CLOSED Last Hurrah for March?

Nothing here. Saw a nice looking storm way west of me, but it is moving south, not east.

The line fell apart just as it hit the coast here yesterday..... of course.

Maybe this weekend we'll get a sprinkle or two.

SPC has a slight or marginal risk of severe thunderstorms for the panhandle and northern peninsula Sunday Saturday.  Straight line winds are the main hazard.  For any bettors, I submit a 1.01 betting line as to the number of screen panels that may get blown off my enclosure.

Good Friday Morning folks and TGIF!!!...well no rain once again by my area..local met thinks some chance of a sprinkle saturday or so..we really need our rainy season to kick in huh!!..well blogs coffee is set t o perk for when you get here..enjoy..have a wonderful day everyone!

WD...stay alert and safe this weekend ok..hopefully just rain for us......................................NWS Tampa...Fri Apr 6 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
Some critically low humidity values below 35 percent can be
expected across interior sections of west central and southwest
Florida today during the afternoon. The low humidity values
combined with temperatures climbing into the mid and upper 80s
will contribute to extreme fire behavior. Outdoor burning is
not recommended.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A cold front will approach from the northwest on Saturday. This
cold front will bring increasing chances for showers and
thunderstorms to the Nature Coast during the day, and across
the remainder of the region Saturday afternoon through Sunday
as the front sinks south into the region. At the present time
some of the storms could become severe across Levy and Citrus
counties on Saturday where a marginal risk of severe storms has
been posted with damaging winds and possibly a tornado or two the
main hazards. Across the remainder of west central and southwest
Florida chances for showers and isolated storms will increase
during Saturday afternoon as well with a period of unsettled
weather continuing on Sunday and into early next week as a series
of upper level disturbances and another cold front affect the
region. Storms that develop will be capable of producing strong
gusty winds, frequent lightning strikes, and locally heavy rains.
Remember if lightning is observed, or thunder is heard move
indoors immediately.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today.

$$

McMichael

so it seems panhandle and northern florida.both sides have a good chance for some good rain and yeah possible storms,but we all may get some much needed rain from this thru wednesday they think...just stay alert forks for anything severe..dont like the mention of a possible tornado or 2 for northern florida thru this

.

well it looks like everyone is out working today..when you come online please read the last few posts..might be some bad weather coming this weekend on..stay alert and safe folks ok.especially you folks north of I-4 ok.

LargoFL wrote:well it looks like everyone is out working today..when you come online please read the last few posts..might be some bad weather coming this weekend on..stay alert and safe folks ok.especially you folks north of I-4 ok.

Hi Largo and all,
Yes I did hear that north of I4 could get a good storm or two.
We shall see, any rain is welcome.
Have a great weekend all
John Z-hills

severstorm wrote:

LargoFL wrote:well it looks like everyone is out working today..when you come online please read the last few posts..might be some bad weather coming this weekend on..stay alert and safe folks ok.especially you folks north of I-4 ok.

Hi Largo and all,
 Yes I did hear that north of I4 could get a good storm or two.
We shall see, any rain is welcome.
Have a great weekend all
John Z-hills

yes sure could use some good rain here for sure john,,have a great weekend also

NWS Melbourne..
The front is forecast to stall across south central Florida
Sunday then lift north as a warm front Monday, before pushing more
cleanly through the area by mid week. This will keep our weather
unsettled with a chance for beneficial rains early next week along
with lightning storms. While severe weather is not expected at
this time, gusty downburst winds and dangerous cloud to ground
lightning will be the primary threats.

Good afternoon. Glad the work week is done.

Looking forward to the on/off rain chances through Tuesday. Up this way April is one of the driest months of the year so rain is welcomed.

Pleasant afternoon here with temps in the low 80's. I think I'll light the BBQ in an hour or two.

StAugustineFL wrote:Pleasant afternoon here with temps in the low 80's.  I think I'll light the BBQ in an hour or two.  

great maybe the downstate wind will blow some of that delicious smelling smoke down here Aug lol

its nice to see 5 day rain chances here..hope i get more than a light sprinkle lol

well enjoy the evening folks..tomorrow's another day thatjust may get interesting for some parts of the state huh..good night all

Busy day for me today, don't people know it's Friday??? lol

Got to 88-89, but still not humid, so, while very warm, tolerable. Wishing that nice rain makes it down here.

Billsfan good luck this weekend....................azardous Weather Outlook for South Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
411 AM EDT Sat Apr 7 2018

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
072015-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach-Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-
Inland Broward-Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade-
Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-
Dade-Far South Miami-Dade-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
411 AM EDT Sat Apr 7 2018

...THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE MAINLY PALM BEACH COUNTY IN THE AFTERNOON...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: There is a moderate risk of rip currents for the
Atlantic Beaches today.

Thunderstorms: Thunderstorms will be possible later this afternoon,
mainly in Palm Beach County, and the north coastal area of Broward
County. They may also be possible in the western Lake region.
Lightning and strong, gusty wind will be the primary threats.

Wind: Strong thunderstorm wind gusts of up to 50 mph will be possible
with the strongest thunderstorms. the main area of concern is the
western Lake region, Palm Beach County, and northern Broward County.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

There will be an elevated threat for rip currents at the Atlantic
Beaches Sunday, and again on Tuesday and Wednesday.

There will be a slight chance for thunderstorms periodically from
Sunday through Wednesday. Brief periods of heavy rain and lightning
are the primary threats.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Widespread spotter activation is not anticipated, however individual
spotters are encouraged to report high wind, hail and flooding to
the National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in
Miami website at www.weather.gov/miami.

$$

Good Early Saturday Morning folks!....hopefully I can get a shower or two of rain today...well Blogs Coffee is perking for when you get here enjoy..have a nice day folks!

NWS Tampa...................Sat Apr 7 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A cold front will approach from the northwest today. Increasing
moisture and instability within the warm sector ahead of the front
will lead to increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms over
the region during the day, with some of the storms possibly
becoming severe with damaging winds and hail. In addition some
locally heavy rain and frequent lightning will accompany the
storms. At the present time the best chances for severe storms
will be during the afternoon and early evening hours. Chances for
showers will continue across the region tonight as the front
settles into the area, with the risk of severe storms coming to
an end. Remember if lightning is observed or thunder is heard move
indoors immediately.

well Good Luck up there today AUG..hope you get some good rainfall with out anything severe,not good with a strong cold front..banging into these high 70's and 80's huh.

ok ok..i'll Make the second pot of coffee for Ya lol...stay alert folks..just in case,hopefully just some rain..which we need huh.

well im finally in the 50% rain chances..lets see how this plays out thru the day..its been so long since ive had good rain..i'd better climb up on the roof and clean out the gutters if needed

Good morning. The HRRR (which I like to follow) isn't really bullish on much of anything through 11pm tonight for folks south of the FL/GA border for peninsular FL. It lights up gomey in south Alabama along with the western panhandle with about 1.5 - 3" It generally has some isolated pockets of .1 - .3" from around Sarasota northward.

Morning Largo and Aug....

I'm with Aug on the HRRR - it can have some hiccups, but it is generally fairly good. I'm planning on outside work today since I have my doubts about any precip in my area.

Morning san. Now the 10z run has heavier precip a tad further south from about my location up through Jax but still not much further south. We shall see!

NWS Melbourne...Sat Apr 7 2018

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
Moisture and deep layer southwest flow will increase ahead of a
cold front. Above normal temperatures in the low levels will
combine with cold air aloft to produce instability and generate
scattered showers and isolated storms this afternoon into early
evening. A few strong storms are possible containing frequent
lightning strikes, downburst winds up to 50 mph and hail. An
isolated severe storm containing damaging winds near 60 mph will
be possible over Lake, Volusia, Seminole, Orange and north Brevard
counties. The time period of greatest threat will be from 3 to 7
pm. Storm motion will be toward the east northeast at 30 to 35
mph.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A Moderate Risk of rip currents will exist at the beaches of east
central Florida. Always swim within sight of a lifeguard.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
Fast moving showers and isolated storms will push toward the east
northeast at 30 to 35 mph and across portions of the intracoastal
and nearshore Atlantic waters this afternoon and early evening. A
few storms will be capable of producing wind gusts of 35 to 45
knots and frequent lightning strikes.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
Small craft should exercise caution over the Gulf Stream and
offshore Atlantic waters for south to southwest winds 15 to 20
knots today, becoming west at the same speeds tonight.

.FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
Continued dry vegetation and gusty southwest winds will contribute
to a High Fire Danger across portions of east central Florida. Any
new or existing fires will spread rapidly.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
A cold front is forecast to stall across south central Florida
Sunday then lift north as a warm front Monday, before finally
settling south of the area Wednesday. This will keep our weather
unsettled with a chance for beneficial rains early next week along
with lightning storms. While severe weather is not expected at
this time, gusty downburst winds and dangerous cloud to ground
lightning will be the primary threats.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters are requested to monitor the weather and self activate
if needed.

$$

Kelly

well sun is breaking thru the overcast here now,lets see how warm it gets today..ammo for the front thats going to stall out somewhere close by once it gets down here

so just finished cleaning out the gutters..glad i went up there, i had thought the falling leaves had stopped..guess that was the last of them..i hope lol,not much else to do..i can take 50 mph winds if they happen..one thing im listening closely to..NWS Tampa is saying the storms once down here will be coming in from the gulf this time..those i need to stay alert to..doesnt take much for a gulf waterspout to come ashore and travel a bit inland

good morning San and Aug

gee winds gusting to 29 mph here now,suns out but the clouds are thick too,its going to get quite interesting later today lol

Good afternoon everyone! Good luck with the rain everyone!

Conditions sound interesting Largo!

well here we can see where that nasty squall line is,sure has alot of lightning with it huh............................................................................................

winds are still gusty here in my area just over 25mph..how are they in Your area folks?

bet gome's area getting bad weather also...............Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1252 PM EDT SAT APR 7 2018

FLZ019-028-071730-
Inland Taylor FL-Madison FL-
1252 PM EDT SAT APR 7 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN TAYLOR AND
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM EDT...

At 1251 PM EDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm 12 miles northwest of Perry, moving northeast at
35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Madison, Lake Bird, Iddo, Moseley Hall, Ebb, Hopewell, Eridu, Sirmans
and Shady Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3019 8381 3033 8375 3048 8341 3026 8336
3024 8337
TIME...MOT...LOC 1651Z 245DEG 28KT 3023 8374

$$

30-PULLIN

stay alert folks.............repost..............................
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for West Central And Southwest
Florida.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A cold front will approach from the northwest today. Increasing
moisture and instability within the warm sector ahead of the front
will lead to increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms over
the region during the day, with some of the storms possibly
becoming severe with damaging winds and hail. In addition some
locally heavy rain and frequent lightning will accompany the
storms. At the present time the best chances for severe storms
will be during the afternoon and early evening hours. Chances for
showers will continue across the region tonight as the front
settles into the area, with the risk of severe storms coming to
an end. Remember if lightning is observed or thunder is heard move
indoors immediately.

WD your area might be getting some of this squall line next few hours,let us know how it is ok.....................................

Aug stay alert and safe ok............DISCUSSION...Destabilization is slowly occurring ahead of a
pre-frontal convective band extending from the eastern FL Panhandle
into southern GA. Storms on the leading edge of this band have shown
relative strength at times with transient areas of rotation with
some of the cells. Other deepening showers are over northern FL
where temperatures are approaching 80 F.

Winds aloft will generally increase throughout the day, with
gradually veering low-level winds. The increasing speed shear should
maintain favorable hodographs supporting a few supercells, as well
as a few small bows. VWPs and forecast soundings generally indicate
effective SRH values on the order of 100-200 m2/s2 today.

..Jewell/Thompson.. 04/07/2018

.............JR our area in now in the Marginal severe storm chances whew

well one thing i'm thankful for..outside with the heavy cloud cover and the strong winds..feels nice outside for a change

this is on weather bug's site.......................Powerful thunderstorms will develop early this afternoon from the eastern Florida Panhandle to southern Georgia, with more multiplying and spreading south and east across northern and north-central Florida this evening. Before fading away soon after sunset, cities in the severe weather danger zone like Jacksonville, Gainesville, and Tallahassee, Fla., and Savannah, Ga., will be at risk for destructive winds reaching up to 60 mph. Large hail and an isolated tornado is possible too.

If you plan on spending any time outdoors, be on the lookout for rapidly changing skies and be sure to monitor local forecasts. Remember, if you encounter a water-covered roadway, be sure to “Turn Around, Don’t Drown” since the water could be much deeper than it appears.

in a storm front like this i always remeber...here it hasnt rained in a long time..and on the roadways..the oil has been sitting there..with the rains it will lift up, making the roads hazardous, in my early years this exact thing happened to me..boy i stepped on the brake and whoosh off i went..luckily no one was around me..from that day on..i always remember..slow down and take it easy

ok enough from me..post away folks, let us know how it is in your area's around the state.