CLOSED 8-13-17 FLORIDA/ALABAMA WEATHER

NWS Miami..2pm...... large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the
Bahamas is associated with a trough of low pressure. Any
development of this system during the next few days should be slow
to occur while it moves northwestward or northward near Florida and
the adjacent waters. Environmental conditions could become a little
more conducive for tropical or subtropical development by the
weekend when the system begins to move northeastward over the
western Atlantic. Regardless of development, very heavy rain and
flooding is possible over portions of the Florida peninsula during
the next few days. Please refer to products from your local
National Weather Service office for more information on this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

JR from baynews9...................A tropical wave is east of Florida, over the Bahamas. It will slowly drift west into our state resulting in a big increase in atmospheric moisture.
Rain chances will increase to 50 percent to 60 percent for the middle to the end of the week.

LargoFL wrote:JR from baynews9...................A tropical wave is east of Florida, over the Bahamas. It will slowly drift west into our state resulting in a big increase in atmospheric moisture.
Rain chances will increase to 50 percent to 60 percent for the middle to the end of the week.

Good afternoon.  I find this somewhat interesting (the moving into FL part) since it contradicts the latest NHC discussion keeping 92L east or near the east coast of FL as it moves NW or N.  I will side with the NHC since this is their livelihood. Hope people get the rains and nothing else.

My more immediate interest will be following ex Harvey the next couple of days.

WPC forecast map sucks for us.... south Florida is a different story. As it stands now, we will probably have dry air filter in unless the track changes more significantly to the west with whatever 92L is.

Fairly mundane forecast for me over the next week. The only thing worth mentioning is the HI for the next couple of days.

Look at the positive san - it's late August and the comfy days of opening up the slider to let in some fresh, low humidity air with cool temps are only weeks away.

Aug. Weeks? Maybe for you in Northern Florida. I'm still thinking in months terms.

Our local weather guy said basically who knows what to expect, he said we could get spotty rain, torrential downpours, flooding, showers, it could stay offshore. He did say it was trapped down here though.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Aug.  Weeks?  Maybe for you in Northern Florida.   I'm still thinking in months terms.  

LOL, sorry bills. Yeah, probably 2 months for you.

And it's absolutely just sticky here. Our local weather guy was cautioning we may get 3 inches by Saturday. Whew lol. I'm nolt mocking. Somebody may get a ton who knows ?

Billsfan, this early Wednesday they Raised the possible rainfall amounts..stay safe ok...........

whew 6 inches plus of rain can sure cause some flooding concerns,what troubles me is..this is an estimate and should this storm keep moving slowly over florida..it could be more huh

whoa..we don't want 92 in the hot gulf waters this long oh oh..watch this one closely..

Good early Wednesday Morning folks...local met is telling us here to expect rain chances to go up today and continuing thru Saturday,with sometimes heavy rain,well for myself I welcome that,its so dry here now...........well folks south of I-4 if flooding is a concern,now would be time to prepare for it,im still not seeing and warnings of high winds,but that could change huh..this 92L is sure confusing the experts..they really don't have any idea what its going to do..models are changing constantly...............so I'm setting the Blogs COFFEE to perk for when you get here...next few days we may need a few more pots of it lol....well have a great day everyone...stay alert out there for any changes ok.

yeah this site also has it in the gulf...we still have time to watch this........................

NWS Miami......411 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE...
...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS STARTING TODAY...


This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Flooding:
Periods of heavy rain are likely. Some locations may experience 2 to
4 inches of rain with locally heavier amounts. This may be sufficient
to cause local flooding problems. There is a reasonable threat of
flooding of streets and poor drainage areas.

Thunderstorms:
Scattered to numerous afternoon and evening thunderstorms will
develop across much of South Florida. The primary threats from
thunderstorms will be lightning strikes, heavy rain and brief gusty
winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

The periods of rain and thunderstorms are expected to continue
through the weekend. Some locations may experience to 2 to 4 inches
of rain with locally heavier amounts. This may be sufficient to cause
local flooding problems. There is a reasonable threat of flooding of
streets and poor drainage areas. All residents and visitors are
urged to continue monitoring this threat over the next few days.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, however individual
spotters are encouraged to report high wind and flooding to the
National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

REYNES

NWS Tampa.........Wed Aug 23 2017

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Deeper moisture will overspread much of the area today leading to
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms with the best
chances south of the Interstate 4 corridor. Thunderstorms that
develop will be capable of producing strong gusty winds, locally
heavy rainfall, and frequent deadly lightning strikes.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A tropical wave and its associated deep moisture will linger over
the Florida peninsula Thursday through Saturday with scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms each day. Early next week some
drier air could return lowering rain chances slightly, but
scattered thunderstorms are still expected each afternoon and
evening. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing strong gusty
winds, locally heavy rainfall, and frequent deadly lightning
strikes.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

PRC

ok enough from me lol...folks get ready for heavy rains and possible winds ok thru the rest of this week,local met is saying the storms movement will be real slow over us,meandering around Florida and the gulf......BBL ok

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Aug.  Weeks?  Maybe for you in Northern Florida.   I'm still thinking in months terms.  

Same here, Aug.    I hope we get out first front through by mid-Sept. I also hope that you get your first for Labor Day weekend. I'll be back in Jax then.

JR and San...CMC is saying around the 26th-27th..might be a good wind event around us here....

well it IS coming to the peak of the tropical season huh..every Low now we have to watch closely.

Good morning. Sun still shining here. But, I listen to a Palm Beach radio station and it is pouring up there they say.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:Good morning.  Sun still shining here.  But, I listen to a Palm Beach radio station and it is pouring up there they say.  

good morning Billsfan,yes keep us informed as best you can ok..and NWS Melbourne is saying the Wave will come ashore sometime today or close to coming ashore...stay alert and safe ok.

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
632 AM EDT WED AUG 23 2017

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-231330-
Coastal Volusia-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line Out to 20 NM-Indian River-Inland Volusia-Martin-
Northern Brevard-Northern Lake-Okeechobee-Orange-Osceola-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet Out To 20 NM-Seminole-
Southern Brevard-Southern Lake-St. Lucie-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet Out to 20 NM-
632 AM EDT WED AUG 23 2017

.NOW...

...Increasing Clouds through Mid morning with Isolated Coastal
Showers...

A tropical wave will push onshore east central Florida today with
deep moisture following in its wake. Isolated marine showers
associated with the wave will push onshore the Space and Treasure
Coasts through mid morning and produce brief periods of light to
moderate rain.

Temperatures will warm into the low to mid 80s with east to
northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.


&&

Additional details...including graphics are available online at:
http://www.weather.gov/mlb/blog

$$

most models show a ton of rain in Florida tomorrow (Thursday)...lets see how this plays out, this wave is still fooling the experts..glad I cleaned out the gutters yesterday..still watching out for any wind..didn't take in everything that could blow around with any serious wind gusts yet.

anyone over on the east coast..when this wave comes ashore over there..if you get any serious winds..please let us know ok..thanks.

ok I have to take one of my dogs to the vet..she hurt her leg running after this rabbit gee..hope its just a sprain...BBL

LargoFL wrote:ok I have to take one of my dogs to the vet..she hurt her leg running after this rabbit gee..hope its just a sprain...BBL

Good luck Largo. Hope she's ok.

BillsfaninSoFla wrote:

LargoFL wrote:ok I have to take one of my dogs to the vet..she hurt her leg running after this rabbit gee..hope its just a sprain...BBL

Good luck Largo.  Hope she's ok.

yes she's ok, something about ligaments getting pinched by the bone..im so glad no fractues etc..thanks billsfan

it looks like on radar your storms are starting down there Billsfan...................

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Miami FL
1017 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-
676-231630-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach-Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-
Inland Broward-Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade-
Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-
Dade-Far South Miami-Dade-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Including the cities of Palmdale, Moore Haven, Clewiston,
LaBelle, Big Cypress Seminole Reservation, Pahokee, South Bay,
Belle Glade, Wellington, Lion Country Safari,
South County Regional Park, Palm Springs, Florida Gardens,
Aberdeen, Boca West, Naples, Immokalee,
Miccosukee Indian Reservation, Markham Park, Coconut Creek,
Coral Springs, Tamarac, Sunrise, Plantation, Davie, Cooper City,
Hollywood, Pembroke Pines, Miramar, Homestead, Florida City,
Redland, Miccosukee Resort, Kendale Lakes, West Kendall,
Country Walk, Shark Valley, Miami, Miami Gardens, Miami Lakes,
Hialeah, Doral, South Miami, Kendall, Cutler Ridge, Flamingo,
Jupiter, West Palm Beach, Boca Raton, Pompano Beach,
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Beach, Hollywood Beach,
Aventura, Miami Beach, Miami Shores, Downtown Miami, Cutler Bay,
Homestead Bayfront Park, and Everglades National Park
1017 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

.NOW...
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue to
develop during the late morning and afternoon hours. The strongest
storms could contain heavy downpours, gusty winds, and frequent
cloud to ground lightning. Locally heavy downpours could cause
some flooding in the low lying and poor drainage areas.

$$

well I wonder if...Tampa bay area gets the rains from 2 systems this week????........................................The remnants of Harvey are close to redeveloping into a tropical depression over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico about 150 miles west of Merida, Mexico. Advisories will likely be re-initiated at 11 a.m. on this system.
Harvey likely to redevelop into tropical depression
Watches could be issued for parts of Mexico, Texas, Louisiana
System likely to produce heavy rain for Tampa area

gee looks like we in Florida are stuck between two rain makers....................

notice the storms in 92 are building up now..watch this one closely its just about to get into the warm gulf stream waters that flow around the state.

NWS Jacksonville................925 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES TODAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northeast Florida,
Southeast Georgia and the Adjacent Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Rest of Today and Tonight...

There is a moderate risk of rip currents at area beaches.

Scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon across
southeast Georgia and northeast Florida. Heavy rain and frequent
lightning strikes will be the primary hazards, though a few
stronger storms could produce brief gusty winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday...

Storms are expected to be more numerous Thursday through Saturday.
Heavy rainfall is the main weather hazard late this week, with a few
stronger thunderstorms possible each day containing gusty winds and
frequent lightning strikes.

Onshore winds and seas will increase on Saturday, with winds and
seas increasing and resulting in Small Craft Advisory conditions
by Sunday. An elevated rip current risk is expected this weekend
at area beaches.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

For additional information, visit the National Weather Service in
Jacksonville website on the internet at weather.gov/jax.

$$

ok BBL..stay alert folks ok.

NWS Melbourne.......Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
224 PM EDT WED AUG 23 2017

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-232100-
Coastal Volusia-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line Out to 20 NM-Indian River-Inland Volusia-Martin-
Northern Brevard-Northern Lake-Okeechobee-Orange-Osceola-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet Out To 20 NM-Seminole-
Southern Brevard-Southern Lake-St. Lucie-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20 NM to 60 NM Offshore-
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet Out to 20 NM-
224 PM EDT WED AUG 23 2017

.NOW...

Showers and a few storms will move toward the northwest around 10
mph through the late afternoon hours. Areas most likely to have a
shower or storm move through include locations near the Treasure
Coast...also the western interior sections...including Okeechobee...
western sections of Osceola and Orange counties and Lake county.

As showers and storms continue to move over the Treasure Coast
counties from the Atlantic...a few areas may have localized
flooding...especially in poorly drained areas where rain has been
the most persistent today.

&&

Additional details...including graphics are available online at:
http://www.weather.gov/mlb/blog

$$

52

Billsfan 70% thru overnight and 80% tomorrow...good luck down there ok...............

showers almost reaching up here this afternoon....who knows maybe overnight they will...

remember folks..its just beginning huh..its going on well into the weekend..sure looks like thur-fri-sat are the real heavy days..so far anyway....wish some of this heavier rain would reach me up here, man its so hot and humid here whew.

LargoFL wrote:well I wonder if...Tampa bay area gets the rains from 2 systems this week????........................................The remnants of Harvey are close to redeveloping into a tropical depression over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico about 150 miles west of Merida, Mexico. Advisories will likely be re-initiated at 11 a.m. on this system.
Harvey likely to redevelop into tropical depression
Watches could be issued for parts of Mexico, Texas, Louisiana
System likely to produce heavy rain for Tampa area

Glad your dog is ok Largo. I have a hyper dog that turns an ankle from time to time. I'll monitor for a day or so to see if it's vet worthy. It hasn't been yet as after a night of rest she has recovered well. Soon to be 9 year old pooch.

No threat to Tampa from TD Harvey. It's 800 miles away drifting in some sort of westerly direction. Northern MX to LA on the other hand........

Rains may return here tomorrow. We shall see.

StAugustineFL wrote:

LargoFL wrote:well I wonder if...Tampa bay area gets the rains from 2 systems this week????........................................The remnants of Harvey are close to redeveloping into a tropical depression over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico about 150 miles west of Merida, Mexico. Advisories will likely be re-initiated at 11 a.m. on this system.
Harvey likely to redevelop into tropical depression
Watches could be issued for parts of Mexico, Texas, Louisiana
System likely to produce heavy rain for Tampa area

Glad your dog is ok Largo.  I have a hyper dog that turns an ankle from time to time.  I'll monitor for a day or so to see if it's vet worthy. It hasn't been yet as after a night of rest she has recovered well.  Soon to be 9 year old pooch.

No threat to Tampa from TD Harvey.  It's 800 miles away drifting in some sort of westerly direction.  Northern MX to LA on the other hand........

Rains may return here tomorrow.  We shall see.  

thanks AUG yeah that's what she did,turned real fast then walked to me on 3 legs gee...well vet said no fractures or breaks,so I guess she'll just have to rest and heal those ligaments or whatever it is......yeah I sure hope some of 92's rain gets here whew its hot and dry...........oh...CMC model builds up something from the tail end of this weak trough that will be in the gulf around the 26th or so..it comes into tampa bay area then up to your area and then up the east coast...its not..the actual 92 but something that build up a few days later......i'll keep a watch on it thru the week..i guess that is what some models were saying about a wind event around here on the 26-27th.

wow all the way thru Saturday maybe longer ,going to be flooding in places for sure.....

well guess i'll say good night folks..suns full out here and not a drop of rain so far,but tomorrow NWS is saying a 70% chance.....we'll see what happens...stay safe out there ok

StAugustineFL wrote:Look at the positive san - it's late August and the comfy days of opening up the slider to let in some fresh, low humidity air with cool temps are only weeks away.

you are living in a fantasy world if you think "weeks" before we have cooler temps!