Late January through February outlook

My sister-in-law informed us that their electric company, in N.MN notified all of their customers to turn the thermostats to 60 degrees, indicating that they were "out of power".

JRnOldsmar wrote:My sister-in-law informed us that their electric company, in N.MN notified all of their customers to turn the thermostats to 60 degrees, indicating that they were "out of power".

Thats brutal.  Must take a lot of energy to keep a house at 60+ degrees when its below zero outside

I believe it JR.  Heard a few reports of folks in the north central states having their power companies requesting the thermostats be dialed down quite a bit.  I believe their homes are much better insulated.  While in IA last January with lows in the single digits and sub-zero wind chills mom had her thermo set at 70.  It was comfy enough to wear shorts and a t-shirt.  When my house is 70 in FL I'm freezing my a** off and bundled up. Her house was built in the 60's or 70's.

Not sure if there was frost here this morning Largo. Temps on the drive to work were 36-37. Grass was damp from condensation and not crispy when taking the pooch out at 5:30. It was too dark to see if the rooftops had frost on them. Temps could've dropped a few degrees for a short period afterwards but I was long gone by then.

JRnOldsmar wrote:My sister-in-law informed us that their electric company, in N.MN notified all of their customers to turn the thermostats to 60 degrees, indicating that they were "out of power".

oh wow but i guess is your in -40 degrees..60 degree's would be really warm huh

StAugustineFL wrote:Not sure if there was frost here this morning Largo.  Temps on the drive to work were 36-37.  Grass was damp from condensation and not crispy when taking the pooch out at 5:30.  It was too dark to see if the rooftops had frost on them.  Temps could've dropped a few degrees for a short period afterwards but I was long gone by then.

ok i didnt see any frost either yesterday, guess conditions were not good for it to form

good Friday morning Folks!! 55 degree's here by me as i walked my dogs..our Temps change has happened alright!!!!! get this freezing weather OUT of here LOL.....well its Friday and February has arrived and our Nice weather has come back...enjoy...have a wonderful day everyone!!

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
156 AM EST Fri Feb 1 2019

.NEAR TERM /Through Tonight/...

Surface high pressure will be centered to the north/northeast of the
region this period. This pattern will continue the onshore flow. An
inverted trough is expected to develop along the coast today.
Increasing moisture and lift associated with this trough will
result in shower chances through tonight.

Despite the warm advection today, the cloud cover is expected to
hold temperatures a little below seasonal highs. The opposite will
be expected tonight, with the cloud cover helping to keep
temperatures from falling as much, yielding lows above seasonal
averages.

.SHORT TERM /Saturday through Sunday Night/...

Saturday...Models still in agreement with pushing shortwave out of
the GOMEX and across the region with scattered showers and
possibly a thunderstorm across NE FL, then precip chances
decreasing Sat Night as the energy aloft lifts east of the region.
Slow increase in temps continue with Max Temps in the 60s/lower
70s and Min Temps Sat Night in the 50s. Some patchy fog will be
possible late Sat Night towards sunrise if some clearing occurs.

Sunday...Models start to differ on the next shortwave to move
across the Northern GOMEX and across the region Sunday and exiting
to the east by Sunday Night. So any shower chances will be lower
and generally only in the 20-40% range. Expect temps to be
slightly milder in the middle 60s to middle 70s. Rain chances end
by Sunday Night with partial clearing and areas of fog towards
morning with lows in the upper 40s/lower 50s.

How is the new Job Billsfan?

Looks like rain headed our way

Good Saturday Morning Folks!!..nice outside as i walked the dogs this morning ..its about 64 degree's and on radar it seems the rains have moved up into northern Florida as i write this..well enjoy the weekend everyone have a great day

NWS for Saint Augustine........................TodayShowers likely, mainly before 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 65. Northeast wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
TonightA 20 percent chance of showers before 5am. Cloudy, with a low around 56. Northwest wind around 6 mph.
SundayA slight chance of showers between 7am and 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. North wind 7 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday NightMostly cloudy, with a low around 51. North wind 6 to 8 mph.

Morning. Had .13 at the house yesterday. Rain today is fizzling. Looks like a cloudy/mild weekend locally.

StAugustineFL wrote:Morning.  Had .13 at the house yesterday.  Rain today is fizzling.  Looks like a cloudy/mild weekend locally.

ok Aug..enjoy the warmer temps up there.

whew,just finished raking all the leaves etc from my lawn and surrounding area's..4 full to the top trash cans full..whew its HUMID here also and warm..no more cold temps...

Terrible headline news from this state..........62-year-old man found 'frozen solid' in Wisconsin backyard.......gee

check on your relatives often

Good Sunday Morning Folks!!...most of us in Florida have FOG warnings..if driving in it..be cautious and safe ok...well looks like another warm but Nice day once the fog burns off...enjoy have a great day everyone!!

gee the fog sure is thick in some area's around me here ..headlights on for sure here.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin FL
856 AM EST Sun Feb 3 2019

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY EXTENDED UNTIL 10AM ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...

.Dense fog is lingering across the area early this morning. Some
locations are showing some signs of improvement, but there are
still several locations at a quarter of a mile. The dense fog
advisory will therefore continue for an additional hour.

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-031500-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FG.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-190203T1500Z/
Sumter-Pinellas-Polk-Hardee-Highlands-DeSoto-Coastal Levy-
Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Pasco-
Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-
Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Citrus-
Inland Hernando-Inland Pasco-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Manatee-
Inland Sarasota-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-
Including the cities of Wildwood, Lake Panasoffkee, Bushnell,
The Villages, St. Petersburg, Clearwater, Largo, Lakeland,
Winter Haven, Wauchula, Bowling Green, Zolfo Springs, Sebring,
Avon Park, Placid Lakes, Arcadia, Cedar Key, Yankeetown,
Crystal River, Homosassa, Hernando Beach, Bayport, Port Richey,
Hudson, Tampa, Apollo Beach, Westchase, Bradenton,
Anna Maria Island, Venice, Sarasota, Englewood, Port Charlotte,
Punta Gorda, Cape Coral, Captiva, Sanibel, Chiefland, Bronson,
Williston, Inverness, Brooksville, Spring Hill, Dade City,
Zephyrhills, Brandon, Plant City, Sun City Center, Parrish,
Lakewood Ranch, Myakka City, North Port, Babcock Ranch,
Fort Myers, and Lehigh Acres
856 AM EST Sun Feb 3 2019

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* VISIBILITY...One quarter mile or less.

* IMPACTS...Limited visibility will make for dangerous travel
conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one quarter mile. If driving...slow down...
use your headlights...and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.

&&

$$

Good morning. Not much in the way of fog issues here. Visibility must be at least 1/2 mile or more.

Completed my taxes yesterday with an outcome better than I thought.

Anyone watching the SuperBowl later today? I'm not really into it this year. Bring on March Madness!

well just after 2-pm and its 69 and solid overcast here by me..a real peaceful Sunday for sure.

Hi everyone.
Largo- new job starts tomorrow.
I guess I’m officially getting old. I just can’t handle deep fried foods any more. Still taste good, but just don’t agree with me. I cut them out entirely a few months ago and felt much better, but stupidly have tried some recently and uggh. My hubby loves it all and I’ll still make it for him, but no more for me.

Piched up another random inch plus of rain yesterday morning and this morning.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Hi everyone.  
Largo- new job starts tomorrow.  
I guess I’m officially getting old.   I just can’t handle deep fried foods any more.  Still taste good, but just don’t agree with me.  I cut them out entirely a few months ago and felt much better, but stupidly have tried some recently and uggh.  My hubby loves it all and I’ll still make it for him, but no more for me.  

ok good luck today Billsfan!!!

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
314 AM EST Mon Feb 4 2019

.SHORT TERM (Today - Tuesday)...
An upper level shortwave and associated surface low off the
Carolina coast will lift northeast and away from Florida
today and Tuesday, allowing broad surface high pressure to
build into the Florida Peninsula. This pattern will favor
unseasonably warm and humid conditions to continue, with
temperatures running several degrees above normal.

The main weather concern will be the ongoing fog. The sea
fog that developed over the eastern Gulf of Mexico
Saturday lingered through the day on Sunday, and is
currently redeveloping during the overnight hours and could
continue to move onshore throughout the morning. Short range
models are predicting that this sea fog should largely
dissipate by the afternoon, but pockets could still linger
through the day. Farther inland, patchy ground fog
developing early this morning is expected to continue to
expand and thicken through after sunrise, although some
relatively drier air moving into the Nature Coast should
limit fog there somewhat. Both sea fog and ground fog will
develop once again late this evening and into Tuesday
morning, but confidence is not as high in a dense widespread
fog event.

Good Monday Morning Folks!!..looks to be a nice day ahead..they are mentioning Fog may develop once again, just walked my dogs..a cool 63 outside but no fog so far here by me..well have a great day everyone!!!

its around 6:30am and the sea fog HAS rolled in here..whew glad i dont have to drive this morning..be safe out there.

StAugustineFL wrote:Anyone watching the SuperBowl later today?  I'm not really into it this year.  Bring on March Madness!

Wasn't much of a game, a lot of punts. At least the refs didn't blow any calls!

Amazing that places up north had a 50 degree swing in high temps between Saturday and Sunday.

Wow. I think the sun poked through, maybe twice, yesterday. The fog lasted well into the afternoon. Caught a few timely sprinkles on Saturday for .1".

I skipped the superbowl entirely. I've steadily lost interest in the NFL over the years, and have zero interest in the teams that played. I probably would have watched the (more deserving) Saints and/or Chiefs.

Wondering if anyone sees a possibility of a freeze this far south in the near future. Given the current forecast, I'm ready to stick a fork in winter this year. So far no freezes here, only a couple of frosts.

Primarily been cloudy/foggy here as well the past few days which kept the temps cooler than forecast. Finally some late afternoon sun today.

Looks like a freeze-less winter JR. Still some time but the hourglass is running out of sand. Usually mid-March is when the "all clear" sounds up in this part of the state. Plus the all-knowing groundhog says spring has sprung!

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
444 AM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165-
239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870-
873-876-052000-
Sumter-Pinellas-Polk-Hardee-Highlands-DeSoto-Coastal Levy-
Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Pasco-
Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-
Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Lee-Inland Levy-Inland Citrus-
Inland Hernando-Inland Pasco-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Manatee-
Inland Sarasota-Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-Tampa Bay waters-
Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-
Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
444 AM EST Tue Feb 5 2019

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...DENSE FOG/SMOKE IMPACT...
Areas of dense fog will impact the land and marine areas
through mid to late morning. Visibilities will be frequently
reduced to less than one quarter mile over the land area. If
driving...slow down...use your low beam headlights...and leave
plenty of distance between you and the vehicle in front of you.
Mariners operating on the adjacent Gulf waters should also use
extreme caution as areas of sea fog will restrict visibilities to
a mile or less through late morning. Fishermen and other small
craft operators may want to postpone trips into the Gulf until
conditions improve later today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

McMichael

Good Tuesday Morning folks!!...very foggy and kinda cool here..about 57 degree's as i walked my dogs..but looks like about 75-77 later today IF the sun breaks thru lol...i think your right st Pete.....winter is almost over for us, does not look like any chances for a freeze here anymore..well have a great day and i Hope Billsfan's job is working out ok for her...have a wonderful day everyone!

Morning All,
It was very foggy in my area this am. As I got to Tampa not so bad.
I as JR skipped the super bowl. I don't really watch Pro ball anymore. To many rules. I say let them play like they did 30-40 yrs ago. College football now that's where its at!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Have a great day and enjoy the warmer weather.
John Z-hills

Oh, that's right, Aug. Phil has spoken. An early spring has arrived.

severstorm wrote:Morning All,
It was very foggy in my area this am. As I got to Tampa not so bad.
I as JR skipped the super bowl. I don't really watch Pro ball anymore. To many rules. I say let them play like they did 30-40 yrs ago. College football now that's where its at!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Have a great day and enjoy the warmer weather.
John Z-hills

Good morning John. I skipped watching it a;so

JRnOldsmar wrote:Oh, that's right, Aug.  Phil has spoken.  An early spring has arrived.

well we DID have a week or two of winter..we really did lol

well just about 2pm and sun's full out here and temp is at 72 degree's..perfect for raking all these leaves LOL..2 HUGE bags done already..tomorrow is another day huh..well hope you all are ok and with this nice weather enjoying things..

well the GFS Models run today says around the 13th and 14th of Feb might be some front and storms...

too far out in time to believe but................................................................................................................

well for myself, ive found the closer we get to March then inside March..the storms tend to get stronger, we'll see what happens this spring around here..i sure hope no bad weather..its sure nice now today huh

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
300 AM EST Wed Feb 6 2019

.SHORT TERM (Today - Thursday)...
Aloft - A trough from the Canadian Prairies to the Four Corners
region this morning lifts northeast to the upper Midwest as
ridging centered over the western Gulf of Mexico shifts to above
FL. Surface - High pressure in southeast GA/northeast FL tracks
northeastward out across the Atlantic while ridging back over FL
and much of the Gulf of Mexico.

The upper level ridge results in a stable warm and generally dry air
mass while the surface ridge provides modest low level winds. These
will be easterly today and southeasterly Thu although an onshore
shift is expected near the coast each afternoon. While moisture
is limited there will be enough for patchy fog early this morning
and again later tonight into Thu. Temperatures run above normal by
4 to 8 degrees.