Florida
early next week as the winds become northeast and gusty.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

well a cold weekend ahead and comes midweek a stronger cold front comes..I have to protect my plants etc once again.

Nice little rain here yesterday when the line moved through. Dumped .35" out of the gauge this morning. There was a bit of wind with it to begin with, but was very short lived.

Bring on the cold!!!

sangria wrote:Nice little rain here yesterday when the line moved through.  Dumped .35" out of the gauge this morning.  There was a bit of wind with it to begin with, but was very short lived.

Bring on the cold!!!

Hi San..yeah they say mid week the stronger cold front comes..good luck up there.

Aug..hope your doing ok up there..a hard time I know..come back to us when your ready ok..we miss ya here.

KEEPING YOUR PETS SAFE IN COLD WEATHER
Not all pets are suited for living outdoors.
Dogs will NOT be fine if left outside. All pets need shelter from the elements.
Do NOT leave your pets outside for long periods in cold weather.
Like humans, pets can suffer from hypothermia, especially younger and older pets.
If you can’t keep a pet indoors, set up a suitable outdoor house or shelter.
Use blankets to help pets keep in body heat.
Hypothermia
Dogs are at serious risk if their temperature drops below 96°.
Small and short-haired pets should wear sweaters in cold weather.
If your pet starts shivering, bring them indoors immediately.
Fresh water is a must at all times.
A heated dish is a wonderful tool for cold climates.
If your pet sleeps in the garage, be careful of where you store antifreeze.
Before starting your car, check for pets near the warm engine.
Never start your car in a closed garage. Carbon monoxide can kill you and your pet.

NWS Tampa.......Sun Jan 14 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
Freezing may drop to around freezing tonight across the northern
nature coast. Make sure to dress in layers to protect yourself
from the cold.