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CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama

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Post by LargoFL on Fri Oct 05, 2018 4:40 pm

models are mentioning the state capital area and panhandle..hope they are aware up there...CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 16 Gfs_mslp_uv850_us_22
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Post by StAugustineFL on Fri Oct 05, 2018 4:46 pm

CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 16 EASTsk0
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Post by StAugustineFL on Fri Oct 05, 2018 4:50 pm

CMC here. Last one was GFS.

CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 16 DHquHbS
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Post by sangria on Fri Oct 05, 2018 6:35 pm

Euro 12Z Ensembles

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Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Fri Oct 05, 2018 7:53 pm

You all are way better than I at these things. Are there any fronts coming down that could swoop him over S/C Florida?

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Post by JRnOldsmar on Fri Oct 05, 2018 10:00 pm

Thanks for the updates, Largo, Aug, and San. Much appreciated.
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Post by BillsfaninSoFla on Fri Oct 05, 2018 10:11 pm

How’re ya doing JR? Hopefully your workweek is done. I have things to deal with tomorrow, hopefully via texts.

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Post by LargoFL on Sat Oct 06, 2018 4:26 am

CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 16 Gfs_mslp_uv850_watl_21
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Post by LargoFL on Sat Oct 06, 2018 4:30 am

good Saturday Morning folks!!..well i for one am not liking the model runs with this coming storm,im guessing there will be last minute surprises with it..it seems all Florida should be preparing,,the track is NOT set in stone huh..well anyway...have a great day everyone!
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Post by LargoFL on Sat Oct 06, 2018 4:33 am

CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 16 5c7966206af4470e25d155db14a420f05c046f2cc3898549406186bae3cb8ecd
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Post by LargoFL on Sat Oct 06, 2018 4:42 am

chances up to 70/90.................................ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Oct 6 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Leslie, located over the central Atlantic Ocean.

1. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that an area of low
pressure is centered about 80 miles north of the coast of Honduras,
however, the system is somewhat elongated and does not yet have a
closed circulation. Heavier showers and thunderstorms have been
developing near and to the east of the low's center during the past
several hours, and extensive cloudiness and showers extend elsewhere
across the western Caribbean Sea eastward over the Greater Antilles.
Environmental conditions are expected to become gradually more
conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is
expected to form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southern
Gulf of Mexico over the weekend or early next week while the system
moves slowly north-northwestward at about 5 mph. Interests in the
Yucatan peninsula and western Cuba should monitor the progress of
this system during the next several days. Regardless of tropical
cyclone formation, this disturbance will continue to bring
torrential rains to portions of Central America, the Yucatan
peninsula, and western Cuba into next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Berg
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Post by LargoFL on Sat Oct 06, 2018 4:46 am

lets hope the dry air in the gulf keeps it down to a tropical storm huh............................CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 16 91L_gefs_latest
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Post by LargoFL on Sat Oct 06, 2018 5:58 am

CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 16 Ecmwf_ow850_us_7
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Post by LargoFL on Sat Oct 06, 2018 6:01 am

so far more overnight models bring it into around pensacola area..way too soon to believe....CLOSED Tropical Season heats up for Florida/Alabama - Page 16 Navgem_mslp_uv850_us_20
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Post by LargoFL on Sat Oct 06, 2018 6:04 am

what worries me some is..no model kills it off before the storm comes ashore somewhere in florida.
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Post by LargoFL on Sat Oct 06, 2018 6:34 am

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Post by LargoFL on Sat Oct 06, 2018 6:38 am

well for the model runs this morning, it seems we all need to stay alert and prepared for a possible hurricane or it could be a tropical storm, too early yet to know for sure huh..well i have things to do today, please keep the blog going and a NEW Blog should be coming here real soon San..BBL
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Post by StAugustineFL on Sat Oct 06, 2018 7:17 am

Morning. I'll make a new blog Largo since it's early in the day and I have some free time for a change. Thank goodness for 3 day weekends!
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Post by StAugustineFL on Sat Oct 06, 2018 8:01 am

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