CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

models are mentioning the state capital area and panhandle..hope they are aware up there...

CMC here. Last one was GFS.

Euro 12Z Ensembles

You all are way better than I at these things. Are there any fronts coming down that could swoop him over S/C Florida?

Thanks for the updates, Largo, Aug, and San. Much appreciated.

How’re ya doing JR? Hopefully your workweek is done. I have things to deal with tomorrow, hopefully via texts.

good Saturday Morning folks!!..well i for one am not liking the model runs with this coming storm,im guessing there will be last minute surprises with it..it seems all Florida should be preparing,,the track is NOT set in stone huh..well anyway...have a great day everyone!

chances up to 70/90.................................ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Oct 6 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.

1. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that an area of low
pressure is centered about 80 miles north of the coast of Honduras,
however, the system is somewhat elongated and does not yet have a
closed circulation. Heavier showers and thunderstorms have been
developing near and to the east of the low's center during the past
several hours, and extensive cloudiness and showers extend elsewhere
across the western Caribbean Sea eastward over the Greater Antilles.
Environmental conditions are expected to become gradually more
conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is
expected to form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southern
Gulf of Mexico over the weekend or early next week while the system
moves slowly north-northwestward at about 5 mph. Interests in the
Yucatan peninsula and western Cuba should monitor the progress of
this system during the next several days. Regardless of tropical
cyclone formation, this disturbance will continue to bring
torrential rains to portions of Central America, the Yucatan
peninsula, and western Cuba into next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Berg

lets hope the dry air in the gulf keeps it down to a tropical storm huh............................

so far more overnight models bring it into around pensacola area..way too soon to believe....

what worries me some is..no model kills it off before the storm comes ashore somewhere in florida.

well for the model runs this morning, it seems we all need to stay alert and prepared for a possible hurricane or it could be a tropical storm, too early yet to know for sure huh..well i have things to do today, please keep the blog going and a NEW Blog should be coming here real soon San..BBL

Morning. I'll make a new blog Largo since it's early in the day and I have some free time for a change. Thank goodness for 3 day weekends!

New blog made. I actually put a little effort into it, lol.

https://weatherchatroom.forumotion.com/t197-florida-alabama-blog-october-tropical-mischief#18931